Weekly Intelligence Notes #24-05 dated 27 June 2005
Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced by AFIO for non-profit educational uses by AFIO members and WIN subscribers. They are edited by Derk Kinnane Roelofsma (DKR), with input from AFIO members and staff. IF YOU DO NOT WISH TO RECEIVE THESE NOTICES....SEE THE EASY ONE-CLICK REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS AT Bottom
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SECTION I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
ITALIAN WARRANTS OUT FOR 13 AMERICANS BELIEVED INVOLVED IN RENDITION
SECTION II – CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
MUELLER SAYS KNOWLEDGE OF ISLAMIST TERRORISM HELPFUL BUT NOT ESSENTIAL FOR FBI MANAGERS
CIA REPORT SAYS IRAQ HIGHLY EFFECTIVE TRAINING GROUND FOR ISLAMIST MILITANTS
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
BILL WOULD IMPOSE PRISON FOR FAILING TO WARN OF ID THEFT RISK
SECTION IV - BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES
Books
Issues
SECTION V – CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
Careers
Notes
Queries and Authors Seeking Assistance/ Participants –
30 June 05 - Washington, DC - The Literary Spy: The Ultimate Source for Quotations on Espionage & Intelligence
Sunday 10 July 05 - Lakewood, OH - AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter holds Picnic at Rocky River Yacht Club
21 July 05 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter hosts meeting
21 July 05 - Washington, DC - Book Signing - Tim Naftali - Blind Spot
22-23 July 05 - Northampton, MA - AFIO NE Chapter meets at the Hotel Northampton
27 July 05 - Washington, DC - Spies on Screen with Burton Gerber - Battle of Algiers
28 July 05 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Steve Coll and Michael Scheuer - on Iraq and CIA
Tuesday, 2 August 05 - Washington, DC - Spy School Polygraph Interrogation 101
Saturday, 6 August 05 - Glen Burnie, MD - US Army Special Operations Detachment/US Army Foreign Counterintelligence Activity Reunion
6 August 05 - Melbourne, FL - AFIO Satellite Chapter hosts Mr Andy Byers, author of "The Perfect Spy"
13 August 05 - Lenox, MA - AFIO Members at Tanglewood
25 August 05 - Washington, DC - Her Majesty’s Spymaster: Elizabeth I, Sir Francis Walsingham, and the Birth of Modern Espionage
31 August - 2 September 05 - Raleigh, NC - Raleigh International Spy Conference
10 September 05 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
11 September 05 - Madison, OH - AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter hosts picnic
12-15 September 05 - Orlando, FL - ASIS, 51st Annual Seminar & Exhibits
15-18 September 05 - Great Lakes, IL - The AFIO Midwest Chapter will hold its 13th consecutive 2-day Fall Symposium
16 September 05 - New York, NY - AFIO New York Metropolitan Chapter holds evening meeting
7 October 05 - Tysons Corner, VA - NIP Annual Meeting & Symposium
12-16 October 05 - Arlington, VA - 101-OSS Association and OSS Society Reunion
27 - 30 October 05 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA
8 - 13 November 05 - Hot Springs, VA - SpyRetreat 2005 Conference - Espionage: The Unknown Wars - held by CiCentre
3 December 05 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
13-14 December 05 - Chantilly, VA - AFCEA Hosts their Fall Intelligence Symposium at the National Reconnaissance Office
27-28 January 06 - Springfield, VA - Conference on "INTELLIGENCE AND ETHICS"
17-20 February 06 - Arlington, VA - The Intelligence Summit™ 2006
ITALIAN WARRANTS OUT FOR 13 AMERICANS BELIEVED INVOLVED IN RENDITION -- On 22 June, an Italian magistrate signed warrants for the arrest of 13 American intelligence operatives charged with kidnapping a militant Islamist imam as he walked to prayers at a mosque in Milan two years ago. After taking him to a U.S. base in Italy, he was covertly flown to Cairo, the Washington Post and New York Times reported.
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/24/AR2005062400484.htm and www.nytimes.com/2005/06/25/international/europe/25milan.html?th&emc=th
The cleric, Hessian Mustafa Osama Knars, known as Abu Omar, has said that after his rendition he was tortured by Egyptian security police.
The Italian judicial action is the first known case of a foreign government filing criminal charges against U.S. operatives in connection with overseas counterterrorism activities. Warrants for the arrest of the 13 Americans will be passed on to Interpol, effectively requiring countries around the world to assist the Italian investigation. An Italian official did not say whether the Rome government would seek their extradition. He did say Italy would ask the United States for judicial assistance.
Abu Omar, who disappeared on 17 February 2003, was a veteran of Islamist training camps in Bosnia and Afghanistan. Italian counterterrorism police, who had had him under surveillance for a long time, made no secret of their frustration at his being taken out of Italy without their knowledge.
"We do feel quite betrayed that this operation was carried out in our city," a senior Italian investigator said in Milan. "We supplied them information about Abu Omar, and then they [the United States operatives] used that information against us, undermining an entire operation against his terrorist network," the New York Times reported on 26 June.
www.nytimes.com/2005/06/26/international/europe/26milan.html?th&emc=th
The Italian police and prosecutors said the CIA's top official at the United States consulate in Milan, a man accused in the arrest warrant of coordinating the abduction, had been in close contact with them as they pursued intensive investigations into al-Qa'ida and other Islamic militant networks in Europe.
"The American system is of little use to us," a senior Italian counterterrorism investigator said. "It's a one-way street. We give them what we have, but we are given no useful information that can help us prosecute people."
Sharing has become a sore point between American and other European officials in other cases. One concerns Mourner el-Motassadeq, a suspected associate of several 9/11 hijackers. His conviction by a German court in 2003 was overturned the following year. German officials blamed the United States for failing to provide crucial evidence. El-Motassadeq is currently being retried.
The Bush administration has refused to allow the Spanish authorities to interview Ramzi bin al-Shibh, a central Qa'ida suspect, to strengthen their case against two men on trial in Madrid on charges of helping to plan 9/11.
Although one senior Italian investigator said, "There is no shadow of proof of any Italian involvement,” another told the Times it was possible the Italian government had approved the rendition as operatives had operated openly and without apparent concern about being detected. For instance, the official said, the Americans used their Italian cell phones at the precise moment Abu Omar was abducted; they kept the phones switched on for hours at a time, making it easier to track their movements; and they dialed many phone numbers in the United States, most of them in northern Virginia, including at least one number at CIA headquarters.
Michael Scheuer, a former CIA senior counterterrorism officer, said information provided by the Italians suggest that the rendition was not an agency operation and that it would never approve a kidnapping in Italy. However, Milan prosecutors have stated that the overall findings allow attribution of the kidnapping with certainty to the agency.
Italian court documents report that Abu Omar was kidnapped just after noon by eight U.S. operatives, put into a van and taken to Aviano Air Base, a joint Italian-U.S. military installation, then put on a Learjet and flown to Ramstein Air Base in Germany, where he was transferred to another plane and taken to Cairo. A year after his disappearance, Abu Omar was released from prison and called his wife and colleagues in Milan. He told them he had been kidnapped by Americans and tortured with electric shocks by the Egyptians, according to wiretap transcripts of the calls. According to the Times he was later rearrested and has not been heard of since.
The court documents show that police and prosecutors in Milan identified 19 Americans, four of them women, suspected of playing a role in the kidnapping, although only 13 were charged with a crime. Police said they were able to trace nearly every step the Americans took during the nine days they were in Milan. They identified the suspects by examining all cell phones in use near the abduction. Investigators said they were able to trace several calls by Americans on the road from Milan to Aviano. Other evidence came from hotel registries, car rental receipts, and electronic highway toll passes. The Italian investigators also collected photocopies of the operatives' passports, photographs, cell phone numbers and credit card numbers.
The suspects stayed in five-star Milan hotels, including the Hilton, the Sheraton, the Galia and Principe di Savoia, in the week before the operation, at a cost of $144,984, according to the warrant. After the rendition, two of the officers took a few days' holiday at five-star hotels in Venice, Tuscany and the Alto Adige.
A Washington Post search of public records showed that the majority of the people named have no listed residence, workplace, working telephone or corporate history. Two of the individuals listed their addresses as boxes at the same post office in Dunn Loring, VA, which is used by a man who is listed as an officer of Premier Executive Transport Services, a company that owns two planes used by the CIA for renditions. The man's name also appears to be a cover. Three of the 19 people named in the court documents, however, appear to be legitimate identities. One is listed in public records as a longtime USG employee who has been stationed abroad.
Scheuer, who according to the Post, started the CIA's rendition program, said, "The agency might be sloppy, but not that sloppy. There is no way they would sanction a kidnapping on Italian soil."
Details of the operation, as described in the court documents, bear little resemblance to the way the agency handled previous renditions, Scheuer said. "Renditions have never worked this way," he said. "If I had taken a plan to my bosses to kidnap someone in Europe, it better have been Usama himself, and I doubt I would have gotten permission even then." (DKR)
GOSS SAYS HE KNOWS UBL'S WHEREABOUTS - DCI Goss said he has an excellent idea where Usama bin Ladin is hiding but would not say where that is or when UBL would be caught, the BBC reported on 20. UBL is widely believed to be in Pakistan's tribal region bordering Afghanistan. It was unlikely, Goss said, that UBL would be brought to justice until "we strengthen all the links" in the chain in the US-led hunt for terror suspects. June, citing Times magazine.
news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/4110786.stm
The DCI's remarks followed comments on Afghan television by departing U.S. envoy Zalmay Khalilzad about a Pakistani TV interview with a senior Taliban commander in Afghanistan. He said both bin Ladin and Taliban leader Mullah Omar were alive and well.
"If a TV station can get in touch with them, how can the intelligence service of a country which has nuclear bombs and a lot of security and military forces not find them?" Khalilzad asked.
Goss told Time there were weak links in the U.S.-led war on terror. "When you go to the very difficult question of dealing with sanctuaries in sovereign states, you're dealing with a problem of our sense of international obligation, fair play, “Goss said. "We have to find a way to work in a conventional world in unconventional ways that are acceptable to the international community." (DKR)
DIA DIRECTOR TO RETIRE - Vice Adm. Lowell E. Jacoby, who has served as DIA director for the last three years, has announced he plans to retire on 1 January, the New York Time reported.
www.nytimes.com/2005/06/21/politics/21military.html?pagewanted=all
In an e-mail message to agency personnel, Jacoby wrote that he was leaving the military after 37 years of active duty at the end of his tour as DIA head.
No successor has been announced. (DKR)
In addition to the opening created by Jacoby's departure, the top positions are open at the NSA and the NRO. (DKR)
U-2 CRASHES IN THE GULF, PILOT KILLED - The Air Force pilot of a U-2 spy plane was killed early on 22 June when his aircraft crashed near its base in the United Arab Emirates, shortly after completing a routine surveillance mission over Afghanistan, the New York Times reported military officials as saying.
www.nytimes.com/2005/06/23/politics/23u2.html?pagewanted=all
It was the first crash of a U-2 flying reconnaissance missions in support of the military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Military officials said there were no initial indications of hostile fire. The Pentagon withheld the pilot's name pending notification of his family. Col. Darryl Burke, commander of the 380th Air Expeditionary Wing, ordered an investigation. (DKR)
SECTION II – CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
MUELLER SAYS KNOWLEDGE OF ISLAMIST TERRORISM HELPFUL BUT NOT ESSENTIAL FOR FBI MANAGERS - FBI Director Mueller says he does not believe his counterterrorism supervisors need to have a background in Arabic, the Middle East or international issues, Associated Press reported on 21 June.
ap.washingtontimes.com/dynamic/stories/F/FBI_TERROR_JOBS?SITE=DCTMS&SECTION=HOME
Mueller described his top anti-terror managers' knowledge of dealing with foreign governments, Middle East history, international terrorism and al-Qa’ida as helpful, not essential. Leadership ability is transferable, he said. "And often you can pick up the subject matter if you've got leadership skills."
"Let me tell you that we want to develop that within the bureau, but making that an absolute requirement -- if you do not have it you would be precluded from advancing in counterterrorism – no,” Mueller testified recently in an employment lawsuit.
Mueller described his own expertise in Middle Eastern terrorism as having been relatively limited when he took over the bureau a week before 9/11. He also testified he didn't give any guidance to his top managers to seek out the most experienced counterterrorism agents to work on the war on terror immediately after 9/11. He said he expected the managers to make good choices in a wide-ranging deposition obtained by AP.
Most of the men Mueller appointed to run the war on terror testified that they didn't believe Middle East and terrorism experience had been important for choosing the agents they promoted. Gary Bald, executive assistant director in charge of terrorism, testified he had to get his terrorism training on the job when he came to headquarters two years ago. When asked about his grasp of Middle Eastern culture and history, he replied: "I wish that I had it. It would be nice."
When shown Bald's statements, Mueller defended his selection by saying Bald had run the FBI's Baltimore office, which had a terrorism program, and had also run the Washington sniper shootings investigation.
The testimony was given in a lawsuit brought against the FBI by special agent Bassem Youssef, considered by some to be one of the FBI's most accomplished pre-9/ 11 agents in matters of terrorism. He claims he was passed over for top jobs at headquarters, despite his expertise, because of his Arab origins.
After interviews with FBI field agents in the war on terror, the staff of the independent commission that reviewed 9/11 failures reported, "Many field agents felt the supervisory agents in the counterterrorism division at headquarters lacked the necessary experience in counterterrorism to guide their work."
FBI Assistant Director Cassandra Chandler said on 20 June that FBI agents in the field are getting valuable training on everything from Muslim culture to Arabic language and that hundreds of new intelligence analysts and linguists have been hired. Deputy Assistant Director John Lewis suggested it might take the FBI until 2020 to get the sort of top-level anti-terrorism experience it needs. (DKR)
CIA REPORT SAYS IRAQ HIGHLY EFFECTIVE TRAINING GROUND FOR ISLAMIST M9ILITANTS - A classified CIA report finds that Iraq may prove to be an even more effective training ground for Islamist militants than Afghanistan was in al-Qa'ida's early days, because it is serving as a laboratory for urban combat, the New York Times reported on 21 June.
www.nytimes.com/2005/06/22/international/middleeast/22intel.html?pagewanted=all
Congressional and IC officials said the assessment, completed in May and circulated to government agencies, made it clear that the fighting in Iraq was likely to produce a dangerous legacy by dispersing to other countries Iraqi and foreign combatants more adept and better organized than they were before the conflict. Saudi Arabia, Jordan and other countries would soon have to contend with such militants.
The officials said the report spelled out how the urban nature of the war in Iraq was helping combatants learn how to carry out assassinations, kidnappings, car bombings and other kinds of attacks. (DDR)
FRANKLIN INDICTED A SECOND TIME -DoD Iran analyst Lawrence Franklin has been indicted for a second time by a federal grand jury, the Washington Post reported on 22 June.
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/21/AR2005062101720.html
The one-count indictment issued in West Virginia on 21 June charged Franklin with having improperly kept classified documents concerning Usama bin Laden, al-Qa'ida and Iraq.
Previously Franklin was charged in the U.S. District Court in Alexandria, VA, with conspiring to give classified information to a foreign government.
The charges arise from an investigation into whether U.S. classified information was provided to the government of Israel as a result of Franklin's contacts with officials of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee and an Israeli diplomat. (DKR).
SECTION III – CYBER INTELLIGENCE
BILL WOULD IMPOSE PRISON FOR FAILING TO WARN OF ID THEFT RISK - Business leaders who fail to tell consumers when they may be at risk of identity theft could face jail under a bipartisan bill expected to be introduced in the U.S. Senate on 29 June, ZDNet.com reported.
news.zdnet.com/2100-1009_22-5757920.html
Judiciary Committee Chairman Arlen Specter and Sen. Patrick Leahy, the ranking Democrat, would also restrict trading in Social Security numbers.
The bill is the first to find Republican sponsorship. It follows the largest security breach announced to date after an outsider gained access to 40 million credit card accounts held by CardSystems Solutions, a payment processor. (DKR)
BUSH NOMINATES PETERSON AS USAF CIO - Maj. Gen. Michael Peterson has been nominated by President Bush to become the Air Force’s next CIO as director of the newly formed Office of Warfighting Integration and Chief Information Officer. Peterson also has been nominated for promotion to lieutenant general, GCN.com reported on 21 June.
www.gcn.com/vol1_no1/daily-updates/36161-1.html
Peterson currently is serving as director of information services and integration, succeeding Maj. Gen. Charles Croom. Croom is being promoted to lieutenant general and assumes the directorship of the Defense Information Systems Agency next month, according to USAF spokesman Capt. James Cunningham.
Before his current position, Peterson served as director of the Strategic Command and Air Component Coordination Element in the U.S. Strategic Command at Offutt Air Force Base in Nebraska. (DKR)
STATE TELLS CONGRESS BIOMETRICS WILL ENSURE IDENTITY - A digital photograph and contactless chip for electronic passport implementation would ensure the identity of the person carrying the document, Frank Moss, deputy assistant secretary of State for consular affairs, told Congress on 22 June, GCN.com reported.
www.gcn.com/vol1_no1/daily-updates/36185-1.html
Facial imaging is consistent with International Civil Aviation Organization standards, said Moss. He was testifying at a hearing of the House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Economic Security, Infrastructure Protection and Cybersecurity.
DHS will require that Visa Waiver Program countries produce passports with digital photographs by 26 October, but will allow another one-year extension for those countries to comply with issuing e-passports.
A chip in the e-passport’s rear cover will contain the same data as that found on the biographic data page of the paper document, including the photograph, name, and date and place of birth The chip will also have 64 KB of writeable memory in case State introduces additional biometrics such as fingerprints and iris scans. (DKR)
SECTION IV -- BOOKS, SOURCES, AND ISSUES
BOOKS
MISGUIDED MIDDLE EAST POLICY? - Leon Haidar, Sandstorm: Policy Failure in the Middle East (Palgrave, 224 pp. $24.95)
Haidar, a member of Washington's Cato Institute, argues that by supporting Israel and stationing military forces in Saudi Arabia, the United States helped set the stage for the events of 9/11.
Pushing for democracy in Iraq is the latest instance of a misguided adherence to a flawed Middle East paradigm, he writes, reprising the outlook set forth in his 1992 book, Quagmire: America in the Middle East, It foresaw the Arab and Muslim backlash against America. Foreseeing disaster in Iraq, he fears that Arab oil producers might switch from holding dollars to euros with disastrous results for the United States.
Haidar's solution is a disengagement from the Middle East by means of switching to Latin American sources of oil and setting up a regional balance of power led by the European Union. How effective such a policy would be will strike many readers as highly doubtful. (DKR)
SECDEF WEINBERGER SPINS A WHITE HOUSE THRILLER - Caspar Weinberger, Peter Schweizer, Chain of Command (Atria, 368 pp. $25.95)
Two terms Reagan SecDef Weinberger makes his debut as a thriller writer in collaboration with Schweizer. The result is a crackling story about politics and dirty dealing that has the ring of authenticity.
The novel tracks, through the eyes of a Secret Service Special Agent attached to the presidential security detail, the assassination of the president and nearly of the vice-president. Sworn in as president, the former veep declares martial law throughout the country.
As he prepares to destroy a right-wing militia he blames for the attack. Special Agent Delaney finds himself accused of complicity.
Fast paced and tightly plotted, Chain of Command is just the read for the summer (or any other) season. (DKR)
DISGUISED AS A MAN, SHE SOLDIERED IN THE CIVIL WAR - Laura Leedy Gansler, The Mysterious Private Thompson: The Double Life of Sarah Emma Edmonds, Civil War Soldier (Free Press, 320 pp $25)
At 17, Sarah Edmonds fled south from her native Nova Scotia to escape an abusive father and an unwanted marriage. She earned her living, disguised as a male traveling book salesman. When the Civil War came, she joined the 2nd Michigan Volunteer Infantry Regiment, serving for two years as a medical orderly and mail courier. She may also have been a Union spy. At least two men penetrated her disguise. After the war she settled in Texas, married, raised two adopted children and eventually claimed a pension under her wartime name, with the enthusiastic support of most of her old comrades. Gansler has told Sarah's story well and with a sound knowledge of the Civil War. (DKR)
ISSUES
FBI BOSS FELT SHOCK AND BETRAYAL AT DEEP THROAT'S ADMISSION - L. Patrick Gray III, FBI acting director at the time of the Watergate break-in, said in a television interview broadcast 26 June that he felt shock and betrayal by the disclosure that his former deputy, W. Mark Felt, was Deep Throat, the New York Times reported
www.nytimes.com/2005/06/27/politics/27gray.html?pagewanted=all
Gray told the ABC News program "This Week," that he felt "like I was hit with a tremendous sledgehammer" by Felt's disclosure that he was the source for Washington Post reporters who broke Watergate news relying on Felt's information.
Gray, now 88, resigned from the bureau in disgrace in 1973. In the ABC interview, he said that Felt "told me time and again he was not Deep Throat." Gray said he now realized that he failed to halt news leaks because Felt was in charge of stopping them.
Gray also said he had been badly misled not only by Felt but by President Nixon and his aides. (DKR)
HOUSE APPROVES IC AUTHORIZATION BILL - The House overwhelmingly approved the fiscal 2006 intelligence authorization bill on 21 June, eliminating from the measure language that would have limited the authority of DNI Negroponte to transfer employees, the Washington Post reported.
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/21/AR2005062101659.html
Rep. Peter Hoekstra, chairman of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, said the bill will for the first time prioritize the programs under the DNI's management and implement the intelligence reorganization legislation that passed in December.
The amount of funding provided by the bill, adopted 409 to 16, is classified but estimated at $42 billion.
Rep. Duncan Hunter had sought to include language in the bill barring Negroponte from transferring employees without prior approval of congressional committees. But earlier in June, Hunter agreed to have that provision removed after Negroponte pledged to consult him before making transfers.
The bill made important cuts in the funding sought by the Bush administration for new high-tech satellites, applying some of that money to increase HUMINT and analysis programs. (DKR)
SECTION V -- CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE, CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
Careers
NEW OPENINGS AT Department of Homeland Security - 19 vacancy announcements for positions at DHS-headquarters. These positions are also posted on www.usajobs.opm.gov
Supervisory Budget Analyst GS-0560-14/15
Writer/Editor GS-1082-12/13
Intelligence Operations Specialist GS-0132-11/12
Intelligence Operations Specialist GS-0132-12/13
Program Specialist (Citizen Corps) GS-0301-12/13
Information Technology Specialist (Information Security) GS-2210-15
Administrative Officer GS-0341-13/14
Management & Program Analyst GS-0343-12/14
Managment & Program Analyst GS-0343-13/15
IT Specialist GS-2210-14/15
General Engineer GS-0801-14/15
Contract Specialist GS-1102-05/07
Grants Managment Specialist (Trainee) GS-0501-5/7
Appropriations Liaison Officer GS-0501-14/15
Supervisory General Engineer GS-0801-15
Auditor GS-0511-09/11
Auditor GS-0511-12
Senior Auditor GS-0511-13
Director, Infrastructure Coordination Division ES-0301
Notes
SYRIAN INTEL REPORTED OPERATING AGAIN IN LEBANON - Syrian intelligence officers have returned to Lebanon and are active there despite a withdrawal in April in response to U.S. Security Council Resolution 1559, requiring Syrian military and intelligence units to quit the country, UPI reported.
www.washingtontimes.com/commentary/20050621-085512-7861r.htm
Brig. Gen. Mohammad Khallof, chief of Syria's intelligence service in Lebanon before the withdrawal, continues to command operations there, UPI said, citing a Labanese opposition leader and local press reports. Khallof is said to be based in the northern port city of Tripoli where he met with pro-Syrian elements lead by Suleiman Franjieh, the Maronite leader MIchel Aoun and former prime minister Omar Karame.
A U.S. intelligence source said Khallof had two deputies who were also Syrians who had returned to Lebanon. They were Nabil Hishmeh, formerly in charge of the Akkar region, and Khalil Zogheib, who headed Syrian intelligence in Tripoli.
Other sources confirmed as basically accurate press reports of at least five Syrian intelligence officers recently entering the country to help Syria's allies win seats in recent parliamentary elections. U.S. sources said the Syrian officers have operated from northern and eastern Lebanon to help Syrian allies in such cities as Baalbek and Tripoli and in the Akkar region.
Lebanese opposition sources told U.S. officials Syrian officers transferred cash and instructions to pro-Syrian candidates as well as providing intelligence on their rivals. The officers headed a pool of operatives, most of them Lebanese or Palestinians.
Nevertheless, an anti-Syrian bloc was victorious on 19 June in the fourth and final round of voting. But it was unclear whether the bloc will have a two-thirds majority needed to end pro-Syrian President Emile Lahoud's term in office. (DKR)
INDONESIAN INTEL IMPLICATED IN ASSASSINATION - Operatives of the Indonesian State Intelligence Agency plotted the lethal midair poisoning of Munir Said, Indonesia's best-known human rights activist, the Washington Post reported members of a presidential commission as saying. The commission is investigating the assassination carried out last September.
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/24/AR2005062401667.html
Police Brig. Gen. Marsudhi Hanafi, who heads the commission, said investigators had obtained a document detailing plans at the agency, known by its Indonesian initials as BIN, to kill Munir and discovered telephone records showing calls between numbers used by a former BIN deputy director and the suspected assassin. The former deputy director, Maj. Gen. Muchdi Purwopranjono, and other BIN officials have told the press they did not know the suspect.
Human rights activists have long accused BIN and other security forces of atrocities. But U.S. officials have praised BIN for cooperating with the CIA in tracking down Muslim extremists, including several linked to al-Qa'ida.
Munir, a frequent critic of the security forces, became ill on an overnight Garuda Indonesia flight a few hours after leaving Jakarta. He died before reaching his destination, Amsterdam. An autopsy two months later in the Netherlands found he had ingested a highly lethal dose of arsenic. (DKR)
Queries and authors seeking assistance
Have you used the Analyst Notebook application or the Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP)? - Mike Allen is a University of New Haven graduate student in National Security & Public Safety who is looking for feedback on the tools and methods, academic and commercial, used by the IC to help forecast future events.
The tools and methods cover topics that range from established academic methods to software applications and more. For additional information, contact Mike at forme3d@yahoo.com. You can access the survey at: https://www.surveymonkey.com/s.asp?u=22535595713
If you have any questions about this request, feel free to contact Mike at (510) 770-1942. (DKR)
Thursday, 30 June 2005; 12 noon to 1 pm - Washington, DC - The Literary Spy: The Ultimate Source for Quotations on Espionage & Intelligence He writes under the pseudonym Charles E. Lathrop, but you can trade quips and quotes with this CIA speechwriter and analyst face to face at this rare public appearance. A scholar of all-words-espionage, Lathrop went to great lengths to discover and document every reference to intelligence and espionage spoken aloud or put into print - from sources as diverse as the Bible, James Bond films, and presidential speeches. His selection process, favorite quotes, and research techniques are an open book - one that is as interesting to the serious researcher as to espionage aficionados and the armchair spies among us. FREE LUNCHTIME AUTHOR DEBRIEFING AND BOOK SIGNING Join the author for an informal chat and book signing at Spy Museum. No registration required!
Sunday 10 July 05 - Lakewood, OH - AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter holds Picnic at Rocky River Yacht Club. 2 p.m. to 6 p.m. Reservations to Peter Gray 216-214-2494.
21 July 05 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m. at the Officers Club's Falcon Room, U.S. Air Force Academy. Cost is $12.00 for a choice of beef or chicken with salad and dessert. Contact Richard Durham, phone number 719-488-2884, or e-mail at: riverwear53@aol.com Reservations due [to Durham] no later than 18 July. The speaker will be Col(r) Stewart Pike, Special Forces Commander in the Horn of Africa for several years.
Thursday, 21 July 05 - FREE LUNCHTIME AUTHOR DEBRIEFING AND BOOK SIGNING with Tim Naftali, author of Blind Spot: The Secret History of American Counterterrorism. Join the author for an informal chat and book signing from. No registration required! 12 noon - 1 pm at International Spy Museum. http://www.spymuseum.org/calendar/debrief_2005_jul_21.asp
22-23 July 05 - Northampton, MA - AFIO NE Chapter meets at the Hotel Northampton, with its friendly atmosphere which offers a large variety of art galleries, museums, clubs & theaters. Nestled amongst Smith, Amherst, Hampshire and Mt. Holyoke Colleges and the University of Massachusetts this area has traditionally been a delightful weekend destination. The morning speaker will be AFIO's own Burton Hersh who, after graduating from Harvard College with high honors, has had a long career as an independent writer. Following a six-year stint as a Fulbright Scholar and military translator in Germany, he returned to New York in the sixties to more than a decade as a successful magazine article writer and author of many books. After lunch AFIO National President Gene Poteat will be speaking on successful spy efforts in our nation's history. To register contact Art Lindberg at 732.255.8021
Wednesday, 27 July 05 - Washington, DC - Screening - Spies on Screen - "Battle of Algiers" at 6:30 - 9:15 pm. Insurgency, bombings, a military presence from abroad: Algeria, 1957. Blood ran in the streets of Algiers when French soldiers were pitted against Algerian Front de Lib�ration Nationale (FLN) terrorists in Algeria's fight for independence. The violence escalated as the Algerians resorted to explosives and the French responded with torture. Join Burton L. Gerber, who served 39 years as an operations officer in the CIA and was Chief of Station in three Communist countries, for a special screening of the brutally realistic 1965 film on the struggle. Gerber will draw upon his own experience to provide insight into how the French reaction to the FLN echoes the challenges that the U.S. faces in the war on terrorism and insurgency in Iraq, and what this means for an intelligence officer faced with these issues today. At International Spy Museum. Advanced registration required. http://www.spymuseum.org/calendar/prog_2005_jul_27.asp
THURSDAY, 28 July 05 - Tysons Corner, VA -
AFIO National Summer Luncheon
THURSDAY, 28 July 05
10:30 a.m. to 2 p.m. - Holiday Inn, Tysons Corner, VA
Between Iraq and a Hard Place -- the CIA, Muslim Terrorists, and the problematic Middle East
Steve Coll - Pulitzer prize winning author, associate editor of the Washington Post
Author of GHOST WARS: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan, and Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10, 2001
won a 2005 Pulitzer Prize for general non-fiction
and former CIA officer Michael F. Scheuer
former head of CIA's Osama bin Laden unit until 1999 and
Author of IMPERIAL HUBRIS:
Why the West Is Losing the War on Terror
share their views, research and insights.
Space filling up fast....and limited seats remain. $35/pp prepaid. Registration form here
Tuesday, 2 August 05 - Washington, DC - Spy School Polygraph Interrogation 101 at 6:30 pm. “The problem with the world today is that nobody takes the time to do a really sinister interrogation anymore.” - James Bond in Goldeneye Spies’ lies can destroy a mission, expose an asset, or damage the credibility of important intelligence. Discovering the truth is essential, but how can an interrogator outwit a wily spy? Join John F. Sullivan, who wrote Of Spies and Lies: A CIA Lie Detector Remembers Vietnam, as he exposes the secrets of the polygraph - its history, uses, and abuses. Sullivan, who entered the CIA Interrogation Research Branch in 1968, spent four years in Vietnam in the early 1970s, and then rejoined the Polygraph Division from which he retired in 1999 as a senior polygraph examiner. Although the polygraph has become increasingly controversial, Sullivan will reveal how the powerful combination of artful interrogation and sensitive machinery helped him catch seven double agents and hundreds of criminals. Once you’re versed in lie-detection, you’ll join Sullivan in an interrogation and assessment of two “highly suspicious” characters. Tickets: $20 Advance registration required! http://www.spymuseum.org/calendar/prog_2005_aug_02.asp
Saturday, 6 August 05 - Glen Burnie, MD - US Army Special Operations Detachment/US Army Foreign Counterintelligence Activity Reunion. A reunion of all former and current military and civilian members of the US Army Foreign Counterintelligence Activity (FCA), formerly the US Army Special Operations Detachment (SOD), will be held in Glen Burnie, MD. SOD was formed at Fort Meade, MD, in July 1974 as the Army’s national level counterespionage organization. The unit became FCA in 1985. Contact Nancy Gulley at gulley3@juno.com or at 410-674-7255; mailing address: 486 Williamsburg Lane, Odenton, MD 21113 for more information on the reunion.
6 August 05 - At Ease Club located in the Indian River Colony Club (IRCC) - Melbourne, Fl. AFIO Satellite Chapter hosts Mr. Andy Byers, author of The Perfect Spy- contact B. Keith at bobbie6769@juno.com for more information
13 August 05 - Lenox, MA - AFIO Members at Tanglewood. 8:30 PM the Boston Symphony Orchestra will be conducted by James Conlon with violinist Gil Shaham to present Mozart Violin Concerto No. 4 in D,K.218 & Shostakovich Symphony No. 7 in C, Op. 60, Leningrad in Koussevitzky Music Shed, Lenox, MA, in the beautiful Berkshire Hills of Western Massachusetts. Next day concerts include an All-Mozart Program by the BSO and an evening of All That Jazz conducted by Keith Lockhart and the Boston Pops with guests "New York Voices." Come and enjoy the weekend concerts with family, friends and AFIO colleagues from New England and New York. Tickets for these informal concerts must be made by phone at 888-266-1200, 617-266-1200 or online at www.bso.org. Saturday evening tickets $19, $28, $47, $70, $85 and $17 (lawn). Contact the Berkshire Visitors Bureau at (800) 237-5747 or www.berkshires.org for reservations/lodgings. They provide a reservation service and excellent resources for comparing places to stay.
Thursday, 25 August 05 - Washington, DC - Her Majesty’s Spymaster: Elizabeth I, Sir Francis Walsingham, and the Birth of Modern Espionage, by Stephen Budiansky. Free Lunchtime author debriefing and book signing at Spy Museum; 12 noon to 1 pm. Elizabethan England was a hotbed of intrigue, conspiracy, and political skulduggery. Catholic Spain and France - not to mention Mary Queen of Scots - were all threats to Queen Elizabeth’s position and power. Excessive vigilance and extreme tactics were the order of the day. Elizabeth I’s chief aid in the struggle to keep her place on the throne was Sir Francis Walsingham, her principal secretary and England’s first spymaster. In his latest book, journalist and military historian Stephen Budiansky unveils Walsingham’s pioneering use of double agents, code breaking, and disinformation in defense of his queen. No registration required. http://www.spymuseum.org/calendar/debrief_2005_aug_25.asp
31 August -- 2 September 05 – Raleigh, NC – Raleigh International Spy Conference - The theme of the third annual conference, a joint effort by Raleigh's Metro Magazine and the North Carolina Museum of History, is Old Spies, New Threats. Keynote speaker will be Ronald Radosh, author of the newly released Red Star Over Hollywood: The Film Colony’s Long Romance With the Left. Other speakers are: -- Harvey Klehr, co-author of In Denial: Historians, Communism and Espionage. speaking on "Was Joe McCarthy Right: What New Evidence From Secret Archives Say About Soviet Espionage in America;" -- John Earl Haynes, co-author of In Denial, on the damage caused by Soviet manipulation of the Communist Party U.S.A. from the 1930s to 1945; -- I.C. Smith, author of Inside: A Top G-Man Exposes Spies, Lies and Bureaucratic Bungling Inside the FBI, on Chinese espionage in the United States; -- Nigel West, author of Venona: The Greatest Secret of the Cold War, on the latest revelations of Soviet espionage; -- Steve Usdin, author of the new book Engineering Communism: How Two Americans Spied for Stalin and Founded the Soviet Silicon Valley, on the story of two Rosenberg spy ring members who fled to the Soviet Union to help build a city dedicated to microelectronics and computing. The conference fee is $250 per registrant. Reduced registration is $175 for seniors (55 or over) and $145 for educators, students and IC members. The fee includes all sessions, the keynote address and a ticket for an evening gala on 1 Sept. Additional gala tickets are available to conference attendees for $30. For registration information, access www.raleighspyconference.com, call Brooke Eidenmiller at 919-807-7875 or e-mail brooke.eidenmiller@ncmail.net. Hotel information is available at www.raleighspyconference.com.
10 September 05 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting.Speaker TBA. RSVP for details to Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net
11 September 05 - Madison, OH - AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter hosts picnic at Chuck and Gretchen Reed's. Reservations needed by 7 September to Howard or Veronica Flint at 440-338-4720.
12-15 September 2005 - Orlando, FL - ASIS, 51st Annual Seminar & Exhibits http://www.asisonline.org/
15-18 September 05 - Great Lakes, IL - The AFIO Midwest Chapter will hold its 13th consecutive 2-day Fall Symposium at the Great Lakes Naval Base, with briefings and presentations. Details will follow in coming weeks. Quarters will again at the Great Lakes Naval Lodge. All meetings and meals will be at the Port O'Call, the old Officer's Club.
Friday, 16 September 05 - New York, NY - AFIO Metro New York Chapter holds evening meeting at the "Society of Illustrators" building at 128 East 63rd Street in Manhattan. Speaker: David Hunt, retired CIA officer, on "Corporate Espionage - Who is Stealing America's Secrets and Why and How They Are Doing It." Details and time to follow. Questions to Jerry Goodwin, 212-308-1450 or afiometro@yahoo.com
7 October 05 - Tysons Corner, VA - NIP Annual Meeting & Symposium - Tysons Corner Holiday Inn.
12 - 16 October 05 - Arlington, VA - 101-OSS Association and the OSS Society Reunion is being held at the Key Bridge Marriott Hotel. Cost: $100/pp. The program and speakers are still in planning stages. RESERVATIONS: 101-OSS members send check to Dennis F. Klein, 1307 Crocus Cove, Cedar Park, TX 78613-4267 or phone 1-512-918-0690. OSS Society members email OSSSociety@aol.com
**** 27 - 30 October 2005 - AFIO 30th Anniversary Symposium Celebration - Sheraton Premiere Hotel, McLean, Tyson's Corner, VA and at other secured venues. PUT THIS DATE ON YOUR CALENDARS. ****
8 - 13 November 05 - Hot Springs, VA - SpyRetreat 2005 Conference - Espionage: The Unknown Wars - held by CiCentre. The conference will focus on the unknown “intelligence wars” that have taken place in secret yet have impacted the security and destiny of nations. Presenters will shed light on these secret wars and were often intimately involved on the front lines. These presenters include retired FBI counterintelligence and counterterrorism specialists David Major and Rusty Capps; retired Russian KGB Major General Oleg Kalugin who headed KGB’s worldwide foreign counterintelligence; retired Canadian RCMP counterintelligence officer Dan Mulvenna who battled the Russian KGB in Canada; and renowned British military intelligence historian and author of over 25 books, Nigel West. Conference attendees will hear from this international group who are accompanied by the CI Centre’s trademark dynamic multimedia presentations, bringing to life the unknown espionage wars. Morning lectures include (full descriptions on SpyRetreat website): Spies with War-Winning Implications: Inside the John Walker Spy Network; The Canadian RCMP/KGB Wars; Technical Espionage Wars: IVY BELLS, TAW, ABSORB, BOARDWALK; Terror’s Espionage War; The Israeli Intelligence War Against Terror; On Veterans Day, the CI Centre hosts the special Veterans Recognition dinner which salutes all veterans of wars, including the espionage wars. The dinner speaker will be Nigel West who will talk about the recently released top secret diaries of Guy Liddell, who was British MI5’s Director of Counterespionage during World War II. West will reveal the most secret and sensational operations of British intelligence in their war against the Nazis. The special package for this five-night stay at The Homestead Resort and Spa includes lectures, a private reception and a private banquet. Price is $3,750 for double occupancy; $2,325 for single. More information about the “ESPIONAGE: The Unknown Wars” conference can be found on the internet at www.SpyRetreat.com or by calling 1-866-SPY-TREK (1-866-779-8735). Directions to the Homestead Resort in Hot Springs, VA can be found here http://www.thehomestead.com/transportation.asp
3 December 05 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
13- 14 December 05 - Chantilly, VA - AFCEA Hosts their Fall Intelligence Symposium at the National Reconnaissance Office in Chantilly, VA. Classified SI/TK and open to U.S. citizens only. For information contact Phil Jordan at pjordan@afcea.org or (800) 336-4583 ext. 6219 or (703) 631-6219. Website Address: http://www.afcea.org/events/fallintel/
27-28 January 06 - Springfield, VA - Conference on "INTELLIGENCE AND ETHICS" at The Joint Services Conference on Professional Ethics (JSCOPE). Runs from 3:00 p.m. - 8:30 p.m. on Friday, and 8:30 a.m. - 4:00 p.m. on Saturday. Intelligence practitioners and civilian scholars discuss and present Academic Papers, conduct Working Groups, present Case Histories and Testimonies, and hold Dinner and Luncheon Discussions on the emerging field of "Intelligence Ethics" which to many academicians does not have civilian/academic input and expertise. It is the goal of this conference to establish the first international meeting of civilian and military intelligence professionals, educators and those with academic perspectives in national security, philosophy, law, history, psychology, theology and human rights. The Intelligence Ethics Section seeks voices from all ranks and areas of intelligence and are soliciting contributions and participation from all interested parties and perspectives. More information at http://eli.sdsu.edu/ethint
17-20 February -06 - Arlington, VA - The Intelligence Summit™ 2006 -to be held at the Hyatt Regency Crystal City, VA. This new event will bring together the international intelligence agencies from the free nations of the world in a non-partisan, non-profit educational conference on neutral ground. "Intelligence today embraces more than the civilian and military agencies of the federal intelligence community. In this age of terrorism, it is critically important for state and local law enforcement to know how and where to obtain intelligence, and to whom it should be forwarded. Corporate and private-sector intelligence managers face new and diverse challenges, from defending against economic espionage to creating new technology to meet intelligence's future needs. Many members of the press (and even a few members of Congress) lack the depth of knowledge in intelligence which is necessary to deal with, and resolve, its complex issues. The same is true for non-governmental organizations, the academic community, media, and ethnic and religious organizations. All of these diverse components of the intelligence domain will come together at the Intelligence Summit." The sponsors of the event have offered AFIO members a 10% discount off the website price if the voucher code "AS10" is entered in the special discount field on the online reservation form. For more information to attend or to be an exhibitor, visit: http://www.intelligencesummit.org/about.php or write to them at The Intelligence Summit, 535 Central Ave Ste 316, St Petersburg, FL 33701. Also visit their news pages for some good links to current breaking intelligence news: http://www.intelligencesummit.org/news/
EARLY WARNING OF FUTURE EVENTS
4 March 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
3 June 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
9 September 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
6 December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
3 March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
2 June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
8 September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
1 December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting. Contact Quiel Begonia at begonia@coj.net for details. Meeting held at Orange Park Country Club, 2625 Country Club Blvd, Orange Park, FL.
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