24 - 30 July 2024 Readers who encounter problems with the email version of the WIN can
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(Recent Developments)
General Interests
Special Collections
Section II - DEEP DIVES
(Research Papers, OpEds, Analysis, Podcasts)
Section III - FORMERS' FORUM
(Legacy Intel Practitioners' Informed Perspectives
and Recent Endeavors)
Books: (Forthcoming, New Releases, Overlooked)
True Intelligence Matters on Film: Declassified: The Untold Stories of American Spies, S1 E8 - Hexagon: The Secret Satellite - Domini Hofmann (2016)
Intelligence in History - A Collection of Recently Released Content
Infographic: Charted: The Death of Cash Transactions Around the World - Visual Capitalist, 26 Jun 24
Walking Tours: "The Spies of Embassy Row" and "Spies of Georgetown" - Washington, DC. (Sundays, Dates/Times Vary)
Section V - Obituaries and Classifieds
(Research Requests, Academic Opportunities, Employment)
Research Requests and Academic Opportunities
Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, Others
See the AFIO Calendar of Events for scheduling further in the future.
*The editor thanks the following contributors of content for this issue:
KB, BG, PO, EB, LR, GR, S, MA
The Winter/Spring 2025 edition of AFIO's trade journal, The Intelligencer, has room for additional submissions. Please see below (Section V, Research Requests and Academic Opportunities) for full details, if you would like to submit your work for publication.
- Registration has Opened -
AFIO NATIONAL IN-PERSON FALL LUNCHEON
Friday, 4 Oct 2024, 1100-1400, Tysons, VA
FEATURING:
Mark Kelton Former National Clandestine Service Deputy Director for Counterintelligence (DDNCS/CI) |
J.J. Green WTOP National Security Correspondent |
Schedule:
1030 Check-in for pre-registered attendees (no walk-ins)
1100 J.J. Green, WTOP National Security Correspondent
12-1300 Lunch
1300 Mark Kelton,
Former National Clandestine Service Deputy Director for Counterintelligence (DDNCS/CI)
1400 Event ends
Registration and Cost:
Registration and credit card payment required before event. Lunch is $60 (members) or $75 (guests, Subscribers).
Register now while space remains. Registration closes 1700 hours, Friday, 27 Sep 2024 or earlier when all seats taken.
Cancellations: No refund for cancellations after 21 Sep 2024. Payment for reservations cancelled 21 to 27 Sep 2024 will be converted to donations to AFIO. Payments for reservations cancelled after 27 Sep 2024 are forfeit; the meal will have been guaranteed at the hotel, per the contract.
Attendees must be AFIO members or accompanied by a member. For security reasons, no late or last-minute substitutions.
Please direct any questions to events@afio.com
"Army OSINT Office's New Strategy"
Released to members only 23 July 2024
(51 minutes)
Tune in to learn about the Army Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) Strategy. The Army defines OSINT as a foundational intelligence discipline playing a central role in support of operations. Discussion followed by Q&A.
Guests: OSINT Defense Intelligence Senior Leader Dennis Eger and Army OSINT Office Director Shawn Nilius
Interviewer: Former NGA and ODNI Executive Jennifer Daniel
Host: AFIO President and former CIA Senior Ops Officer James Hughes
Just Released by WTOP!
Podcast conducted by WTOP's JJ Green, National Security Reporter,
with AFIO's President James Hughes
Access WTOP's Apple podcast here or click image above.
Former CIA Senior Operations Officer and Intelligence-Studies College Lecturer John Atwell writes on:
Ghosts of Honolulu: A Japanese Spy, A Japanese-American Spy Hunter, and the Untold Story of Pearl Harbor
by Mark Harmon and Leon Carroll, Jr.
(Harper Select, November 2023).
Access review here.
AFIO Now Podcasts Presents: Jonna Mendez
Former CIA Chief of Disguise, discussing her latest book,
"In True Face: A Woman's Life in the CIA, Unmasked" with Linda Millis, former CIA, NSA, and ODNI. A courageous story of being a female spy at the height of the Cold War.
She began her CIA career as a "contract wife" performing secretarial duties for the Agency. Yet Mendez had a talent for espionage and soon took on more significant roles at the Agency. She parlayed her interest in photography into an operational role overseas. She lived undercover and served tours of duty all over the globe, rising first to become an international spy and ultimately to Chief of Disguise at CIA's Office of Technical Service.
Interview was Wednesday, 27 March 2024, conducted by Linda Millis and Hosted by AFIO President James Hughes.
The audio-only version of AFIO Now, great for listening to in your car or while accomplishing other tasks, can be downloaded or streamed on any of the following podcast platforms by searching for "AFIO" :
Podbean; iTunes; Spotify; Amazon Music; TuneIn; iHeartRadio; Pandora
AFIO Now interviews, video and audio-only forms, in 2023 and 2024, are sponsored by
Northwest Financial Advisors
Click here to watch interviews in the AFIO Now series released in 2024.
View interviews from 2020 to 2023 here.
Watch public-release interviews on our YouTube channel or listen to them in podcast form at the links in the section above.
Log into the member-only area for member-only features.
Try our new offering for kids!
Parent spies can’t have all the fun…now spy kids can, too! Register your future spies for the Georgetown Spy Tour for Spy Kids (ages 12 and under) starting in July on Tuesdays, Thursdays, Saturdays, and upon request.
Try our newest tour: "Arlington National Cemetery, CIA Memorial Wall Tour," available select Saturdays through August.
Book Arlington National Cemetery, CIA Memorial Wall Tour
Join us for a Spyher Summer Book Club: To discuss various new spy books. Location TBD and announced separately. To register and receive updates send an email to rosanna@spyher.co with your interest.
Beat the heat: Starting July, Sunday tours start at 0900 and weekday evening tours start at 1930.
Check the schedule and book at Spyher.
Visit Spyher
Book | Buy | Contact us to schedule a private event | Subscribe and “Get the Intel” for not-yet-public information on upcoming events
Vintage Espionage travels throughout the U.S.
Visit https://spyher.co to learn more and book all tours.
COMING in 2025...
We hope you will join us for this celebration.
Special Gifts for Colleagues, Self, or Others
Gray long-sleeved polo shirts with embroidered AFIO logo. Men's sizes only.
Show your support for AFIO with our new Gray Long-sleeve Polo Shirts. Shirts are shrink and wrinkle resistant of fine cotton with a soft, "well-worn, comfy" yet substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal. Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues, family, and friends. Only $60 each including shipping.
Sizes for men, only: Small, Medium, Large, XL, XXL, and XXXL. $60 per shirt. Order this and other store items online here.
20 oz ceramic Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. Check out our tapered, sleek AFIO coffee mug. This handsome 20 oz. ceramic mug is made in the USA, has a white matte exterior, sports a beautiful navy-blue interior, and is dishwasher safe. Order yours today! $35 per mug includes shipping to a CONUS address. [includes shipping to U.S. based address, only. For foreign shipments, we will contact you with a quote.] SHIPPING: For shipment to a U.S.-based CONUS address, shipping is included in price. For purchases going to AK, HI, other US territories, Canada, or other foreign countries the shipping fees need to be calculated, so please call our office M-F 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. ET at 703-790-0320 or email afio@afio.com providing following information: 1) your name, 2) mailing address (or addresses where each gift item will be shipped), 3) name of the AFIO store items you wish to purchase, 4) quantity of each, 5) your credit card number and expiration date, 6) amount (except for additional of shipping fees) authorized to charge, and 7) your phone number and email should we have questions. Foreign shipments fees will be calculated and estimates emailed to you, awaiting your approval. Order this and other store items online here.
One special benefit of AFIO membership is access to CIA's EAA Store.
After completing the required, quick pre-approval process for all AFIO members described here, you can purchase directly from the EAA online store their unusual logo'd gift items for self or colleagues. EAA on 26 July 2024 released the photo above, which features some of their newest CIA items and other gift suggestions.
(Recent Developments)
General Interests
U.S. intel agencies blocked disclosure of spy balloon gear - Washington Times, 26 Jul 24 (Member Contribution)
The Biden administration went along with U.S. intelligence agencies that recommended against releasing details to the public of a Chinese surveillance balloon that transited the United States unimpeded in early 2023 before being shot down by an Air Force jet fighter over the South Carolina coast. U.S. military divers recovered a large amount of intelligence-collection gear in an underwater salvage operation. But all information about the balloon is being kept secret, said White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan. Mr. Sullivan said the administration decided to down the balloon over water rather than land to better gain access to the spying components. The downing by an air-to-air missile over the ocean allowed U.S. recovery divers “to take critical components off the ocean floor, look at the technology, look at the capabilities and learn from that,” Mr. Sullivan said. (Read more here.)
Former Greek spy boss denies using illegal malware - Politico, 27 Jul 24 (Member Contribution)
The former chief of Greece's intelligence service told judges the agency didn't use illegal phone malware between 2019 and 2022 to spy on targets, Reuters reported, citing court documents. The surveillance scandal broke in August 2022 when it was revealed that the government had wiretapped the phone of opposition Socialist Pasok leader Nikos Androulakis. Investigative journalists, civil rights organizations and Greek communications regulator ADAE revealed over the course of the year that the country’s state spy service had a growing network of politicians and journalists under surveillance. Panagiotis Kontoleon, the former head of Greece's EYP intelligence service, was one of a handful of top officials who resigned in the wake of the developments. (Full article here.)
U.S. spies’ AI chief: New tests needed to differentiate man from machine - Washington Times, 25 Jul 24 (Member Contribution)
The U.S. intelligence community needs to develop a better way of distinguishing man from machine as the global race for advanced artificial intelligence accelerates, its AI chief said. Computer scientists have relied on the Turing Test framework for more than a half-century. Legendary computer scientist Alan Turing proposed an “imitation game” to help people differentiate computers from humans in an attempt to answer questions about machines’ ability to think. A new rush for AI models that can perform tasks and comprehend as well as humans, commonly referred to as artificial general intelligence, has picked up inside private labs and governments’ research sites around the world. (Full article here.)
The threat from China and Russia’s space-based SIGINT satellites - Space Review, 22 Jul 24 (Member Contribution)
China and Russia have extensive space-based sigint capabilities, which can geolocate transmissions from the radars of UK and NATO allies’ navies. This tracking information is then linked to land and naval-based missiles to ensure that they can target the UK and US Navy. China has a SIGINT platform in geostationary orbit, which allows it to cover the hemisphere and can dwell persistently over one location. The first satellite in this constellation, Qianshao-3, was launched in 2015 and is assessed to be no longer operational. However, two further satellites were launched in 2019 and 2021. These satellites are in orbital slots over the Indian Ocean and Micronesia, as shown below. China is particularly concerned about naval activity in the Indian Ocean as it perceives a threat from both the Indian Navy and the US Navy, which traverses towards China from this direction. (Full article here.)
NIS faces calls to change following Sue Mi Terry indictment - The Korea Times, 26 Jul 24
The dramatic rise and fall of Sue Mi Terry, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, could easily serve as fodder for a spy novel. Terry, born and raised in Seoul until the age of 12, was once heralded as a model immigrant and a source of inspiration for ambitious Korean Americans, owing to her successful career trajectory. After earning a doctoral degree in international relations from Tufts University, she secured coveted positions in government, beginning as a senior analyst on Korean issues at the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA). She later served as director for Korea, Japan, and Oceanic Affairs at the National Security Council from 2008 to 2009. Following her government roles, the now 54-year-old Terry has worked with prestigious think tanks in Washington, D.C., and New York, specializing in Korean affairs. Over time, she has emerged as one of the most sought-after experts on North Korea. Her distinguished career in foreign policy led her to appear in a film. In 2023, she featured prominently in the documentary "Beyond Utopia," which chronicles the perilous journeys of North Korean escapees seeking freedom. Directed by Madeleine Gavin, the film earned a nomination for the 2023 British Film Award for Best Documentary and was shortlisted for the 2024 Oscar for Best Documentary. (Read here.)
Ireland 'increasingly susceptible' to espionage, cyber and critical infrastructure attacks - The Journal, 25 Jul 24
Ireland is "increasingly susceptible” to threats such as cyber-attacks, espionage, subversion of authority and attacks on critical infrastructure, from state and non-state groups, as well as maligned individuals, according to a new government defence assessment. The Defence Policy Review, which received government approval this week, is based on a security environment assessment which looks at the significant changes in the international security environment. The report sets out possible threats from Russia, China, and other internationally actors. It finds that maritime security must be a priority action area for government as Ireland has one of the largest Maritime Exclusive Economic Zones in the EU with extensive sea fishing, air traffic, sea lines, undersea cables and energy production capacity. (Full article here.)
German spy agency ‘too short-staffed to deal with Russian threats’ - The Telegraph, 22 Jul 24
Germany’s equivalent of MI6 is reportedly struggling with staff shortages, low morale and sickly employees despite facing unprecedented challenges from Russia and other rogue states. The Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND) is unable to fill 700 vacancies and its current team of spies is too short-handed to grapple with Russian espionage activities, according to Bild, the German tabloid. Citing sources in the agency, Bild also reported that the number of BND spies taking sick days was higher than the national average, with more than a thousand employees having 30 days off. The newspaper suggested that a work-from-home culture where spies are spending one day per week away from their office computers was contributing to the BND’s problems. (Full article here.)
NGA Taps Orbital Insight for Maritime Surveillance Solution - Potomac Officers' Club, 27 Jul 24
The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency has awarded Orbital Insight a $2 million pilot contract to develop maritime surveillance capabilities for Project Aegir. The funding is the inaugural award under the agency’s Commercial Solutions Opening, a procurement strategy designed to accelerate the acquisition of commercial technologies, the NGA said. Project Aegir, the focus of the CSO, is aimed at enhancing the agency’s ability to identify, monitor and track illicit maritime activities within the critical Indo-Pacific region. Orbital Insight bested over 80 companies that participated in the solicitation. The geospatial analytics company was among the 12 finalists that advanced to the pitching stage, where a panel of NGA and U.S. Indo Pacific Command experts, along with representatives from the U.S. Coast Guard, evaluated proposals based on the company’s data fusion and automation capabilities. (Full article here.)
UAE-China air exercises raise concern in the West over tech espionage - The New Arab, 23 Jul 24
Recent joint air force exercises held between the United Arab Emirates and China are raising questions about potential information gathering on Western aircraft by Beijing, a new report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) has said. On 10 July, the UAE Air Force and China’s People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) began Falcon Shield, a joint operations air force exercise held in the Xinjiang province, which is the location of the ongoing genocidal persecution on Uyghur Muslims by the Chinese state. Satellite imagery from the IISS shows that the exercise was held at the PLAAF’s Hotan Airport in Xinjiang, where the two countries held similar exercises in 2023. Concerns have been raised by the type of aircraft used by the UAE in such exercises and the information gathered by China on the military technology. (Full article here.)
Russia ‘Legalizes Espionage’ To Bolster Military Capabilities - The Media Line, 28 Jul 24
Russian President Vladimir Putin has granted chief designers the authority to utilize foreign intellectual property without the rights holder’s consent. This decree, published on the Legal Acts portal, allows designers to specify and integrate necessary foreign technologies, equipment, or software for weapons development, bypassing traditional licensing protocols. This comes after Russia, under Putin’s directive, initiated the creation of a “compulsory licensing” body that issues permits for the use of foreign intellectual property without the consent of patent holders. Denis Grekov, a political scientist and former lecturer at the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), told The Media Line that the decree is essentially an open acknowledgment of Russia’s severely outdated technological capabilities. (Full article here.)
Air Force Chief Hints At Existence Of Clandestine Spy Aircraft - The War Zone, 26 Jul 24
Secretary of the Air Force Frank Kendall has hinted at the existence of a new intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) platform, something that has long been a topic of discussion around the future of U.S. Air Force capabilities. Frequently, such a platform has been understood as a very stealthy, long-range, high-altitude surveillance drone commonly referred to as the RQ-180, although there are other possibilities, too, and even an RQ-180 would only be one facet in a larger constellation of next-generation ISR systems. (Full article here.)
Special Collections
Counterespionage - Recent arrests, convictions, expulsions, and more...
Cyberespionage - Newly identified actors, collection and sabotage ops, countermeasures, policy, other...
Covert Action - Influence ops, assassinations, sabotage, intel agency paramilitary action, countermeasures, and more...
Kamala Harris and the US intelligence community - Tom Griffin on Intelligence History, 28 Jul 24
Two weeks ago, I wrote about what a second-term Trump presidency would mean for the US intelligence community. Now that incumbent Joe Biden is no longer running, its perhaps time to look at what a Democratic victory might mean. The likely candidacy of Kamala Harris sets up a stark contrast. In 2018, Trump appointed Gina Haspel as Director of the CIA, despite, and perhaps even because, of her involvement in the agency’s early 2000s torture programme. Harris played a leading role during the Senate Intelligence Committee’s hearing on Haspel’s nomination, challenging her over the interrogation techniques she had been involved with. Haspel refused to condemn those techniques as immoral during the session, but later wrote to Committee vice-chairman Mark Warner that ‘with the benefit of hindsight and my experience as a senior agency leader, the enhanced interrogation program is not one the CIA should have undertaken.’ That concession secured crucial swing votes in the Committee’s closed door vote.2 (Full report here.)
Secrecy and Solidarity: PRC Internal Security Partnerships with Socialist States - Jamestown Foundation, 26 Jul 24
The People’s Republic of China (PRC) engages in extensive security cooperation with other single-party socialist states. This includes deploying the People’s Armed Police (PAP) to train paramilitary and police forces in these countries, offering cybersecurity support, and assisting with online information control. Policymakers and academics in the PRC see their country as the leading single-party socialist state to its junior partners—Vietnam, Cuba, Laos, and North Korea—in a “Community of Common Destiny for Socialist Countries,” helping sustain these states’ regimes and thereby buttressing its own claims to legitimacy. The PRC promotes the concept of the Community internally, but exercises caution by rarely mentioning it in its general external discourse to avoid international reputational costs. This is in contrast to other multilateral groupings that the PRC spearheads, such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and BRICS. (Access here.)
The Russian hybrid intelligence state: reconceptualizing the politicization of intelligence and the ‘intelligencization’ of Politics - Intelligence and National Security, 24 Jul 24
On the case of present-day Russia, this article proposes a novel way to conceptualize the intelligence-politics nexus, or else, the mutual politicization of intelligence and ‘intelligencization’ of politics. Recognizing the importance and salience of intelligence in Russia, the author criticizes the paradigm of the ‘KGB state’, arguing that rather than the FSB’s penetration and subsequent capture of the state, we see a symbiosis at work. Inspired by cognitive theories of conceptual integration, the article highlights qualitatively new phenomena that do not stem from either intelligence or state, but are hybrids consisting of more than the sum of the constituent parts. Rather than representing an anachronism or an aberration from the Western norm dictating a strict division of labour between intelligence and politics, the Russian hybrid intelligence state emerges as a postmodern phenomenon. As such, it can carry lessons for the analysis of intelligence-politics relations in other countries, too. (Access here.)
Pakistan’s ISI: Rogue Intelligence Agency or State Within a State? - Grey Dynamics, 23 Jul 24
Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI; Urdu: بین الخدماتی استخبارات) is Pakistan’s premier all-encompassing intelligence agency. Founded in 1947, ISI has evolved from a humble military intelligence agency into an institution more powerful than Pakistan’s central government. Over the past seven decades, the military’s stranglehold on domestic politics has enabled ISI to function largely as a state within a state. The modern ISI is not only responsible for intelligence collection but also acts as a driver of Pakistani foreign policy and a vehicle for its implementation. Despite the intelligence agencies’ Orwellian nature, Western Intelligence agencies have collaborated closely with ISI during the Cold War and War on Terror. During the 1980’s, ISI rose to global recognition when it assisted the CIA in backing Mujahideen fighters against the Soviet Union. Despite viewing Pakistan as an ally against communism and then terror, foreign powers have largely misunderstood Pakistan’s, and more importantly ISI’s, regional interests. From the very inception of Pakistan in 1947, India has posed an existential threat to the Muslim majority country. From Kashmir to Afghanistan, ISI has backed proxy forces to undermine India’s regional influence and ensure Pakistan’s security. Over the decades, ISI has trained and equipped proxies ranging from local militias to Islamist extremists. Aside from the Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan in 1989, the success of Pakistan’s proxy warfare has been limited. In fact, ISI’s proxy strategy has often strained relations with international partners who have openly accused Pakistan of sponsoring terrorist organisations. (Full report here.)
A boom in space-based intelligence is coming. Can ground networks keep up? - Defense One, 25 Jul 24
A flood of space-based intelligence is heading toward U.S. networks as satellite constellations grow and new sensors come online—not just photos, but radar, thermal, and radio data. But to properly exploit it will take new tools, new tech, and even new ways of working with contractors, the head of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency says. “As I look to the future, as we now move in a situation where you're gonna have a constellation that's even larger—yeah, I think exponential is too strong—but where you have a rapid increase in the number of terabytes coming from space over the next eight to 10 years,” Vice Adm. Frank Whitworth, the head of NGA, told Defense One at the Aspen Security Forum in July. “I don't anticipate the number of eyes, the number of brains will increase. I will need something that provides an advantage, and that will be AI … And if you don't have a good enough compute, it's gonna slow down.” NGA now runs Project Maven, the Pentagon’s seven-year-old effort to use artificial intelligence to filter oceans of data for things the military needs to see and sense. But Whitworth said NGA will lean more and more on the satellite companies that gather the data to help make sense of it. (Access here.)
Al and Military Intelligence: Time for Doctrinal Change? - American Intelligence Journal, vol 41 no 1, July 2024
In the crucible of military history, technological advancements frequently have served as the catalysts of change and redefined the art of warfare. The invention of the steam engine, a quintessential hallmark of the 18th-century Industrial Revolution, is a testament to such pivotal transformations. It signaled the dawn of railroad use for military purposes, profoundly revolutionized troop mobility, and redefined the logistics of military supply chains.' Beyond its technological impact, the steam engine's introduction necessitated a radical doctrinal overhaul.? This paradigm shift forced militaries to adapt or risk obsolescence. Today, we stand on the cusp of a similarly monumental change heralded by the advent of artificial intelligence (AI). The integration of Al in military applications, particularly for Joint Intelligence Doctrine, is already underway. Image classification models, for instance, are employed to decipher high-resolution imagery and full-motion video with remarkable accuracy? Concurrently, sophisticated language models like ChatGPT are deployed to distill vast datasets and offer predictions on international events and adversary strategies with unprecedented precision. (Access here.)
Retirement Risks Revealed: The Looming Counterintelligence Challenge with the Department of Homeland Security Personnel Transitions - American Intelligence Journal, vol 41 no 1, July 2024
As the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) approaches its third decade since its inception on March 1, 2003, the impending retirement wave of its personnel bears unprecedented counterintelligence (CI) risks. The original amalgamation of over 20 federal agencies to form the colossal department, now with over 260,000 employees, envisioned fortifying the United States against external threats; yet it inadvertently incubated potential vulnerabilities through its retiring experts. The imminent departure of seasoned homeland security professionals across the entire department, many of whom harbor extensive knowledge and sensitive information, presents a critical CI challenge. Foreign intelligence entities like the People's Republic of China's (PRC) Ministry of State Security (MSS) may aim to exploit DHS assets to enhance the Chinese Communist Party's strategic objectives. This article posits that the retirement of long-serving DHS employees, particularly at the 20- and 30-year career milestones, poses a severe threat to national security through the loss of institutional knowledge and the risk of their recruitment by the PRC MSS. Thus, the DHS and the national security apparatus must vigorously mitigate the associated CI risks, and safeguard against exploiting former personnel's deep-rooted insights and connections that could compromise the United States' security posture. (Access here.)
The Latest Insights from Former CIA Acting Deputy Director for Operations Jack Devine.
In Other News The proprietary analytic newsletter crafted for The Arkin Group's private clients by former CIA Acting Deputy Director for Operations Jack Devine.
25 Jul | As China’s role on the global stage has evolved, so has its role as global mediator. Over the past decade, in tandem with its expanding economic reach, China’s been working to elevate its political standing and power profile worldwide. Whereas historically China avoided any kind of engagement with external conflicts, the nation has now become so economically invested in a wide range of politically fragile regions – while hunting for raw materials and selling its Belt and Road infrastructure projects– that its strategy has inevitably shifted. Beijing now sees intervention as a way to improve business operating conditions abroad and bolster profits everywhere from Central Africa to South Asia. (Full report here.)
Daily Analysis of Security Issues and Geopolitical Trends
Intel Brief The Soufan Center's flagship, daily analytical product focused on complex security issues and geopolitical trends that may shape regional or international affairs. The Soufan Center was founded by former FBI Special Agent and Soufan Group CEO Ali Soufan.
30 Jul | Netanyahu’s Visit to the U.S. Occurred During Uncertain Political Shifts
Last week’s visit to the United States by Israel’s Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was planned several months ago by U.S. Republican leaders determined to contrast their strong support of Israel with what they claim has been waning backing for Israel on the part of President Biden and other Democratic leaders. Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, the most senior Republican in the U.S. Congress, had extended the invitation for Netanyahu to address Congress, in the process seeking to present Biden administration criticism of Israel’s civilian casualty-heavy tactics in Gaza as an abandonment of the most crucial U.S. ally in the Middle East.
29 Jul | High-Casualty Attack Has the Potential to Escalate Ongoing Conflict
26 Jul | Bloodshed in Bangladesh as Protesters Clash with Police and Security Forces
25 Jul | NATO Confronts Rising Cyber Threats
24 Jul | Bahrain Emerges as Pivotal U.S. Ally
Intelligence Matters: The Relaunch is a Beacon Global Strategies podcast.
23 Jul | Update on Ukraine War: Andrea Kendall-Taylor Managing Director and Partner at Beacon Global Strategies, Michael Allen, sits in for Michael Morell and Andy Makridis this week and checks in with the Center for a New American Security’s Andrea Kendall-Taylor about the current state of Russia’s war on Ukraine and how a possible President Kamala Harris could spearhead U.S. support for Ukraine. Andrea, a former CIA senior analyst and now Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program at CNAS, discusses the current status of NATO support for Ukrainian membership and what the future could hold for the war.
Leveraging Tech in the Intelligence Community with Former CIA Executive Chip Usher - Cipher Brief, 26 Jul 24
Emerging technologies, from generative artificial intelligence to advanced computing, may pose significant risks to the U.S. and its allies when used by adversaries for malicious activities such as spreading disinformation. But these technologies can also serve to bolster the intelligence community, and its mission to better understand and utilize the vast amounts of data at its disposal, especially in the open-source space. Cipher Brief CEO and Publisher Suzanne Kelly spoke with Chip Usher, who spent 32 years at the Central Intelligence Agency and is now Senior Director for Intelligence at the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP), to discus how technology can help drive the competitiveness and effectiveness of the intelligence community. (Access here.)
How U.S. Adversaries are Eyeing Our Presidential Election - by Former CIA Executive Mark Kelton - Cipher Brief, 24 Jul 24
Describing the conditions that set the stage for history’s largest, most costly war, Winston Churchill wrote in The Gathering Storm, “The malice of the wicked was reinforced by the weakness of the virtuous.” We are confronted with similar circumstances today. The leaders of a malicious Axis of Autocracies challenging the U.S. and its allies on multiple fronts have been encouraged in their aggression by a string of American failures. Those national security calamities have, at once, fueled and been fueled, by a growing impression of American weakness and irresolution that has demonstrably eroded our ability to dissuade and deter our adversaries from their depredations. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to attack Ukraine in 2022, was certainly encouraged by the disgraceful U.S. flight from Afghanistan. Likewise, Iran’s decision to unleash its Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthi proxies – and ultimately its own drones and missiles – in an assault on Israel and in the case of the Houthis on shipping in the Red Sea; likely would not have happened, or would not have taken the form they did, absent Afghanistan and Ukraine. (Access here.)
The Secret Service in the Line of Fire with Former CIA Senior Intelligence Analyst Michael J. Ard and Former CIA Senior Operations Officer Charles Goslin - Discourse, 22 Jul 24
The assassination attempt targeting former President Donald J. Trump at his Butler, Pennsylvania, political rally on July 13 came within mere centimeters of succeeding. It shouldn’t have. Security at the site, quite bluntly, failed completely, as an active shooter managed to elude security and nearly kill Trump. Sadly, an innocent attendee of this event was killed, and two others were wounded before the would-be assassin was himself killed by a Secret Service sniper. Meanwhile, similar attempts against our senior political leadership might be coming. As the Department of Justice has noted, media attention to an assassination attempt may encourage other copycat crimes. After the assassination attempt on President Reagan in 1981—the last time a protectee was almost killed—threats against U.S. Secret Service protectees increased by 150% over the prior year. (Access here.)
America Beware: Russia is Waging a Broader War with Tactics Both Seen and Unseen by Former CIA Executive Glen Corn - Cipher Brief, 29 Jul 24
Every night I am awoken by air alerts from Kyiv. A few months back, while traveling to that city I put the “Air Alert App” on my cell phone to keep track of attacks on the city by the Russians. When I returned to the U.S., I decided to keep the application running to try to maintain a sense of how often the Russians were attacking Kyiv. That was in mid-April. And since returning the siren goes off at least once, often twice a night. Just Kyiv. My application does not track all of Russia’s air strikes against cities and towns across Ukraine. But the Russians are targeting Ukraine’s critical infrastructure all across war torn Ukraine and are even extending their operations to targets outside of Ukraine. Recently, when I woke up to one of the sirens, I noticed that instead of the usual one or two alerts, there were four. Then, I opened a message from a friend who said the Russians had launched one of their most brutal strikes against Ukraine in recent months, lobbing 40 missiles inside of five Ukrainian cities – civilian areas — with one of those strikes hitting the Okhmatdyt Children’s hospital in Kyiv, ripping through the dialysis ward. During an April visit to Kyiv for The Cipher Brief’s Kyiv Economic & Security Forum, Ukrainian authorities described how the Russian Armed Forces were specifically targeting Ukraine’s critical infrastructure and civilian targets. The goal? To terrorize the Ukrainian population into submission. (Access here.)
He Confirmed Russia Meddled in 2016 to Help Trump. Now, He’s Speaking Out with Former CIA Senior Intelligence Analyst Michael van Landingham - Rolling Stone, 28 Jul 24
It was the summer of 2016 when a manager at the Central Intelligence Agency pulled him into a conference room, sat him down at a table, and asked him to read the intelligence they had brought. Michael van Landingham wasn’t naive about what the Kremlin was capable of. His work as an intelligence analyst for the CIA had given him a front-row seat to the destruction that Russia’s spy services had wrought in places like Syria and Ukraine. But this wasn’t about what Russia was doing in some far away country. Inside a room wrapped in a vault in the bowels of the Central Intelligence Agency’s headquarters, he read the intelligence showing that Moscow was trying to disrupt the 2016 U.S. presidential election. “I think for the first time in my professional life, I felt physically ill reading something,” he says. That was only the beginning of a long, strange journey that would place van Landingham right at the center of the 2016 campaign’s biggest story. Months later, the agency assigned him the job of writing the first draft of the intelligence community’s 2017 assessment about Russian election meddling that concluded what many had suspected: Vladimir Putin did it. And he did it to help Donald Trump. The 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA), dubbed “Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent U.S. Elections,” was one of the most consequential documents in modern American history. (Access here.)
Processing: Intelligence’s Awkward Middle Child by Former DoD Intelligence Analyst Marcel Plichta - LinkedIn, 26 Jul 24
Nobody wants to talk about processing. Seriously, in most writing on intelligence and the intelligence cycle, processing will be the shortest section by far. Some organizations will go so far as to roll it directly into analysis and cut it out of the intelligence cycle. There are a few reasons for this. Firstly, “processing” encompasses a lot of different roles and tasks. How do you concisely explain something that ranges from database management to language analysis? Compounding the problem is that most people teaching or writing about intelligence don’t primarily do processing (me included). Consequently, they’re more comfortable describing it in the abstract than talking leaners through the nuts and bolts. Lastly, if you’re an analyst or collector, a lot of organizations let you “get away” with not knowing much about processing, even if it’s part of your daily work and even though it’s vital to producing good intelligence. (Access here.)
Operation Rype: A WWII OSS Railway Sabotage Mission in Norway
by Frode Lindgjerdet
(Casemate, 31 Jul 24)
To prevent German occupying forces in Norway from reinforcing their defenses during the final months of World War II, the Office of Strategic Services launched Operation Rype, with the mission of sabotaging the Nordland Railway in Mid-Norway. Rype was led by Major William E. Colby, later director of the CIA. After several delays, the Norwegian Special Operations Group (NORSO) dropped over the Snåsa mountains on the night of March 24. Out of eight B-24s, only three dropped on target. One dropped in Sweden, the remaining four returned to Britain. Two of the B-24s crashed, killing all but one of their crews. Reinforcement and resupply of the unit failed due to extreme Arctic conditions. Relying heavily on help from the Norwegian resistance, NORSO managed to sever the railway at two points. On both occasions, they withdrew with Germans hot on their tail. On May 2, a German patrol blundered into their camp, resulting in the killing of all of the Germans and one wounded Norwegian resistance fighter. Whether the Germans were killed in the ensuing firefight, or were executed later, has been hotly debated ever since. After the war ended, NORSO was allowed down from the mountains, but were sent on bogus missions by the British commanders in Trondheim. They eventually managed to get recognition for their contribution to victory. This new history of the operation is based on German, Norwegian, American and Swedish sources. It examines how the outcome of the operation was affected by the limitations of equipment in sub-Arctic conditions, and British-American rivalry and cooperation throughout the operation.
Order book here.
Creating Mission Impact: Essential Tradecraft for Innovators at CIA and Beyond
by Joe Keogh, Joe Ball, Greg Moore
(21 Jun 24)
Bringing ideas into use can be difficult in organizations like the CIA. Hierarchy,tradition,high risk missions, and a long history of established ways of doing things can make positive change difficult. At times, such barriers can seem impenetrable to employees who want to do more than just show up and punch a clock. The problem became particularly acute in the CIA when the organization grew rapidly in the aftermath of9/11. Many of the Agency's talented new hires quickly became frustrated when their ideas were not rapidly accepted and implemented. In response, we developed a workshop that addressed the challenge of developing and moving ideas forward in the Agency. That workshop provided a series of relatable case studies, debunked myths and misperceptions,and taught a number of critical skills. Now we have recast that workshop into this book, in the hope that it will encourage relevant understanding and skill building in today's generation of officers. While the lessons within are primarily intended for an Agency audience,we believe the lessons may have broader value for government and industry. If no one is paying attention to your ideas, this book will help you to understand why that is the case and how you might change the outcome.
Purchase book here.
The Man with the Poison Gun: A Cold War Spy Story
by Serhii Plokhy
(Basic Books, 06 Dec 16)
In the fall of 1961, KGB assassin Bogdan Stashinsky defected to West Germany. After spilling his secrets to the CIA, Stashinsky was put on trial in what would be the most publicized assassination case of the entire Cold War. The publicity stirred up by the Stashinsky case forced the KGB to change its modus operandi abroad and helped end the career of Aleksandr Shelepin, one of the most ambitious and dangerous Soviet leaders. Stashinsky's testimony, implicating the Kremlin rulers in political assassinations carried out abroad, shook the world of international politics. Stashinsky's story would inspire films, plays, and books-including Ian Fleming's last James Bond novel, The Man with the Golden Gun. A thrilling tale of Soviet spy craft, complete with exploding parcels, elaborately staged coverups, double agents, and double crosses, The Man with the Poison Gun offers unparalleled insight into the shadowy world of Cold War espionage.
Order book here.
True Intelligence Matters on Film - Declassified: The Untold Stories of American Spies, S1 E8 - Hexagon: The Secret Satellite - Domini Hofmann (2016)
During the Cold War, the U.S. military races against time to recover classified footage from a top secret surveillance satellite that crashed into the Pacific Ocean before it falls into enemy hands.
More on this based-on-true-events production here.
Intelligence in History - A Collection of Recently Released Content
Infographic: Charted: The Death of Cash Transactions Around the World - Visual Capitalist, 26 Jun 24
As credit cards and digital wallets (e.g. Apple Pay, Paytm, Alipay) see increasing adoption around the world, the share of cash being used in transactions is plummeting. The chart above looks at cash as a share of transaction value in selected countries at three time periods (2019, 2023, and 2027P). Highlighted in red is cash’s projected drop from 2019 to 2027. This data showing the death of cash comes from WorldPay’s Global Payments Report 2024. (View graphic here.)
Walking Tours - "Spies of Embassy Row" and "Spies of Georgetown" - Washington, DC - Sundays (Dates/Times Vary)
Former intelligence officers guide visitors on two morning and afternoon espionage-themed walking tours: "Spies of Embassy Row" and "Spies of Georgetown." For more information and booking, click here or contact rosanna@spyher.co
(Research Requests, Academic Opportunities, Employment)
Mike Birdsell — Former NSA Cryptologist and Director of Foreign Communications' Aid
Michael Harold Birdsell, 83, died peacefully in his sleep on July 15, 2024 in Milford, Delaware, of complications from blood cancer. He was born in Derby, Connecticut. “Mike” – as he was known to the wide circle of friends who cherished his stoic presence and wry sense of humor – was a model of integrity in every way. He maintained his wit and warmth through his final chapter with, in his own words, “absolutely no regrets.” Mike began his military career in 1959 at Parris Island, South Carolina, where he grew from a carefree teen into a responsible young man. During his venerable career, he was stationed in North Carolina, California, Japan, Vietnam, Maryland, Morocco, Korea, and Hawaii. He retired in 2009 with 24 years of dedicated service to the Marine Corps, followed by 26 years spent at the National Security Agency as a cryptologist and later as aid to the Director of Foreign Communications. He was highly decorated, having achieved the rank of Master Gunnery Sergeant, the highest enlisted rank attainable in the Marine Corps. His leadership and wisdom will continue to be realized by the generations of those he served with.
Zoe Moulton — CIA Ops Officer and Havana Syndrome Sufferer
21-year-veteran CIA Operations Officer and Havana Syndrome sufferer Zoe Moulton, age 50, passed on 25 April 2024 after a struggle with bile duct cancer that began after her 2023 medevac from Vienna, Austria along with other Havana Syndrome cases. More details here.
Bill Queen — Decorated NSA and NASA Officer
William "Bill" E. Queen, 85, passed away at home in Titusville, Florida, on June 15, 2024 of complications from pulmonary fibrosis. Bill was born in a log cabin in western North Carolina where he grew up and spent the first 18 years of his life. He loved to fish and tramp the woods of the Great Smoky Mountains. He was a good student and loved most sports, playing football and basketball at Sylva High School where he was the 1956 Salutatorian. He was awarded a US Naval ROTC scholarship to the University of South Carolina and entered the School of Engineering. In 1960, Bill graduated third in the university, first in engineering, and was elected to Phi Beta Kappa. In July 1960, he received his commission as an Ensign, U.S.Navy and reported to his military assignment at the Naval Security Station in Washington, D. C., an arm of the National Security Agency. Bill was assigned to Secure Communications under the direction of Edward Atkinson, with whom he forged a lasting friendship. His work, which focused on cryptography and randomization, resulted in Bill receiving both an NSA Original Invention Award and a US patent. He loved his work and moved to civilian status with the National Security Agency at Ft. Meade, Maryland. For 20 years, Bill continued his collaborations in developing secure communications and solving problems for U. S. security equipment. He earned an MSEE from the University of Maryland; in 1974 he was selected to attend the Industrial College of the Armed Forces, now part of the National Defense University at Ft. McNair, graduating in 1975 with an MS in Government Administration and National Security Affairs from George Washington University. In 1980, Bill joined NASA as the Director, Electronic Engineering, Kennedy Space Center. He enjoyed his work greatly and enthusiastically embraced his work on the Shuttle program, the International Space Station, and the retrofit of Pad B in the early 1980s. He was awarded the NASA Exceptional Service Medal for his work. Following his retirement, Bill entered the private sector, working with a number of companies on the Space Coast and teaching at the University of Central Florida.
Dan Sughrue — Former FBI Special Agent and Counterintelligence Investigator, Lifetime AFIO Member
Daniel F. Sughrue, 84, of Bow NH died July 26, 2024. He was a 1960 graduate of Boston College, with a BSBA degree and a 1975 graduate of John Jay College of Criminal Justice, with an MPA degree. He served in the US Marine Corps Inactive Reserves from 1956-1966 and as a Lieutenant on active duty from 1960-63 as an Artillery Officer and Landing Support Officer. Dan became a Special Agent with the FBI in 1963 and served most of his career in Foreign Counter-Intelligence investigations. He was assigned to seven different offices across the US and retired Sept. 1989 at Concord, NH. Upon retirement in 1989, Dan and Agnes operated a private investigation and security consultant business, D.F. Sughrue Associates, until 2010. Dan was a member of the Society of Former Special Agents of the F B I. He was a member of the F B I Agents Association, the Federal Law Enforcement Officers Association, the Association of Former Intelligence Officers-Life Member, the American Legion - Post 21, and the NH Criminal Investigators Association-Life Member.
The successful candidates will have demonstrable research records in themes related to the vacancy and strong teaching background in intelligence and security, or a related field, as well as in topics related to the Institute’s Bachelor’s and Master’s programme offerings. The candidate will be expected to teach across several programmes in the Institute, notably the master’s programme Crisis and Security Management and the bachelor programme Security Studies, and our minor in Intelligence Studies. The positions are aimed at strengthening the Institute’s teaching, research and grant-acquisition capacities in a phase of growth and exciting interdisciplinary research opportunities. Full details on qualifications, duties, and application here.
Mercyhurst University in Erie, PA, invites applications for the position of Assistant Professor of Intelligence Studies in the School of Intelligence, Computing and Global Politics. The position is at the Erie campus and begins Fall Semester 2024. Successful candidates will teach introductory and applied courses in Crime and Law Enforcement intelligence analysis at the undergraduate and graduate levels, in addition to the ability to teach undergraduate or graduate courses in: Leadership in Intelligence; Advanced Analytic Techniques; Intelligence Collection and Analysis. Additional information and application instructions here.
The Department of National Security invites nominations and applications for a tenured Full/Associate Professor and Chair of National Security. The department includes a dynamic undergraduate program encompassing four distinct bachelor's degrees (Security & Defense Policy, Intelligence Analysis, Homeland Security, and International Affairs), a robust master's degree program, and several practitioner-oriented certificates. Qualifications: A terminal degree in national security, public policy, political science, or related field is required; Ph.D. preferred. The successful applicant will have a record of teaching excellence at the university level, established catalog of academic publications, and an innovative research agenda. Applicants should also possess experience in university-level service and leadership. The department is particularly interested in candidates with policymaking experience in national security at either the federal, state, or local level. Tenurable Assistant Professors may also be considered in accordance with the aforementioned qualifications. Application Instructions: Please submit a brief cover letter explaining teaching experience and philosophy, publication record, practitioner-oriented experience (if applicable), CV, and the name and contact information for three references. Applicants may also include up to 3 artifacts of teaching ability (examples include syllabi, student evaluations, learning exercises, assignments, or other feedback) that illustrate teaching experience. All materials should be submitted online via interfolio link: https://apply.interfolio.com/138857 and indicate position search #24-26F in the subject line. For additional information, feel free to contact Search Committee Chair, Dr. Jeffrey Treistman at jtreistman@newhaven.edu.
These are 90-120 minute historical tours with an interactive "operational" component. Most tours start at 10am on select Thursdays-Sundays. The immediate opportunity is for dates in March, but additional opportunities are available through June, and new opportunities are likely to become available throughout the year. This is a fun way to get back out on the streets, engage/educate the public on the world of espionage, and make some extra cash. The next opportunities to see a tour in action (and train before the Spring rush) are Sunday 2/18 and Sunday 3/3. Please contact Rosanna at 571-236-9052 or rosanna@spyher.co. Visit https://spyher.co.
The National Security Agency (NSA) may occasionally need skilled civilian retirees to augment the existing work force on high priority projects or programs. In order to fill these temporary positions quickly, we need to know who may be interested and available to return to work with us on a short notice basis as well as their skills. Retired federal government employees at NSA provide expertise and corporate knowledge to temporarily support mission requirements, manpower shortfalls, and/or mentor the next generation of Agency employees. Applications accepted until 30 September 2024.
Additional information and application here.
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University's Prescott, Arizona campus is accepting applications for a tenure-track assistant or associate-level professor of intelligence studies to teach intelligence courses to students in the Global Security and Intelligence program. The successful candidate will teach students about the intelligence community, strategic intelligence, the intelligence cycle and intelligence analysis, writing, and briefing. Prior experience working in the intelligence community is strongly preferred. We are interested in candidates with teaching acumen in intelligence analysis and writing using structured analytical techniques.
Additional information and application here.
30 Jul 24, 1900 (PT) - Former CIA Director General David Petraeus on challenges in Ukraine and across the Middle East - In-Person - Yorba Linda, CA - AFIO Los Angeles Chapter.
Location: Nixon Presidential Library & Museum, 18001 Yorba Linda Blvd, Yorba Linda, CA 92886. Following the presentation, we will meet at 2030 hours for dinner at Chilis Grill (18380 Yorba Linda Blvd.). If you plan to attend, please RSVP here. Questions? Contact Vincent Autiero, President, AFIO-Los Angeles Chapter, at afio_la@yahoo.com
01 Aug 24, 1800 (PT) - Director, Missile Defense Agency Lt Gen Heath Collins on the Missile Defense Agency - its responsibilities, its challenges and opportunities, and the importance of what the MDA does every day for our nation's security - In-Person - Simi Valley, CA - AFIO-Los Angeles Chapter.
Location: Ronald Reagan Presidential Museum & Center, 40 Presidential Drive, Simi Valley CA 93065. More details to follow. If you plan to attend, please RSVP here. Questions? Contact Vincent Autiero, President, AFIO-Los Angeles Chapter, at afio_la@yahoo.com
Mon, 5 Aug 2024, noon (CT) - San Antonio TX - In-Person - The AFIO San Antonio TX Chapter features video interview with Chip Beck, USN on "CIA Special Operations in Cambodia" and on Impact of Houthi Attack Boats on Red Sea Shipping. The first part of the program will be a video interview with Chip Beck, a US Naval officer turned CIA Special Operations Officer working in Cambodia. He has written a book about the last days as he and Cambodian allies fought the Khmer Rouge in this secret war in Cambodia. The non-fiction book is titled Final Days of Heroes. The second part of the program will be a look at the technology and impact of Houthi attack boats which have sunk one oil tanker and damaged several other civilian ships attempting to move into the Red Sea.
Location: The Road Runner Lounge of The Towers at the Blue Skies Texas West complex, 5100 John D Ryan Blvd, San Antonio, TX 78245. Program starts at noon. All Blue Skies residents are encouraged to attend. AFIO Members attending should identify themselves to the Blue Skies gate guard as coming for the intelligence meeting in the Roadrunner Lounge at The Towers. AFIO members attending should park in front of The Towers. You may come early and have lunch in the dining room adjacent to the Roadrunner Lounge. Please pay with a credit card.
Questions to John Franklin, President, AFIO San Antonio Chapter or call 210 863-0430.
20 Aug 24, 1200 (ET) - Tampa FL - Hybrid - In-person and Zoom - Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter luncheon features Col Juan Carlos Garcia on "Current and Changing Military Challenges Facing the Nation." The luncheon will be held in the Tournament Room at the MacDill AFB Bay Pines Golf Complex, 1803 Golf Course Ave, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Our speaker is COL Juan Carlos Garcia addressing the current defense challenges facing the nation, the changing character of war, and how we are facing these challenges. You won't want to miss this briefing! This is an unclassified but sensitive meeting. Strict non-attribution rules apply (Chatham House Rule). The luncheon includes a box lunch and costs $25. Reservations and arrangements for Base access must be completed no later than noon on Wednesday, 7 August 2024, including arrangements for base access and food selection. This is an in-person event. Should you wish to participate by ZOOM, please click on this registration link to complete the registration process before noon on Wednesday, 7 August 2024. [This is NOT the ZOOM meeting link. Subject to approval, you will receive the ZOOM meeting link by separate email. Please check your ZOOM program in advance to ensure it is updated and working properly and that you have the confirmed ZOOM meeting link to join meeting. It is impossible to troubleshoot ZOOM connections the day of the meeting.] Qs? Contact the Chapter Secretary, Michael Shapiro, for more information.
Sat, 14 Sep 2024, 11:30am EDT - Indialantic, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hosts Matthew Newgent on "DEI at U.S. Military Service Academies." The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter is hosting Matthew Newgent, a 1996 West Point graduate, who will speak on "Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) at the Service Academies." The event will commence at 11:30 a.m. at the Doubletree Hotel, 1665 N. Highway A1A, Indialantic, Florida, 32903.
Mr. Newgent's speech will follow a sit-down lunch. Cost $35.
To register or more info, contact Larry Sanford.
20 Sep 24, 1130 (PT) - San Francisco CA - In-Person - The AFIO San Francisco Chapter Lunch and Presentation by Dr. Matthew Brazil on "China's Ministry of State Security." Dr. Matthew Brazil will offer his expert analysis of China's Ministry of State Security - it's organization, expanding activities and unique culture. Followed by Q&A moderated by Lt. Col. Roger S. Dong (USAF, ret.)
Time: 11:30am no-host cocktails; 12 noon meeting start.
Location: Basque Cultural Center, 599 Railroad Avenue, South San Francisco.
RSVP at Eventbrite here.
Questions? Contact Mariko Kawaguchi, Board Secretary, AFIO SF Chapter at afiosf@aol.com.
04 Oct 24, 1100 (ET) - McLean VA In-Person - AFIO National Fall Luncheon: Speakers - J.J. Green, National Security Correspondent, WTOP; Mark Kelton, Former Deputy Director of the National Clandestine Service for Counterintelligence (DDNCS/CI) - Hold the date. Registration opens here 1 August.
Morning speaker starts 11 a.m.: J.J. Green, National Security Correspondent, WTOP
Afternoon speaker starts 1 p.m.: Mark Kelton, Former Deputy Director of the National Clandestine Service for Counterintelligence (DDNCS/CI). Schedule: Lunch served noon to 1 p.m. Event ends at 2:00 p.m.
Luncheon prices are $60 for Members; $75 for nonmember guests and all Subscribers. Payment by credit card required at time of registration. No mailed checks or "at door" payments accepted or permitted.
Registration opens here 1 August. Registration closes 5 p.m., Friday, 27 September 2024.
Check-in and badge pickup for Registered Attendees begins 10:30 a.m. NO registrations or walk-ins at hotel. No payments by cash or check or onsite registrations at venue.
Cancellation Schedule: AFIO must commit to the hotel facilities and regrets it must charge a cancellation fee. No cancellations with refund after 21 September. Any cancellations 21 September to date of event will be converted to donation to AFIO. Cancellations after 27 September are not donations because your meal has been guaranteed at hotel per event contract. Thank you for your understanding. All attendees must be members of AFIO or accompanied by a current member. For security reasons, we are unable to accept late or last minute substitutions for non-attendance or changes in your guests.
Questions regarding this event to events@afio.com
07 Aug 24, 1200-1300 (EST) – Online – Inside Intelligence presents "Four Scenarios of PRC Action Against Taiwan" - Johns Hopkins University
Join host Michael Ard for a curated discussion with Gabriel Collins on "Coercion, Blockade, Invasion, or Destruction: Four Scenarios of Potential PRC (People's Republic of China) Action Against Taiwan." Gabriel Collins is the Baker Botts Fellow in Energy & Environmental Regulatory Affairs at Rice University’s Baker Institute. He was previously an associate attorney at Baker Hostetler, LLP, and is the co-founder of the China SignPost™ (洞察中国) analysis portal. Collins has worked in the Department of Defense as a China analyst and as a private sector global commodity researcher, authoring more than 100 commodity analysis reports, both for private clients and for publication. Collins’ research portfolio is global. His work currently focuses on legal, environmental and economic issues relating to water — including the food-water-energy nexus — as well as unconventional oil and gas development, and the intersection between global commodity markets and a range of environmental, legal and national security issues. His analysis draws from a broad swath of geospatial and other data streams, and often incorporates insights from sources in Chinese, Russian and Spanish. Collins received his BA from Princeton University and a JD from the University of Michigan Law School. He is licensed to practice law in Texas. More information and registrations here.
29 Jul 2024, 1300-1400 (BST) – Online – Former GCHQ Director Robert Hannigan on CI and Learning from the Secret World - Royal United Services Institute (RUSI), U.K.
Counter-Intelligence, by Robert Hannigan, explores the role of the intelligence services in history and contemporary society, from the codebreakers and problem-solvers to innovation and creativity, secrecy, transparency and the global tech community. The book traces the history of counter-intelligence, while reflecting on some of the unique characteristics of the engineers, mathematicians and scientists who make up the world’s intelligence community. In this wide-ranging conversation, Mr Hannigan will discuss events from the early days of Bletchley Park to the ongoing work of GCHQ. He will also explain how the world of secret intelligence can provide insights into tackling problems in life and business. The webinar will be moderated by Gill Bennett, RUSI Senior Associate Fellow and former Chief Historian, Foreign and Commonwealth Office. More information and registrations here.
20 Aug 24, 0900-1000 (ET) – Virtual – Beyond the Big Six: The Pivotal Roles of Lesser Known IC Agencies - INSA, Online
Join us for a panel discussion focused on the operations of some of the smaller U.S. intelligence agencies. Moderated by The Hon. Sue Gordon, topics for discussion include: Supporting nuanced agency operations; What collection and analysis look like in their unique space; How they engage in interagency coordination and with international partners; and more! Plus, there will be ample time for audience Q&A! More information and free registration here.
27-28 Aug 2024 – In Person – Intelligence & National Security Summit - INSA, Bethesda, MD
Join nearly 2,000 government, academic, and industry leaders at #IntelSumit24, the nation's premier unclassified conference focused on critical intelligence and national security issues. The powerful, two-day program taking place on August 27-28 at the Bethesda North Marriott Hotel and Conference Center, includes five plenaries, six breakout sessions, and an exhibit hall packed with the latest technology and service innovations. More information and registration here.
30 Apr - 02 May 2025 – In Person – Cryptologic History Symposium - National Cryptological Foundation and NSA Center for Cryptologic History, Johns Hopkins University, Maryland
Since 1990, the Cryptologic History Symposium has served as an opportunity to present historical scholarship found in unclassified and declassified cryptologic records and engage in discussion about their significance to history. The event is an occasion for historians and those interested in history to gather for reflection and debate on relevant and important topics from the cryptologic past. Regular speakers include historians from CCH, the Intelligence Community, the defense establishment, the military services, scholars from American and international academic institutions, veterans of the cryptologic profession, graduate and undergraduate students, and noted authors. Past symposia have featured scholarship that set out new ways to consider our cryptologic heritage. The conference provides many opportunities to interact with leading historians and other experts. The mix of practitioners, scholars, and interested observers guarantees a lively debate that promotes an enhanced appreciation for past events and their applicability to current and future issues. More information and registration here.
Gray long-sleeved polo shirts with embroidered AFIO logo. Men's sizes only.
Show your support for AFIO with our new Gray Long-sleeve Polo Shirts. Shirts are shrink and wrinkle resistant of fine cotton with a soft, "well-worn, comfy" yet substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal. Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues, family, and friends. Only $60 each including shipping.
Sizes for men, only: Small, Medium, Large, XL, XXL, and XXXL. $60 per shirt. Order this and other store items online here.
20 oz ceramic Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. Check out our new tapered, sleek AFIO coffee mug!! This handsome 20 oz. ceramic mug is made in the USA, has a white matte exterior, sports a beautiful navy-blue interior, and is dishwasher safe. Order yours today! $35 per mug includes shipping to a CONUS address. [includes shipping to U.S. based address, only. For foreign shipments, we will contact you with a quote.] SHIPPING: For shipment to a U.S.-based CONUS address, shipping is included in price. For purchases going to AK, HI, other US territories, Canada, or other foreign countries the shipping fees need to be calculated, so please call our office M-F 8 a.m. to 2 p.m. ET at 703-790-0320 or email afio@afio.com providing following information: 1) your name, 2) mailing address (or addresses where each gift item will be shipped), 3) name of the AFIO store items you wish to purchase, 4) quantity of each, 5) your credit card number and expiration date, 6) amount (except for additional of shipping fees) authorized to charge, and 7) your phone number and email should we have questions. Foreign shipments fees will be calculated and estimates emailed to you, awaiting your approval. Order this and other store items online here.
Black short-sleeved polo shirts with Embroidered AFIO logo
Show your support for AFIO with our new Black Short-sleeve Polo Shirts. Shirts are shrink and wrinkle resistant of fine cotton with a soft, "well-worn, comfy" yet substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal. Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues, family, and friends. Only $50 each including shipping.
Sizes for (M) men, only; Small, Medium, Large, XL, XXL, and XXXL. $50 per shirt.
You may pay by check or credit card. Complete your order online here or mail an order along with payment to: AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Ste 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Phone orders at 703-790-0320. Questions? Contact Annette at: annettej@afio.com.
PopSocket for cellphones or tablets
Show your support to AFIO while enjoying the convenience offered by our AFIO Logo PopSocket. The PopSocket is most commonly used as a stand and as a grip for your mobile phone or tablet; handy for taking selfies, watching videos, and for texting. The PopSocket looks like a small button or sticker which, when closed, sticks flat to your mobile device. However, its accordion-like design enables it to pop open for use. The benefits of using a PopSocket make it a must-have accessory for your mobile phone or tablet. It also aids in keeping your phone from slipping off your hand during use, falling, or breaking.
Price: $15. Order this and other store items online here.
Duffel Bags - Royal Blue and Black with Full Color AFIO Logo This duffel has it all when it comes to value, style and organization.
600 denier polyester canvas with polyester double contrast; D-shaped zippered entry for easy access. Front pocket with hook and loop closure. End mesh pocket Easy-access end pockets. Four durable, protective feet and built-in bottom board for added strength. Web handles with padded grip. Detachable, adjustable shoulder strap.
Dimensions: 11"h x 19.75"w x 9.75"d; Approx. 2,118 cubic inches
Price: $50. Order this and other store items online here.
Caps - Dark Navy with Navy AFIO Logo
An authentic silhouette with the comfort of an unstructured, adjustable fit. Fabric: 100% cotton. Unstructured. Fabric strap closure with adjustable D-clip. Price: $30. Order this and other store items online here.
AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence...and...When Intelligence Made a Difference
"AFIO's Guide to the AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence has sold out in hard-copy.
It is available in digital form in its entirety on the
AFIO website here.
Also available on the website here are the individual articles of AFIO's
history project "When Intelligence Made a Difference" that have been
published to date in The Intelligencer journal.
More articles will be appear in future editions.
PUBLISHED IN 2023—Be informed on career opportunities in the U.S. Intelligence Community
Intelligence as a Career - with updated listings of colleges teaching intelligence courses, and Q&As on needed foreign languages, as well as the courses, grades, extracurricular activities, and behavioral characteristics and life experiences sought by modern U.S. intelligence agencies.
AFIO's popular 47-page booklet reaches thousands of high school, college students, university guidance offices, and distributed in classes teaching intelligence, to help those considering careers
in the U.S. Intelligence Community.
This is the fifth edition.
The publication is also popular with University Career Guidance Centers, professors and academic departments specializing in national security, and parents assisting children or grandchildren in choosing meaningful, public service careers.
This booklet is provided online as a public service from the generosity of AFIO board, volunteer editors/writers, donors, and members.
We thank all for their support which makes this educational effort possible.
Careers Booklet (2023 Fifth Edition) can be read or downloaded here
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