AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #10-22 – 8 March 2022

Visit us on

CONTENTS

Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES

Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS

VIDEOS and EVENTS MEMBERS CITED

Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries

Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming

Research Requests

Jobs

Obituaries

Section V - Events

Upcoming AFIO Events

Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others

For additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events 

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors: cp, gh, fwr, jd, db, cp, sb, vn. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. Notices in the WINs about non-AFIO events do not constitute endorsement or recommendation by AFIO.
CAVEATS: IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and should verify the source independently before supplying any resume, career data, or personal information.]
If you are having difficulties with the links or viewing this newsletter when it arrives by email, members may view the latest edition each week at this link.

National Cryptologic Museum remains closed due to COVID-19. However, virtual opportunities are available - see listings here:

  • ONGOING ACTIVITIES - Museum virtual events via EventBrite. MORE.
    17 MAR 2022 - 2:30pm EST: The Best Way to Guard Your "Pot o' Gold": Choose a Good Password. MORE
  • 24 March 2022, 11am EST: An Inside Look at Developing an Immersive Cybersecurity Game. MORE
  • 10 MAY 2022- NCF 2022 General Membership Meeting & Annual Symposium
  • 11-13 MAY 2022 - Cryptologic History Symposium. MORE.


NEW: Intelligencer Winter-Spring 2022 - Prepublication Release of Forthcoming Reviews by Peter Oleson...available exclusively to AFIO WIN recipients as a PDF at this link.
The books reviewed are:

  • Pioneers of Irregular Warfare: Secrets of the Military Intelligence Research Department in the Second World War by Malcolm Atkin
  • Spycraft for Thriller Writers – How to Write Spy Novels, TV Shows and Movies Accurately and Not Be Laughed at by Real-Life Spies by Edward Mickolus
  • Top Secret Canada: Understanding the Canadian Intelligence and National Security Community by Stephanie Carvin, Thomas Juneau and Craig Forcese (Editors)
  • The Cold War: Wilderness of Mirrors. Counterintelligence, and the U.S. and Soviet Military Liaison Missions 1947-1990 by Aden C. Magee
  • More Stories from Langley: Another Glimpse Inside the CIA by Edward Mickolus (editor)
  • Spies on the Mekong: CIA Clandestine Operations in Laos by Ken Conboy
  • Spy Swap: The Humiliation of Russia's Intelligence Services by Nigel West
  • First Casualty: The Untold Story of the CIA Mission to Avenge 9/11 by Toby Harnden
  • The Sailor's Bookshelf: Fifty Books to Know the Sea by Adm. James Stavridis, USN (Ret.)
  • Putin's Playbook: Russia's Secret Plan to Defeat America by Rebekah Koffler
  • Spy Stories: Inside the Secret World of the R.A.W. and the I.S.I. by Adrian Levy and Cathy Scott-Clark
  • Revolutionary Monsters: Five Men Who Turned Liberation into Tyranny by Donald T. Critchlow
  • The Afghanistan Papers: A Secret History of the War by Craig Whitlock

Also recently released: AFIO WIMAD Articles from Summer-Fall 2021 Intelligencer now available individually online here
The articles now available online as part of Peter Oleson's "When Intelligence Made a Difference" series are:

  • When Intelligence Made a Difference - Part VI Intro by Peter C. Oleson
  • Doctor Jameson's Raid by Alex Vermeulen
  • First Battle of Bull Run: A First in Many Ways by Greg Elder
  • The Karakol Organization and the Turkish War of Independence, 1919-1922 by Evren Altinkas PhD
  • Preparation for Operation Torch by Robert Girod JD PhD
  • Denial and Deception in the Indian Nuclear Test by Robert M. Clark JD PhD

    Explore the articles here

     
Register now for this first AFIO National
In-Person Event of 2022
Friday, 8 April 2022 - McLean, VA
with David Ignatius and Toby Harnden
 
     
 

Register here

Speakers will be: David Ignatius, Associate Editor, Columnist, The Washington Post, and author, as morning speaker;
Toby Harnden
, author of "The First Casualty: The Untold Story of the CIA Mission To Avenge 9/11" will speak following lunch.
Event will be held at DoubleTree by Hilton, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, McLean, VA. Location on map.
Using METRO? Hotel is at Tysons Corner station on Silver Line.
The latest books and gift items will be on display by the International Spy Museum Gift & Book Shop

Register here

Questions to annettej@afio.com

The OSS Society invites you...

You are invited to attend this first of 2022 "Oh So Social" virtual one-on-one conversation
Wednesday, 23 March 2022, 3 - 4:30 PM EDT
by The OSS Society featuring
Dr. Robert Gates and Dr. Michael Vickers

Speaker bios, program information, and to register


Released exclusively to members last week...

A CIA Career - From Dangerous Overseas Operations to Worldwide Security for Microsoft


Released 1 March 2022

Mike Howard
Former CIA Operations Officer & Microsoft Chief Security Officer discusses his career

Interview of Thursday, 3 February 2022 of former CIA Operations Officer Mike Howard. He explains the variety of CIA career postings and assignments which took his career rapidly upwards and eventually led him to handle all security for Bill Gates and the Microsoft Corporation. Mike provided security for DCI Bill Casey, handled risky operations in the Philippines, and reorganized worldwide security for Microsoft, its principals and employees, including personal security for Bill Gates. Howard explains that no matter how successful you have been or are as a leader, you are never finished with your leadership journey. You have to forge your own path to leadership to become truly "masterless" when it comes to leadership acumen. He also stresses the importance of being selfless in your leadership style and actions. Your team comes first, you come second!: Interviewer: Ralph Mariani, former CIA Operations Officer; Host: James Hughes, AFIO President, former CIA Operations Officer. The interview runs 48 minutes.
More about Mike Howard and "The Art of Rōnin Leadership" here The book is available here.

Access the Howard interview here or click above image.



Other Videos in the "AFIO Now" Series

Click title above or here to view the public and member-only interviews in the AFIO Now series.
Or view the publicly-release-only interviews on our YouTube page. Or listen to the podcast version at the links below.

Newest podcast: Bryan Denson, author of "The Spy's Son: The True Story of the Highest-Ranking CIA Officer Ever Convicted of Espionage and the Son He Trained to Spy for Russia, recorded 28 February 2022
PODCASTS: AFIO NOW content is also available on various podcasting platforms. Search for 'AFIO Podcast' for a selection of public released videos on Podbean; iTunes; Google; Spotify; Amazon Music; Amazon TuneIn + Alexa; iHeartRadio; and Pandora

Log into the Member-only area to view private and public interviews.



AFIO Welcomes corporate member: Blue Tech

Blue Tech - Based in San Diego, Blue Tech provides leading Information Technology products and services for both everyday operations and mission-critical systems to Defense, Civilian, and Intelligence Agencies. From initial consultation to system design and product selection, to offering competitive pricing for your gear and installing the final product, Blue Tech delivers.


Visit, Follow, Subscribe to AFIO's LinkedIn, Twitter, and YouTube pages to receive updates.

Members who use social media or wish to explore, will find new announcements and other material on AFIO's Twitter and LinkedIn pages. New videos on our YouTube page appears below as well.
Access them here: LinkedIn, Twitter, and YouTube. By following or subscribing on those sites, one can be notified as new material appears.
  

PODCASTS: Are you too busy to sit and watch an entire "AFIO Now" episode above on YouTube? Would you rather listen in your car or while accomplishing other tasks? Now you can quickly download or stream episodes on your favorite podcasting platform. AFIO is now available on 8 podcasting platforms. Search for 'AFIO Podcast' for a selection of the interviews above (public released ones) on Podbean; iTunes; Google; Spotify; Amazon Music; Amazon TuneIn + Alexa; iHeartRadio; and Pandora.


One of the special benefits of membership in AFIO: access to CIA's inhouse gift shop — the EAA Store.

It requires a quick preapproval process described here to all newly joined and current AFIO members. And then allows you to purchase directly from the EAA online for their unusual logo'd gift items for self or colleagues. At left is the latest photo EAA released on Jan 14, 2022 featuring some of their newest or most popular items.



Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

We Need a More Realistic Strategy for the Post-Cold War Era - R Gates, WPost, 3 Mar 2022
Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine has ended Americans' 30-year holiday from history. For the first time since World War II, the United States faces powerful, aggressive adversaries in Europe and Asia seeking to recover past glory along with claimed territories and spheres of influence. All in defiance of an international order largely shaped by the United States that has kept the peace among great powers for seven decades. The Russian and Chinese challenge to this peaceful order has been developing for a number of years. Putin's war has provided the cold shower needed to awaken democratic governments to the reality of a new world, a world in which our recent strategy — including the "pivot" to Asia — is woefully insufficient to meet the long-term challenges we face.
Though we have a number of security challenges — Iran and North Korea, as well as terrorism and global problems — Russia and China are the main threats to our economic, political and military interests. The two nations each pose a different kind of hazard. Article here

Putin Has Ensured His Own Downfall - J Devine, WSJ, 2 Mar 2022
The Russian president's hubris and dream of rebuilding the Soviet Union will doom him.
Vladimir Putin believes he is resurrecting Russia from the ashes of the Soviet Union. He has established an organized state with vast oil wealth, $635 billion in cash reserves, a largely autonomous economy, and a new and historic strategic accord with China.
Through his aggressive record of Russian intelligence interference in Western politics, this spymaster president has honed his covert-action playbook. Whether through Moscow-incubated separatist movements, oligarch-funded mercenaries, false-flag attacks, cyberattacks or propaganda, Mr. Putin has many tools to subjugate Ukraine. A robust dark-money network, likely owned in large part by Mr. Putin, funnels capital into the hands of Russian oligarchs, blunting the effectiveness of Western sanctions. With these factors in his favor, Mr. Putin believes now is his moment to reclaim a lost jewel in Russia's imperial crown, cementing his historical legacy.
It is more likely that Mr. Putin reached his apogee in the days before he invaded Ukraine. His hubris is predicated on a profound misunderstanding of the power of liberal democracies. Article here

What Putin's Top Aides Need to Tell Him Today - M Vickers, WPost, 4 Mar 2022
magine yourself today in the unenviable shoes of Vladimir Putin's national security aides, charged with briefing the Russian president on his options roughly one week into his disastrous Ukraine invasion.
The briefing, if it is an honest one, ought to go something like this:
Here is the situation, Mr. President: Our rapid-strike plan was supposed to have caused the Zelensky government to quickly capitulate, enabling us to install a puppet regime in Kyiv and incorporate Ukraine into the Russian Federation. Instead, it has unified the West, kindled in the Ukrainian people a fierce resistance, and led the NATO alliance and the European Union to boost their military support for Ukraine and impose economy-destroying sanctions on Russia.
We have suffered thousands of casualties and have been forced to disclose the names of at least some of them to the Russian people. We have lost hundreds of combat vehicles. Our main invasion force spent days stalled in what looks more like a traffic jam than an attack column. Article here

The Strategy That Can Defeat Putin - E Cohen, The Atlantic, 7 Mar 2022
The U.S.-led coalition of liberal-democratic states should pursue three objectives.
First came the shock: the sight of missiles and artillery shells slamming into apartment buildings, helicopters pirouetting in flames, refugees streaming across the border, an embattled and unshaven president pleading with anguished political leaders abroad for help, burly uniformed men posing by burned-out tanks and infantry fighting vehicles, Russian police spot-checking cellphones on Moscow streets for dissident conversations. Distress and anger and resolution were natural reactions. But the time has come to think strategically, asking what the West—and specifically the United States—should do in this crisis and beyond.
French Marshal Ferdinand Foch once said that the first task is to answer the question De quoi s'agit-il?, or "What is it all about?" The answer with respect to Ukraine, as with most other strategic problems, is less straightforward than one might think. At the most basic level, a Russian autocrat is working to subjugate by the most brutal means possible a free and independent country, whose independence he has never accepted. Article here

The Two Blunders That Caused the Ukraine War - T Varadarajan, WSJ, 4 Mar 2022
Robert Service, a leading historian of Russia, says Moscow will win the war but will lose the peace and fail to subjugate Ukraine. How Putin could be deposed.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine resulted from two immense strategic blunders, Robert Service says. The first came on Nov. 10, when the U.S. and Ukraine signed a Charter on Strategic Partnership, which asserted America's support for Kyiv's right to pursue membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The pact made it likelier than ever that Ukraine would eventually join NATO—an intolerable prospect for Vladimir Putin. "It was the last straw," Mr. Service says. Preparations immediately began for Russia's so-called special military operation in Ukraine.
Mr. Service, 74, is a veteran historian of Russia, a professor emeritus at St. Antony's College, Oxford and a fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution. He has written biographies of Lenin, Stalin and Trotsky. The last work, published in 2009, attracted the ire of die-hard Trotskyites world-wide for saying that their hero shared many basic ideas with Lenin and...
1. two immense strategic blunders: The first came on Nov. 10, when the U.S. and Ukraine signed a Charter on Strategic Partnership, which asserted America's support for Kyiv's right to pursue membership in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. 2. The second strategic error was Mr. Putin's underestimation of his rivals. Article here

Can America Adapt to the Multipolar Age? - N Gvosdev, National Interest, 6 Mar 2022
Can an increasingly ossified national security system and dysfunctional domestic politics allow the United States to evolve its position and policies to cope with a changing international order?
It is now apparent that we are reaching the end of a thirty-year cycle in world events, where geopolitical, economic, and technological shifts are rewriting the source code of international affairs. Whereas the start of the cycle was marked by a series of dramatic events that heralded the triumph of the U.S.-led liberal-democratic system—the fall of the Berlin Wall, the nearly bloodless U.S.-led coalition victory in the Gulf War, and the lowering of the red banner of the hammer and sickle over the Great Kremlin Palace for the last time on December 25, 1991—the terminus of this post-Cold War era and the birth pangs of a new and yet-unnamed epoch could not be more different. It has been marked by the slow-motion trainwreck of a global pandemic and the termination of the twenty-year effort, following the September 11 attacks, to prove that American power, unlike its Soviet and British imperial antecedents, could remake Afghanistan (and by extension, other societies) in a liberal-democratic image. We are now entering the 2020s, where the familiar landmarks and lodestones are eroding, with growing uncertainty as to what will replace them—and the extent to which a new era will be shaped by Washington. Article here


Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES

Putin's Gross Strategic Miscalculation — interviews by Former Acting D/CIA Mike Morell

Intelligence Matters: A CBS News original national security podcast hosted by former CIA acting director and CBS News national security contributor Michael Morell. Morell is crisp, precise, cautious, fair, avoids political slant, and provides remarkable insights. Not to miss.

The most recent "Intelligence Matters" podcasts/interviews by or with Mike Morell:

Mar 2 | Putin's Choices in Ukraine: Former Top Pentagon Official Mike Vickers

In this episode, Michael Morell speaks with Mike Vickers, former Undersecretary of Defense for Intelligence, Special Forces officer and CIA operations officer. Vickers and Morell discuss whether and how Russian President Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine may have been a gross strategic miscalculation, how and when the West might have deterred his moves, and what future scenarios for the conflict exist. They discuss Putin's options and decision-making and how his pariah status will affect developments domestically and globally.

Other recent "Intelligence Matters" podcasts to stream or download:
Feb 23 | Taiwan-China Tensions: Expert Bonnie Glaser
Feb 16 | The Russia-Ukraine Crisis: A Panel of Experts Discuss
Feb 9 | "The Future of the Kim Regime: North Korea Expert Sue Mi Terry"
Feb 2 | "Stanford Professor and Author Amy Zegart"
Jan 26 | "CIA's Former Deputy Director for Science and Technology Dawn Meyerriecks"

More about Intelligence Matters by Michael Morell here. Podcasts also available here.


A Digital Curtain Descends Across Europe... - Stewart Baker, Others at Steptoe Cyberblog

Cyberblog by Steptoe & Johnson LLP — By Stewart Baker [Chairman, AFIO]

Episode 397: A Digital Curtain Descends Across Europe released 7 March 2022
A new digital curtain is falling across Europe. Gus Horwitz and Mark-MacCarthy review the tech boycott that has seen companies like Apple, Samsung, Microsoft, and Adobe pull their service from Russia. Nick Weaver describes how Russia cracked down on independent Russian media outlets and blocked access to the websites of foreign media including the BBC and Facebook. Gus reports on an apparent Russian decision to require all servers and domains to transfer Russian zone, thereby disconnecting itself from the global internet. Mark describes DirecTV's decision to drop RT America which led the Russian 24-hour news channel to shutter its operations. In contrast, the EU officially shut down all RT and Sputnik operations, including apps and websites. Also discussed...the mythmaking in social media about the Ukrainian war such as the Ghost of Kyiv ... despite apparent lack of cyberattacks, more going on under the surface. ... The internal attack on the Conti Ransomware gang. ... Will the financial sanctions accelerate the move away from the dollar as the world's reserve currency? SOTU - much of the speech devoted to tech, including presence of Facebook whistleblower, and push for domestic chip production. New cybersecurity bill require companies to report cyberattacks and ransomware to DHS CISA. Concerns over providing information to FBI. Will it become law? More topics covered. Article and podcast here

Also worth reading: Baker's op-ed in the Washington Post criticizing the Congressional critics of IRS efforts trying to use face recognition to verify taxpayers who want access to their returns.

Some Prior Conversations:
Episode 396: Waging War in a Networked Age
Episode 395: Cyberwar for Real This Time?
Episode 394: Cringe-Casting Since 2016
Episode 393: The Ad-Based Internet: Is the Roof Caving In, or Just a Few Rafters?
Episode 392: Regulatory Swagger Comes to Washington
Episode 391: How Much of the Quantum Tech Boom Is Just Welfare for Physicists?


Has Invasion Stalled? Why Assassins Failed? — more from Inside the SCIF

Inside the SCIF by JJ Green, WTOP - Issue #153, 3 March has details on... Breaking news on Ukraine Invasion; Temporary Ceasefires in Ukraine and those "Humanitarian Corridors"; Macron warns Putin Moving Ahead, Worst Yet to Come in Ukraine; Zelenskyy warns other Baltic States are next; Estonian cargo ship sunk; War Stats - Combat Loss Numbers, Russian Troops, Weapons Destroyed, Judgments; SITREPs - Treasury list of Russian Elites and Family Members - enablers of Putin; City of Secrets - arrest of two near Embassy of Ukraine in DC; Whelan update; more.

Target USA Podcast 321 was on: Here's why Russia's invasion of Ukraine has stalled
Malcolm Nance, Executive Director of Terror Asymmetrics Project on Strategy, Tactics and Radical Ideologies (TAPSTRI), and a retired Navy Cryptologist says Russian force can get to Kyiv, but they'll never take it. .

And "The Hunt" explored: Assassins have allegedly been sent by the Russian government to kill Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy
JJ Green speaks with former CIA covert operative Robert Baer who explains why the assassins have not been successful.


If Russia "Goes Hot" Inside U.S. - The Latest... from Jeff Stein's provocative - award-winning - "SpyTalk" series...

Mar 6: "Going Hot? Russia 'Prepped the Battlefield' in US Long Ago, Officials Say" by Jeff Stein
U.S. should prepare for shocks like Pearl Harbor or 9/11, ex-CIA official warns

Mar 4: "US Options for Fighting Russians in Ukraine" a podcast with Jeff Stein, Doug London, Mike Rogers, and Jeanne Meserve
Paramilitary aid? Cyber counter-offensives? Check out this week's SpyTalk podcast.

Mar 3: "Russian Group Aims to Lead Global White Supremacist Terror Movement" by Jonathan Broder
St. Petersburg's Russian Imperial Movement has trained foreign saboteurs

Mar 2: "Spring Training for Spy Watchers" by Jeff Stein
Baseball's out, but the spies are gathering down in Cactus League territory

Mar 1: "Another Reason to Read SpyTalk" by Jeff Stein
We've been honored by Substack as 'unique'

Feb 25: "Zelensky Prepares to Go Down with the Ship" by Jeff Stein
Ukraine's president rebuffed US pleas to flee, an American associate tells SpyTalk
... "The tragedy of Zelensky is Shakespearean,"...

Feb 24: "Russian Spy Chiefs, Ukraine Hit Squads" by Jeff Stein
Listen now | Moscow's fearsome intelligence agencies provide the backbone for the attempted decapitation of Ukraine's government.


What is Putin's Endgame? - Latest Insights from Jack Devine of Arkin Group

We lead with a 7 minute Bloomberg Radio podcast "What Is Putin's Endgame?" featuring Jack Devine, former acting CIA director of operations, former head of the CIA's Afghan Task Force, and founding partner and President of the Arkin Group, discussing the Ukraine-Russia war and Vladimir Putin. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Lisa Abramowicz. Should you have an off-ramp...a way for the tiger to leave the cage? Jack gives his reasons for opposing that.

Also see Jack's "Putin Has Ensured His Own Downfall" WSJ, 2 Mar 2022

The Arkin Group's Mar 3 "In Other News" letter to private clients by former CIA Deputy Director, Operations... Officer Jack Devine features...

  1. NATO is more relevant than ever, but its actions remain subject to Putin's interpretation.
  2. Russian citizens' reaction to Ukraine invasion being shaped by social media.
  3. Continuum of international support for Russia underscores varied domestic security and economic concerns.

Follow link here to read analyses and predictions given to their private clients on the topics from last week. There is sometimes a delay of seven days before the above topics will appear at this link.


Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS

GEOINT - Seemingly Stuck Russian Convoy Hides Mysteries - S O'Grady/K Demirjian, WPost, 7 Mar 2022
Rather than striking fear in Ukrainians, the extended column of Russian vehicles has inspired Kyiv residents to join the resistance.
Makeshift roadblocks have been installed throughout this capital to impede the movements of Russian troops snaking toward the city in a convoy about 15 miles away.
On some strategic thruways, Ukrainians have parked trams and buses to restrict driving access. Checkpoints to inspect IDs have also been established to root out would-be saboteurs. "We have a lot of presents" for the Russians, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko said in an interview. "It's not sweet. It's very painful."
The extended 40-mile parade of Russian armored vehicles, tanks and towed artillery headed from the north on a path toward Kyiv has both alarmed and befuddled watchers of this expanding war. It's not just its sheer size. It's also because for days, it has not appreciably been moving. Article here

GEOINT - Satellite Images Show Russia's Troop Movements but Can They Reveal Intent? - S Erwin, Space News, 2 Mar 2022
A steady stream of imagery from commercial spy satellites provides extraordinary intelligence about Russian troop advances in Ukraine and attacks on Ukrainian cities. But as the conflict grinds on, intelligence analysts are still being challenged to figure out Russian intent, experts said March 2.
"We're seeing unprecedented sharing of intelligence," said Kari Bingen, chief strategy officer of HawkEye 360, a commercial remote sensing satellite operator.
"The challenge is getting after the intent," she said. "We see capabilities but what's their intent?"
Bingen, a former deputy undersecretary of defense for intelligence, spoke on a panel at an International Institute for Strategic Studies event.
The availability of intelligence from commercial sources over the past few weeks has been remarkable and "clearly driven by the urgency of the moment," Bingen said. It is a positive development that should be sustained going forward, she added. "It's a competitive advantage we have vis-a-vis Russia and China." Article here
Also see: "Commercial Spy Satellites Put Russia's Ukraine Invasion in the Public Eye" - S Erwin, SpaceNews, 27 Feb 2022
Also see: "SpaceX Shifts Resources to Cybersecurity to Address Starlink Jamming" - Foust and Berger, SpaceNews, 5 Mar 2022
Also see: "Hawkeye 360 Detects GPS Interference in Ukraine" - D Werner, SpaceNews, 4 Mar 2022
Also see: "Op-ed | Russian Threats a Reminder of the Need to Protect GPS" - S Mineiro, SpaceNews, 7 Mar 2022

The Weapon the West Used Against Putin - A Zegart, The Atlantic, 5 Mar 2022
The way in which the U.S. disclosed intelligence ahead of Russia's invasion of Ukraine could drastically change geopolitics in the future.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine looks like a horrific Cold War throwback. Once again, a strongman rules in Moscow, Russian tanks are rolling across borders, and a democratic nation is fighting for its survival, street by street, day by day, armed with little more than Molotov cocktails and a fierce belief in freedom. For all the talk of emerging technologies and new threats, the violence in Ukraine feels raw and low-tech, and the world suddenly looks old again.
And yet, amid all these echoes of the past, Russia's invasion has ushered in one development that is altogether new and could dramatically change geopolitics in the future: the real-time public disclosure of highly classified intelligence.
Never before has the United States government revealed so much, in such granular detail, so fast and so relentlessly about an adversary. Each day over the past several weeks seemed to bring new warnings. Not vague, "Russia may or may not be up to something" kind of warnings, but "Here's the satellite imagery showing up to 175,000 Russian troops in these specific locations near the border" kind of warnings. Even as Russian President Vladimir Putin claimed that he had no plans to invade and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky complained that the U.S. was hyping the threat and roiling his economy, the intelligence disclosures kept coming—detailing updated troop numbers and locations, invasion timetables, casualty estimates, and more. It felt like watching a hurricane barreling toward landfall. Article here

Turkey on Russia's invasion of Ukraine: It's Complicated - G Fuller, Graham E. Fuller blog, 5 Mar 2022
Despite NATO membership, Ankara's interests across Eurasia likely won't bring it into direct conflict with Moscow.
Turkey is arguably the most important Muslim country in the world today. It has also become a maverick in international relations. So where does it stand in the complex proxy war between NATO and Russia over Ukraine?
Turkey gained huge political and military experience while running the powerful Muslim Ottoman Empire for nearly six centuries — one of the largest and longest-lasting empires in world history. After its collapse and carving up at the end of World War I, a bruised Turkey gradually climbed its way back up to a position of a great regional power. Today its strategic location, its broad-based home-grown economic structure (without oil), and the ambition and scope of its geopolitical vision help define the importance of the country today. Article here

For the Glorious Ukrainian Resistance - C Pinck, Small Wars Journal, 5 Mar 2022
The Office of Strategic Services (OSS) - the World War II predecessor to the C.I.A., the U.S. Special Operations Command, and the State Department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research - was renowned for its innovation, experimentation, and risk-taking. CIA Director and OSS veteran William Casey described its ethos perfectly: "You didn't wait six months for a feasibility study to prove that an idea could work. You gambled that it might work. You didn't tie up the organization with red tape designed mostly to cover somebody's rear end. You took the initiative and the responsibility. You went around end, you went over somebody's head if you had to. But you acted. That's what drove the regular military and the State Department chair-warmers crazy about the OSS." ... The OSS Society has translated the OSS Simple Sabotage Manual into Ukrainian. We hope it will contribute to an occupied country's liberation just as it did during World War II. Glory to Ukraine. Article and Sabotage Manual in Ukrainian here

RT America Ceases Productions and Lays off Most of Its Staff - O Darcy, CNN, 3 Mar 2022
RT America will cease productions and lay off most of its staff, according to a memo from T&R Productions, the production company behind the Russian state-funded network, which CNN obtained.
Misha Solodovnikov, the general manager of T&R Productions, told staff in the memo that it will be "ceasing production" at all of its locations "as a result of unforeseen business interruption events."
"Unfortunately, we anticipate this layoff will be permanent, meaning that this will result in the permanent separation from employment of most T&R employees at all locations," Solodovnikov wrote.
T&R Productions operated offices in New York, Miami, Los Angeles, and Washington, DC.
The news would mean an effective end to RT America. The network, one of Russian President Vladimir Putin's main mouthpieces in the US, was dropped earlier this week by DirecTV, dealing a major financial blow to it. The satellite carrier was one of the two major television providers in the US to carry the network.
Roku, a company that sells hardware which allows users to stream content through the internet, also said that it had banished RT America from its platform. Article here

Mikhail Watford: Ukrainian Oligarch's Death Investigated by Surrey Police - BBC, 4 Mar 2022
An investigation has been launched into the death of a Ukrainian-born oligarch in Surrey earlier this week.
Officers were called to a property in Portnall Drive, Wentworth, at about midday on 28 February.
Mikhail Watford, aged in his 60s, was pronounced dead at the scene.
An investigation into the death is under way but Surrey Police said there were not believed to be any suspicious circumstances "at this time". Article here
Also see: "Polonium, 'heartbreak grass' or good old-fashioned cyanide: what's your poison?" Guardian, 19 May 2015
No matter which toxin you choose, it's getting more difficult to dispatch your enemies without detection as forensic technology improves – just ask Russia's secret service
"Russian whistleblower poisoned with heartbreak grass – an ancient perspective" on 2012 death of Russian whistleblower Alexander Perepilichny. An expert in plant toxicology has found traces of a rare plant poison in the stomach of Russian whistleblower Alexander Perepilichny, who collapsed and died outside his Surrey home in 2012 after warning that he had received death threats from the Kremlin.

'I'm a Dead Man Walking': Ex-Russian Spy Says Defectors in UK Are at Risk - J Ungoed-Thomas, Guardian, 27 Feb 2022
A Latvian double agent is getting death threats after British authorities inadvertently disclosed his alias
In April 1997, Vechernyaya Moskva, one of the most popular newspapers in Moscow, published an article on a former Russian intelligence agent, Boris Karpichkov.
The article was illustrated with a picture of Karpichkov's KGB identity papers, with the crosshairs of a sniper's rifle superimposed. It warned that the ex-KGB major was wanted by Interpol, faced interrogation by the Russian authorities and was being hunted by organised crime groups.
It was reported that his location was unknown, but the stark conclusion was that in the near future Karpichkov was likely to be "liquidated".
More than two decades later, the veteran Latvian-born agent is alive and living in a two-bedroom flat in London. He is a vociferous critic of the Russian regime. Having fled to Britain in 1998, he remains fearful for his life.
Article here

VIDEOS and EVENTS Suggested by Members

The Failed Logistics of Russia's Invasion of Ukraine - Wendover Productions, 5 Mar 2022
In a 20-minute segment, Wendover Productions examines the failed logistics of Russia's war on Ukraine. The Russian army is the junkyard that we've seen portrayed in media, but it's large and powerful all the same. The critical problem for it is logistics: it can't project a supply chain beyond its borders for more than a few days. Video here

Examining Putin: As Russia's President Wages War on Ukraine, Revisit Our In-Depth Reporting - Frontline, 3 Mar 2022
Since Russian President Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine began on Feb. 24, it has met with fierce resistance from Ukrainians, turned a million people into refugees, killed an unknown number of others, prompted unprecedented sanctions, sparked an International Criminal Court investigation into potential war crimes, and revived fears of nuclear war. What brought Putin — and the world — to this point?
The Battle for Ukraine (2014) - captured an up-close look at an earlier chapter of the conflict in Ukraine. When then-President Victor Yanukovych rejected a 2013 trade deal with the European Union in favor of one with his close ally Putin, Ukrainians took to the streets in protest. A brutal crackdown by Yanukovych followed and, eventually, his own ouster in 2014. Video here

Putin's Way (2015) - the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation, FRONTLINE traced Putin's journey from unemployed spy to modern-day czar, investigating accusations of criminality and corruption that surrounded his ascent. The film examined how Putin accumulated wealth and power, leading to autocratic rule and the specter of a new Cold War. Key players — from a senior police officer who wanted to arrest Putin on corruption charges, to an investigator looking into a series of deadly apartment bombings in 1999 — shed light on unsettled questions about Putin's rise and reign.
Putin was fond of a story about a rat he encountered in the one-room apartment he shared with his parents. "'I learned very good. I learned forever: Don't try to push somebody into the corner. They will jump. Because when you don't have what to lose, you just — you attack,'" Gevorkyan recalled Putin saying. "I think it's absolutely true about himself. When he's in a corner, that's why he's dangerous. He can jump. He will not say, 'OK, let's talk.' He will jump."

Putin and Syria (2015 to present) - reported on Putin's entry into the Syrian conflict. At a time when Syrian president Bashar al-Assad was weak, Russia "joined Assad against the opposition, thereby pouring gasoline on the civil war," Ashton Carter, then the U.S. secretary of defense, said in the film.

Putin's Revenge - 2 part documentary (2017) - detailed how Putin saw the fall of the USSR as a catastrophe; how he rose to the Russian presidency, centralized power and cracked down on domestic dissent; how he came to see the West — the U.S., in particular — as an enemy; and his drive to return Russia to what he saw as its former glory.
As Putin seethed over what he saw as Western encroachment, the film shows how Ukraine became his proving ground for a style of hybrid warfare combining military force, diplomacy, cyberattacks and weaponized leaks, political manipulation and disinformation. Putin eventually would use elements of the strategy to strike back at the U.S. for a lifetime of grievances, seizing an opportunity in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

The Putin Files (2017) - collection of 56 interviews — key source material for Putin's Revenge — provides an extensive oral history of Putin's political career and motivations. These conversations with intelligence officials, diplomats, journalists, scholars, dissidents and political insiders explore how and why, in the words of Russian-American journalist Julia Ioffe, the idea of U.S.-supported regime change in Russia became Putin's "driving fear." They also offer insight into 2014, when protests broke out in Ukraine, and Putin — blaming the U.S. and determined to respond — seized Crimea while denying he was doing so and fed a war in Ukraine's east.

Pandora Papers (2021) - this reporting initiative drew on a trove of nearly 12 million confidential documents to reveal the global entanglement of political power and secretive offshore finance, including the role of U.S. trusts.
Elites from both Russia and Ukraine were named in the papers. A short documentary from FRONTLINE and ICIJ chronicled how those close to Putin were amassing hidden fortunes abroad.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was also named, with ICIJ and media partners reporting on his controversial assets.
Also see: More on Pandora Papers


Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries

Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming

Last Call at the Hotel Imperial: The Reporters Who Took on a World at War
by Deborah Cohen
(Random House, Mar 2022)

Evocative portrait of a tight-knit coterie of American journalists who reported from the world's hot spots from the 1920s through the 1940s. Stationed in European capitals, with forays to Asia, the Middle East, and Africa, H.R. Knickerbocker, Vincent "Jimmy" Sheean, Dorothy Thompson, John Gunther, and his wife, Frances, covered the fall of empires, the spread of communism, and the rise of fascism.
Of the central ring of reporters Cohen profiles in this excellent ensemble study, only John Gunther is well remembered, mostly for his bestselling 1949 book, Death Be Not Proud. Some second-tier members are better known: William Shirer, author of The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich (1960), and Rebecca West, author of Black Lamb and Grey Falcon (1941). Yet everyone who passes under Cohen's gaze is fascinating: H.R. Knickerbocker, known as Knick, winner of the Pulitzer Prize for his reporting on Stalin's Russia; Jimmy Sheean, who won the first National Book Award for biography, in 1935; Dorothy Thompson, the first woman to head a foreign news bureau, in Berlin; and Gunther's wife, Frances, an intimate of Jawaharlal Nehru's with a lively command of both the English language and world politics. All produced extraordinary reportage that helped American readers understand the forces leading up to World War II, undertaking considerable risks. As Sheean wrote of Thompson, she excelled because "she could always step over the corpses and go on, steadily, resolutely, right to the end, with her head held very high indeed," while Knick spent a terrifying couple of days sure that he would be executed by "Franco's goons." -- Kirkus

Book may be ordered here


8 Billion and Counting: How Sex, Death, and Migration Shape Our World
by Jennifer D. Sciubba
(WW Norton, March 2022)

"Demography may not be destiny, but it's destiny's kissing cousin. Sciubba's easily accessible writing will make an armchair demographer of even those without any background in the subject. Demography is key to understanding the most important trends affecting nations, regions, and the world today, and this book proves a wise guide in that endeavor." ― Valerie Hudson
"The planet's population is set to continue increasing, Sciubba writes, urging administrations worldwide to enact policies that account for demographic trends, and powerfully concluding that the main question to consider is, 'How can we use the 8 billion people we have on the planet today to shape the world we want tomorrow?' Comprehensive and full of incisive analysis, this is not to be missed."
As the world nears 8 billion people, the countries that have led the global order since World War II are becoming the most aged societies in human history. At the same time, the world's poorest and least powerful countries are suffocating under an imbalance of population and resources. In 8 Billion and Counting, political demographer Jennifer D. Sciubba argues that the story of the twenty-first century is less a story about exponential population growth, as the previous century was, than it is a story about differential growth—marked by a stark divide between the world's richest and poorest countries. Drawing from decades of research, policy experience, and teaching, Sciubba employs stories and statistics to explain how demographic trends, like age structure and ethnic composition, are crucial signposts for future violence and peace, repression and democracy, poverty and prosperity. Although we have a diverse global population, demographic trends often follow predictable patterns that can help professionals across the corporate, nonprofit, government, and military sectors understand the global strategic environment. Through the lenses of national security, global health, and economics, Sciubba demonstrates the pitfalls of taking population numbers at face value and extrapolating from there. Instead, she argues, we must look at the forces in a society that amplify demographic trends and the forces that dilute them, particularly political institutions, or the rules of the game. She shows that the most important skills in demographic analysis are naming and being aware of your preferences, rethinking assumptions, and asking the right questions. Provocative and engrossing, 8 Billion and Counting is required reading for business leaders, policy makers, and anyone eager to anticipate political, economic, and social risks and opportunities. A deeper understanding of fertility, mortality, and migration promises to point toward the investments we need to make today to shape the future we want tomorrow.

Book may be ordered here.


Things Are Never So Bad That They Can't Get Worse: Inside the Collapse of Venezuela
by William Neuman
(St Martin's Press, March 2022)

Tracking the tragic demise of the once-thriving, oil-rich nation. A nuanced account of the collapse of Venezuela, and what it could mean for the rest of the world. Venezuela is a country of perpetual crisis—a country of rolling blackouts, nearly worthless currency, uncertain supply of water and food, and extreme poverty. In the same land where oil—the largest reserve in the world—sits so close to the surface that it bubbles from the ground, where gold and other mineral resources are abundant, and where the government spends billions of dollars on public works projects that go abandoned, the supermarket shelves are bare and the hospitals have no medicine. Twenty percent of the population has fled, creating the largest refugee exodus in the world, rivaling only Ukraine and Syria. Venezuela's collapse affects all of Latin America, as well as the U.S. and the international community. According to this NYTimes Reporter/Author, Republicans point to Venezuela as the perfect example of the emptiness of socialism, but Neuman insists it is a better model for the destruction caused by populist leaders. He says that the ascent of Hugo Chávez was a precursor to the emergence of strongmen now seen elsewhere, and the success of the corrupt economy he presided over only lasted while oil sold for more than $100 a barrel. Chávez's regime and policies, which have been reinforced under Nicolás Maduro, squandered abundant resources and ultimately bankrupted the country.

Book may be ordered here.


Research Requests

Novelist Seeking Your Experiences Serving 1950s Berlin and London

I am currently writing a spy novel that takes place in 1952 in Berlin, Germany and London, England. For research purposes, I am looking to interview intelligence officers who worked in either of these locations during the 1950s.
Replies to Ellen Butler, International Bestselling Author, ellen@ellenbutler.net, or visit https://www.ellenbutler.net

Call for Papers: "Imagining a New U.S. National Security Act for the 21st century" - Harvard's Kennedy School, Belfer Center, 16 Dec 2021 - Cash Prizes from $5,000 to $1,000

Imagine if you woke up tomorrow to news of: A massive cyber-attack that irreparably damaged financial markets and shut down critical infrastructure, or A significant conventional defeat due to strategic surprise like happened at Pearl Harbor, or The release of a manufactured pathogen that marks the beginning of a new global pandemic. Each of the scenarios above, and others, could be caused in part by a catastrophic intelligence failure. Drawing on the lessons of World War II and in the context of the impending Cold War, the United States Congress passed the National Security Act of 1947 to address institutional challenges and to set favorable conditions for U.S. intelligence and national security. Now, nearly a quarter of the way through the 21st century, the National Security Act of 1947 remains the bedrock of the U.S. national security enterprise, but in a world in which the threats and challenges have dramatically changed. We pose an overarching question: If you were starting from scratch, what might a National Security Act for the next 75 years contain to address current shortcomings and to improve intelligence capabilities, structures, and organizations to meet requirements in the years ahead? The Intelligence and Applied History Projects at Harvard's Belfer Center invite submissions for an essay contest on imagining a new U.S. National Security Act for the 21st century. Essays should consider the rise of China, technological advances, globalization, changes in U.S. relative power, redefinition of national security to include economic and cyber issues, espionage at scale, compression of decision time, and climate change—among other trends you deem important—and how these factors might drive a paradigm shift for U.S. intelligence and national security in general. As you examine this question and possible approaches to a reformed national intelligence enterprise, we invite you to provide a framework for new legislation along with ideas for what the United States should prioritize. The best papers should address the national interests at stake and the most pressing challenges your construct is designed to address. What institutions, mechanisms, legal requirements, or other factors would you choose to create, merge, alter, or abolish and why? What efficiencies, benefits, and synergies are part of the big picture objective? Finally, what are the foreseeable impediments to your proposed changes and what is driving them?

This call for papers is open to members of the public. Papers will be evaluated by a panel of current and former US intelligence practitioners and knowledgeable academics. The top three papers will receive cash prizes of $5,000, $2,500, and $1,000. The top three authors will also be invited to participate in a panel discussion convened at Harvard (virtually or in person) in the Spring of 2022, in which they brief senior US intelligence officials on their papers, to commemorate the 75th anniversary of the National Security Act of 1947. With permission, the winning paper will be published in whole or in part in a Belfer Center product. Papers should be no more than 2500 words Times New Roman 12pt font in Word or PDF format, and must be received no later than March 18. Please email papers to: pbriscoe@hks.harvard.edu and maria_robson@hks.harvard.edu and include your name, contact email, and phone number.
More details here

Jobs

Full-Time Assistant Professor of Criminal Justice (Intelligence Studies) - University of North Georgia, Dahlonega, GA

Job Summary: Type: Full-Time; Posted: 02/02/2022; Category: Criminal Justice; Job ID: 238891
The Department of Criminal Justice at The University of North Georgia invites applications for a full-time, tenure-track appointment at the rank of Assistant Professor of Criminal Justice at the Dahlonega campus. This position will focus primarily on Intelligence Studies. Special attention will be given to applicants who have four or more years of practitioner experience and the ability to manage applied analytic projects. The workload may require travel across campuses, teaching at off-campus teaching sites, and online teaching.
Responsibilities: Teach four undergraduate courses per semester to include Introduction to Criminal Justice; Maintain an active research agenda in an effort to produce scholarly publications; Assist in the advising of students enrolled in Bachelor of Science Degree Criminal Justice with an Intelligence Studies Concentration; Serve on University, College, and Departmental Committees; Teaching schedule may include assignments on other campuses, evening or on-line classes.
Required Qualifications: Ph.D. in Criminal Justice is required. Intelligence Studies, Homeland Security or a closely related field is preferred; Experience teaching Intelligence Studies at the university or college level; Successful candidates should be able to teach one or more of the following courses: Introduction to Intelligence, Fundamentals of Intelligence Analysis, or Methods of Intelligence; Ability to work collaboratively with all campus constituencies.
To explore this job or to apply, do so here

Recruiter Sought by Orbis Operations - McLean, VA

Recruiting Support:
  • Meets/speaks with hiring managers on a regular basis to discuss upcoming needs to vet, process and post all job requisitions on career website, job boards, university sites, and other resources as necessary
  • Coordinates with hiring manager(s) to develop job descriptions, and determine best recruiting strategies for position(s) in order to achieve continuous improvement
  • Actively sources and reviews all incoming applicant resumes from career site and various job boards/networking sites to determine qualified candidates for current and upcoming needs (pipeline)
  • Performs initial outreach to all potential candidates via telephone, email, and/or chat/message in order to complete first screening/interview stage
  • Completes detailed write-ups summarizing screening discussion to include in candidate profiles in ATS, and forwards to hiring managers for review if applicable
  • Schedules/manages all phone and in-person interviews between potential candidates and hiring managers
  • Maintains contact with passive, pipeline, and current candidates as necessary to ensure consistent communication and transparency throughout the full recruiting lifecycle, including: interview information, post-interview follow-ups, next steps, verbal offers, 6 month check-ins, potential referrals, etc.
  • Drafts letters of intent, contingent and firm offers to send to candidates, along with necessary security/clearance verification forms
  • Uploads active candidates to client/customer job portal, and assists in monitoring advancement through the process to keep candidate and team updated on forward movement or disqualifications
  • Conducts regular follow-up meetings with hiring managers to determine the effectiveness of recruiting plans and implementation
  • Researches and recommends new potential sources to engage with both active and passive candidates

    Qualifications and other aspects of this job are available here. APPLY HERE by entering search term "Recruiter"

Liberty University in Lynchburg, VA is seeking a full time, residential, Assistant Professor to teach Intelligence and National Security courses in the School of Government.

Courses support a curriculum which features a major or minor field of study in Strategic Intelligence Studies and include Introduction to Intelligence, Intelligence Analysis, Ethics in Intelligence, History of Intelligence, Intelligence and Military Operations, Strategic Intelligence, Counter Intelligence, Terrorism, Counter-terrorism and Psychological Operations. A minimum of a Master's Degree and extensive experience in the Intelligence profession is required. Liberty University is located in Lynchburg, VA, 3 hours south of Washington, D.C. It is a private, Christian, liberal arts, accredited institution with 15 colleges and schools. The modern campus at Liberty Mountain supports 15,000 residential students, Division I sports and over 115,000 online students. Liberty has a large and thriving Army and Air Force ROTC presence. Details on the job are here. Questions? Contact tcothron1@liberty.edu.

Tenure-Track Assistant Professor in Intelligence, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL

Job Description: The Department of Security Studies and International Affairs (SSIA) at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL., invites candidates to apply for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position in Intelligence (GEOINT). The successful candidate should have experience in one or more of the domains related to intelligence and security with skillsets in technologies such as Geospatial Intelligence, Remote Sensing using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), satellite imagery, as well as spatial analyses using Geographic Information Systems (GIS).
The successful candidate will contribute to SSIA's interdisciplinary Homeland Security and Intelligence program. In addition, the candidate will support the department and college to help integrate technology into the existing Homeland Security & Intelligence and Global Conflict Studies undergraduate degree programs as well as other programs external to the department. Primary tasks include undergraduate teaching and research, student advising, and relationship building with external organizations and agencies. The position requires teaching flexibility to cover a variety of courses in geospatial intelligence, geographic information systems, and their applications across a broad range of intelligence and security issues. Additional duties include scholarship, professional development, committee participation, and other activities to support the Department. This is a nine-month position with the possibility of summer teaching assignments. Position available August 2022.
Qualifications: An earned doctorate in intelligence-related discipline such as Geospatial Intelligence, Security Studies, Political Science, Remote Sensing, or related field is preferred. Special attention will be given to candidates with Intelligence Community experience and demonstrated success in securing and managing applied analytic projects. Knowledge of technical as well as policy and procedural aspects of geospatial intelligence and its applications is a plus. An exceptional candidate who is ABD (with an expected completion date within six months of the hire date) will be considered.
More info or to apply

Also being sought at Embry-Riddle [ERAU] in Daytona Beach, FL

Tenure-Track Assistant Professor in Cybersecurity

Job Description: The Department of Security Studies and International Affairs (SSIA) at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL., invites candidates to apply for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position in cybersecurity. We are seeking applicants whose research focuses on various aspects of the intersection between cyber technologies and human security. The successful candidate should have experience in one or more of the domains related to computer and network technologies, cybersecurity tools and incident response, digital forensics, cybercrime, social impacts of cyberspace, and cyber law and policy. Applicants with research interests/specializations in cybersecurity for GIS/geospatial analysis, unmanned aircraft systems, remote sensing, spatial analysis, and/or avionics are considered a plus.
The successful candidate will contribute to SSIA's interdisciplinary Homeland Security program. In addition, the person will support the department and college to help the department to integrate technology into the existing Homeland Security & Intelligence and Global Conflict Studies undergraduate degree programs as well as other programs external to the department. Primary tasks include undergraduate teaching and research, student advising, and relationship building with external organizations and agencies. The position requires teaching flexibility to cover a variety of courses in cybersecurity, digital forensics, and cybercrime. Additional duties include scholarship, professional development, committee participation, and other activities designed to support the Security Studies & International Affairs Department. This is a nine-month position with the possibility of summer teaching assignments. Position available as early as January 2022.
Qualifications: An earned doctorate in a cybersecurity-related discipline such as Computer Science, Information Technology, or Cybersecurity Engineering or related field; record of academic publishing; and grant proposal development. Must have knowledge of technical as well as policy and procedural aspects of cybersecurity. An exceptional candidate who is ABD (with an expected completion date within six months of the hire date) will be considered.
More info or to apply

Adjunct Faculty, Security Studies and International Affairs

Seeking to create a pool of local adjunct (part-time) faculty talent to join the Security Studies and International Affairs Department in the College of Arts & Sciences.
The Security Studies and International Affairs Department is the home to two degree programs: Bachelor of Science in Homeland Security; and Bachelor of Science in Global Conflict Studies.
Qualifications: Applicants must possess a master's degree or higher with 18 graduate hours in the discipline they intend to teach.
More info or to apply


Obituaries

Jay Taylor, Served on NSC, East Asian Intelligence Expert, Author
John Jackson Taylor, Served on NSC, East Asian Intelligence Expert, Author, 90, died 3 March 2022 in Decatur, GA.
Jay Taylor was born in Little Rock, AR. Early in his youth the family moved to Nashville, TN where his father, a lawyer, worked in the insurance industry. At 16, Taylor entered Vanderbilt University, and after graduating in 1953 joined the Navy, becoming an air cadet. While training at Naval Air Station Pensacola, FL, he switched to the Marine Corps, becoming a helicopter pilot, and served in Japan and California.
In 1957 he joined the US Foreign Service. During his 37-year career with the Department of State, he had nine postings around the world and rose to the highest rank of the Senior Foreign Service. Highlights of his career include serving as Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian Intelligence, a member of the National Security Council, and Chief of the US Mission in Havana, Cuba. During his diplomatic career, he wrote three books on international relations.
After he retired, he wrote and directed a PBS documentary on South Africa and wrote two more books, including "The Generalissimo," a biography of the Chinese leader Chiang Kai Shek. It won the prestigious Gelber Prize as "The 2010 best book on international relations," and was described by the Washington Post as "magisterial" and The Economist as "enthralling." Jay frequently contributed op-eds on world affairs to major newspapers. He was also a prolific poet, penning verse on occasions for his family, and especially for his wife, Betsy Rose, his muse.
Jay Taylor is survived by his children whom he called "The Golden Horde," which includes four children and other family. Mr. Taylor's wife of 62 years, Betsy Rose, died in 2017, and the family expects the two are now reunited. He liked to imagine Betsy saying, "What took you so long?"
Mr. Taylor's inurnment will be in the Columbarium at Arlington National Cemetery, where he and Mrs. Taylor will be laid to rest together, with full military honors.


Section V - Events

AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Virtual = ; In-Person =

Wednesday, 9 March 2022, 11:30am PST - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO Andre LeGallo Chapter hosts Thomas Fingar discussing "Lessons from Intelligence Reform."

Dr. Thomas Fingar will discuss his book "From Mandate to Blueprint: Lessons from Intelligence Reform," addressing how he defined and prioritized challenges, why he created a new organization inside another new organization and how he maintained best in the world intelligence support to U.S. officials while implementing needed reforms.
Location: Basque Cultural Center, 599 Railroad Ave, South San Francisco, CA 94080. Google maps link to location.
Timing: 11:30am no host cocktail; meeting and luncheon at noon.
To attend: Eventbrite registration is here. Reservation and pre-payment is required before 1 March 2022. The venue cannot accommodate walk-ins.
Questions?: Please contact Mariko Kawaguchi, Board Secretary at afiosf@aol.com or Mariko Kawaguchi, c/o AFIO, PO Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011.

Thursday, 17 March 2022, 11:30am MDT - Colorado Springs - The AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter hosts Major General Richard Engel , discussing "Strategic Intelligence."

SPEAKER BIO: General Richard Engel retired in December 2019 as the Director for Analytic Outreach for the National Intelligence Council (NIC). In this capacity, he was the principal interface between science and technology, international affairs, and social science subject matter experts and the NIC. Prior to his last position, Rich served as the Deputy Director for Strategic Programs and the Director for Environment and Natural Resources within the NIC. While on the NIC, Rich was also the Deputy National Intelligence Officer for Science and Technology (science and technology weapons analysts) where he was the principal representative for the National Intelligence Officer to the Scientific Technical Intelligence Committee (STIC).
Rich was Commandant of the Industrial College of the Armed Forces, National Defense University, Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, D.C. Prior to that, he was the Commander of the Air Force Flight Test Center, Edwards Air Force Base, Calif. He is a graduate of the Test Pilot School and he logged more than 4,000 flying hours in his USAF career and flew more than 30 aircraft types.

For event location and other information, please contact steve13507@gmail.com

Thursday, 17 March 2022, 12:30 - 1:30pm PDT - GoToMeeting - AFIO LA Chapter hosts TD Barnes on "The Genesis and Evolution of CIA's Area 51"

Our next L.A. AFIO meeting will feature guest speaker Thornton D. "TD" Barnes on "The Genesis and Evolution of the CIA's Area 51." The presentation will cover Area 51 and the U-2 and A-12 projects, the MiG exploitation project, and our pioneering stealth.
Two National Geographic Channel documentaries feature Barnes: Area 51 Declassified and CIA—Secrets of Area 51. Numerous documentaries on the History Channel, the Discovery Channel, the Travel Channel, C-Span, and others also feature him, most recent, the Fox Nation aired August 2021. Barnes is the author of several books, including The CIA Area 51 Chronicles, a three-book series about the CIA at Area 51 and a new release, CIA Station D - Area 51. Barnes lives in Henderson, NV.
To RSVP to virtually attend, do so at AFIO_LA@yahoo.com
Questions to Chapter President Vince Autiero at afio_la@yahoo.com

Saturday, 19 March 2022, 2 pm EDT - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine hosts VADM William Merz on "Strengths and Vulnerabilities of Islands off China's Eastern Coast" - mainly Taiwan. Ukraine also on Agenda.

The speaker is Vice Admiral William Merz. He is a graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy, and holds a Master's Degree from Catholic University. He is currently assigned to the Pentagon as Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Operations, Plans and Strategy. His previous major assignments include Command of the 7th Fleet, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations for Warfare Systems, Director Undersea Warfare Division, Commander Naval Mine & Anti-Submarine Warfare, Task Force 54 in Bahrain, Submarine Development Squadron 12, the attack submarine USS Memphis and the nuclear deep-sea vessel Submarine NR-1. The 7th Fleet is part of the Pacific Fleet and is based in Japan with a major focus on the Western Pacific and the Indian Ocean.

VADM Merz understands that the Maine Chapter's forum is an unclassified environment and is part of continuing discussions relating to the importance of having an effective Intelligence Community as USA's first line of defense; therefore, his presentation will be based upon statements that have been, or about to be released to the general public. We anticipate VADM Merz will also offer his observations, analysis and opinions of the current problem in Ukraine.
The meeting is open to the public and will begin at 2:00 p.m. at the Program Center of the Brick Store Museum, 4 Dane Street, Kennebunk, Maine 04043. A Question and Answer period will follow the presentation.

Thursday, 7 April 2022, 7 pm CDT - Zoom Webinar - Major General Gary W. O'Shaughnessy will speak about careers in intelligence at this AFIO San Antonio Chapter Virtual Event

MG Gary O'Shaughnessy began his military service in 1960, when he was commissioned through the ROTC program. In 1962 he became a Communications Intelligence Officer and served several tours in Asia. He progressed in the military with assignment in the Security Service, Electronic Security Command, National Security Agency, and US Europe Command as the Director of Intelligence. General O'Shaughnessy currently serves on the AFIO National Board.
The 30 minute online social time has been dropped and this meeting begins promptly at 7 p.m. for civilians and 1900 hrs for former military. Virtual links will be forwarded closer to the date of the program.
Questions or to participate, contact John Franklin, President, AFIO San Antonio Chapter, at satxafio@gmail.comor 210 863-0430.

Friday, 8 April 2022 - McLean, VA - Registration has opened for this First of 2022 In-Person AFIO National Luncheon featuring David Ignatius and Toby Harnden

AFIO's first in-person event of 2022. We hope you will attend.
Speakers will be: David Ignatius, Associate Editor, Columnist, The Washington Post, and author, will be morning speaker; Toby Harnden, author of "The First Casualty: The Untold Story of the CIA Mission To Avenge 9/11" will speak following lunch.
Event will be held at DoubleTree-Hilton, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, McLean, VA. Questions to annettej@afio.com
Registration has opened here.


Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others

Thursday, 10 March 2022, 11:30am - 2pm EST - Vienna, VA - CIRA National Luncheon & 2021 Salvetti Award Presentation

CIRA will be hosting their first national luncheon of 2022. And will be using the occasion to present the 2021 Salvetti Award to Robert (Bob) Wallace. A keynote speaker (TBA) will discuss the 75th Anniversary Program.
For details on the program, precise location, meal, fee, or to make your reservations, visit CIRA's website here.
You must be a current member of CIRA to access this site.

Sunday, 20 March 2022, 2 - 3:30 EDT - virtual - Near the End of All Things: Able Archer 1983 & History to Novel - sponsored by The Cold War Museum

You know how close the world came to ending during the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962. But did you know that 21 years later Mutually-Assured Destruction almost occurred again? And this time one side (ours) didn't even know until the last second that we were right on the edge. A breath away from the end of all things: Able Archer 1983 and turning the history into fiction.
In 1983, the U.S. and the Soviet Union came very close to nuclear war—without the U.S. being aware at the time of the extreme danger of the situation until things had advanced very far toward nuclear war.
The Soviets had become convinced that the 1983 version of an annual NATO exercise known as Able Archer was not the routine military exercise that it in fact was, but instead was the pretext for a first strike against the Soviet Union.
What had happened was a combination of some added realism in the NATO war simulation, including, as Wikipedia notes, "a new, unique format of coded communications, radio silences, and the participation of heads of states," AND unusually tense relations between the Soviets and the West at that time, especially about pending new installation of Pershing nuclear missiles in Europe. When the Soviets heightened their actual defense status in ways that clearly indicated nuclear war was close at hand, only following a U.S. General's advice against responding in kind managed to de-escalate the situation in time.
Brian Morra was an Air Force Intelligence officer during this crisis, serving in some of the locales that were important to Able Archer 1983. He'll be talking with us about The Able Archers, the first in his series of forthcoming novels relating to these events and subsequent ones. After describing why he decided to write this book, he'll explain how he chose his two main characters (one AF intelligence, the other GRU), what the key Able Archer historical events were, and how he's thinking about Able Archers series of novels going forward. This is a chance to not only learn about this key historical event but also to discover how writers of historical fiction who are serious about getting the history right try to do that while creating an engaging story line that will provide a way for people who otherwise might not be interested in history to engage with it through the eyes of the fictional characters on various sides of the events.
Cost: $20, 100% of which is a contribution to the Cold War Museum.
Location: ONLINE via ZOOM Webinar platform. Eventbrite ticket buyers will receive a link to the virtual room on the Zoom platform where this event will take place. We are recording the whole event, including the Q&A, for the Museum's archives.
Register here
Agenda: • 1:30-2:00. Participants arrive in the Zoom room online; • 2:00-2:05. Jason Hall, Executive Director of the Cold War Museum, introduces the Museum and Brian Morra; • 2:05-3:00. Brian presents on the history of Able Archer '83 and how he used that history as the framework for his historical novel; • 3:00-3:30. Q&A opportunity for the audience.
Questions? Call or email Jason Hall, 703-283-4124 (cell), jason@coldwar.org

Wednesday, 23 March 2022, 3 - 4:30pm EDT - Virtual - The OSS Society hosts Virtual Conversation with Drs Robert Gates and Michael Vickers

This first of 2022 "Oh So Social" virtual one-on-one conversation by The OSS Society features Dr. Robert Gates and Dr. Michael Vickers.
Speaker bios, program information, and to register

Thursday, 7 April 2022 at 6:30 - 7:30pm EDT - Washington, DC - Dr Harlan Ullman discusses "How Massive Attacks of Disruption are an Existential Danger to the U.S. and World" - at this in-person event at The City Tavern Preservation Foundation

The City Tavern Preservation Foundation, an organization established for the preservation of the oldest and last remaining Federal era tavern in Washington, DC, invites AFIO members, at no cost, to attend a discussion and book signing with Harlan Ullman for his latest book: The Fifth Horseman and the New MAD: How Massive Attacks of Disruption Became the Looming Existential Danger to a Divided Nation and the World at Large.
Dr. Harlan Ullman is a globally recognized thought leader and strategic thinker. Among his better known innovative concepts are: "shock and awe" "A Brains Based Approach to Strategic Thinking"; and "Massive Attacks of Disruption. "
A former naval person and Swift Boat skipper in Vietnam who carried out over 150 combat missions, and later, commanded a destroyer in the Persian Gulf, he has advised heads of government and industry. He has also chaired several companies.
He lays out the issues and makes major recommendations to repair a broken government, infrastructure, and in many ways a flawed national security policy and organization. He is UPI's Arnaud de Borchgrave distinguished columnist and a Contributor to The Hill
No Charge to attend but reservations required and can be made at this Eventbrite link.
Event location: City Tavern, 3206 M St NW, Washington, DC 20007. Location on Google Maps.
To order a book, do so here at Amazon

1 - 3 May 2022 - Tucson, AZ - Spies Lies & Nukes Conference

Join Valerie Plame and several of her legendary, highly decorated CIA colleagues as they dive into the secretive world of espionage. Hear intriguing, provocative, and sometimes shocking conversations on cyber attacks, covert actions, nuclear scams, recruiting real spies from those that lived in the "wilderness of mirrors" for years.

Speakers: Valerie Plame, Conference Host and former Covert CIA Ops Officer; James C. Lawler, former Senior CIA Ops Officer; Alma Katsu, former CIA and NSA Analyst; Marc Polymeropoulos, former Senior CIA Ops Officer; Rolf Mowatt-Larssen, former Senior CIA Intelligence Officer; Mary Beth Long, former Asst SecDef for Intl Security Affairs; Glenn Carle, former Senior CIA Ops Officer; Lucy Kirk, former CIA Chief of Station and Ops Officer; Jonna Mendez, former Senior CIA Intelligence Officer; Gary C. Schroen, former Senior CIA Intelligence Officer

Topics: Some of the topics that will be presented by our experts and panelists:
"Afghanistan: Ending the Forever War"; "What is the 'Havana Syndrome'?"; "Russian election hacking / cyberwarfare"; "SoulCatcher: How to recruit a spy"; "Women in the CIA"; "Spy Fiction: What is real and what isn't?"; "The Morality and Politics of Torture"; and "The Nuclear Threat."

Location: Hacienda del Sol Guest Ranch Resort - a beautiful and historic resort at 5501 N Hacienda Del Sol Rd, Tucson, AZ 85718.
More information or to register visit https://www.spiesliesnukes.com/

10 - 12 May 2022 - National Cryptologic Foundation General Membership Meeting (GMM) & 18th CCH Cryptologic History Symposium

HOLD THE DATE. The NCF General Membership Meeting & Annual Symposium took place in October for many years, but starting in 2022 the program will take place in May. It will be a hybrid (in-person and virtual) event. In addition to updates about the Foundation's activities and initiatives, the program typically includes guest speakers, a timely keynote address, and often an expert panel discussion. At times the meeting includes an In Memoriam tribute to Foundation members we have lost in the past year.
For updated information on this forthcoming May event, view the calendar here and click on links for both event at this page.

19-22 June 2022 - Treviso (near Venice), Italy - 2022 IAFIE and IAFIE-EC Conference and CFP

Theme: "Working Wicked Intelligence Challenges: Intelligence Research, Education-Training and Practice"
The 2022 CALL FOR PAPERS addresses engaging themes that combine the different Intelligence domains and disciplines with a look into the future challenges.
Read the Call for Papers to know the main Conference themes, requirements, deadline and the new IAFIE Study Group Initiative.
Those who had planned to attend and present papers at the postponed 2020 or 2021 Italy conference can resubmit their papers--or propose to present new papers--at the June 2022 Treviso-Venice Conference.
Presenters are encouraged to submit papers for publication in the Journal of Security, Intelligence, and Resilience Education (JSIRE). IAFIE announces the requirements for a peer-reviewed paper to be accepted for publication in the Call for Papers.
The Call for Papers includes details about Registration, Fees, Travel, and Accommodations along with additional tour options and partners/spouses' tour.
Conference includes a tour to Venice (free of charge) at the end of the Conference.
Event will be hosted by École Universitaire Internationale - Italy.
The Conference will take place in the territories that have witnessed the rise of the first structured Intelligence service in the world, and have always been the bridge between west and east, forefront observer of their evolution through time;
Be with us to live what freedom and Democracy are. Be with us to be a sign, a design for what freedom and democracy will be in the future.
We will meet in Treviso, near Venice, crossroad city that unites cultures, east-west, north-south for a vision of the global universe.
For more information, to respond to the CFP, or to register, do so here.


Store Items:

ITEMS FOR SALE AT AFIO FOR MEMBERS...

PopSocket for cellphones or tablets
Show your support to AFIO while enjoying the convenience offered by our AFIO Logo PopSocket. The PopSocket is most commonly used as a stand and as a grip for your mobile phone or tablet; handy for taking selfies, watching videos, and for texting. The PopSocket looks like a small button or sticker which, when closed, sticks flat to your mobile device. However, its accordion-like design enables it to pop open for use. The benefits of using a PopSocket make it a must-have accessory for your mobile phone or tablet. It also aids in keeping your phone from slipping off your hand during use, falling, or breaking.
Price: $15. Order this and other store items online here.


Caps - Dark Navy with Navy AFIO Logo
An authentic silhouette with the comfort of an unstructured, adjustable fit. Fabric: 100% cotton. Unstructured. Fabric strap closure with adjustable D-clip. Price: $30. Order this and other store items online here.


Duffel Bags - Royal Blue and Black with Full Color AFIO Logo This duffel has it all when it comes to value, style and organization.
600 denier polyester canvas with polyester double contrast; D-shaped zippered entry for easy access. Front pocket with hook and loop closure. End mesh pocket Easy-access end pockets. Four durable, protective feet and built-in bottom board for added strength. Web handles with padded grip. Detachable, adjustable shoulder strap.
Dimensions: 11"h x 19.75"w x 9.75"d; Approx. 2,118 cubic inches
Price: $50. Order this and other store items online here.


AFIO Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. Sturdy enough to sit on desk to hold pens, cards, paperclips, and candy.

This handsome large, heavy USA-made ceramic mug is dishwasher-safe with a glazed seal. $35 per mug includes shipping. Order this and other store items online here.


Guide to the Study of Intelligence and When Intelligence Made a Difference

"AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence" has sold out in hard-copy.
However, it is available in digital form in its entirety on the AFIO website here.

Also available on the website here are the individual articles of AFIO's history project "When Intelligence Made a Difference" that have been published to date in The Intelligencer journal. More articles will be forthcoming in future editions.


Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers.

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs:

a) IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list. If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words: REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm


WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's or author's listed with each article. Notices in the WINs about non-AFIO events do not constitute endorsement or recommendation by AFIO. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 1998 thru 2022. AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com


About AFIO | Membership Renewal | Change of Address | Upcoming Events | Chapter Locations | Corporate/Institutional Memberships | Careers in Intelligence Booklet | Guide to the Study of Intelligence | Intelligencer Journal | Weekly Intelligence Notes | To Make A Donation | AFIO Store | Member-Only Section | Code of Ethics | Home Page

Click here to return to top.