AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #03-22 – 18 January 2022
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES
Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS
Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others 1 - 3 May 2022 - Tucson, AZ - Spies Lies & Nukes Conference For additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors: cp, sb, gh. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue. The WIN editors attempt to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and staff. Notices in the WINs about non-AFIO events do not constitute endorsement or recommendation by AFIO. CAVEATS:
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Released today exclusively to members... The true story of the father and son co-conspirators Interview of Monday, 10 January 2022 of Bryan Denson, author of the book "The Spy's Son: The True Story of the Highest-Ranking CIA Officer Ever Convicted of Espionage and the Son He Trained to Spy for Russia" (2015): Host/Interviewer: James Hughes, AFIO President, former CIA Operations Officer. Bryan Denson tells the riveting story of the Nicholsons—father and son co-conspirators who deceived their country by selling national secrets to Russia. Jim Nicholson [Harold James Nicholson] was one of the CIA's top veteran case officers. By day, he taught spycraft at the CIA's clandestine training center, The Farm. By night, he was a minivan-driving single father racing home to have dinner with his kids. But Nicholson led a double life. For more than two years, he had met covertly with agents of Russia's foreign intelligence service and turned over troves of classified documents. In 1997, Nicholson became the highest ranking CIA officer ever convicted of espionage. But his duplicity didn't stop there. While behind the bars of a federal prison, the former mole systematically groomed the one person he trusted most to serve as his stand-in: his youngest son, Nathan. When asked to smuggle messages out of prison to Russian contacts, Nathan saw an opportunity to be heroic and to make his father proud. Access the Denson interview here or click above image. Other Videos in the "AFIO Now" SeriesClick title above or here to view the public and
member-only interviews in the AFIO Now series. Newest podcast: Steve Vogel, Author/Journalist, The Washington Post discusses traitor George Blake's betrayal of a Cold War secret tunnel recorded 10 November 2021 Log into the Member-only area to view private and public interviews. Spies Lies & Nukes Conference Join Valerie Plame and several of her legendary, highly decorated CIA colleagues as they dive into the secretive world of espionage.
Hear intriguing, provocative, and sometimes shocking conversations on cyber attacks, covert actions, nuclear scams, recruiting real spies from those that lived in the "wilderness of mirrors" for years. NEW ITEMS FOR SALE AT AFIO FOR MEMBERS... NEW: PopSocket for cellphones or tablets Caps - Dark Navy with Navy AFIO Logo Duffel Bags - Royal Blue and Black with Full Color AFIO Logo This duffel has it all when it comes to value, style and organization. Visit, Follow, Subscribe to AFIO's LinkedIn, Twitter, and YouTube pages to receive updates. Members who use social media or wish to explore, will find new
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS Nuclear Weapons, China, and a Strategic Defense Initiative for this Century - by Michael R. Pompeo, The National Interest, 18 Jan 2022 A modern strategy for addressing the threats we now confront must be conceptually similar to Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative and draw from the lessons it conveyed. It must also maintain the sufficiency of our triad and apply technologically advanced answers to the array of new threats we face. Texas Synagogue Hostage Incident Demonstrates Endurance of Transnational Terror Networks - Ali Soufan, intelBrief, 18 Jan 2022 A hostage situation unfolded over the weekend near Fort Worth, TX, when 44-year-old British national Malik Faisal Akram took worshippers hostage at the Congregation Beth Israel of Colleyville, a Jewish synagogue. Warnings of 'Civil War' Risk Harming Efforts Against Political Violence - by Anjali Dayal, Alexandra Stark, and Megan A. Stewart, War on the Rocks, 18 Jan 2022 A year on from the Jan. 6 insurrection, experts warn of catastrophic political violence, while political commentators invoke the specter of the 1860s and throw out sensationalist headlines about a second U.S. Civil War. "The unimaginable has become reality in the United States. … [T]he basic truth is the United States might be on the brink of [a civil] war today," read one such argument. New Domestic Terrorism Unit at the Department of Justice — Talking Points - Jamil Jaffer, NSI, 12 Jan 2022 The headline: The creation by the Biden Administration of a new domestic terrorism unit within the Justice Department's National Security Division has generated some controversy because of the potential of such investigations to potentially chill free speech and political expression. Hamas Alleges That Israel Has 'Killer Dolphins' - HI Sutton, Covert Shores, 10 Jan 2022 A video posted by Hamas alleges that one of its frogmen was killed by an Israeli trained dolphin. This may not be as far fetched as it at first sounds. The video (shared on Twitter) shows a harness which it alleges was recovered. The harness appears to fit the nose of a dolphin. And is similar to those used in US Navy and Russian Navy marine mammal programs. The harness appears to have a spear gun-like device attached. Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES Intelligence Matters: A CBS News original
national security podcast hosted by former CIA acting director
and CBS News national security contributor Michael Morell. Morell is crisp, precise, cautious, fair, avoids
political slant, and provides remarkable insights. Not to miss. Jan 12 | "Applying Cold War Lessons to Great Power Competition: Historian Hal Brands" Morell speaks with Hal Brands, the Henry Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies and the author of the new book, "The Twilight Struggle: What the Cold War Teaches Us About Great Power Rivalry Today." Morell and Brands discuss the ways in which applied history can help policymakers make better-informed strategic decisions today. They move through a selection of Cold War-era lessons outlined by Brands in his book to inform the United States' approach to competition with Russia and China. They also discuss why some efforts - including the forging global partnerships and successfully projecting democratic values - may pose more of a challenge for the United States today than it did in decades past. More about Intelligence Matters by Michael Morell here. Podcasts also available here. FTC Jumps Into Llog4j Cleanup... - Stewart Baker, Others at Steptoe Cyberblog Cyberblog
by Steptoe & Johnson LLP — By Stewart Baker on 12 Jan 2022 Some Prior Conversations: As Biden Struggles & Burns Bridges, U.S. Adversaries Rejoice - more from Inside the SCIF Inside
the SCIF by JJ Green, WTOP -
Issue #146, 13 Jan has details on... Oath Keeper Leader Indicted for J6 Involvement; Past 7 Years Hottest Ever; As Biden Struggles, it delights Russia, China, other Adversaries as nothing gets passed; Biden Team Burning Bridges with more Moderate Dems; WH focusing on local radio to reach DMV region - made Kamala H available; Head of Denmark's external Intel Agency (PET) charged with treason; Sweden fights disinfo with "strengthening resilience in population"; Allow Biden faster US military response if China invades Taiwan? Or wait for Congress to decide?; Four rockets targeted US Embassy in Baghdad's Green Zone. And "The Hunt" explores: DOJ unveils new efforts to prosecute domestic extremists 19 Jan: "US Signaling Putin that Ukraine Will Be Bloody" by Jeff Stein and Peter Eisner Jan 13: "How Foreign Spies Infiltrate US Police" by Jeff Stein Jan 10: "Recalling Putin Two Decades Ago" by Jim Laurie Jan 7: "Joseph Weisberg Explains Himself" by Jeff Stein Jan 5: "Can the Capitol Police Handle Another Assault?" by Jeff Stein Dec 23: "Military Spies, and Military Subversives" by Jeff Stein, with Doug Wise and Scott MacFarlane The Arkin Group's Jan 14 "In Other News" letter to private clients by former Deputy Director, Operations Officer Jack Devine features...
Follow link here to read analyses and predictions given to their private clients on the topics from last week. There is a delay of seven days before the above topics will appear at this link. Released 11 December 2021 in The National Interest: Strategic Clarity Can Counter Chinese and Russian Aggression - Jack Devine and Jonathan D. T. Ward. Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS
Swedish spy agency investigates drone sightings at three nuclear power plants - Joe Fitsanankis, IntelNews, 18 Jan 2022 Sweden's domestic security agency said it had taken over from the police an investigation into sightings of unmanned aerial vehicles, commonly known as drones, at three nuclear power plants. On Monday, the Swedish Security Service, known by its Swedish acronym, SAPO, confirmed earlier reports that a large-size drone had been spotted on Friday by security guards over the Forsmark Nuclear Power Plant. The facility is located just short of 95 miles north of Sweden's capital, Stockholm. It is known as the country's largest producer of electricity, generating one sixth of its electricity supply. Article continues here FBI v. Fazaga: Supreme Court Examines Interplay of State Secrets Privilege and the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act - CRS, 12 Jan 2022 On November 8, 2021, the Supreme Court heard oral arguments in Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) v. Fazaga, a case that explores the circumstances in which a federal court may examine classified information in a civil lawsuit in order to review the legality of certain government surveillance activities. The plaintiffs in Fazaga are three Muslim individuals who allege that the FBI directed a confidential informant to conduct surveillance at the plaintiffs' homes, businesses, and places of worship based purely on their religious identity. Such surveillance was conducted under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act of 1978 (FISA), which authorizes, among other things, electronic surveillance and physical searches if there is probable cause to believe that the targets are agents of a foreign power. The plaintiffs sued the government alleging various constitutional and statutory claims. The plaintiffs also sued several FBI officials in their individual capacities pursuant to Section 110 of FISA (50 U.S.C. § 1810) which provides a civil remedy for an "aggrieved person . . . who has been subjected to an electronic surveillance" in violation of federal law. Report continues here Ukraine and the Danger of Human Miscalculation - by Dell Dailey James P. Farwell, The National Interest, 18 Jan 2022 We must guard against the danger of human miscalculation in anticipating how each side may react to action by the other. The Unresolved Case of the January 6th Pipe Bomber by Ali Soufan, intelBrief, 14 Jan 2022 As awful as the January 6, 2021 Capitol insurrection was for the health of American politics, society, and democracy, it could have been dramatically worse if one or both of the two pipe bombs planted in the early hours before the riot had exploded. One pipe bomb was discovered near the Democratic National Committee (DNC) building, and another was found near the Republican National Committee (RNC) building. Both pipe bombs were functioning explosive devices, capable of injuring and/or killing anyone close by if they had gone off. Those in this vicinity included then Vice President-Elect Kamala Harris, who was reportedly evacuated from the DNC when the bomb was discovered outside near a park bench. The reality that someone manufactured and planted two viable pipe bombs just before the criminal events of January 6 is troubling in and of itself; that the perpetrator is still unknown and at large a year later is of great concern. Article continues here JUDAS 62 & the 21st Century Espionage Novel - by Joshua Huminski, Dir, Mike Rogers Ctr for Intel, GMU - in NSI, 18 Jan 2022 Stanford University professor Amy Zegart recently penned a piece in the Atlantic decrying the effects that fictional spies have on real world intelligence. Characters like James Bond, Jason Bourne, Jack Ryan, Jack Bauer, and others warp what people think intelligence officers do, what intelligence can achieve, and what the world of espionage is like. CAREERS: Machiavellian Maxims: 10 Timeless Examples of Examples of Renaissance Wisdom - Steven Matthew Leonard, ClearanceJobs, 18 Jan 2022 Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming Red-Handed: How America's Most Powerful People Help China Win Schweizer says that, in a quarter-century as an investigative journalist, this is the scariest investigation he has ever conducted. That the Chinese government seeks to infiltrate American institutions is hardly surprising. What is wholly new, however, are the number of American elites who are eager to help the Chinese dictatorship in its quest for global hegemony. Presidential families, Silicon Valley gurus, Wall Street high rollers, Ivy League universities, even professional athletes—all willing to sacrifice American strength and security on the altar of personal enrichment. Teveals the secret deals wealthy Americans have cut to help China build its military, technological, and economic might. And shows that many of these elites quietly believe the Chinese dictatorial regime is superior to American democracy, while their policies here hamper our own competitive spirit. Book may be ordered here A Knock at the Door: The Story of My Secret Work With Israeli MIAs and POWs The inside story of Israel's secret negotiations to bring home their soldiers taken hostage by terrorist groups. Suppose one day, your son or husband, while serving in the military or working as a journalist, is taken hostage by a terrorist group—and you have no idea whether your loved one is dead or alive or how to even make contact with the insurgents holding him. It's a nightmare scenario that has sadly taken place dozens of times in the past twenty years in the Middle East. Here in the U.S., the government does not always get involved. Instead, it will engage the services of a neutral country to negotiate with the terrorists. Unfortunately, many times the terrorists insist on never-ending demands in order to torment the family of the hostage. Unlike Israel, we've never had a central address for these types of scenarios. But maybe after reading this book, it's an idea we could, and should, consider. Ory Slonim, the international "door knocker" was an invention of necessity by the Israeli government. Book may be ordered here. The American Girl Goes to War: Women and National Identity in U.S. Silent Film (War Culture) During the 1910s, films about war often featured a female protagonist. The films portrayed women as spies, cross-dressing soldiers, and athletic defenders of their homes—roles typically reserved for men and that contradicted gendered-expectations of home-front women waiting for their husbands, sons, and brothers to return from battle. The representation of American martial spirit—particularly in the form of heroines—has a rich history in film in the years just prior to the American entry into World War I. Clarke demonstrates the predominance of heroic female characters in in early narrative films about war from 1908 to 1919. American Girls were filled with the military spirit of their forefathers and became one of the major ways that American women's changing political involvement, independence, and active natures were contained by and subsumed into pre-existing American ideologies. Book may be ordered here. Imagine if you woke up tomorrow to news of: A massive cyber-attack that irreparably damaged financial markets and shut down critical infrastructure, or A significant conventional defeat due to strategic surprise like happened at Pearl Harbor, or The release of a manufactured pathogen that marks the beginning of a new global pandemic. Each of the scenarios above, and others, could be caused in part by a catastrophic intelligence failure. Drawing on the lessons of World War II and in the context of the impending Cold War, the United States Congress passed the National Security Act of 1947 to address institutional challenges and to set favorable conditions for U.S. intelligence and national security. Now, nearly a quarter of the way through the 21st century, the National Security Act of 1947 remains the bedrock of the U.S. national security enterprise, but in a world in which the threats and challenges have dramatically changed. We pose an overarching question: If you were starting from scratch, what might a National Security Act for the next 75 years contain to address current shortcomings and to improve intelligence capabilities, structures, and organizations to meet requirements in the years ahead? The Intelligence and Applied History Projects at Harvard's Belfer Center invite submissions for an essay contest on imagining a new U.S. National Security Act for the 21st century. Essays should consider the rise of China, technological advances, globalization, changes in U.S. relative power, redefinition of national security to include economic and cyber issues, espionage at scale, compression of decision time, and climate change—among other trends you deem important—and how these factors might drive a paradigm shift for U.S. intelligence and national security in general. As you examine this question and possible approaches to a reformed national intelligence enterprise, we invite you to provide a framework for new legislation along with ideas for what the United States should prioritize. The best papers should address the national interests at stake and the most pressing challenges your construct is designed to address. What institutions, mechanisms, legal requirements, or other factors would you choose to create, merge, alter, or abolish and why? What efficiencies, benefits, and synergies are part of the big picture objective? Finally, what are the foreseeable impediments to your proposed changes and what is driving them? This call for papers is open to members of the public. Papers will be evaluated by a panel of current and former US intelligence practitioners and knowledgeable academics. The top three papers will receive cash prizes of $5,000, $2,500, and $1,000. The top three authors will also be invited to participate in a panel discussion convened at Harvard (virtually or in person) in the Spring of 2022, in which they brief senior US intelligence officials on their papers, to commemorate the 75th anniversary of the National Security Act of 1947. With permission, the winning paper will be published in whole or in part in a Belfer Center product. Papers should be no more than 2500 words Times New Roman 12pt font in Word or PDF format, and must be received no later than March 18. Please email papers to: pbriscoe@hks.harvard.edu and maria_robson@hks.harvard.edu and include your name, contact email, and phone number. Job Description: The Department of Security Studies and International Affairs (SSIA) at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL., invites candidates to apply for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position in Intelligence (GEOINT). The successful candidate should have experience in one or more of the domains related to intelligence and security with skillsets in technologies such as Geospatial Intelligence, Remote Sensing using Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), satellite imagery, as well as spatial analyses using Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Also being sought at Embry-Riddle [ERAU} in Daytona Beach, FL Tenure-Track Assistant Professor in Cybersecurity Job Description: The Department of Security Studies and International Affairs (SSIA) at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, FL., invites candidates to apply for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position in cybersecurity. We are seeking applicants whose research focuses on various aspects of the intersection between cyber technologies and human security. The successful candidate should have experience in one or more of the domains related to computer and network technologies, cybersecurity tools and incident response, digital forensics, cybercrime, social impacts of cyberspace, and cyber law and policy. Applicants with research interests/specializations in cybersecurity for GIS/geospatial analysis, unmanned aircraft systems, remote sensing, spatial analysis, and/or avionics are considered a plus. Adjunct Faculty, Security Studies and International Affairs Seeking to create a pool of local adjunct (part-time) faculty talent to join the Security Studies and International Affairs Department in the College of Arts & Sciences. Michael James Mullikin, 73, Military Intelligence Officer, died of congestive heart failure 2 January 2022 in Jonesboro, GA AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... The AFIO-Los Angeles Chapter kicks off 2022 with guest speaker Dr. Daniel Winterhalter, who recently retired as Chief Scientist, from NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). He will be discussing the James Webb Space Telescope, which had a successful launch on December 25, 2021. The Webb Telescope is expected to be a primary science asset to the nation and the world. Please join us for this meeting which will take place on the GoToMeeting platform. The Florida Satellite Chapter, at this in-person meeting, hears from Lieutenant General Patrick M. Hughes, US Army (Retired), the former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, discussing "The Threat to the U.S. from China." David Oakley will address the Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter on the DoD/CIA postwar relationship. Omicron, or variants to follow, still has many events and conferences speculative; but, hold this date on your calendar for a possible "first of 2022" in-person AFIO National event to be held at DoubleTree, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, McLean, VA. Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others Thursday, 20 January 2022, noon - 1 pm ET - Zoom Webinar - Virtual Spy Chat with Chris Costa and Ali Maisam Nazary - The International Spy Museum Sign up for an online discussion with Spy Museum Executive Director Chris Costa as he is joined by Ali Maisam Nazary, Head of Foreign Relations for the National Resistance Front of Afghanistan (NRF). Mission: Mix and Mingle Like a Pro The National Cryptologic Foundation's Winter 2022 Cryptologic Program will feature Mr. Tony Comer, retired GCHQ historian and Dr. John Ferris, author of Behind the Enigma: The Authorised History of GCHQ, Britain's Secret Cyber Intelligence Agency. The program will be moderated by Dr. David Sherman. Since the Cold War, spies have been hot, and the world of comics have had a great assortment of undercover operatives. SPY's program panel will include national security lawyer and comic collector/dealer Mark S. Zaid, comic book writer Andy Diggle (author of James Bond comic books Hammerhead and Kill Chain; The Losers, which was adapted into the movie starring Jeffrey Dean Morgan, Chris Evans, Zoe Saldana and Idris Elba; and Green Arrow: Year One, which inspired the hit TV show Arrow), and Eisner Award nominated artist Shawn Martinbrough (author of How to Draw Noir Comics: The Art and Technique of Visual Storytelling and with projects including Batman: Detective Comics, DMZ, Luke Cage Noir, The Black Panther: Man Without Fear and Hellboy). Aden Magee is an internationally-renowned expert on full-spectrum threats to our way of life. He is a career intelligence and counterintelligence (CI) professional with a legacy of experience supporting U.S. government agencies including the Department of Defense, the Central Intelligence Agency, the Federal Bureau of Investigations, and the Department of Homeland Security. 1 - 3 May 2022 - Tucson, AZ - Spies Lies & Nukes Conference Join Valerie Plame and several of her legendary, highly decorated CIA colleagues as they dive into the secretive world of espionage. In addition to the Royal Blue long sleeve shirts and gray long sleeve hoodies, the AFIO Store has the following items ready for quick shipment: LONG Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo and Mugs with color-glazed permanent logo Show
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