AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #45-21 dated 07 December 2021
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES
Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS
Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
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Spies Lies & Nukes Conference Join Valerie Plame and several of her legendary, highly decorated CIA colleagues as they dive into the secretive world of espionage.
Hear intriguing, provocative, and sometimes shocking conversations on cyber attacks, covert actions, nuclear scams, recruiting real spies from those that lived in the "wilderness of mirrors" for years. Released exclusively to members last week.... Traitor George Blake's Audacious Betrayal of a Cold War Secret Tunnel, his Arrest, Incarceration, Escape, and Flight to Moscow and Vogel's Visit to Blake's Dacha Decades Later
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS US warns of 'nuclear' sanctions on Russia in Joe Biden-Vladimir Putin talks - The Telegraph, 7 Dec Economic penalties under discussion are 'pretty damn aggressive', similar to restrictions faced by Iran and North Korea, official has said. U.S. State Department phones hacked with Israeli company spyware - sources - Reuters, 3 Dec Apple Inc iPhones of at least nine U.S. State Department employees were hacked by an unknown assailant using sophisticated spyware developed by the Israel-based NSO Group, according to four people familiar with the matter. The hacks, which took place in the last several months, hit U.S. officials either based in Uganda or focused on matters concerning the East African country, two of the sources said. Review Finds No Answers to Mystery of Havana Syndrome - NYTimes, 2 Dec Some officials remain convinced Russia is involved, but so far there is no evidence pointing to a particular adversary and no one has detected microwaves or other possible weapons. Intelligence officials have not found any hard evidence that points to a cause. There are no intelligence intercepts implicating an adversarial spy service. No one has detected microwaves, other readings of energy pulses or any other weapons that could be to blame. Some officials say they remain convinced Russia is involved. And the C.I.A. director, William J. Burns, delivered a warning during his trip to Moscow this month: If Russia was found to be responsible, there would be consequences. The trouble developing evidence shows the difficulty of the problem, and suggests that absent a big breakthrough — evidence of someone using a device or an informant telling the C.I.A. about what is afoot... Article continues here China Seeks First Military Base on Africa's Atlantic Coast, U.S. Intelligence Finds - WSJ, 5 Dec Alarmed officials at the White House and Pentagon urge Equatorial Guinea to rebuff Beijing's overtures. The officials declined to describe details of the secret intelligence findings. But they said the reports raise the prospect that Chinese warships would be able to rearm and refit opposite the East Coast of the U.S.—a threat that is setting off alarm bells at the White House and Pentagon. Principal deputy U.S. national security adviser Jon Finer visited Equatorial Guinea in October on a mission to persuade President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo and his son and heir apparent, Vice President Teodoro "Teodorin" Nguema Obiang Mangue, to reject China's overtures. Article continues here Intel Analysts Needed - 'Slow-Boil Crisis': DIA Needs More Capability to Track Russian, Chinese Tech Work - DefenseOne, 6 Dec It takes years to train intelligence analysts, but the Pentagon doesn't have "that kind of time." Mossad recruited top Iranian scientists to blow up key nuclear facility - The JC, 2 Dec 90 per cent of the plant's centrifuges were destroyed, putting the complex out of action for up to nine months. Up to 10 scientists were approached by Israeli agents and agreed to destroy the underground A1000 centrifuge hall at Natanz in April, though they believed that they were working for international dissident groups. Some of the explosives they used were dropped into the compound by a drone and quietly collected by the scientists, while others were smuggled into the high security facility hidden in boxes of food on a catering lorry. The ensuing destruction caused chaos in the highest echelons of the Iranian leadership. It demolished 90 per cent of the centrifuges at the nuclear plant, delaying progress towards a bomb and putting the key complex out of action for up to nine months. Article continues here Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES Intelligence Matters: A CBS News original
national security podcast hosted by former CIA acting director
and CBS News national security contributor Michael Morell. Morell is crisp, precise, cautious, fair, avoids
political slant, and provides remarkable insights. Not to miss. Nov 30 | Dealing with the Taliban: Former Afghanistan Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad More about Intelligence Matters by Michael Morell here. Podcasts also available here. Does a Dead Horse Have a Right to Self-defense? - Stewart Baker, Others at Steptoe Cyberblog Cyberblog
by Steptoe & Johnson LLP — By Stewart Baker on 29 Nov 2021 Some Prior Conversations: The Arkin Group's Dec 3 "In Other News" letter to private clients by former Deputy Director, Operations Officer Jack Devine features...
Follow link here to read analyses and predictions given to their private clients on the topics from last week. There is a delay of seven days before the above topics will appear at this link. Released 8 November 2021: "A Spymaster and a Gentleman, Jack Devine Dispels CIA Myth and Dispenses his Truth" on The Live Drop, Episode 56. "A wonderful discussion with an experienced spymaster himself who's knowledge of intelligence history drives vivid and prescient insights from the past into the future. Jack dispels some persistently inaccurate mythology, and also clarifies why code phrases need not be improvised." Dec 5: "New HBO Documentary on CIA Torture Has a John Le Carré Vibe" by Jeff Stein Dec 2: "Spies, Lies, Algorithms & Sex Crimes" podcast by Jeff Stein with cohost Jeanne Meserve Nov 28: "Spies in the Ointment: Which Way Will FBI, CIA Swing if Trump Returns?" by Jeff Stein Nov 17: "The Endless CIA-Oswald Coverup" by Jeff Stein Nov 17: "The CIA Swamp in a Novel Nutshell" by Peter Eisner Nov 13: "Updated: Steele Dossier in Tatters" by Jeff Stein Readers, for a brief time, can subscribe for free for articles and weekend podcasts here. Inside
the SCIF by JJ Green, WTOP -
Issue #141, 2 Dec has details on... Russia Ignores US and Western Warnings about Ukraine Invasion; Why that is; What Drives the Lack of Unity - Biden camp discord, Harris problems, Bickering Within Party; Joint Statement on Sanctions Imposed on Belarus; Why U.S. Missed Incoming Omicron - Failure of Genomic surveillance?; Overconfident China Might Miscalculate; China's new Swarming Drones; Russian Sentenced for Hosting Cybercriminals; Meta Does Clean-up of Chinese Disinfo Accounts/Pages; U.S. will PNG 54 more Russian Diplomats; What's with Kim's Weight Loss?; and more. Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS Traditional Espionage Challenged by Ubiquity of Emerging Technologies - Ali Soufan in Intelbriefs One of the cardinal rules of human intelligence (HUMINT) tradecraft is to always know your "status," meaning whether an intelligence officer is under surveillance or not. Intelligence officers and the agents they handle must know that their meetings or activities are free from surveillance. Information obtained from a compromised relationship is itself compromised, with cascading effects if undetected. To that end, surveillance detection is a cornerstone of intelligence work. How that is accomplished in an age of surveillance across the board is a primary challenge for all intelligence agencies. The basics of an asset meeting are well known from Hollywood movies—the officer determines if they are free from surveillance by a carefully planned route and well-chosen locations. This and other tactics would reveal if someone (e.g. host country police or intelligence service, third-country rival intelligence service, terrorist or criminal entities, etc.) were following the officer. The task is risky and never ending, but it has been manageable. The issue now, one that has grown more important in recent years, is how do you detect if you're being "followed" if no one is actually following you but you are still very much under surveillance? Article continues here AIS Spoofing - Fake Ship Positions Could Start A War - Covert Shores Everyone (and their mother) has discovered AIS signals. When there is a major confrontation at sea, or a ship gets stuck in the Suez Canal, it's a race to the data used to track ships. But like any form of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) the signals you get may be misleading. They may even be fake. Remembering Pearl Harbor - U.S. National Archives, 7 Dec 80 years ago today, on the morning of December 7, 1941, Japanese bombers and torpedo planes staged a surprise attack on the U.S. Pacific fleet anchored at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, propelling the United States into World War II. In less than 2 hours, the U.S. Pacific Fleet was devastated, and more than 3,000 Americans were either killed or wounded. Coming in from the Cold explores forgotten—or never-remembered—national security policy initiatives, incidents and events during the Cold War. In each episode Cold War Historian Bill Rosenau, will sit down with experts on a wide range of topics to discuss these events and how they are relevant to today's challenges. Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming Capital of Spies: Intelligence Agencies in Berlin During the Cold War For almost half a century, the hottest front in the Cold War was right across Berlin. From summer 1945 until 1990, the secret services of NATO and the Warsaw Pact fought an ongoing duel in the dark. Throughout the Cold War, espionage was part of everyday life in both East and West Berlin, with German spies playing a crucial part of operations on both sides: Erich Mielke's Stasi and Reinhard Gehlen's Federal Intelligence Service, for example. The construction of the wall in 1961 changed the political situation and the environment for espionage—the invisible front was now concreted and unmistakable. But the fundamentals had not changed: Berlin was and would remain the capital of spies until the fall of the Berlin Wall, a fact which makes it all the more surprising that there are hardly any books about the work of the secret services in Berlin during the Cold War. Journalist Sven Felix Kellerhoff and historian Bernd von Kostka describe the spectacular successes and failures of the various secret services based in the city. Book may be ordered here. The Ledger: Accounting for Failure in Afghanistan "These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world," said Charlie Wilson, of America's role backing the anti-Soviet mujahideen. "And then we fucked up the endgame." With no support for Afghanistan after that war, the vacuum was filled by the Taliban and bin Laden. The Ledger assesses the West's similarly failed approach to Afghanistan after 9/11—in military, diplomatic, political and developmental terms. Dr David Kilcullen and Dr Greg Mills are uniquely placed to reflect backwards and forwards on the Afghan conflict: they worked with the international mission both as advisers and within the Arg, and they have considerable experience of counterinsurgency and stabilisation operations elsewhere in the world. These two experts show that there is plenty of blame to go around when explaining the failure to bring peace to Afghanistan after 9/11. The signs of collapse were conveniently ignored, in favour of political narratives of progress and success. Yet for Afghans, the war and its geopolitical effects are not over because NATO is gone—Afghanistan remains globally connected through digital communications and networks. This book explains why and where failings in Afghanistan happened, warning against exceptionalist approaches to future peacebuilding missions around the globe. Book may be ordered here. Pandemic Surveillance The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted life as we knew it. Lockdowns, self-isolation and quarantine have become a normal part of everyday life. Pandemic surveillance allows governments and corporations to monitor and surveil the spread of the virus and to make sure citizens follow the measures they put in place. This is evident in the massive, unprecedented mobilization of public health data to contain and combat the virus, and the ballooning of surveillance technologies such as contact-tracing apps, facial recognition, and population tracking. This can also be seen as a "pandemic of surveillance." Lyon tracks the development of these methods, examining different forms of pandemic surveillance, in health-related and other areas, from countries around the world. He explores their benefits and disadvantages, their legal status, and how they relate to privacy protection, an ethics of care, and data justice. Questioning whether this new culture of surveillance will become a permanent feature of post-pandemic societies and the long-term negative effects this might have on social inequalities and human freedoms, Lyon highlights the magnitude of COVID-19-related surveillance expansion. It also underscores the urgent need for new policies relating to surveillance and data justice in the twenty-first century. Book may be ordered here. Seeking Intelligence Analysis Instructor for Spring Semester, U of Mount Union, Alliance, Ohio My name is Michael Grossman and I am a professor at the University of Mount Union in Alliance, OH. I am writing to ask for help in locating someone in your organization who would be interested in teaching our course on intelligence analysis. This course is typically taught by an adjunct with intelligence analysis experience (she is a former CIA analyst). Unfortunately, due to a health emergency she is unable to teach the class this Spring semester. I am an Australian writer working on a biography of an Australian spymaster, General Walter Joseph CAWTHORN, who was director General of the Australian Secret Intelligence Service, (ASIS) from 1960 to 1968. I know that Cawthorn met with Allen Dulles when he was DCI and was wondering if any of your members also met him. If you did, I would appreciate hearing from you in the strictest confidence. Alan Fewster can be reached at fewsteralan@gmail.com. Seeking U.S. Women Intelligence Officers who served in Germany at some time between 1950 to 1990 I am a journalist for DER SPIEGEL, the biggest politicial news magazine in Germany. Counter Intelligence SME Contract work at the Wright Patterson AFB, Dayton Ohio on the China Counterespionage & Technology Transfer section, China Technology Transfer Unit (CTT2/CTTU), Counterespionage SME (REDEYE task force). The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Foreign Investment Unit (FIU). The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence Training SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Training Center (CITC). CITC is tasked with training field agents, supervisors and non-agent personnel in CI investigation. The FBI is seeking an Counterintelligence SME with extensive knowledge in the East Asia region. TO APPLY OR EXPLORE any of the above: contact Jessica Lewis, Jessica.Lewis@chenega.com for additional information. Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (STILO) with JHU/APL - Laurel, Maryland Are you seeking an opportunity to learn about foreign weapons systems? Do you take pride in your expert knowledge of adversary capabilities? If so, we're looking for someone like you to join our team at APL. We are seeking an Assistant Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (Assistant STILO) to help us to inform APL's research and development of sensitive technologies for the U.S. Government. You will assist the Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (STILO) in the National Security Analysis Department (NSAD). This position is designed for a creative, dynamic individual who fosters excellence and innovation, who has a passion for research, and effectively partners to ensure systems developed by APL for the U.S. Government are capable of addressing the most stressing future threats. This position provides strategic, forward leaning intelligence to lead APL and our sponsors to understand the threat environment; and the integration of threat analysis into current and future technology development, studies, and operational analyses. More about this position is here. Position Type Instructional Faculty -
Full Time Paul Feldman, SIS Naval Intelligence Officer Ed Shames, last WWII "Band of Brothers," NSA Middle East Expert AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... Our last holiday event was December 2019, two long years ago. We are returning to the Los Prados Country Club for a full Christmas Buffet. And we have a special guest speaker, Rev Curt Williams, to present an uplifting message on Patriotism. As at past parties, we will have a raffle for a beautiful Christmas Basket. AFIO Atlanta Chapter invites all AFIO members and friends to join us at our annual Christmas party and celebration of James Jesus Angleton's Birthday. Our special guest speaker is former Department of Defense Special Agent Kevin Bryant, who will speak on his forthcoming book Spies on the Sidelines: The High-Stakes World of NFL Espionage (Rowman & Littlefield July 2022). Not only does his non-fiction book contain the largest collection of football-related spy stories ever assembled, but also it's the first to explore the full arsenal of methods teams use to spy on their opponents and the countermeasures used to deter them. Spanning across all teams and eras, Bryant shines a light on the shady world of NFL espionage—from clandestine photography and hidden draft prospects to listening devices and stolen documents—along with the permissible, if sometimes questionable, spy techniques teams use day in and day out to gain an advantage over their opponents. The Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter is meeting for a luncheon with speakers Drs. Golfo Alexopoulos, founding director of the USF Institute on Russia and Professor of Global Studies at the University of South Florida, and Mark Grzegorzewski, Resident Senior Fellow in the Department of Strategic Intelligence and Emerging Technology at Joint Special Operations University, MacDill AFB. They will be briefing on "Russia and the Russian role in current geopolitics." Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others Join this online discussion of the latest intelligence, national security, and terrorism issues in the news. Spy Museum Executive Director Chris Costa, a former intelligence officer of 34 years, will be joined by former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence, The Honorable Susan M. Gordon. During her more than thirty-year career in public service, Gordon was also deputy director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency and served for 27 years at the Central Intelligence Agency. Sponsored by the Honorable Mary Beth Long, International Spy Museum, Board of Directors. Why Was the U.S. So Dominant in the Air From the Later Stages of WWII Through the Cold War? A Big Part of the Answer Was Lockheed's Legendary Skunk Works. Why Was That? Ask Someone Who Knows—And Who Saw a Lot of Things He Wasn't Supposed to See. Mission: Mix and Mingle Like a Pro 1 - 3 May 2022 - Tucson, AZ - Spies Lies & Nukes Conference Join Valerie Plame and several of her legendary, highly decorated CIA colleagues as they dive into the secretive world of espionage. In addition to the Royal Blue long sleeve shirts and gray long sleeve hoodies, the AFIO Store has the following items ready for quick shipment: LONG Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo and Mugs with color-glazed permanent logo Show
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