AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #43-21 dated 23 November 2021
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES
Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS
Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
For additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events
Details
on the Virtual Education Programs of the National Cryptologic
Museum Foundation are available here Other NCF Events can be
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Released exclusively to members.... One View of a CIA Career — with Pros and Cons on the Changes Seen
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS Secret Chinese Port Project in Persian Gulf Rattles U.S. Relations With U.A.E. — Wall Street Journal, Lubold & Strobel, 19 Nov 2021 Alarmed U.S. officials warned Emirati government, a Mideast ally, that Chinese military presence could hinder ties; construction has halted. U.S. intelligence agencies learned this spring that China was secretly building what they suspected was a military facility at a port in the United Arab Emirates, one of the U.S.'s closest Mideast allies, according to people familiar with the matter. Alarmed, the Biden administration warned the Emirati government that a Chinese military presence in its country could threaten ties between the two nations. After rounds of meetings and visits by U.S. officials, construction was recently halted, according to people familiar with the matter. The intelligence findings and U.S. warnings concerned a site at a port near the Emirati capital of Abu Dhabi. People familiar with the matter said it appeared the Emirati government, which hosts U.S. military forces and is seeking to buy advanced American jet fighters and drones, was unaware of the military nature of China's activity. China's effort to establish what U.S. officials believe would be a military foothold in the U.A.E.—and the Biden administration's push to persuade the Emiratis to stop the base from being built—reflect the challenges the administration faces in attempting to compete with Beijing globally. Article continues here A Conversation with Chris Inglis, National Cyber Director from The Hayden Center at George Mason University The White House Office of the National Cyber Director is only a few months old but faces immense challenges. Still staffing up and only now receiving funding in the just-passed infrastructure bill, the threats the office was established to protect the nation from are metastasizing. What is the nature of these cyber threats? What is the new office's role in safeguarding us from them? What are the biggest obstacles to accomplishing that mission? How will it interact with other major U.S. cyber players? What keeps Director Inglis up at night? The major threats yet to be perceived or resolved? View the prerecorded program from The Hayden Center here. Politicians face violence and threats from voters — and each other. Are we nearing a civil war? from NBC News "Think: Opinion, Analysis, Essays" Violent threats against politicians. Polarization on social issues. A surge in citizen militias. Does this behavior mean the U.S. is heading toward a second military conflict between the states? This threat cannot be dismissed, says RAND's Brian Michael Jenkins. But it's more likely that the United States will face "a turbulent era of civil disturbances, armed confrontations…and other acts of political violence—in other words, one that is a lot like the last 200 years of American history. U.S. Representative Mike Rogers (R-AL), Ranking Member of the House Armed Services Committee, joined Senator Jim Inhofe (R-OK), Ranking Member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, and four top Republicans in Congress, in sending letter to Biden administration officials expressing grave concern over reports that the National Security Council has blocked the Department of Defense from making recommendations about changes to the United States' nuclear declaratory policy through the ongoing Nuclear Posture Review — potentially preventing our nation's top security officials from advocating against the "unwanted" and "destabilizing" adoption of "Sole Purpose" or "No First Use" nuclear policies. Letter: "We are writing to you today to express our concern about the conduct of the administration's ongoing Nuclear Posture Review (NPR). Specifically, we are concerned by recent reports that the National Security Council may have directed the Department of Defense (DOD) to only submit possible courses of action, and not any recommendations, related to a change in U.S. nuclear declaratory policy. Ostensibly, this is due to an assumption that DOD and other interagency officials, now confronted with the reality of our adversaries' growing military threat and allies' serious concerns about the possibility of unwanted changes to U.S. nuclear policies, would recommend against potentially destabilizing U.S. policy changes such as adopting a "Sole Purpose" or "No First Use" nuclear declaratory policy. China Is Expanding Its Effort to Launch Weapons From Hypersonic Missiles - Gale in WSJ, 22 Nov 2021 A new wind tunnel is intended to further develop the technology, which pushes the bounds of physics. China is expanding its capacity to develop weapons that can be fired from hypersonic missiles, suggesting a test this summer that surprised U.S. military officials with its technological accomplishment is part of a program to create new threats for U.S. missile defenses. The state-controlled AVIC Aerodynamics Research Institute said it is set to open a new wind tunnel capable of replicating the speeds and high temperatures faced by hypersonic missiles. The new wind tunnel's roles include testing the "separation and release" of weapons from hypersonic vehicles, the institute said in a news release Sunday. A hypersonic glide vehicle is a maneuverable warhead that sits on the tip of a long-range missile and, once released, glides to its target on an unpredictable path that makes it difficult to intercept. In a test in July, U.S. officials said, China fired a missile that traveled around the globe in a low-earth orbit before releasing the glide vehicle. That glide vehicle then separately fired a projectile of its own, they said—a feat that pushes the boundaries of physics. Article continues here NRO releases collection of previously classified documents, increases transparency - 16 Nov 2021 The National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) today announced the
declassification and release of thousands of records in commemoration of the NRO's 60th
anniversary. This historic collection of documents offers unique insights into NRO's storied
legacy in space-based intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES Intelligence Matters: A CBS News original
national security podcast hosted by former CIA acting director
and CBS News national security contributor Michael Morell. Morell is crisp, precise, cautious, fair, avoids
political slant, and provides remarkable insights. Not to miss. Nov 17 | Defense Intelligence Agency Director LTG Scott Berrier on Global Threats More about Intelligence Matters by Michael Morell here. Podcasts also available here. What to Do About Deplatformed Data? - Stewart Baker, Others at Steptoe Cyberblog Cyberblog
by Steptoe & Johnson LLP — By Stewart Baker on 22 Nov 2021 Some Prior Conversations: The Arkin Group's Nov 19 "In Other News" letter to private clients by former Deputy Director, Operations Officer Jack Devine features...
Follow link here to read analyses and predictions given to their private clients on the topics above. Released 8 November 2021: "A Spymaster and a Gentleman, Jack Devine Dispels CIA Myth and Dispenses his Truth" on The Live Drop, Episode 56. "A wonderful discussion with an experienced spymaster himself who's knowledge of intelligence history drives vivid and prescient insights from the past into the future. Jack dispels some persistently inaccurate mythology, and also clarifies why code phrases need not be improvised." Jack Devine's Spymaster's Prism was released earlier this year. The book has just been released on audio from Tantor or Amazon. AFIO's interview with him about this book appears at this link. Or hear the podcast here. Nov 19: "For Your Weekend Listening Pleasure" by Jeff Stein with co-host Jeanne Meserve Nov 17: "The Endless CIA-Oswald Coverup" by Jeff Stein Nov 17: "The CIA Swamp in a Novel Nutshell" by Peter Eisner Nov 14: "Biden May Up Ukraine Intelligence-Sharing" by Jonathan Broder Nov 13: "Updated: Steele Dossier in Tatters" by Jeff Stein Readers, for a brief time, can subscribe for free for articles and weekend podcasts here. Inside
the SCIF by JJ Green, WTOP -
Issue #139, 18 Nov has details on... Iranians Charged with 2020 Election Interference; Treasury Sanctions Iran Cyber Actors; Interpol Slammed for Allowing "Red Notice" Abuse; Most Pressing Cyber Concerns to the nation?; Swedes arrest second Iranian inside Swedish Intelligence; NRO Releases early SIGINT History - 1960-1980; US Army to field first Hypersonic Weapons; Whelan update; and more. Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS Tech CEO Pleads to Wire Fraud in IP Address Scheme — from Krebs on Security, 17 November 2021 The CEO of a South Carolina technology firm has pleaded guilty to 20 counts of wire fraud in connection with an elaborate network of phony companies set up to obtain more than 735,000 Internet Protocol (IP) addresses from the nonprofit organization that leases the digital real estate to entities in North America. In 2018, the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN), which oversees IP addresses assigned to entities in the U.S., Canada, and parts of the Caribbean, notified Charleston, S.C. based Micfo LLC that it intended to revoke 735,000 addresses. ARIN said they wanted the addresses back because the company and its owner — 38-year-old Amir Golestan — had obtained them under false pretenses. ... But the legal tussle caught the attention of South Carolina U.S. Attorney Sherri Lydon, who in May 2019 filed criminal wire fraud charges against Golestan, alleging he'd orchestrated a network of shell companies and fake identities to prevent ARIN from knowing the addresses were all going to the same buyer. ... FBI Agents Became CIA Operatives in Secret Overseas Prisons — Carol Rosenberg, New York Times, 19 Nov 2021 In the torturous history of the U.S. government's black sites, the F.B.I. has long been portrayed as acting with a strong moral compass. Its agents, disgusted with the violence they saw at a secret C.I.A. prison in Thailand, walked out, enabling the bureau to later deploy "clean teams" untainted by torture to interrogate the five men accused of conspiring in the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. But new information that emerged this week in the Sept. 11 case undermines that F.B.I. narrative. The two intelligence agencies secretly arranged for nine F.B.I. agents to temporarily become C.I.A. operatives in the overseas prison network where the spy agency used torture to interrogate its prisoners. The once-secret program came to light in pretrial proceedings in the death penalty case. The proceedings are currently examining whether the accused mastermind of the Sept. 11 plot, Khalid Shaikh Mohammed, and his four co-defendants voluntarily confessed after years in the black site network, where detainees were waterboarded, beaten, deprived of sleep and isolated to train them to comply with their captors' wishes. At issue is whether the military judge will exclude from the eventual trial the testimony of F.B.I. agents who questioned the defendants in 2007 at Guantánamo and also forbid the use of reports that the agents wrote about each man's account of his role in the hijacking conspiracy. Article continues here Collector's Item from National Archives UK: The Art of Prowling: The Gale & Polden Training Series First published in the 1940s for the newly-recruited British Home Guard, The Art of Prowling is one of a series of Second World War training booklets written by Colonel G.A. Wade. It showed recruits how to sneak up on the enemy without being seen, how to avoid attracting attention, and why they should never underestimate a German spy. Both amusing and nostalgic, it is a unique insight into British culture at the height of the struggle against Hitler and will, as the author says, `induce you to take pride in being really, truly, definitely cunning, crafty and sly'. Look at this historic booklet here before it sells out. Pentagon officials 'remain baffled by Chinese hypersonic missile technology' after Beijing tested weapon that could deploy a nuke while travelling at five times the speed of sound — by Carr, The Daily Mail based on Financial Times report, 21 Nov 2021 China's hypersonic weapon test fired a missile at five times the speed of sound; Pentagon experts still baffled at how China managed to defy physics constraints; Test suggests China's hypersonic weapons more advanced than US and Russia; Purpose of the missile remains unknown as it was fired with no obvious target...yet. Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming Not One Inch: America, Russia, and the Making of Post-Cold War Stalemate Thirty years after the Soviet Union's collapse, this book reveals how tensions between America, NATO, and Russia transformed geopolitics between the Cold War and COVID. "Not one inch." With these words, Secretary of State James Baker proposed a hypothetical bargain to Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev after the fall of the Berlin Wall: if you let your part of Germany go, we move NATO not one inch eastward. Controversy erupted almost immediately over this 1990 exchange—but more important was the decade afterward, when the words took on new meaning. Gorbachev let his Germany go, but Washington rethought the bargain, not least after the Soviet Union's own collapse in December 1991. Washington realized it could not just win big, but win bigger. Not one inch of territory need be off limits to NATO. On the thirtieth anniversary of the Soviet collapse, this book uses new evidence and interviews to show how, in the decade that culminated in Vladimir Putin's rise to power, the US and Russia undermined a potentially lasting partnership. Prize-winning historian M. E. Sarotte shows what went wrong. Book may be ordered here. Spymaster: The Man Who Saved MI6 Thomas Kendrick (1881–1972) was central to the British Secret Service from its beginnings through to the Second World War. Under the guise of "British Passport Officer," he ran spy networks across Europe, facilitated the escape of Austrian Jews, and later went on to set up the "M Room," a listening operation which elicited information of the same significance and scope as Bletchley Park. Yet the work of Kendrick, and its full significance, remains largely unknown. Helen Fry draws on extensive original research to tell the story of this remarkable British intelligence officer. Kendrick's life sheds light on the development of MI6 itself—he was one of the few men to serve Britain across three wars, two of which while working for the British Secret Service. Fry explores the private and public sides of Kendrick, revealing him to be the epitome of the "English gent"—easily able to charm those around him and scrupulously secretive.. Book may be ordered here. Never: A Novel "A complex, scary thriller that feels too plausible for comfort. You'll be so absorbed in the story threads that you'll follow them anywhere—and you'll suddenly realize you've read hundreds of pages. . . . On one level, it's great entertainment; on another, a window into a sobering possibility." —Kirkus Book may be ordered here. Seeking U.S. Women Intelligence Officers who served in Germany at some time between 1950 to 1990 I am a journalist for DER SPIEGEL, the biggest politicial news magazine in Germany. My name is Max Fratoddi, a retired FBI FCI/CT Agent (and USMC RVN veteran) who worked with many USIC members over my 25 year career. I am a long term member of AFIO, originally sponsored by the beloved CIA OPs Officer Jack Platt (RIP). More recently, I spent some 6 1/2 years in Afghanistan as a (rotating) contractor mentor to Afghans serving in a unique joint training command under specialized government-to-government MOUs. Some 100 of them (not including families) were left behind with our hasty departure. "Rafiq - Friends of Afghans" was formed in early August by a number of retired intell community, law enforcement, and military SpOps personnel with many years of experience in working directly with various Afghan National Security Forces personnel. Compared to the many other organizations with similar interests, we are a low-key, non-profit organization whose mission is to quietly support the departure, rehabilitation, and resettlement of our former colleagues to the U.S. I welcome a discussion to determine if there are legitimate collaboration, coordination, and cooperation opportunities with our membership. I can be reached at gmfratoddi@yahoo.com or at 843-540-2026. This request does not constitute an official endorsement by AFIO or any U.S. government agency. Thanks for your interest and support. My name is Hadar Gat, I'm a journalist from Israel, currently
working on the second season of a documentary series about the
most influential Arab leaders in the middle east. Counter Intelligence SME Contract work at the Wright Patterson AFB, Dayton Ohio on the China Counterespionage & Technology Transfer section, China Technology Transfer Unit (CTT2/CTTU), Counterespionage SME (REDEYE task force). The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Foreign Investment Unit (FIU). The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence Training SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Training Center (CITC). CITC is tasked with training field agents, supervisors and non-agent personnel in CI investigation. The FBI is seeking an Counterintelligence SME with extensive knowledge in the East Asia region. TO APPLY OR EXPLORE any of the above: contact Jessica Lewis, Jessica.Lewis@chenega.com for additional information. Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (STILO) with JHU/APL - Laurel, Maryland Are you seeking an opportunity to learn about foreign weapons systems? Do you take pride in your expert knowledge of adversary capabilities? If so, we're looking for someone like you to join our team at APL. We are seeking an Assistant Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (Assistant STILO) to help us to inform APL's research and development of sensitive technologies for the U.S. Government. You will assist the Scientific and Technical Intelligence Liaison Officer (STILO) in the National Security Analysis Department (NSAD). This position is designed for a creative, dynamic individual who fosters excellence and innovation, who has a passion for research, and effectively partners to ensure systems developed by APL for the U.S. Government are capable of addressing the most stressing future threats. This position provides strategic, forward leaning intelligence to lead APL and our sponsors to understand the threat environment; and the integration of threat analysis into current and future technology development, studies, and operational analyses. More about this position is here. Position Type Instructional Faculty -
Full Time Buzz Hall, NSA SCES Cryptologist Libby Jordan, NSA Russian Linguist and Analyst Tom Keane, CIA Operations Officer AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... The final 2021 program for the AFIO SATX Chapter will be a presentation by James R. Gosler, former Director, CIA's Clandestine Information Technology Office, on "Cyber Threats and Mitigation". James Hughes, AFIO President and a former CIA Operations Officer will host the presentation. Jim Gosler discusses the pervasive and existentially disruptive cyber threats the U.S. faces from adversaries. He describes many factors required to warn, educate, prepare for, and possibly mitigate these growing threats. This AFIO NOW presentation runs 44 minutes. Our last holiday event was December 2019, two long years ago. We are returning to the Los Prados Country Club for a full Christmas Buffet. And we have a special guest speaker, Rev Curt Williams, to present an uplifting message on Patriotism. As at past parties, we will have a raffle for a beautiful Christmas Basket. AFIO Atlanta Chapter invites all AFIO members and friends to join us at our annual Christmas party and celebration of James Jesus Angleton's Birthday. Our special guest speaker is former Department of Defense Special Agent Kevin Bryant, who will speak on his forthcoming book Spies on the Sidelines: The High-Stakes World of NFL Espionage (Rowman & Littlefield July 2022). Not only does his non-fiction book contain the largest collection of football-related spy stories ever assembled, but also it's the first to explore the full arsenal of methods teams use to spy on their opponents and the countermeasures used to deter them. Spanning across all teams and eras, Bryant shines a light on the shady world of NFL espionage—from clandestine photography and hidden draft prospects to listening devices and stolen documents—along with the permissible, if sometimes questionable, spy techniques teams use day in and day out to gain an advantage over their opponents. The Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter is meeting for a luncheon with speakers Drs. Golfo Alexopoulos, founding director of the USF Institute on Russia and Professor of Global Studies at the University of South Florida, and Mark Grzegorzewski, Resident Senior Fellow in the Department of Strategic Intelligence and Emerging Technology at Joint Special Operations University, MacDill AFB. They will be briefing on "Russia and the Russian role in current geopolitics." Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others The Spy Museum offers an evening of intrigue for
the 2021 Webster Distinguished Service Award event. The award is
an opportunity to recognize the extraordinary contributions of
individuals in the Intelligence Community. This year's awardee is The Honorable Susan M. Gordon, former principal
deputy director of national intelligence. Previous recipients of
the Webster Distinguished Service Award include President George
H. W. Bush (2017), Admiral William H. McRaven, USN (Ret.) (2018),
and Gen. Michael V. Hayden (Ret.) (2019). Webster attendee and
sponsor support fuels the nonprofit mission of educating the
public about the history and craft of espionage and intelligence
through youth and adult programs, community service, and the care
of the Museum's unique collection of artifacts for generations to
come. The COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc on everything from global supply chains to individual lives, with its long-term implications only beginning to take shape. Pandemics, a public health issue, are proving to be a national security one as well. Are America's national security institutions prepared to address this threat? What role should the intelligence community play? What reforms could improve global health surveillance? TOPIC: Senior Enlisted Perspectives on the Intelligence Specialist Rating The International Spy Museum is pleased to offer a sensory friendly community program designed for families who have an autistic child or an individual with sensory processing differences. During these private hours, families can enjoy an exclusive visit with less noise, fewer people, and designated quiet rooms. Program is possible because of the donation and generous support from the Embassy of the State of Qatar. Sunday, 5 December 2021, 5 - 9 pm EST - Ashburn, VA - CIRA 2021 National Dinner Join your CIRA colleagues as they recognize two Salvetti Award winners and also hear from a Senior Agency Officer on an important topic. Join this online discussion of the latest intelligence, national security, and terrorism issues in the news. Spy Museum Executive Director Chris Costa, a former intelligence officer of 34 years, will be joined by former Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence, The Honorable Susan M. Gordon. During her more than thirty-year career in public service, Gordon was also deputy director of the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency and served for 27 years at the Central Intelligence Agency. Sponsored by the Honorable Mary Beth Long, International Spy Museum, Board of Directors. Why Was the U.S. So Dominant in the Air From the Later Stages of WWII Through the Cold War? A Big Part of the Answer Was Lockheed's Legendary Skunk Works. Why Was That? Ask Someone Who Knows—And Who Saw a Lot of Things He Wasn't Supposed to See. Mission: Mix and Mingle Like a Pro In addition to the Royal Blue long sleeve shirts and gray long sleeve hoodies, the AFIO Store has the following items ready for quick shipment: LONG Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo and Mugs with color-glazed permanent logo Show
your support for AFIO with our long-sleeve Polo Shirts. Dark blue long sleeved shirts are
shrink and wrinkle resistant fine cotton with a soft yet
substantial feel. They feature a detailed embroidered AFIO seal.
Get a shirt for yourself and consider as gifts for colleagues,
family, and friends. Only $45 each including shipping.
AFIO Mug with color glazed logo. Made in America. Sturdy enough to sit on desk to hold pens, cards, paperclips, and candy. This handsome large, heavy USA-made ceramic mug is dishwasher-safe with a glazed seal. $35 per mug includes shipping. Order this and other store items online here. Guide to the Study of Intelligence and When Intelligence Made a Difference "AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence" has
sold out in hard-copy. Disclaimers and Removal Instructions Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: a) IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list. If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words: REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them. b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us. CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's or author's listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more! (c) 1998 thru 2021. AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com About AFIO | Membership Renewal | Change of Address | Upcoming Events | Chapter Locations | Corporate/Institutional Memberships | Careers in Intelligence Booklet | Guide to the Study of Intelligence | Intelligencer Journal | Weekly Intelligence Notes | To Make A Donation | AFIO Store | Member-Only Section | Code of Ethics | Home Page |
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