AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #40-21 dated 2 November 2021
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES
Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS
Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
For additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events
Details
on the Virtual Education Programs of the National Cryptologic
Museum Foundation are available here Other NCF Events can be
found here on NCF website here, and CCH website here. NEW ITEMS FOR SALE AT AFIO FOR MEMBERS... NEW: PopSocket for cellphones or tablets Show your support to AFIO while enjoying the convenience offered by our AFIO Logo PopSocket. The PopSocket is most commonly used as a stand and as a grip for your mobile phone or tablet; handy for taking selfies, watching videos, and for texting. The PopSocket looks like a small button or sticker which, when closed, sticks flat to your mobile device. However, its accordion-like design enables it to pop open for use. The benefits of using a PopSocket make it a must-have accessory for your mobile phone or tablet. It also aids in keeping your phone from slipping off your hand during use, falling, or breaking. Caps - Dark Navy with Navy AFIO Logo Duffel Bags - Royal Blue and Black with Full Color AFIO Logo This duffel has it all when it comes to value, style and organization. 600 denier polyester canvas with polyester double contrast; D-shaped zippered entry for easy access. Front pocket with hook and loop closure. End mesh pocket Easy-access end pockets. Four durable, protective feet and built-in bottom board for added strength. Web handles with padded grip. Detachable, adjustable shoulder strap. |
Members... Cast Your Ballot for 2022-2025 AFIO National Board of DirectorsVoting closes midnight EST 24 December 2021 Released last week to members and the public... Panel on Pending Intelligence Legislation to Curtail "Formers"
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS The head of the FBI urged US companies on Thursday to develop closer ties with it to counter a "multi-avenue" effort by Beijing to amass enough intellectual property to "become the world's only superpower". New National Cyber Czar — Chris Inglis — is pushing for collective defense inside government and out The Office of the National Cyber Director wants to bring cohesion to efforts to strengthen computer defenses across a sprawling set of more than 100 civilian agencies even as it seeks to drive more robust cybersecurity in the private sector. "This is the beginning, not the end" of the attempt to ensure that the United States enjoys a secure and open Internet, said National Cyber Director Chris Inglis in an interview Wednesday laying out a strategic vision for the federal government's newest agency. Part of that effort may eventually include cybersecurity mandates for critical infrastructure. "You can't rule that out," said Inglis, who was confirmed by the Senate as the first national cyber director in June and sworn in the following month. "I'm confident that at some point we'll get to that bridge and have to cross it." He noted that such mandates would have to be set by Congress, and would be done "on an exceptional basis as opposed to a primary tool." Article continues at Washington Post / 28 Oct 2021 The Congress appropriated an aggregate amount of $60.8 billion to the National Intelligence Program (NIP) for Fiscal Year 2021. Diversity Comes to FIVE EYES Pact— 'Nine Eyes' Bill Looks at Adding Four Countries - Japan, Korea, India, Germany - to Intel-Sharing Pact The United States' "Five Eyes" intelligence-sharing pact is a World War II relic that needs updating to better keep tabs on China, the chairman of a key house subcommittee on intelligence told Defense One. The provision would require the director of national intelligence and the Defense Department to report on the current status and shortcomings of intelligence sharing between the "Five Eyes" nations: the U.S., Australia, the U.K., New Zealand, and Canada, and what benefits and risks there would be to adding Japan, Korea, India, and Germany to the trusted group. "We are very much stuck on this 'Five Eyes' model, which I think is outdated," Gallego said at Defense One and Nextgov's 2021 National Security Forum. "We need to expand the scope. It shouldn't just be such an Anglophile view of sharing." Section II - IC PODCASTS, COMMENTARY, BLOG UPDATES Putin's Russia - Former Amb Michael McFaul Speaks with Former Acting D/CIA Mike Morell Intelligence Matters: A CBS News original
national security podcast hosted by former CIA acting director
and CBS News national security contributor Michael Morell. Morell is crisp, precise, cautious, fair, avoids
political slant, and provides remarkable insights. Not to miss. More about Intelligence Matters by Michael Morell here. Podcasts also available here. Cyberblog
by Steptoe & Johnson LLP — By Stewart Baker on 1 Nov 2021 Some Prior Conversations: The Arkin Group's Oct 29 "In Other News" letter to private clients by former Deputy Director, Operations Officer Jack Devine features...
Follow link here to read analyses and predictions given to their private clients on the topics above.
The Latest... from Jeff Stein's provocative "SpyTalk" series... Oct 31: "Appeal for CIA, DoD Clandestine Ops to Rescue Afghan Allies" by Jeff Stein Oct 28: "Bizarre Plots and Nasty Coverups" by Jeff Stein Oct 25: "Frenemies: How the CIA and Polish Spies Went from Bitter Rivals to Post-Cold War Comrades" by Elaine Monaghan Oct 20: "Mossad's New Boss is a Gadget-Loving Killing Machine" by Jonathan Broder Oct
15: "Dems Launch Preemptive Strike on Gates '60
Minutes' Spot" by Jeff Stein Oct 14: "CIA Puts a Public Target on China's Back" by Jeff Stein; interview of Shane Harris Oct 7: "For
Your Eyes Only" by Jeff Stein - Podcast Readers, for a brief time, can subscribe for free for articles and weekend podcasts here. Inside
the SCIF by JJ Green, WTOP -
Issue #136, 28 Oct has details on... Russia's R&D with MW and IDs suspects in new Havana Syndrome attacks; Are the GRU Involved in Directed Energy Attacks on US Soil?; Blinken Plans to Release Updated Findings on Syndrome; Are we heading for accidential nuclear race or exchange? Amb. DeTrani thinks so; FBI CI Unit uses family photos as persuasion; DNI Budget; IARPA researching "smart radio" to detect data breaches; Drinking the same Kool-Aid - "All of Gov" Intel failed to predict rapid collapse of Kabul; Russia unveils Robot Dog prototype; and more. Section III - BROUGHT TO OUR ATTENTION BY MEMBERS The Role of Psychology in Cybersecurity According to a joint study from Stanford University Professor Jeff Hancock and the security firm Tessian, 85 percent of data breaches stem from human error. This finding, accompanied by Proofpoint's report of more than 99 percent of cyberattacks relying on human interaction to work, highlights people as the most effective backdoor into a system, the leading cause of data exposures, and the biggest threat to security. Such statistics draw attention to the need to further incorporate psychology into the realm of cybersecurity. The American Psychological Association defines psychology as the study of the mind and behavior, embracing all aspects of the human experience, ranging from the brain functions to the actions of nations. In a testimony to a congressional subcommittee, human factors psychologist Anita D'Amico emphasized that psychologists must play a role in the evolution of cybersecurity... Article continues at Science of Security / 27 Oct 2021 UK Spy Agencies - MI5-MI6-GCHQ - Enter Contract with Amazon Web Services to Host Classified Data The UK's three spy agencies have contracted AWS, Amazon's cloud computing arm, to host classified material in a deal aimed at boosting the use of data analytics and artificial intelligence for espionage. What Will Drive China to War? - Can Washington Deter Beijing from Initiating a Hot One? A cold war is already under way. The question is whether Washington can deter Beijing from initiating a hot one. Analysts and officials in Washington are fretting over worsening tensions between the United States and China and the risks to the world of two superpowers once again clashing rather than cooperating. President Joe Biden has said that America "is not seeking a new cold war." But that is the wrong way to look at U.S.-China relations. A cold war with Beijing is already under way. The right question, instead, is whether America can deter China from initiating a hot one. Article continues at The Atlantic / 1 Nov 2021 FBI Dir Christopher Wray on "Working with Our Private Sector Partners to Combat the Cyber Threat" Over the past decade, the general public probably didn't spend much time thinking about cyber threats. Every year, maybe one or two major cyber incidents captured the nation's attention. Sure, they noticed the Russian government's election interference in 2016 and the Chinese government's theft of nearly 150 million Americans' PII from Equifax in 2017. But it wasn't until this past year's onslaught of high-profile cyberattacks that a lot more Americans really took notice. We saw SolarWinds supply chain attacks by the Russian foreign intelligence service, the SVR, at the end of 2020. The SVR is back in the news this week, as you know. Then, the Chinese government's Microsoft Exchange Server intrusions were revealed in March. And between May and July, we had ransomware attacks against Colonial Pipeline, JBS Foods, and customers of managed service provider Kaseya. And while those five were some of the highest-profile attacks, they were actually just a few among thousands of incidents targeting businesses and other victims in the U.S. and around the globe. Today's cyber threats are more pervasive, hit a wider variety of victims, and carry the potential for greater damage than ever before. Presentation fo Economic Club of NY continues here / FBI on 28 Oct 2021 On The Mark Steyn Show, brimming with British wit and facts, a reprise celebrating the definitive Bond song -- Goldfinger -- by Bricusse, Anthony Newley, and John Barry. Section IV - Books, Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Books — Newly Released, Overlooked, Forthcoming The Last Winter: The Scientists, Adventurers, Journeymen, and Mavericks Trying to Save the World One man's "curiously thrilling joyride" of travelogue, history, and climatology, across a planet on the brink of cataclysmic transformation. Omnicide. As the planet warms, winter is shrinking. In the last fifty years, the Northern Hemisphere lost a million square miles of spring snowpack and in the US alone, snow cover has been reduced by 15-30%. On average, winter has shrunk by a month in most northern latitudes. Fox travels along the edge of the Northern Hemisphere's snow line to track the scope of this drastic change, and how it will literally change everything—from rapid sea level rise, to fresh water scarcity for two billion people, to massive greenhouse gas emissions from thawing permafrost, and a half dozen climate tipping points that could very well spell the end of our world. Showcases a shocking and unexpected casualty of climate change—that may well set off its own unstoppable warming cycle. Book may be ordered here. Meltdown: The Earth Without Glaciers Our climate is deteriorating at a drastic rate, and it's happening right in front of us. Meltdown is about glaciers and their unfolding demise during one of the most critical moments of our planet's geological history. If we can reconsider glaciers in a whole new light and understand the critical role they play in our own sustainability, we may be able to save the cryosphere. Glaciers are built and destroyed during ice ages and interglacial periods. These massive ice bodies hold three quarters of our freshwater, yet we don't have laws to protect them from climate change. When they melt, they rapidly increase sea levels, alter the Earth's reflectivity, wreak havoc for ocean and air currents, destabilize global ecosystems, warm the climate, and bring floods that swamp millions of acres of coastal land including most of the major cities. The critical ecological role they play to keep our global climate stable, and the environmental functions they provide, wither. And, as climate change warms glacier cores, collapsing glacier ice triggers tsunamis that send deadly massive ice blocks, rocks, earth, and billions of liters of water rushing down mountain valleys. It has happened before in the Himalayas, the Central Andes, the Rockies and Western Cascades, and the European Alps, and it will happen again. It is not just about climate change or global warming, but will have major national security repercussions. Book may be ordered here. Terrorist Events Worldwide 2019-2020 Edward Mickolus wrote the first doctoral dissertation on international terrorism while earning an M.A., M.Phil, and Ph.D. from Yale University. He then served in analytical, operational, management, and staff positions in the CIA for 33 years, where he was CIA's first full-time analyst on international terrorism; analyzed African political, economic, social, military, and leadership issues; wrote political-psychological assessments of world leaders; and managed collection, counterintelligence, and covert action programs against terrorists, drug traffickers, weapons proliferators, and hostile espionage services. This is his latest update on worldwide terrorism incidents. Book may be ordered here. My name is Max Fratoddi, a retired FBI FCI/CT Agent (and USMC RVN veteran) who worked with many USIC members over my 25 year career. I am a long term member of AFIO, originally sponsored by the beloved CIA OPs Officer Jack Platt (RIP). More recently, I spent some 6 1/2 years in Afghanistan as a (rotating) contractor mentor to Afghans serving in a unique joint training command under specialized government-to-government MOUs. Some 100 of them (not including families) were left behind with our hasty departure. "Rafiq - Friends of Afghans" was formed in early August by a number of retired intell community, law enforcement, and military SpOps personnel with many years of experience in working directly with various Afghan National Security Forces personnel. Compared to the many other organizations with similar interests, we are a low-key, non-profit organization whose mission is to quietly support the departure, rehabilitation, and resettlement of our former colleagues to the U.S. I welcome a discussion to determine if there are legitimate collaboration, coordination, and cooperation opportunities with our membership. I can be reached at gmfratoddi@yahoo.com or at 843-540-2026. This request does not constitute an official endorsement by AFIO or any U.S. government agency. Thanks for your interest and support. My name is Hadar Gat, I'm a journalist from Israel, currently
working on the second season of a documentary series about the
most influential Arab leaders in the middle east. The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Foreign Investment Unit (FIU). The FBI is looking for Counterintelligence Training SME to support the FBI Counterintelligence Training Center (CITC). CITC is tasked with training field agents, supervisors and non-agent personnel in CI investigation. The FBI is seeking an Counterintelligence SME with extensive knowledge in the East Asia region. TO APPLY OR EXPLORE: Please contact Jessica Lewis, Jessica.Lewis@chenega.com for additional information. James Tynan Mattingly Jr, 84, Served in USG, died 28 October 2021 in Henrico, VA. AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... Many historians talk about how the military trains for the last
war they fought. Well our enemies are not planning for that old
war, they are conducting a new type of warfare and the fighting is
going on right now! The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter will be holding an in-person
meeting at 11:30 AM, November 6, 2021 at the Hilton Doubletree
Hotel in Indialantic, Florida. The speaker is Colonel
John Hilliard who will discuss Atlas missiles, spy
satellites and negotiations with the Soviet Union on arms control. The "Andre Le Gallo" San Francisco Chapter hosts James L.
Aynesworth, Captain, U.S. Navy Reserve (ret);
President, Trident Information Services International on "Movement
of International Containerized Cargo: Intelligence Challenges." Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others Wednesday, 3 November 2021, 7 - 8 PM EDT - Zoom Webinar - "The Road from CIA to Congress" - The Hayden Center Presentation Do you have what it takes to be a spy? Find out at Girl Scout Day at the International Spy Museum. Test your troop's tradecraft abilities as you complete a TOP SECRET scavenger hunt mission throughout the Museum's galleries. A Naval Aviator in the Vietnam War Who's Researched, Taught, and Lived the War Talks About How We Got In, and How We Got Out CIRA holds another in-person luncheon featuring John Edwards, who recently retired as Deputy Chief Operating Officer and is the new President of the CIA Officers Memorial Foundation. He will do a fireside chat with CIRA's President, John Bennett. Questions will be accepted from attendees. What if you were assigned to watch the most damaging spy in US history? As a young operative in the FBI, Eric O'Neill was put into position as Robert Hanssen's assistant with the secret task of spying on his boss, who was under suspicion of working for Russia. Thursday, 11 November 2021, All Day - Virtual - Virtual Screening of "RED NOTICE" An FBI profiler pursuing the world's most wanted art thief becomes his reluctant partner in crime to catch an elusive crook who's always one step ahead. Join us for a virtual screening of Netflix's upcoming movie, "Red Notice," starring Dwayne Johnson, Ryan Reynolds, and Gal Gadot. The ONLY Trabant Rally in the United States. Celebrate the anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall with everyone's favorite Cold War car—the Trabant! Trabants are a rarity here, but on November 13 some of the finest examples in the US will chug their way to the Spy Museum for our 15th Annual Parade of Trabants. Drop by L'Enfant Plaza to view these beloved vintage cars, experts will be on hand to answer questions about their sweet rides, the Cold War, and Communism, while the Alte Kameraden German Band provides festive music. Call it what you will—coercive persuasion, thought control, dark persuasion, or brainwashing—techniques to control thoughts and minds blossomed during the 20th century and with advances in neuroscience and social media new avenues for manipulation have emerged. Join General David Petraeus, USA (Ret.) for a
discussion with former CIA officer David McCloskey about his new novel, Damascus Station. Called "the best
spy novel I have ever read" by Petraeus, the book is set against
the backdrop of a Syria pulsing with fear and rebellion and is a
gripping thriller that offers a textured portrayal of espionage,
love, loyalty, and betrayal in one of the most difficult CIA
assignments on the planet. More about this novel is here. Join us for an online discussion of the latest intelligence, national security, and terrorism issues in the news with Spy Museum Executive Director Chris Costa. He will be joined by Javed Ali, former Senior Director for Counterterrorism, National Security Council. The International Spy Museum is pleased to offer a sensory friendly community program designed for families who have an autistic child or an individual with sensory processing differences. On this special access day, the Museum has set private hours (8am—10am) so families can enjoy an exclusive visit with less noise, fewer people, and designated quiet rooms. This event is FREE but advance registration required! The Spy Museum offers an evening of intrigue for
the 2021 Webster Distinguished Service Award event. The award is
an opportunity to recognize the extraordinary contributions of
individuals in the Intelligence Community. This year's awardee is The Honorable Susan M. Gordon, former principal
deputy director of national intelligence. Previous recipients of
the Webster Distinguished Service Award include President George
H. W. Bush (2017), Admiral William H. McRaven, USN (Ret.) (2018),
and Gen. Michael V. Hayden (Ret.) (2019). Webster attendee and
sponsor support fuels the nonprofit mission of educating the
public about the history and craft of espionage and intelligence
through youth and adult programs, community service, and the care
of the Museum's unique collection of artifacts for generations to
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sold out in hard-copy. Disclaimers and Removal Instructions Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: a) IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list. If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words: REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them. b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us. CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's or author's listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more! (c) 1998 thru 2021. AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com About AFIO | Membership Renewal | Change of Address | Upcoming Events | Chapter Locations | Corporate/Institutional Memberships | Careers in Intelligence Booklet | Guide to the Study of Intelligence | Intelligencer Journal | Weekly Intelligence Notes | To Make A Donation | AFIO Store | Member-Only Section | Code of Ethics | Home Page |
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