AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #30-20 dated 28 July 2020 [Editors' Note are now below the CONTENTS] REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs, click here.
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Section IV - Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
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There
will be no Newsletter 4 August 2020.
Special Items for our members: Who Lost Afghanistan? Hy Rothstein recently retired from the faculty at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, CA. Hy spent considerable time in Afghanistan, Iraq and the Philippines observing the conduct of those wars. Dr. Rothstein has written and edited books about Afghanistan — Afghanistan and the Troubled Future of Unconventional Warfare (2006) and Afghan Endgames – Strategy and Policy Choices for America's Longest War (Feb 2012), about Iraq — The Three Circles of War (2010), an anthology that explores the similarities between insurgency and gang violence — Gangs & Guerrillas (2011), a comprehensive volume on deception titled, The Art and Science of Military Deception (2013) and, Assessing War, which addresses the challenges of measuring success and failure during war. Watch here Runs 55 minutes. Preparing State and Local Leaders for an Explosive AttackDept Homeland Security Science & Technology, Release Date: 23 July 2020Explosives are a popular choice among terrorists for causing disruption, casualties and destruction. Although chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) weapons may cause much more damage, explosives can still be the first choice because they are relatively easy to make, transport and use. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Science and Technology Directorate (S&T) wants to make sure that state and local leaders have choices, too, by arming them with technology to plan for worst-case scenarios and mitigate the fallout of terrorist attacks. "Explosives work and are effective weapons," said Dr. David Reed, a chemist at S&T's Chemical Security Analysis Center (CSAC). "The trade-off between difficulty to build and use versus the ability to cause harm is a decision that a terrorist probably considers. On the flip side, a decision-maker like a mayor might ask, 'What are the most damaging scenarios that can occur and how can I protect against them?' An analysis that considers the different buildings, explosive types, injuries and medical response can provide the information that begins to answer that question."(Article continues here...) Election Fraud Concerns Continue - US Department of Justice U.S. Attorney William M. McSwain Announces Election Fraud Charges Against Former U.S. Congressman and Philadelphia Political OperativePHILADELPHIA – United States Attorney William M. McSwain announced today that former U.S. Congressman Michael "Ozzie" Myers, 77, of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, has been charged by Indictment with multiple counts, including conspiring to violate voting rights by fraudulently stuffing the ballot boxes for specific Democratic candidates in the 2014, 2015, and 2016 Pennsylvania primary elections, bribery of an election official, falsification of records, voting more than once in federal elections, and obstruction of justice. U.S. Attorney McSwain's video statement providing additional details about this case is available on the Office website here.Specifically, Myers is alleged to have bribed the Judge of Elections for the 39th Ward, 36th Division in South Philadelphia, Domenick J. Demuro, in a fraudulent scheme over several years. Demuro, who was charged separately and pleaded guilty in May 2020, was responsible for overseeing the entire election process and all voter activities of his Division in accord with federal and state election laws. Long Hidden/Protected Secret Subsource for the Steele Dossier was not "Russian-based" as claimed in FISA but Steele's Drinking Buddy at Brookings InstitutionFormer British spy Christopher Steele, whose dirt-digging was financed by the Hillary Clinton campaign, based nearly all of his dossier allegations on information from one unidentified "primary subsource." The FBI didn't corroborate the Steele dossier's claims prior to its first application to surveil Mr. Page in October 2016, and it didn't get around to interviewing the source until nearly four months later. When agents finally got around to it, the source made clear that there was no factual basis to the dossier's claims. —WSJ Chinese National, Military Officer Who Hid Background, Worked for Univ of California Davis ArrestedDepartment of Justice U.S. Attorney's Office Eastern District of California released on Friday, July 24, 2020 the statement on the arrest of Juan Tang. Juan Tang, a Chinese national and former researcher at the University of California at Davis, was recently taken into federal custody by the FBI on an arrest warrant and complaint that were filed on June 26, and unsealed on July 20. Tang is scheduled to make an initial appearance in Sacramento on July 27 at 2:00 PM. The unsealed arrest warrant and complaint may be viewed here. Newly Released, Overlooked, or Forthcoming Books Bunker: Building for the End Times Since prehistory, bunkers have been built as protection from cataclysmic social and environmental forces, and as places of power and transformation. Today, the bunker has become the extreme expression of our greatest fears: from pandemics to climate change, to social upheal and nuclear war. And once you look, it doesn't take long to start seeing bunkers everywhere. Urban explorer and cultural geographer Garrett explores the global and rapidly growing movement of 'prepping' for social and environmental collapse, or Doomsday. From the 'dread merchants' hustling safe spaces in the American mid-West to eco-fortresses in Thailand, from geoscrapers to armoured mobile bunkers, A reflection on our age of disquiet and dread and the places we run to for shelter and safety. Bunkers are all around us: in malls, airports, gated communities, the vehicles we drive. It's in our minds in a world that seems hostile, foreign, and lethal. Book may be ordered here. The Apocalypse Factory: Plutonium and the Making of the Atomic Ages Narrative of scientific triumph and the unimaginable, world-ending peril it brought. Fearing that the Germans would be the first to weaponize the atom, the US marshaled brilliant minds and seemingly inexhaustible bodies to find a way to create a nuclear chain reaction with unimaginable explosive power. It would begin with plutonium, the first element ever manufactured by humans. In a matter of months, a city designed to produce this dangerous material arose from the desert of eastern Washington State. Plutonium powered the bomb that dropped on Nagasaki on August 9, 1945. And the work of Glenn Seaborg, Enrico Fermi, and hundreds of thousands of others—the physicists, engineers, laborers, and support staff of the Hanford Nuclear Facility—would remain the basis of the entire US nuclear arsenal during the Cold War and into the present. With a blend of scientific clarity and human stories, Olson provides a dramatic story of human achievement—and hubris—to a new generation. Book may be ordered here. Humor... How to Be a Fascist: A Manual The first and only guide to turning your 21st century democracy into a fascist paradise. Democracy is difficult, flawed and unstable. It involves barely distinguishable political parties taking part in lengthy, overcomplicated and expensive decision-making processes. Trying to engage so many people with political issues seems to lead only to complexity and disagreement. So why bother? Doesn't fascism guarantee a more effective and efficient management of the state? In this short, bitingly ironic mixture of On Tyranny and The Psychopath Test, Italian political activist Michela Murgia explores the logic that is attracting increasing numbers of voters to right-wing populism. Far from its origins in the 20th century, fascism is once again on the rise in an age of increased connectivity and globalism. Murgia shows how many of the elements of our society that we might think would combat closed-mindedness and xenophobia actually fan the flames. Closing with a "fascistometer" to measure the reader's own authoritarian inclinations, this is a refreshingly direct, polemical book that asks us to confront the fascisim in our governments, in our societies, and in our own political leanings. Pushkin publishing's Fascistometer Q&A test/game available online here. Book may be ordered here. |
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS Turkey's Top Intelligence Agency Opens New Compound in Istanbul. The National Intelligence Organization's (MIT) new Istanbul Regional Directorate opened Sunday with an inauguration ceremony presided over by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.The MIT Istanbul Regional Directorate compound, one of MIT's most important units, was built in Maslak financial neighborhood in Sarıyer district to meet the agency's ever-growing staff capacity and increasing fields of activity. Speaking at the inauguration ceremony, Erdoğan said the agency's new building in Istanbul would empower MIT further, at a time when information has become one of the most effective security issues. [Read more: DailySabah/26July2020] South Korea: Moon Appoints National Intelligence Service Chief. President Moon Jae-in appointed Park Jie-won, a former lawmaker, as head of the National Intelligence Service on Tuesday, Cheong Wa Dae said. The move came a day after Park went through the National Assembly‘s confirmation hearing. Park's tenure is to begin Wednesday, according to Cheong Wa Dae spokesman Kang Min-seok. [Read more: Yonhap/28July2020] MI6 Apologises After Attempt to Interfere With Intelligence Court. Officers from MI6 attempted to persuade Britain's most secret court, the Investigatory Powers Tribunal (IPT), not to consider sensitive documents provided in a case about crimes committed by undercover agents. Two members of the Secret Intelligence Service (SIS) telephoned the secretary of the tribunal asking her not to share documents disclosed by the independent watchdog with the tribunal president and its members, which include current and former judges. MI6 attempted to intervene to prevent documents being disclosed to the court in a legal battle between four non-government organisations (NGOs) and the government over guidance known as the "third direction", which allows MI5 to authorise informers to commit serious crimes, potentially including murder or torture. The case raises serious questions about attempts by intelligence agencies to influence the Investigatory Powers Tribunal and the Investigatory Powers Commissioner's Office (IPCO), an independent watchdog which has oversight of the intelligence services. [Read more: Goodwin/ComputerWeekly/27July2020] Turkish, Egyptian Intelligence Services Vie for Influence in Libya. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan declared recently that his country's intelligence work on Libyan soil was able to halt the ground progress of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, commander of the Libyan National Army (LNA) while security sources in Cairo told The Arab Weekly that Egyptian intelligence was aware of the smallest details of what was happening in the western side of Libya, which is controlled by the Turkey-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj. Statements by the two parties confirm the obvious intensification of intelligence activity by Ankara and Cairo over Libya. The Turkish president underlined "the importance of the intelligence apparatus for the state, as it constitutes a cornerstone for keeping the state standing." [Read more: TheArabWeekly/28July2020] Houston Consulate One of Worst Offenders in Chinese Espionage, Say U.S. Officials. China's Houston consulate, which is due to be closed on Friday, has been one of the worst offenders in terms of Chinese espionage in the United States and its actions went well over the line of what was acceptable, senior U.S. officials said on Friday. The United States ordered the consulate closed this week, leading China to retaliate on Friday by telling Washington to shut its consulate in the city of Chengdu, as relations between the world's two largest economies deteriorate. In a briefing for journalists, a senior State Department official linked espionage activity at the Houston consulate to China's pursuit of research into a vaccine for the new coronavirus. [Read more: Reuters/24July2020] Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Wants More Intelligence. A recent broad agency announcement from the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency seeks fresh ways for industrial and academic researchers to help the agency take on hard problems. It's celled Boosting Innovative GEOINT Research BAA, or Big R. For what's going on, the NGA's research director, Dr. Cynthia Daniell, joined Federal Drive with Tom Temin. [Read or listen: Temin/FederalNewsNetwork/27July2020]Security Clearance News Update: Don't Weed Yourself Out of Federal Employment. It's our second 'summer fun' edition of the security clearance news update. In our last conversation about summer fun, we advised you about how to navigate vacation rentals and overseas travel as a security clearance holder. This week, we're telling you not to have too much fun this summer if you'd like to obtain a government job next year. In an op-ed written by Charles Allen, a 47-year veteran of the CIA and legend within the intelligence community, he notes the continued difficulty for young people interested in pursuing government careers but with recent drug use in their background. Among the issues is the current disparity in adjudicating prior drug use between agencies. The CIA and National Reconnaissance Office are known for requiring a one-year period of abstaining from drugs, including marijuana. The FBI runs an even tighter ship, with a three-year period of abstinence typical. [Read more: Kyzer/ClearanceJobs/28July2020] DoD, IC Juggling Telework, Workforce Flexibilities to Accomplish Classified Work. Every agency has struggled with how to adapt to the maximum telework environment the federal government has been operating under since March, but most have had the good fortune not to have to worry about how to handle classified materials. Those that aren't so lucky have had to perform a kind of juggling act to ensure their employees' safety from the coronavirus while also guaranteeing that the work that needs to get done gets done. At the Defense Department, only about 5% of the workforce teleworked before the coronavirus pandemic began, according to Peter Ranks, DoD's deputy chief information officer for the Information Enterprise. That translates to between 90,000 and 100,000 people per day - still comparatively a rather large figure. And very few of those were doing classified work, limited primarily to pilot programs focusing on niche projects. Now DoD has around 960,000 people on its Commercial Virtual Remote (CVR) collaboration environment. [Read more: Thornton/FederalNewsNetwork/23July2020] What's Spying Like in the Real World? From Carrie Matthison to Maxwell Smart, we've seen spying portrayed on tv and in movies. But what's espionage like in real life? We found out this morning when we spoke with James Olson, a Professor of Practice at the Bush School of Government of Texas A and M University and a former chief of counterintelligence at the CIA. For THIRTY ONE YEARS he was engaged in espionage and covert action work under cover for the CIA, so he has definitely been there and done that. Who do you think is most active when it comes to spying on the United States? Russia? China? How big of a problem is it? What about our upcoming elections? Could you be recruited by a foreign government to sell out your own country? As if that wasn't enough, what television show most accurately portrays what the world of espionage and spy tradecraft is really like? All of those questions and more will be answered when you listen to our conversation from this morning. [Listen here: Tucker/WWL/27July2020] The Russia Report: How to Balance Social Media and National Security? The Russia report* confirms that the UK is a target for online political interference by the Russian State, but it exposes a gaping hole in the ability of the UK authorities to tackle the problem. It paints a worrying picture of the intelligence agencies abrogating their responsibility to protect the discourse and processes of the UK against the activities of foreign powers. Despite the known interference on social media, including with the 2016 referendum, there seems to be little understanding of what happened or what to do about it. The Russia report was published on 21 July by the UK Parliament's Intelligence and Security Committee, which has statutory responsibility for oversight of the UK Intelligence Community, after a delay of many months. The release follows a petition to get it into the public domain. It describes Russia as a highly capable cyber actor, a hostile State that is targeting the UK with campaigns to undermine our democratic discourse by either promoting its own agendas, or simply by sowing confusion. It is covertly using online methods, including on social media platforms, to spread false, distracting and distorting narratives. Specific tactics include bots and trolls, and the use of State-owned international media that typically generate high levels of influence, with social media posts attaining a high reach. A point of concern raised in the report is that the UK's State security services claim that they are not responsible for tackling this hostile State interference. [Read more: Horton/LSE/28July2020] Intelligence: Hiding In Plain Sight. Syria has been at war since the 2011 "Arab Spring" uprising and because of that over a third of the population has fled the country, including a growing number of people belonging to the Syrian government. That has created a bonanza for intelligence agencies, who can pay for secrets of the highly secretive Assad clan that has ruled Syria since the 1960s. Some of these secrets are headed for books while others will be locked away by foreign intel agencies. Some have become public and one of the more interesting collections are about the Syrian Branch 211, a division of the Military Intelligence Division that was responsible for uncovering Israeli electronic devices hidden in furniture, concrete, artificial rocks and many other unlikely locations. Syria has long been a prime target for Israeli espionage and remains so today. Knowing who to spy on is just as important as teaching your case officers how to spy. Sometimes deciding who to keeps tabs on, or steal information from, can mean the difference between a successful operation and a ruined reputation that makes others unwilling to work with you. Depending on the country and the circumstances, it is sometimes easy for a nation to decide who they should be spying on and stealing secrets from. [Read more: StrategyPage/26July2020] Unusual Satellite Image Shows Russian Missile Launch In Arctic. U.S. Navy submarines have spent years shadowing Russian warships, hoping to snap photographs of missile tests through the periscope. It is the stuff of Cold War legends, taking intelligence, skill, courage and patience. Now by pure chance, a commercial satellite flying 488 miles above the Earth has captured exactly that. The unusual event took place in the Barents Sea, in Russia's arctic north. You can clearly see the yellow fireball as the missile erupts from its launch silo. That the satellite captured the missile launch was freak chance. That open-source intelligence defense analyst Frank Bottema found it wasn't. Bottema and others have been watching Russia's Northern Fleet closely over recent weeks. They have racked up an impressive list of Russian Navy movements visible on free satellite imagery. Bottema found the missile test, 17 miles from the nearest land, because he knew where to look and what he was looking for. You can see it for yourself on Sentinel Playground at grid coordinates 70.09378, 32.75932 (70° 5'37.61"N, 32°45'33.55"E) on July 23. While some of the other examples may have a greater intelligence value, such as a spy submarine with a payload on its back (likely a deep diving submersible riding piggy-back), this one is a once in a career find. [Read more: Sutton/Forbes/25July2020] Five Eyes: Blurring the Lines Between Intelligence and Policy. The public aura around the decades-old "Five Eyes" intelligence sharing partnership between Australia, the US, UK, Canada, New Zealand has expanded rapidly since the name was first publicly acknowledged. In 2014, an Australian prime minister publicly referred to the "Five Eyes" for the first time. In 2016, the name first appeared in an Australian Defence White Paper. And in 2020, meetings between ministers from the five countries for, respectively, Defence, Foreign Affairs and Treasury, were first identified as "Five Eyes". That looks like a natural evolution. Intelligence sharing fosters trust and provides the participants with a common operating picture. That creates a solid foundation for collective action. But labelling these meetings as "Five Eyes" is mistaken and possibly counterproductive. It unnecessarily limits their membership and risks blurring the critical distinction between intelligence and policy. [Read more: Scott/TheInterpreter/27July2020] Section IV - Research Requests, Jobs, Obituaries Are You Interested in
Joining the Women's Intelligence Network? GOALS: WIN awards the annual Polly Corrigan Prize for the best
publication in Intelligence Studies by a female author. It runs a
(wo)mentoring programme for emerging female scholars. It aims
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-- Help Your Profession Intelligence Analysts - Gather, analyze, or evaluate information from a variety of sources, such as law enforcement databases, surveillance, intelligence networks or geographic information systems. Use intelligence data to anticipate and prevent organized crime activities, such as terrorism. To participate contact Matt Robinson, O*NET Business Liaison, Research Triangle Institute, Phone: 919-926-6617 or email him at mrobinson@onet.rti.org. More info at www.rti.org; https://onet.rti.org; www.onetcenter.org; and www.doleta.gov/programs/onet. Raytheon Technologies offers the opportunity to continue to support the customer mission with the flexibility to enjoy your retirement. RSVP for one of the two session that day. RSVP at this link for the 11 a.m. to 1 p.m. Tuesday, August 4th session. OR RSVP at this link for the 4-6 p.m. EDT Tuesday, August 4th session. Referrals also Available! Seeking Counterintelligence Cyber Instructors for JCITA at Quantico, VA Operational Intelligence, LLC, an E3/Sentinel company is looking
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JCITA at Quantico, VA. Seeking Counterintelligence Surveillance Instructors for JCITA at Quantico, VA Operational Intelligence, LLC, an E3/Sentinel company is looking
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for JCITA at Quantico, VA to provide CI subject
matter expertise for course development, instruction, and
mentorship. Seeking Russian and Arabic linguist positions supporting DIA at Quantico, VA Russian and Arabic linguist positions
supporting DIA at Quantico, VA, available with Operational
Intelligence, LLC, an E3/Sentinel company. Active TS/SCI required. Seeking
Director, Intelligence Analysis Division (IAD), Intelligence
Analyses Division, Alexandria, VA, Closing Date is 8/8/20 E3/Sentinel has a funded opening for an IT Acquisitions Subject Matter Expert with specific experience in IT architecture requirements to support an IC customer. Candidate will assist in developing innovative business strategies and procurement policy/processes. Only candidates with TS/SCI clearances will be considered. Contact Rosanna Minchew rminchew@e3sentinel.com for more details. E3/Sentinel has multiple openings for Contracts Specialists, Acquisition Analysts, Cost/Pricing Analysts and Contracts Closeout Specialists. Positions in Reston and at Bolling AFB. TS/SCI required to be considered for interview. Polygraph preferred. Contact Rosanna Minchew rminchew@e3sentinel.com for more details. Adjunct
instructors at the University of Texas at El Paso (US) James Madison University (JMU) located in Harrisonburg, VA, seeks
applicants for two faculty positions in its Bachelor's Degree
Program in Intelligence Analysis (IA). The appointments will be at
the Assistant or Associate Professor level and will reside within
the larger School of Integrated Sciences. The IA program offers a
multidisciplinary undergraduate degree with an emphasis on
methodology and technology to prepare students to become analysts,
with a specialization in intelligence analysis. Its graduates have
been successful in securing positions as analysts in both the
public and private sectors, to include the Intelligence Community,
military and law enforcement organizations, defense contractors,
and major consulting firms. The program emphasizes methodology and
synthesizes critical and creative thinking methods with
technological tools for data collection, visualization, and
analysis with situational knowledge of a problem's political,
economic, social, and technological context with strong
communicative and professional skills to support decision-making. Do not let Social Distancing slow your career. New Positions Available with Thomson Reuters Many other jobs available with Thomson-Reuter. Email Brian Lemley for a list with descriptions and links. Explore the many career and contractor intelligence jobs available here. Jobs openings in Cyber Security include - Advisory, Architecture, Digital Forensics & Incident Response, Penetration Testing, Threat Research. They positions are needed here: New York, Chicago, Manila, Reston, Dallas, Atlanta, Suitland, Singapore, Denver, Las Vegas, Phoenix, Doha, Stockholm, London, Milpitas, multiple cities in Australia, Washington, Indianapolis, Tampa, Santiago, Alexandria, Seattle, Carlsbad, Houston, San Francisco, Arlington, Dubai, Amsterdam, Ft Belvoir, Minneapolis, Mexico City, San Diego, Boston, El Segundo, Philadelphia, San Antonio, Chiyoda, Ft Huachuca, Ft Gordon, Ft Meade, Ft Shafter, Kuwait City, Seoul, Sttutgart, Salt Lake City, Austin, Dublin, Bangalore, Cork, Colorado Springs... Explore the many career and contractor intelligence jobs available here. Ted Atkeson, National Intelligence Council, former AFIO Board Edward Breed Atkeson, MG, US Army (Ret), PhD, 90, died 9 July 2020 in Ft Belvoir, VA of Alzheimer's disease. Haru Fisher, Contract Agent for CIA's IOD Robert Charles Fisher, 90, editor, writer for Fodor, and early CIA Contract Agent for IOD, died 7 March 2020 in New York. Stu Hanlein, CIA Scientist for Space Shuttle Program Stuart Lamar Hanlein, 82, a CIA-NASA Scientist for Space Shuttles, died 17 July 2020 in Holly Springs, NC of complications of kidney disease and congestive heart failure. AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... The morning speaker was to be David Ignatius,
author of the upcoming intelligence novel, The Paladin: A
Spy Novel [WW Norton, May 2020]. Ignatius is a Washington
Post columnist and has been covering the Middle East
and CIA for nearly three decades. Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others The International Spy
Museum has reopened to visitors. Click image below to
explore exhibits and ticketing. Upcoming virtual (and a few
live, post-quarantine) events at the International Spy Museum.
Click event to explore and register for event. All virtual
events require pre-registration. 3 August 2020, Spy Camp 2020: Session 2, 9 am - 3 pm PUT ON CALENDAR AND HOLD THE DATE: The Pentagon Federal (PenFed
Credit Union) Foundation will be hosting their spectacular Night
of Heroes Gala on Saturday, 24 October 2020 at the Mandarin
Oriental in Washington, D.C. Last year's annual gala raised over
$1.5 million and honored children of military families. In addition to the new Royal Blue long sleeve shirts, and the gray long sleeve hooded sweatshirts, the AFIO Store also has the following items ready for quick shipment: NEW: LONG and Short-Sleeved Shirts with embroidered AFIO Logo and New Mugs with color-glazed permanent logo Show
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Intelligence Community Mousepads are a great looking addition to
your desk...or as a gift for others. These 2017 mousepads have full color seals of all 18 members of the US Intelligence Community on this 8" round, slick surface, nonskid, rubber-backed mouse pad with a darker navy background, brighter, updated seals. Also used, by some, as swanky coasters. Price still only $20.00 for 2 pads [includes shipping to US address. Foreign shipments - we will contact you with quote.] Order MOUSEPADS here. Guide to the Study of Intelligence and When Intelligence Made a Difference "AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence" has
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