AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #39-18 dated 16 October 2018 To view this edition of the Weekly Notes online, use the following link. [Editors' Note are now
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries
Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others
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NOTICES
New and Forthcoming Books of the Week Ike's Mystery Man: The Secret Lives of Robert Cutler "Banker, lawyer, novelist, consultant to spy agencies, national security adviser to Dwight D. Eisenhower — Robert Cutler pretty much originated the role. More than that Cutler was gay at a time America ostracized that orientation — and his lover was a CIA operative when the Agency typically shunned such people. Ike's Mystery Man is an often sparkling account of a fascinating man at the center of power in the first half of the American Century. Read it." — John Prados, author. "History is never set in stone. Peter Shinkle has found in the diary and letters of Robert "Bobby" Cutler, President Eisenhower's National Security Advisor, an extraordinary story of an able public servant, a man who held the nation's most sensitive secrets, who also happened to be gay — at a time when such a thing was supposed to be impossible. Therein lies a gripping, moving tale." — Evan Thomas, author. "Ike's Mystery Man is a historical treasure unearthed. Based on the untapped diaries of Eisenhower's National Security Advisor, General Robert "Bobby" Cutler, it gracefully reveals how Ike's "unseen arm" [Cutler] shaped and guided many of the President's most important foreign policies. It also unveils the intimate unknown painful story of a gay man's secret love within the homophobic councils of government. A must-read for all Cold War scholars, it is a great read for everyone else." — Martin J. Sherwin, author, University Professor of History at George Mason University How to Get Rid of a President: History's Guide to Removing Unpopular, Unable, or Unfit Chief Executives Former CIA analyst Priess presents a political history of the schemes, plots, maneuvers, and conspiracies that have attempted—successfully and not—to remove unwanted presidents. |
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Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS Pakistan Appoints New Head of Powerful Intelligence Agency. Pakistan has appointed a new leader for its powerful Inter-Services Intelligence service, which plays a key role in coordinating its foreign policy, including with regard to the war in neighboring Afghanistan.The military said Wednesday that Lt. Gen. Asim Munir was chosen to replace Lt. Gen. Naveed Mukhtar, who retired earlier this month. Munir previously headed Military Intelligence and was a field commander. He was awarded the Hilal-i-Imtiaz, a top medal, earlier this year. The ISI has long maintained close ties to the Afghan Taliban and other Islamic militant groups. The United States and Afghanistan have repeatedly called on Pakistan to crack down on such militants. Pakistan says it has used its contacts to assist in peace efforts and that it has limited influence over the Afghan Taliban. [AP/10October2018] A Chinese Intelligence Agent has been Extradited to the US to Face Espionage Charges. An alleged spy for the Chinese Ministry of State Security (MSS) was arrested in Belgium and extradited to the US on accusations he tried to steal trade secrets from US aviation and aerospace companies, the Justice Department announced Wednesday. The extradition of Yanjun Xu, a director at the Chinese Ministry of State Security, is the first time a Chinese intelligence officer has been brought to the US to face trail, according to The New York Times. "This indictment alleges that a Chinese intelligence officer sought to steal trade secrets and other sensitive information from an American company that leads the way in aerospace," said Assistant Attorney General John Demers. "This case is not an isolated incident. It is part of an overall economic policy of developing China at American expense." Yanjun is accused of committing such acts of espionage against leading American aviation companies since 2013 until his arrest in April. [Read more: Walsh/Insider/11October2018] U.S. Intelligence Watchdog Says it will Encourage Whistleblowers to Come Forward. The U.S. National Security Agency's top oversight official, Robert Storch, is working to repair the spy agency's reputation with whistleblowers in an effort to encourage staff to report wrongdoing internally, rather than go public. "It's really important we encourage whistleblowers to come forward and that they feel comfortable doing so and if there are allegations of reprisal then we take that very seriously," Storch said in an interview with Reuters last week. The spy agency has experienced a series of embarrassing leaks over the past five years, beginning with Edward Snowden's 2013 high-profile exposure of secret NSA surveillance programs. Getting more staff to come forward and report concerns internally through Storch's office could reduce the number of leaks, said intelligence community historian Steven Aftergood. [Read more: Bing/Reuters/12October2018] Skripal Suspects Believed to Have Followed Him in Czechia Long Before Attempted Poisoning. The suspected perpetrators of the Novichok attack on Russian double agent Sergei Skripal reportedly visited the Czech Republic in 2014, at the time when Skripal himself was in the country, allegedly helping the Czech counter-intelligence service uncover Russian spies. Radiozurnal, Czech Radio's flagship news channel, broke the story on Wednesday, citing Czech intelligence sources. The two men, who are believed to work for the Russian intelligence service GRU, arrived in the Czech Republic in mid-October 2014, using the same cover names as they did in Britain -Alexander Petrov and Ruslan Boshirov - just days before Skripal's scheduled visit to the country. Czech Radio's investigative reporter Janek Kroupa cites his source at military intelligence as saying that everything points to the fact that Skripal was being followed by Russian agents long before the attempted poisoning in Britain. [Read more: Lazarova/RadioPraha/10October2018] Committee of Parliamentarians to Review Canadian Forces Intelligence Activities. The National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians (NSICOP) announced Friday what they are calling two substantive reviews of government national security and intelligence activities. The findings will be published in NSICOP's first annual report. The committee is examining how the Canadian government establishes national intelligence priorities. Those priorities provide direction to the intelligence organizations in the collection and analysis of intelligence. The process is the primary mechanism for the Prime Minister, Cabinet and senior officials to ensure the proper exercise of control, oversight and accountability for Canada's intelligence activities, according to the committee. NSICOP is also conducting a separate review of the intelligence activities of the Department of National Defence and the Canadian Forces. This review focuses on the structure and scope of defence intelligence activities, the legal authorities under which they are conducted, and the internal oversight and governance mechanisms in place for their control and accountability. The committee noted this is the first independent, external review of defence intelligence activities. [Read more: Pugliese/OttawaCitizen/14October2018] Duterte Names Intelligence Chief Army Commanding General, Says Top Aide. President Rodrigo Duterte picked Maj. Gen. Macairog Alberto, commander of the Intelligence Service of the Armed Forces of the Philippines (ISAFP), as the next commanding general of the Philippine Army, his top aide said on Thursday. In a text message, Special Assistant to the President Christopher Lawrence "Bong" Go told The Manila Times that Duterte, in a letter released on Thursday, informed Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana about Alberto's new appointment. "The appointment paper of MGen Macairog S Alberto, the newly appointed Commanding General of the Philippine Army has been released to the Department of National Defense, today, 11 October 2018," Go said, quoting the Office of the Executive Secretary. [Read more: ManilaTimes/11October2018] New Chinese Lunar Satellite Has Intelligence Agency Concerned. A Chinese communications satellite positioned past the dark side of the moon is causing consternation among military space officials, an Air Force intelligence officer said Oct 12. Within the last year, the Chinese have launched a relay satellite that is flying around "the flip side of the moon," said Jeff Gossel, a senior intelligence engineer at the Air Force's Space and Missiles Analysis Group. "That's very telling to us." "Why do you need a relay satellite flying around L2? So you can communicate with something that is going to either land on the other side of the moon, or fly around the other side of the moon," he said during an event hosted by the Mitchell Institute in Washington, D.C. L2 refers to a stable gravitational point located in space just beyond the moon, according to NASA. In May, China successfully launched the communications satellite, the Queqiao, as part of a large-scale lunar mission, NASA reported in May. [Read more: Mayfield/NationalDefenseMag/12October2018] Five Eyes Intelligence Alliance Builds Coalition to Counter China. The five nations in the world's leading intelligence-sharing network have been exchanging classified information on China's foreign activities with other like-minded countries since the start of the year, seven officials in four capitals said. The increased cooperation by the Five Eyes alliance - grouping Australia, Britain, Canada, New Zealand and the United States - with countries such as Germany and Japan is a sign of a broadening international front against Chinese influence operations and investments. Some of the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the talks, said the enhanced cooperation amounted to an informal expansion of the Five Eyes group on the specific issue of foreign interference. While China has been the main focus, discussions have also touched on Russia, several said. [Read more: Barkin/Reuters/12October2018] Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE Military Intelligence Offers Career Path in Today's Russia. "First time here?" the conductor on the train that stops at the logging outpost of Loyga asks some departing passengers. "My condolences - there isn't even cell phone connection."This desolate village, deep in the far northern Arkhangelsk region, is the hometown of one of the suspected GRU Russian military intelligence agents who is believed to have poisoned a former Russian spy in Britain. The other alleged attacker and an alleged military intelligence operative accused of a hacking attack in the Netherlands come from equally dismal places. Their stories suggest how important the military and intelligence services are for ambitious young men determined to escape the gloom and poverty of rural Russia. [Read more: Vasilyeva/AP/12October2018] Britain Wages Information War Against Russia. On March 10th 2000, two weeks before a Russian presidential election, Tony Blair made a trip from Downing Street to St Petersburg to accompany Vladimir Putin to a performance of Sergei Prokofiev's "War and Peace". The idea came from a senior KGB officer, who suggested to his MI6 counterpart that it would help boost the international legitimacy of Mr Putin, who as prime minister had just launched a brutal war in Chechnya. Mr Blair obliged, becoming the first foreign leader to endorse the incoming president. Nearly 20 years on, Britain is again leading the West's engagement with Russia - but in the opposite direction. Since March, when two officers in the GRU, Russia's military intelligence service, deployed a "novichok" nerve agent in Salisbury to try to murder a former Russian spy, Britain has been on the front line of efforts to counter the Kremlin's clandestine operations. [Read more: TheEconomist/11October2018] UNM Intelligence Community Center of Academic Excellence Receives $2 Million Grant. The University of New Mexico, as an Intelligence Community Center for Academic Excellence (IC-CAE), was awarded a $2 million, three-year grant to create a Critical Technology Studies Program (CTSP) and engage a consortium of regional institutions, known as the New Mexico Consortium for Critical Technology Studies (NMC-CTS). The grant will be part of the National Security Studies Program (NSSP), directed by principal investigator Frank Gilfeather in the Global and National Security Policy Institute (GNSPI) in the Provost's Office, and directed by co-principal investigator Emile Nakhleh. NMC-CTS is led by the UNM main campus principal faculty from Anderson School, Arts and Sciences and School of Engineering. The New Mexico higher education institutions participating include UNM branches in Gallup, Los Alamos and Valencia; Northern New Mexico College; San Juan College; Navajo Technical University; and New Mexico Highlands University. The mission of the NMC-CTS is to interest and prepare New Mexico's students representing the broad diversity of New Mexico's local communities in critical technologies (CT), and ensure that students develop the knowledge and skills in CT to successfully compete for national security positions. [Read more: UNM/10October2018] Intelligence: Social Media In The Combat Zone. The U.S. Army wants to provide troops in combat zones with social media analysis tools that would enable them to automatically gather information from local Internet social media to see what is happening in the area they are operating. This would be near real-time analysis with results available in English. This sort of thing is now possible because of advances in translation and social media analysis software. Intelligence organizations and commercial firms have been developing this sort of capability for over a decade. Currently, military use of these professional tools is restricted and their analyses are usually classified (or considered business secrets). But that has been changing. For example, the Israeli domestic intel agency (Shin Bet) revealed that so far in 2018 its intel monitoring efforts on social media had played a major role in preventing over 250 terrorist attacks. Many big-city police departments use commercially available analysis software to monitor local social media users for useful data on past or potential crimes. Before that police would simply search the social media for telltale signs of crimes committed or about to be. In Ukraine and throughout the Middle East local security forces increasingly use this capability either manually or with specialized software. Now, it appears, it is time to provide the troops with similar tools. Apparently, there has already been some informal and unofficial action in this area by individual army units in combat zones. U.S. SOCOM (Special Operations Command) has been using such tools for years. [Read more: StrategyPage/11October2018] Are You Smart Enough to Pass the GCHQ Entrance Exam? Test Your Intelligence with These Extracts from the World's Toughest Puzzle Book. s the Government Communications Headquarters, or GCHQ as it is more commonly known, prepares to celebrate the 100th anniversary of its formation next year, there has arguably never been a greater need for the dazzling array of technological skills it possesses to keep our country safe. Having started life as the Government Code and Cypher School in 1919, it enjoyed what was indisputably its finest hour during the Second World War when, during its Bletchley Park incarnation, it dramatically changed the course of the war by breaking and then accessing the Germans' difficult Enigma code. The heroic efforts of the Bletchley Park team, which helped the allies to prevail in the Battle of the Atlantic, are credited with shortening the war by two years. The modern-day communications service, which plays a crucial role in Britain's intelligence-gathering capabilities, has come a long way since that golden era. [Read more: TheTelegraph/11October2018] Section III - COMMENTARY Citizen Journalists - the Fighters on the Frontline Against Russia's Attacks. When the story of 2018 is told, historians may be hard pressed to say which was weirdest: that a deadly nerve agent was deployed in a quiet cathedral town on the edge of Salisbury Plain, at the heart of our military establishment. Or that the Russian suspects were identified not by British intelligence but a group described last week as "armchair investigators". Because we now know not just the identities of the two men who travelled to Salisbury with a military-grade chemical weapon but also the arm of the Russian army that deployed them - thanks to Bellingcat, a citizen investigation site founded by Eliot Higgins, a former blogger who started it from a laptop on his sofa in breaks from caring for his daughter. Taken separately these stories are gobsmacking but what's been lost in the reporting is how they are two sides of the same story, imperfect reflections of what many believe to be the defining story of our age: disinformation, the central role of the technology platforms in disseminating it, and the inadequacy of governments to counter it. Because the sleuthing of the identity of these men is a truly remarkable tale that shows how the power of the crowd and a suite of open-source techniques can achieve feats that remind us of how we thought the web used to be, the tech-utopian dreamspace that has taken such an existential battering in the last two years. [Read more: Cadwalladr/TheGuardian/13October2018] Revealing Intelligence on Jamal Khashoggi. Washington Post Global Opinions columnist Jamal Khashoggi has been missing since entering the Saudi Arabian consulate in Istanbul, Turkey on Oct. 2. As of this writing, Turkish officials have said that they believe Khashoggi was killed inside the consulate, and details are emerging regarding the timing of his entry, where Turkish security cameras were located and the entry and exit of Saudi officials precisely around the time of Khashoggi's disappearance. The Saudi Arabian government denies involvement or knowledge of his whereabouts. The manner in which Turkish officials have revealed new details raises questions about what other intelligence information the government of Turkey - or other governments - may have available to them that might reveal or confirm what has happened to Khashoggi. Turkish officials are clearly being cautious by speaking to reporters without named attribution, but they are also providing - as evidenced by this New York Times report - highly detailed information regarding their conclusions. Deciding whether and how much intelligence information to reveal can be a difficult call for a country unaccustomed to revealing its intelligence methods, especially when it involves such sensitivities as diplomatic facilities. But sometimes the gravity of a situation requires exposing intelligence collection activities. [Read more: Cordero/Lawfare/10October2018] Russian Cyber Sins and Storms. The foreign secretary of the United Kingdom Jeremy Hunt and the National Cyber Security Centre recently accused Russia of 'reckless and indiscriminate' cyber-attacks. Just last week, the Dutch authorities announced that they caught and expelled (last April) four Russian hackers with diplomatic passports attempting to snoop on the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. The French Foreign Ministry's policy planning staff and the official think tank of the French Ministry of Defence published a major report a few weeks ago on Russian cyber and disinformation campaigns in France. And the United States continue their official investigation of Russia cyber operations designed to shape the 2016 presidential elections there and issued a third round of indictments against Russian cyber-operatives in recent days. While the chorus of voices accusing Russia of cyber sins is loud, quieter - but no less widespread - sceptical mutterings are questioning the wave of indignation itself: is Russia really so special? Are not the Chinese, the Americans or the French involved in similar activities? Why is there less indignation with China's cyber activities than with Russia's? And ultimately, why are we so sure Russia is to blame at all? [Read more: Popescu/ECRF/10October2018] West Must Deploy Intelligence Agencies to Defeat Poachers, says Gabon President. Elephants and other endangered species could be driven to extinction unless Western governments begin to take the illegal wildlife trade as seriously as terrorism or drug running, the president of Gabon has warned. Ali Bongo Ondimba, whose country is home to the world's largest surviving population of forest elephants, called for an international intelligence and law enforcement effort to break up the transnational criminal groups who now dominate the trade in ivory. "You still have people not believing that we can one day wake up without any African elephants. They say 'oh, you're exaggerating this'. But in the meantime, it is happening," Mr Bongo told the Telegraph . "We cannot win this battle alone," he said. "We are being confronted now by a real network of illicit traffickers. It is an organised one, and it does not just end with wildlife. They are moving into gold, they are moving into human trafficking," said Mr Bongo. [Read more: Oliphant/TheTelegraph/11October2018] CIA Director Haspel is Quietly Working Hard (and Smart) to Keep Us Safe from National Security Threats. Quietly, without receiving much attention in the news media, CIA Director Gina Haspel is working to increase the number of intelligence officers stationed abroad to provide America more of a vital commodity known in the trade as HUMINT (human intelligence). This is a smart move by a talented CIA director - someone I worked with for many years before I retired as a senior CIA officer in 2017. You won't hear much about Haspel, a 33-year CIA veteran, in the news. But you can bet she will be dealing with some of the most important foreign challenges America faces around the world in the years ahead, serving as a steady hand protecting our nation. [Read more: Hoffman/FoxNews/11October2018] Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries Help Academic Colleague Explore Intelligence Leadership Attributes Dear AFIO Colleagues, Arthur Lee Duckett, 71, a former CIA Officer, died 20 September 2018 in Wilmington, NC. James Earl Parker Jr, 75, CIA Paramilitary Officer, former LV Chapter President, died 9 October 2018 of cancer in Las Vegas, NV. Neal Henry Petersen, 79, State Department Deputy Historian, died 25 August 2018 in Arlington, VA. He served for over twenty years in the Historical Office of the U.S. Department of State, retiring as Deputy Historian in 1988. He was the author of "American Intelligence, 1775–1990: A Bibliographical Guide" (1992) and also "From Hitler's Doorstep: The Wartime Intelligence Reports of Allen Dulles, 1942–1945" (1996). John M. Turner II, 96, a former OSS and CIA Operations/Foreign Service Officer, died 25 January 2018 at his home in Rockville, MD. David Wise, 88, Journalist, Author of numerous intelligence books, died of pancreatic cancer on 8 October 2018 in Washington, DC. Wise grew up on the Upper West Side of Manhattan, attended the High School of Music and Art, where he became editor of the school paper, Overtone. His nonfiction work began in 1962 with "The U-2 Affair," a collaboration with Thomas B. Ross recounting the story of the Soviet's 1960 downing of U-2 spy plane piloted by Francis Gary Powers. Mr. Wise also contributed intelligence-themed articles for Vanity Fair, The New York Times Magazine, Esquire, The New Republic, various men's magazines, and Smithsonian. He was also an intelligence and national security commentator on CNN for six years. He wrote 15 books. Wise spent the last year finishing "The Seven Million Dollar Spy," a nonfiction account of the FBI's payment of $7 million to a Russian agent who enabled the bureau to identify Mr. Hanssen as a mole. It is to be released this month as an audiobook by Audible. AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS.... Saturday, 20 October 2018, 10am - 3pm - Dedham, MA - AFIO New England hosts Membership Business Meeting, Speaker, and Discussions The AFIONE meeting schedule is as follows: Registration & Gathering, 1000 – 1030; Membership meeting 1030 – 1045; Morning Discussion Session 1045 to 1200; Luncheon at 1200 - 1300. The Morning session will be open discussion. Our afternoon speaker will be from 1300 – 1430 with adjournment by 1500. The Morning session will cover various business-related items, general discussion regarding recent events of interest to the membership and a presentation by one of our members. The afternoon speaker is Stephen F. Knott a professor of national security affairs at the United States Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island. Prior to accepting his position at the War College, Knott co-chaired the Presidential Oral History Program at the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia. His books include Secret and Sanctioned: Covert Operations and the American Presidency; and Washington and Hamilton: The Alliance That Forged America. He has written numerous essays on the use of covert operations and intelligence gathering by early American presidents, and on the topic of congressional oversight of the intelligence community. Stephen will present "As American as Apple Pie: Clandestine Operations and the American Experience" LOCATION: The AFIONE chapter meeting will be held at the MIT Endicott House in Dedham Mass. The web site is: https://mitendicotthouse.org/. Address is: 80 Haven Street, Dedham, MA 02026. Should you elect to stay at the Endicott House, Mike Assad has arranged a room rate of $140.00. Please mention AFIO/NE and Mike Assad when you make your reservation. For additional information contact us at afionechapter@gmail.com Reservations are $25.00 per person. Emails regarding your plans
to attend will be accepted if you are late meeting the deadline.
These must be sent to Sarah Moore no later than 7 days prior to
the event. ********Luncheon reservations must be made by 17
October 2017. ************** Paid in advance the cost of the
luncheon is $25 per person. Emails regarding your plans to attend
will be accepted if you are late meeting the deadline. These must
be sent to Mr. Arthur Harvey at aharvey@rdi.qozzy.com no later than 7 days prior to the event. Reservation deadline is
17 October 2018. Saturday, 20 October 2018, 2 p.m. - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine hears from Ana Rosa Quintana on "The Crisis in Venezuela and President Maduro's Rise to Power." The crisis in Venezuela and its impact on US policy will be examined by a Heritage Foundation Latin America expert at this open AFIO/public discussion. The AFIO meeting is open to the public, and begins at 2 p.m. at the Program Center of the Brick Store Museum, 4 Dane St., Kennebunk. A question period will follow the presentation. Friday, 2 November 2018, 10 am - 2 pm - Tysons, VA - AFIO National Winter Luncheon features Ambassador Prudence Bushnell and authors Gus Russo and Eric Dezenhall First notice AFIO's Fall Luncheon Friday, 2 November 2018. Ambassador Prudence Bushnell, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs, U.S. Ambassador to Kenya and Guatemala, and Dean of the Leadership and Management School at the Foreign Service Institute, will discuss Terrorism, Betrayal, and Resilience ― My Story of the 1998 U.S. Embassy Bombings Authors Gus Russo and Eric
Dezenhall will discuss Best of Enemies:
The Last Great Spy Story of the Cold War Of this
book, being released at the event, early reviewers have said: "...
crucial for anyone who wants to understand espionage or the Cold
War."― James Grady, author of Six Days of the Condor Badge pick-up starts at 10 a.m. First speaker is Ambassador Bushnell, at 11 a.m. Gus Russo and Eric Dezenhall speak at 1 p.m. Register here to ensure a seat. Event Location: DoubleTree-Hilton, Tysons Corner, VA [formerly the Crowne Plaza], at 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, McLean, VA 22102. Directions are here. Saturday 3 November 2018, 11 am - 3 pm - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter hosts Ronald Joseph MD on "Navy Seal: Charles Keating IV" This North Florida Chapter luncheon features guest speaker: Ronald
Joseph, MD, an orthopedic surgeon and renowned Olympic
athlete, will discuss "Navy Seals; in particular, his Stepson
Charles Keating IV." Saturday, 17 November 2018, 2 p.m. - Kennebunk, ME - AFIO Maine Chapter hears from David Shedd, former Acting Dir, DIA, on "Intelligence Challenges in a Volatile World" David Shedd, former acting Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, and former CIA Officer, discusses "Intelligence Challenges in a Volatile World." Details to follow. Monday, 3 December 2018, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter hosts former CIA Operations Officer, David Hunt David Hunt, a former CIA Operations Officer, will be making an important presentation on Russian Intelligence Operations. Location: Society of Illustrators, 128 E 63rd St (between Park and Lexington), New York, NY 10065. Other Upcoming Events from Advertisers, Corporate Sponsors, and Others 17 October 2018 - Laurel, MD - NCMF General Membership Meeting & Annual Symposium - "Crack the Sky, Shake the Earth." "CRACK THE SKY, SHAKE THE EARTH" ― This was the
message to North Vietnamese forces that they were "about to
inaugurate the greatest battle in the history of our country."
Will provide accounts of surprise attacks on U.S. and ARVN forces
during Vietnam War. More information on symposium and updates. Location: JHU/AP Kossiakoff Center, 11100 John
Hopkins Rd, Laurel, MD 20723-6099 Directions: Kossiakoff Center location here. Parking for the Kossiakoff Center is here. More information on JHUAP. 26 October 2018 - Arlington, VA - NIP 2018 Annual General Membership/Board Meeting and Fall Luncheon Registration is now open for the 2018 NIP [Naval Intelligence
Professionals] Fall Luncheon being held at the stately Army Navy
Country Club in Arlington, VA. Agenda: 1000 - NIP Annual General Membership and Board of Directors Meeting; 1100-1200 - No-Host Social; 1200 -1300- Luncheon; 1230-1300 - VADM Matt Kohler - Guest Speaker. Location: Army Navy Country Club (ANCC),
Arlington, VA which is near Suitland and minutes from the
Pentagon. The club has spectacular views of the Capitol and
abundant free valet parking. Tuesday, 6 November 2018 3 - 4 pm - Washington, DC - "The Post-Caliphate Islamic State: Reflections on Counterterrorism During the First Year of the Trump Administration" by Christopher Costa, Exec Dir International Spy Museum speaking at the Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security Christopher P. Costa, Colonel, US Army (Retired), Executive Director, The International Spy Museum, addresses the Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security on "The Post-Caliphate Islamic State: Reflections on Counterterrorism During the First Year of the Trump Administration." Colonel Costa will set the scene for how the terrorist threat has manifested over the past year or more, the demise of the physical caliphate - the complexities of the fight in the milieu that is Syria - and what the threat might look like in the future. He will consider the terrorist threat from the Maghreb to the Philippines and will discuss what a successful counterterrorism strategy would look like, what are the greatest concerns going forward, such as foreign terrorist fighters, the threat and vulnerabilities to civil aviation and mass transit. Where: Daniel Morgan Graduate School of National Security, 1620 L St NW, Suite 700, Washington, DC 20036 16 November 2018, 8am - 5pm - Washington, DC - "CARVERCON2018: Target Analysis and Vulnerability Assessment" hosted by Security Management International This one-day event will cover a range of topics related to protecting critical infrastructure and key resources, utilizing the world-famous CARVER Target Analysis and Vulnerability Assessment Methodology as a foundation for discussion. The latest innovations in assessment technology, recent case studies, and best practices for identifying and minimizing security threats will all be addressed. Featured speakers include retired CIA officer and the "Godfather of CARVER," Leo Labaj, Dr. Jenni Hesterman, Major General Edward Leacock, Chuck Brooks, plus many more. This is literally a first of its kind. An amazing opportunity to learn from and network with security professionals – from both the public and private sectors – who specialize in the CARVER methodology and are responsible for protecting their organization's valuable assets from would-be aggressors. CARVER is a nationally recognized target analysis and vulnerability assessment methodology used extensively by the military, intelligence and law enforcement community. While numerous other vulnerability assessments have emerged and gone by the wayside, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security officially recognized CARVER as the preferred methodology for securing critical infrastructure. The CARVER methodology is both a defensive and offensive tool: it can assess and analyze risk based on a wide variety of threats and adversaries, as well analyze potential enemy targets to ensure maximum impact. CARVER allows complex data to be synthesized into usable information by integrating the analysis and examination of assets, threats, vulnerabilities, and countermeasures surrounding a specific facility. Its applications are numerous, from physical security and counter-intelligence, to cyber security. It plays an essential role in the protection of critical infrastructure and safety by determining the likelihood of an adversary successfully exploiting a system or an asset's vulnerabilities. It is a time-tested vulnerability assessment methodology that balances efficiency with reliability. What separates the CARVER method from other methodologies is the fact that it offers both a qualitative and quantitative analysis of its findings. This is particularly useful to the security practitioner to help clarify thinking, assist with decision-making, and to provide reasoning for budgets and resource allocations. Speakers: Luke Bencie, Leo Labaj, Jerry Savnik, Chuck Brooks, Dr. Jenni Hesterman, Maj Gen Edward Leacock USA, and James Maxwell. Location: The event will be at the Washington Marriott Metro Center with a continental breakfast, lunch, and light fare in the afternoon. Event includes: Book Launch & Signing of Leo Labaj's and Luke Bencie's new book: The CARVER Target Analysis and Vulnerability Assessment Methodology: A Practical Guide for Evaluating Security Vulnerabilities. Full details
and registration here. Wednesday, 28 November 2018, 6 - 10:30 pm - Washington, DC - International Spy Museum's Annual "William H. Webster Distinguished Service Award Dinner" honoring Adm McRaven For your calendar. A special evening to illuminate the critical role of individuals and organizations serving the Intelligence Community, and to raise funds in support of the International Spy Museum. The William H. Webster Distinguished Service Award Dinner will
take place at The Ritz Carlton Hotel. More than 600 attendees are
anticipated and will recognize the men and women who have served
in the field of National Security with integrity and distinction.
This annual tribute dinner is given by the International Spy
Museum to an individual who has embodied the values of Judge
William H. Webster. This year's honoree is a patriot
for whom love of country has been his guiding principle: Admiral William H. McRaven, former US Special
Operations Commander, former Joint Special Operations Commander,
and Chancellor of The University of Texas System. Wednesday, 5 December 2018 - Annapolis Junction, MD - 18th Annual NCMF Pearl Harbor Program Join the National Cryptologic Foundation on 5
December for their 18th Annual Pearl Harbor Memorial Program.
Speaker and topic TBA. Gift Suggestions: AFIO's 788-page Guide
to the Study of Intelligence. Peter
C. Oleson, Editor, also makes a good gift. View
authors and table of contents here. AFIO's Guide to the Study of Intelligence helps instructors teach about the large variety of subjects that make up the field of intelligence. This includes secondary school teachers of American History, Civics, or current events and undergraduate and graduate professors of History, Political Science, International Relations, Security Studies, and related topics, especially those with no or limited professional experience in the field. Even those who are former practitioners are likely to have only a limited knowledge of the very broad field of intelligence, as most spend their careers in one or two agencies at most and may have focused only on collection or analysis of intelligence or support to those activities. For a printed, bound copy, it is
$95 which includes Fedex shipping to a CONUS (US-based) address. Order the Guide from the AFIO's store at this link. The Guide is also available directly from Amazon at this link. AFIO's
2017 Intelligence Community Mousepads are a great looking
addition to your desk...or as a gift for others. These 2017 mousepads have full color seals of all 18 members of the US Intelligence Community on this 8" round, slick surface, nonskid, rubber-backed mouse pad with a darker navy background, brighter, updated seals. Also used, by some, as swanky coasters. Price still only $20.00 for 2 pads [includes shipping to US address. Foreign shipments - we will contact you with quote.] Order MOUSEPADS here. Disclaimers and Removal Instructions Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: a) IF YOU ARE A MEMBER - click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list. If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words: REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them. b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us. CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's or author's listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more! (c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018. AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com About AFIO | Membership Renewal | Change of Address | Upcoming Events | Chapter Locations | Corporate/Institutional Memberships | Careers in Intelligence Booklet | Guide to the Study of Intelligence | Intelligencer Journal | Weekly Intelligence Notes | To Make A Donation | AFIO Store | Member-Only Section | Code of Ethics | Home Page |
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