AFIO
Weekly Intelligence Notes #28-16 dated 12 July 2016
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CONTENTS
Section
I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT &
PRECEDENCE
Section III -
COMMENTARY
Section IV -
RESEARCH, JOBS, ANNOUNCEMENTS, and OBITS
Research
Jobs
Obituaries
Announcement
Section V - Events
Upcoming AFIO Events
- Thursday,
21 July 2016, 11:30 am - Colorado
Springs, CO - The Rocky Mountain AFIO Chapter presents two
speakers on: "Dynamism in the US and China Codependency
Dance."
- Tuesday, 9 August 2016, noon - 2 pm - MacDill AFB, FL - The Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter hosts Capt Michael Silah, Commander NOAA, on "Hurricane Hunters."
- 10
September 2016, 11:30am - Melbourne, FL - The AFIO Florida
Satellite Chapter hosts Lou Pernice on "The
History of Homeland Security."
Other Upcoming Events
- Wednesday,
13 July 2016, noon to 1:15 pm - Washington, DC - Join the
CI Centre for their June Global Terrorism,
Espionage, and Cyber Security FREE monthly update at the Spy
Museum
- Wednesday,
13 July 2016, 6:30-8:30pm - Washington, DC - High Hand: The
Authors Behind the Thrills - at the International Spy Museum
- Thursday,
14 July 2016, 11:30 am - 1 pm - Washington, DC - Fran
Moore, former CIA DDI on "Leading Intelligence
Analysis." - a program at the Daniel Morgan Academy
- Tuesday,
19 July 2016, 7- 8:15pm - Washington, DC - Spy School Workshop
with Eric O'Neill and SpyChasers presents:
Welcome to Khandar - at the International Spy Museum
- Monday,
25 July 2016 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD - The NCMF
2016 Summer Cryptologic Program features Gen Michael
V. Hayden on "American Intelligence in the Age of
Terror."
- 28
- 29 October 2016 - The Hague, Netherlands - "Witness to
Change: Intelligence Analysis in a Changing Environment" is
the theme of the NISA 25th Anniversary Conference
For Additional AFIO and other Events two+ months or more... Calendar of Events
WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the
following special contributors: mk, fm, kc, jm, mr, jg, th
and fwr. They have contributed one or more stories used in
this issue.
The WIN editors attempt to include a wide
range of articles and commentary in the Weekly Notes to inform
and educate our readers. However, the views expressed in the
articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way reflect
support or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers
and staff. We welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and
all articles and commentary.
CAVEATS:
IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research inquiries,
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MUST SEE NOW
Episode #4 of CNN's
Declassified: Untold Stories of American Spies
is exceptional and provides insights on spy catching and the cost in lives of betrayals.
It's not just secrets or documents which are lost, but the lives of brave soldiers and others working
to protect the U.S., who ultimately pay the price for these betrayals.
The DIA and FBI spycatchers
are heroes dedicated to this little appreciated duty: catching traitors among us.
"Cuba: Traitor on the Inside"
Click above image to view episode.
This CNN TV Series appears each Sunday at 10pm EDT.
Season, Episode, Title, Release Date
1, 1, Trigon:
The KGB Chess Game, 2016-06-19
1, 2, The
Hunt for Saddam, 2016-06-26
1, 3, Zarqawi:
The Father of ISIS, 2016-07-03
1, 4, Cuba: Traitor on the Inside,
2016-07-10
1, 5, Cross International: The Billion Dollar Black
Market, 2016-08-14
1, 6, The Taliban's Double Agent,
2016-08-21
1, 7, Red Storm Rising, 2016-08-28
1, 8, Hexagon: The Secret Satellite,
2016-09-04
View released episodes at links above.
[Note: If video links above do not work, go to this version of the Weekly Notes, and try the links to the videos on that page.]
Episode 4 ends showing a note on Ana Montes' office wall which had these first two lines; but, the four lines which follow underscore the betrayal and treachery her act represents. Many young soldiers died because of her perfidy.
The king hath note of all that they intend,
By interception which they dream not of.
Nay, but the man that was his bedfellow,
Whom he hath dulled and cloyed with gracious favors --
That he should, for a foreign purse, so sell
His sovereign's life to death and treachery!
-- Shakespeare's Henry V, Act 2, Scene 2
The series provides factual accounts of America's covert
operations told firsthand by the officers who lived it, and
includes access to the often complicated, hidden world of covert
operations and espionage.
Series is hosted by former US Congressman/former House
Intelligence Committee chair and current CNN national security
contributor and AFIO member Mike Rogers.
Fran Moore, former CIA DDI
speaks
on
"Leading Intelligence Analysis"
Thursday, 14 July 2016, 11:30 am - 1 pm
- a program at the Daniel Morgan Academy
Washington, DC
The Daniel Morgan Academy hosts an exclusive, invitation-only national security lecture featuring Fran Moore, retired CIA officer and Deputy Director for Intelligence, who will discuss the challenges of leading analysis and producing insights in support of policymakers and the President of the United States as they formulate foreign policy and cope with national security threats. Ms. Moore will share lessons learned with respect to intelligence analysis as she looks forward to the issues facing the next Administration and the analysts that will support them.
Reception at 11:30; remarks by Fran Moore followed by Q&A from Noon to 1 pm.
LOCATION: Daniel Morgan Academy, 1620 L St NW, 7th Floor, Washington, DC 20036; Near Farragut North and West Metro Stations
For more information or to RSVP do so here or contact Frank Fletcher, Director of Lectures and Seminars, DMA at Fletcher@DanielMorgan.academy; call 202-759-4988.
Please note: DMA events are by invitation-only and not open to the public. Contact the Academy for more information.
Unable to attend? View the live stream link here or visit it in the days after the event to see the program. It becomes available live at noon (EDT) Thursday, 14 July.
The NCMF 2016 Summer Cryptologic Program
Features
Gen Michael V. Hayden on
"American Intelligence in the Age of Terror"
Monday, 25 July 2016, 10 am - 1 pm
Annapolis Junction, MD
The NCMF's 2016 Summer program, featuring a presentation by
former DIRNSA and Director, CIA, General Michael Hayden,
will be held from 1000-1115, followed by a question and answer
session from 1115-1145. Lunch will be served at 1145.
Gen Hayden will discuss the reasons behind his decisions to
respond to the world of terrorism and other challenges the United
States faced as the technological revolution proceeded with far
reaching demands. He defends these decisions strongly and provides
counter-arguments to accusations of wrongdoing which regularly
appeared in the media in the wake of the Snowden revelations.
General Hayden also defends the CIA workforce in the face of
disclosures about the rendition program, the methods of
interrogation, and the results of such controversial measures. One
of the key players in the modern world of intelligence, his
presentation will shed new light on some of the most controversial
issues of today's world. Gen Hayden's book, Playing the to
Edge: American Intelligence in the Age of Terror, was
recently published and he will cover information presented in that
memoir. A link to the NY Times review of his book is here.
A book signing with Gen Hayden will take place after his
presentation and his book will be available to purchase. In
addition, a selection of interesting books from the Foundation's
used book collection will be on sale in the lobby area.
WHERE: L-3 Communications at 2720 Technology Drive, Annapolis
Junction, MD 20701
REGISTRATION INFO: Don't miss this interesting, informative
program. The registration fee is $20 for members or $50 for guests
(includes a one-year NCMF membership). Register online via the REGISTER NOW link here. Or you
may mail-in your registration fee. Please mail checks to NCMF -
P.O. Box 1682 Fort George G. Meade, Maryland 20755-9998.
*Registration will close - COB 22 July 2016* |
Section I - INTELLIGENCE
HIGHLIGHTS
German
Intelligence: Iran May Have Tried to Violate Nuclear Deal. Iran
tried to acquire technology that could be used for a military nuclear
program, calling into question whether it is living up to an international
agreement intended to curb such an effort, according to Germany's domestic
intelligence service.
The intelligence report from the German Federal Office for the Protection of
the Constitution found that despite the deal Iran has continued its "illegal
proliferation-sensitive procurement activities" at a "quantitatively high
level."
"This holds true in particular with regard to items which can be used in the
field of nuclear technology," the report added.
But the State Department said it has no indication Iran is violating the
deal. [Read more: Browne/CNN/8July2016]
Joaquin
Castro Lands Intel Committee Assignment. Rep. Joaquin Castro
scored a promotion Wednesday, as House minority leader Nancy Pelosi
appointed the San Antonio Democrat to Congress's high-profile intelligence
committee.
For Castro, in just his second term, the assignment will bolster his
national security credentials. And it serves as a sign of confidence from
party leadership. Pelosi, who served on the committee before rising in the
Democratic ranks, commended Castro on his early national security work.
"Joaquin Castro has shown himself to be an outstanding leader on the
national security issues before America today," Pelosi said in a statement.
"On the House Armed Services Committee and the House Committee on Foreign
Affairs, Congressman Castro has consistently displayed the strength of his
judgment, the depths of his expertise, and the power of his commitment to
the brave men and women who keep our country safe."
The committee oversees the CIA, National Security Agency and other
intelligence agencies. Members undergo screening for security clearance and
receive classified briefings. [Read more: Lovegrove/DallasMorningNews/11July2016]
Runaway
Russian Intelligence Agent Dies in the US. Former Russian
Intelligence Service Colonel Alexander Poteyev, who fled to the US and was
convicted in absentia by a Russian court to 25 years in prison for state
treason, has died in America. The Interfax news agency obtained this
information on July 7, 2016.
"According to certain information, Poteyev died in the US," the Interfax
report says. "At the moment the information is being verified."
The reason and circumstances of his death are unclear. Another source
confirmed having received the information from abroad but said that, "this
might be disinformation intended to have Russia forget about the traitor."
Poteyev, the former deputy head of the Direction S department, which carries
out reconnaissance for Russia in America, made headlines in the summer of
2010 after a spy scandal erupted in the US. Ten Russians spying for Russia
in the US were sent home in exchange for four Russians spying for the US
in Russia. The FBI uncovered a conspiratorial group of "sleeper agents" that
gathered information on US foreign policy and on Americans' perception of
Russia's foreign policy. [Read more: Gromov/Gazeta/7July2016]
NSA Ninja
Hackers Get New Deputy Chief. The famed ninja hackers of NSA's
Tailored Access Operations team are getting a new deputy chief, the US
military let slip Friday afternoon.
Rear Adm. Steven Parode, the current director of intelligence for US
Strategic Command at Offutt Air Force Base in Nebraska, is being transferred
to Fort Meade in Maryland, the Defense Department said in a release.
A DC native, Parode was commissioned out of the Navy ROTC unit at the
University of California, Los Angeles in 1986 and trained as a
cryptographer, according to his official biography.
As intelligence director for US Stratcom, Parode is the senior
intelligence officer for the command and the principal intelligence adviser
to its commander Adm. Cecil D. Haney. Prior to that appointment he had an
assignment as a fellow at the prestigious Strategic Studies Group - a
program for up-and-coming naval officers that's dedicated to producing
"revolutionary innovation," according to its website. [Read
more: Waterman/Fedscoop/11July2016]
Nigeria
Appoints New Chief of Defence Intelligence. Following
the myriad of security challenges facing the country particularly the
resurgent militancy in the Niger Delta, the federal government yesterday
appointed a new Chief of Defence Intelligence (CDI) for the armed forces.
He is Air Vice Marshal Mohammed Saliu Usman. He takes over from Major
General John Saduana Davies, who had been on acting Capacity since January
this year, when the former CDI, Air Vice Marshal Monday Morgan retired.
According to the Armed Forces Statutes, the position of Chief of Defence
Intelligence (CDI) which is the apex in the intelligence community is
rotational among the services.
With the Army and the Navy serving their terms of three years, it fell to
the Airforce but AVM Morgan who got appointed when President Mohammed Buhari
assumed office in 2015, was caught up with (ROD), 'run out date' and had to
retire. [Read more: Omonobi/Vanguard/8July2016]
New Head of
German Intelligence Service Officially Installed. Germany's BND
intelligence service is "as important today as hardly ever before in
history" German Chancellor Angela Merkel's chief of staff, Peter Altmaier,
said on Wednesday as he officially installed Bruno Kahl, 53, as the new head
of the service.
Altmaier stressed the service's increased importance given the heightened
threat from international crises, terrorism and cyberattacks.
Former senior civil servant Kahl said Wednesday he would work hard to
rebuild the trust that had been lost in the service among the German
population and the country's international intelligence partners.
Kahl replaces Gerhard Schindler, who had led the service from January 2012
through a period when it came to light that the BND had assisted the US
National Security Agency (NSA) in spying on European allies. [Read
more: EuropeOnline/6July2016]
Kenyan
Intelligence 'Foil Assassination Attempt on Israeli Prime Minister
Netanyahu's Convoy' During Official Visit. Kenya's intelligence
services are thought to have foiled an attempt to assassinate Israel's Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu during his visit to Nairobi this week.
The Israeli leader is on a four-day trip to Africa, which started on Monday
when he visited the airport in Entebbe, Uganda, where his brother,
Lieutenant-Colonel Yonatan Netanyahu, was killed 40 years ago during the
famous raid which saved the lives of more than 100 Israeli passengers.
On Tuesday he visited Kenya and today the Kuwaiti newspaper al-Jarida reported that Mr. Netanyahu's life was saved when the Kenyan security forces
re-routed his convoy after receiving intelligence about an assassination
attempt.
An anonymous source told the newspaper that just before Netanyahu left the
airport in Nairobi on his way to his hotel the Kenyan authorities told his
security detail the convoy must change its route. [Read more: AP/7July2016]
FBI
Arrests Satellite Engineer on Charges of Espionage. A US
military contractor is alleged to have tried to sell Uncle Sam's satellite
secrets to someone he thought was a Russian intelligence officer, the Feds
claim.
Gregory Allen Justice, 49, of Culver City, California, worked as a security
tester on military satellites, including the GPS system, the Milstar
military communications network, and various spying hardware in orbit.
He was arrested by the FBI on Thursday after allegedly selling hardware
designs to an undercover agent. The Feds claim that since February this
year, Justice met the g-man five times, and allege that four of those times
he was paid $500 or $1,000 for copies of satellite schematics, blueprints
and test files.
Justice did not have access to classified material, but, claimed Special
Agent Peter Lee in an affidavit, he allegedly handed over proprietary trade
secrets that, under international arms laws, could not be moved from the US
without an export licence - in breach of arms laws, as well as trade secret
protections. [Read more: Thomson/TheRegister/11July2016]
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
The Most
Dangerous US Spy You've Never Heard of. She put American
combat troops in harm's way, betrayed her own people and handed over so many
secrets that experts say the US may never know the full extent of the
damage.
Ana Montes was the Queen of Cuba, an American who from 1985 to the September
11, 2001 attacks handed over US military secrets to Havana while working
as a top analyst for the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency.
But despite her crimes, Montes remains largely unknown.
You might not think Cuba could do much harm to a superpower like the US,
said retired DIA official Chris Simmons, appearing on CNN's Declassified.
But you'd be wrong. [Read more: Patterson/CNN/11July2016]
Intelligence
Agency Sets 3D Challenge. On its 10-year Anniversary, the
Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) is sponsoring a
$100,000 grand challenge to the programming community. The Multi-View Stereo
3D Mapping Challenge hopes to crowdsource the difficult task of automating
satellite 2D-to-3D imaging.
The ideal solution to three dimensional imagery - as illustrated in these
NASA photos - is to use a stereo camera. However, all existing satellite
imagery - not to mention the yottabytes of archived images - are taken in
plain-old two-dimensions. IARPA wants to change all that by prompting
programmers to compete to solve the 2D-to-3D problem, so it can be used by
the entire Intelligence Community.
IARPA's Multi-View Stereo 3D Mapping Challenge, managed by IARPA Program
Manager HakJae Kim, intends to benchmark the different 2D-to-3D algorithms
submitted to the contest. The format they are requesting are high-resolution
3D point clouds that can be used to measure the height of any position on a
satellite image. As such, the point-clouds will also allow the Intelligence
community to make more accurate photogrammetry measurements - that is the
"crows fly" as well as the "ground" distance between any two points in an
image.
Besides the one-time prizes, the most innovative solutions providers will
also be invited to collaborate with the intelligence community on related
projects and turn-key solutions for specific problems. The most innovative
solutions providers will also be offered opportunities to contribute to
civilian programs in the White House's Strategy for American
Innovation. [Read more: Johnson/EETimes/11July2016]
The War Over
Soon-to-Be-Outdated Army Intelligence Systems. In the latest
battle of a years-long war over what intelligence data system the Army
should use, Silicon Valley firm Palantir is suing the Pentagon for locking
out them of a potentially multi-billion-dollar upgrade.
The service has spent more than $3 billion and a decade to build the
Distributed Common Ground System for Army, or DCGS-A, which collates and
sends intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance data to the front
lines. In December, the Army put out a solicitation request for companies to
contribute to the system's next increment, dubbed DCGS-A2. Several
companies, including Palantir, are seeking a piece of it.
Palantir makes a commercially available data management platform called
Gotham it has long argued the Army refuses to use. Members of the
intelligence community use it (the company was started, in part, with money
from In-Q-Tel, the CIA's investment arm), as do the Defense Intelligence
Agency, the Marine Corps, and members of the special operations forces
community.
Palantir officials, in their lawsuit ask that the Army's solicitation be set
aside on the grounds that it's rigged against companies that make a
commercial software that can perform the same data management tasks as DCGS
at less cost to the government. The company further argues that the Army's
solicitation is illegal for ignoring a mandate that federal agencies use
commercial, off-the-shelf items "to the maximum extent possible."
[Read more: Tucker/DefenseOne/5July2016]
China's
Old-School Spies. Chinese intelligence operations have long
been regarded as mysterious and unfamiliar to those who witnessed the
East-West intelligence contest across the Iron Curtain. The mystery remains
in part because of a reluctance to examine the available record closely.
Chinese officials and citizens engage all kinds of activities that can be
viewed as intelligence work - from stealing intellectual property, to
surveilling students to organizing overseas Chinese communities to covert
influence to recruiting sources. But only some of this activity comes back
to the intelligence services, the Chinese organizations charged with
supporting the leadership's information needs.
The US espionage cases centered around Larry Wu-Tai Chin (arrested 1985),
Kuo Tai-Shen (arrested 2008) and Glenn Duffie Shriver (arrested 2010) offer
a window into the conduct of Chinese clandestine agent operations. They
demonstrate China's capability and highlight the Chinese use of the
traditional tools of espionage that are shared among most of the world's
intelligence services involved running human intelligence operations. In
many respects, the Chinese are not so different.
Larry Wu-Tai Chin was recruited by Chinese intelligence while he was working
for the US mission in Nanjing prior to the formation of the People's
Republic of China in 1949. Chin continued to report to Chinese intelligence
for almost forty years until his arrest in 1985. For most of this time, he
worked as a translator in various capacities, such as for the US Army in
Korea helping with prisoner interrogation and later at the Foreign Broadcast
Information Service. Chinese intelligence may have paid him over a $1
million, but the amount of money was difficult to track through Chin's
rundown rental properties and frequent gambling. Throughout the operation,
Chin made several surreptitious trips into China via Hong Kong for meetings
and to be recognized for his reporting. When Chin was ready to pass
documents onward, he would mail a letter to an accommodation address in Hong
Kong and that would signal a follow-on meeting at a preset time in Canada,
where he would pass the documents to a courier. [Read more:
Mattis/NationalInterest/9July2016]
Section
III - COMMENTARY
Integrated
Intelligence Key to Combatting Dynamic Threats. The NATO
Alliance faces an increasingly complex, diffuse threat environment.
Consequently, we are always striving toward more integrated intelligence to
stay a step ahead. NATO is positioned to take an important,
integrative step in establishing the new Assistant Secretary General for
Intelligence and Security. We fully endorse this, having firsthand
experience in undertaking similar modernization efforts within the US
Intelligence Community.
The intelligence business is about collection and analysis, not
clairvoyance. We cannot anticipate every attack before it occurs. Our
effectiveness is rooted in our ability to remove institutional barriers, to
cultivate the responsible exchange of information. After the September
11th attacks, the United States realized the need to reform its national
intelligence enterprise to address these issues.
Today, NATO faces this same challenge to improve its decision-making and
support to military forces. The NATO Alliance has changed since the
Cold War and for good reason. We have expanded with new members who share a
common vision and bring diverse insight to understanding global challenges.
Our Alliance remains strong and ever relevant, and we are working together
with our NATO allies to anticipate and address future threats to our
nations.
Last November, in support of NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg's Long Term
Adaptation initiative, the United States developed a proposal to establish a
new intelligence post - the Assistant Secretary General for Intelligence and
Security (ASG-I&S) - at NATO Headquarters. We envision the
ASG-I&S as a strong, empowered, strategic-minded leader who will better
enable the Alliance's intelligence enterprise to anticipate and respond to
myriad complex intelligence and security challenges. [Read
more: Clapper&Lettre/TheCipherBrief/7July2016]
Lack of
Clinton Charges Sends Dangerous Message to Intelligence
Professionals. I am appalled that there are high-level
policymakers in this country who still fail to recognize the serious
national security implications of the use of a personal email server by
Hillary Clinton when she was Secretary of State. They brush it off as though
it were just some other political controversy; as if it has no implications
whatsoever on our national security or the future conduct of government
employees.
I was in the CIA for nine years. I am intimately familiar with the
information classification system. I used it every day on the job. Like
every other one of my colleagues at the agency, I approached the handling of
classified information with immense care because I understand the
ramifications.
One of the primary reasons our government developed the information
classification system was to provide the most highly sensitive operations of
the federal government with extra protection from foreign actors who could
use that information against the United States. It is a matter of national
security that we keep our plans and intentions private. I asked FBI Director
James Comey during his testimony in front of the House Oversight and
Government Reform Committee if Secretary Clinton's personal email server
setup made America's secrets vulnerable to hostile elements. He answered yes
- unequivocally. He also confirmed that nothing was protecting that
information and could not answer how it is not a crime to store classified
information with nothing in place to protect it.
But the most important issue has gotten lost in all this debate over
Secretary Clinton's email server: to preserve the safety of our sources of
intelligence and information. [Read more: Hurd/TheHill/8July2016]
Fighting the
"Ghost Caliphate' With a Global Intelligence Network. ISIS is
facing certain defeat in Iraq and Syria. However, its demise seems to be
unleashing a new phase in the global terror war that may make it far more
lethal and powerful. Its bombing campaign during the Muslim holy month of
Ramadan killed more than 800 people. ISIS is quickly devolving from a
physical army into what FBI Director James Comey calls a "terrorist
diaspora." Only a truly global task force can combat the challenges
terrorism presents. It is time for an antiterrorism variant of the North
Atlantic Treaty Organization. Like NATO, it would be a multilateral alliance
specifically focused on collecting antiterrorism intelligence, detecting and
facilitating disruption of terrorist plots, and attacking cyber-based
networks.
The attacks over the weekend are the most recent blow from professional
suicide cells of the Islamic State. However, the next iteration of ISIS and
Al Qaeda warriors will exist in a hybrid world of very small, covert terror
cells and lone-wolf jihadis that are led through a cyberspace-based command
network. This "ghost caliphate" will be even harder to root out. Terrorist
leaders are planning to find new shadows between the lines of political and
military control to consolidate and form a new global terror nucleus.
The world needs to establish a Global Alliance of Terrorism Task
Organizations, or GATTO, headquartered in Europe. GATTO would comprise of
law enforcement, intelligence, and legal staff from all member states. It
would be a one-stop clearinghouse for intelligence on terrorists worldwide.
Information would be shared widely, freely, and without restriction to any
nation that seeks to help. GATTO would be able to overcome the elastic and
adaptive nature of self-radicalized individuals or groups. In countries with
highly complex law enforcement approaches and disparate legal agencies, such
as Belgium, GATTO could give access to the world's collective intelligence
in order to quickly disrupt any potential plot. This means suspected
terrorists would no longer be able to hide within refugee streams, be
overlooked by routine police checks, buy illicit weapons in another country,
or be set free by uninformed local police. Once on the GATTO grid, everyone
would be informed of suspects. [Read more: Nance/BostonGlobe/6July2016]
Predicting
Cyber Attacks: A Study of the Successes and Failures of the Intelligence
Community. Technology capability and dependency has
increased at a tremendous rate in the last three decades and has changed the
way we live our lives on a daily basis. Technology developments that
claim origin with the original mechanical computation device of the early
1900s can now operate anything from your AC in your house to the satellite
providing direct support to an operation overseas. Everything from
individual credit card transactions to our defense communications networks
rely on a network of computer and communication systems to operate.
When you swipe your credit card at a gas pump the data is sent through phone
lines, computer systems, servers, satellites and relay stations and you as a
consumer see none of this physically happen and expect it to be
secure. Most of the literature on the topic of cyber security discuss
how the private sector and governments alike are attempting to deal with the
threat of these systems being accessed by individuals meant to do
harm. These entities have been in varying degrees of reactive modes up
until the last few decades. Real questions are being asked all the way
down to the consumer level about security. How degraded is your
privacy with the use of cyber technologies? What systems are
vulnerable to a cyber attack? Could a cyber attack be used to prepare
the battlefield for a kinetic attack? Solving these multifaceted
questions require detailed analysis and cannot be solved by the answering of
one question.
As I looked at these issues it became obvious that early detection and
prevention of cyber-attack is an extension of the battlefield and thus the
United States Intelligence Community has a big role to play. As
networks become more complex and widely used they will inevitably be
exploited by individuals, groups and state actors to conduct nefarious
activities. As the technologies expand, the vulnerabilities must be
identified as early as possible to counter their potential for negative
use. Furthermore, the concept of cyberspace is constantly evolving
into areas not originally thought to be an "easy target" and is very quickly
becoming the next battleground for attacks executed by individual actors and
nations alike. Just last year the head of the National Security Agency
(NSA), Admiral Michael Rogers, stated that "China and "one or two" other
countries have the ability to launch a cyber-attack on the US power grid
and other vital infrastructure." (News VOA 2014, 1). A
cyber-attack executed by a hacker or group of hackers against the power,
financial or communications infrastructures would deal a devastating blow to
the US economy with a few strokes of a keyboard.
A majority of the literature on cyber threats focus the vulnerabilities in
today's cyber space but how is the Intelligence Community adapting to these
ever-changing technologies to give the decision makers the ability to react
to prevent the attack? As the problems we face from a cyber-threat are
very complex, I wanted to focus on identifying the major successes and
failures of analysis from the Intelligence Community (IC) to predict
cyber-attacks against the United States. The goal of this research is
to break down the components of a good cyber defensive force into variables
so I can clearly identify those failures and successes and their effects on
the operational ability of the IC in cyberspace. [Read more:
Stanfield/SmallWarsJournal/7July2016]
Section IV
- RESEARCH, JOBS, ANNOUNCEMENTS, and OBITUARIES
Research
Author conducting research on Marguerite E. Harrison (1878-1967), a newspaper correspondent who worked for the War Department's Military Intelligence Division in Germany and Russia in the aftermath of the First World War, seeks your assistance.
I am a published author conducting research for a book on Marguerite E. Harrison (1878-1967), a newspaper correspondent who worked for the War Department's Military Intelligence Division in Germany and Russia in the aftermath of the First World War. She survived two periods of incarceration in Lubianka Prison in Moscow, was highly regarded by officers such as Gen. Marlborough Churchill, Gen. Dennis Nolan, and Gen. Ralph H. Van Deman, and later participated in a landmark cinematic expedition across the Middle East and Central Asia. Ms. Harrison's life and career was previously the subject of a PhD dissertation and chapters of books about adventurous women.
Mine will be the first full-length biography. I have been turning up at the National Archives some fabulous material about her intelligence work, but much remains to be unearthed.
My reason for writing is the hope that AFIO members might have some additional archival information about Ms. Harrison. I anticipate the work being published around 2020, in time for the centennial of Marguerite's most breathtaking exploits. My most recent publication is Race to the Top of the World: Richard Byrd and the First Flight to the North Pole (Regnery History, 2013). I have lectured at the National Archives, the Virginia Historical Society, the Massachusetts History Society, the National Museum of the U.S. Navy, the Explorers Club, the Adventurers Club of Los Angeles, the New Jersey Aviation Hall of Fame and Museum, the Navy Memorial Foundation, the Rotary Club of New York, and numerous other venues. I can be reached at 201-451-3860 or WildResch@aol.com.
Researcher seeking information on Radio Free Europe Fund or Clandestine CIA Radio Broadcasting to Eastern Europe and USSR
Request for Information: Richard H. Cummings, Lifetime AFIO member, author of two books on Radio Free Europe, owner of blog coldwarradios.blogspot.com, and past contributor to The Intelligencer, is actively researching two book projects: 1. Radio Free Europe Fund and 2. Clandestine CIA Radio Broadcasting to Eastern Europe and USSR, especially from Greece. If any AFIO members have information, anecdotal or otherwise, about either of the topics they would be willing to share, please contact him at richix9@gmail.com.
Jobs
Chevron is seeking a Threat Analyst, to be based in Houston, Texas.
Chevron is accepting online applications for the position of Threat Analyst located in Houston, Texas, through July 23, 2016 at 11:59 p.m. Chevron is one of the world's leading energy companies, with approximately 60,000 employees working in countries around the world. We explore, produce and transport crude oil and natural gas; refine, market and distribute fuels and other energy products; manufacture and sell petrochemical products; generate power; and develop future energy resources, including biofuels and geothermal energy.
Overview:
Global Security is charged with providing high-quality, cost-competitive and reliable services with operational excellence. The organization is committed to supporting its diverse customers and achieving their respective business objectives through the delivery of programs designed to protect Chevron's people and assets, thus creating superior value for Chevron shareholders, customers, partners, employees and the countries in which we operate. Outstanding individual and collective performance of the Global Security organization will help the Corporation achieve its vision—to be the global energy company most admired for its people, partnerships and performance.
Responsibilities for this position may include but are not limited to:
- Responsible for providing strategic analysis of security and geopolitical developments that could affect the security of the company's personnel, assets, business interests, and operations.
- Work with key stakeholders within Global Security and throughout the enterprise to identify key issues and potential risks.
- Provide timely, effective analytic products designed to support a variety of internal clients and help inform business decisions.
- Responsible for closely monitoring evolving threats, risks, and potential crises, which may require working outside of normal business hours.
Required Qualifications:
- Master's degree in a relevant field (such as international relations, regional studies, history, economics, political science).
- A minimum of 7 years of experience as a federal government or private sector analyst.
- ·Extensive subject matter expertise pertaining to geopolitics and regional security issues in Latin America.
- Spanish fluency.
- ·Must be flexible and willing also to function as a generalist, tracking issues and providing analytic assessments of other security-related risks, when needed.
- Must have previous experience communicating effectively and concisely (both verbally and in writing), and briefing senior officials or business executives.
- Must have strong interpersonal skills, be able to build successful relationships, and interface credibly with employees and executives alike.
- Must be able to work independently but also collaborate effectively with other team members to support business needs.
- Candidates must be able to adapt quickly and easily to changing priorities, meet tight deadlines, and manage multiple tasks at once.
- Domestic and international travel will be required to meet these responsibilities.
- Must be able to obtain a US government security clearance.
Preferred Qualifications:
- Familiarity with or previous experience in the energy industry.
- The ability to identify and develop new sources of information to be utilized in support of strategic objectives.·
- Previous experience living or working overseas.
To APPLY, do so at this link.
Announcements
National Intelligence University President David Ellison Announces Retirement
National Intelligence University (Washington, DC) President Dr. David Ellison announced his intention to retire from the Presidency of NIU in late August 2017 at the opening convocation ceremony of the 2017-2018 academic year. The announcement comes as the university prepares for the move of its main campus from Joint Base Anacostia-Bolling in southeast Washington, D.C., to a newly refurbished facility in Bethesda, MD in the fall of 2016. The early announcement allows time to conduct a national search for the next president, oversee completion of the major portion of the university's decennial reaffirmation of accreditation process and graduate the first class of students from the new campus prior to his departure.
Appointed in 2009, Dr. Ellison has overseen the institution's transformation from college to university, the establishment of the Anthony G. Oettinger School of Science and Technology Intelligence and the expansion of the university's research and outreach missions. In making his announcement, Ellison assured intelligence community leaders and the university's Board of Visitors that he will dedicate himself to the continued advancement of NIU through his final day on the job, noting "the future of NIU is too important to do anything less!"
NIU is an accredited federal degree-granting institution whose main campus is located in Washington, D.C. Its alumni are past, present, and future leaders in the intelligence and national security communities and in the private sector. Notable alumni include a former director of national intelligence; former directors of CIA, NSA, DIA, and NGA; current and former heads of military intelligence; and a growing number of senior government executives and corporate leaders. For more information, visit:
www.ni-u.edu.
AFIO salutes Dr. Ellison for overseeing the transformation of NIU into a robust, highly-respected academic institution.
Obituaries
M. Cordell "Cord" Hart (Col. US Army, Ret.), former CIA, Department of Treasury (FinCEN), Chinese Linguist, has died.
Malvoicen Cordell "Cord" Hart, (Col. US Army, Ret.), 75, of Bethesda, MD, passed away unexpectedly at his residence on Sunday, 3 July 2016.
Cord was a former CIA case officer, a retired Department of Treasury official in the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a former US Army Colonel in the field of military intelligence, a past president of the International Association of Asian Crime Investigators, and a Chinese linguist. He also served as chairman of the Center for Crime and Terrorism Studies Board of Directors. He was a writer and lecturer on issues related to Asian crime.
Selected comments from condolences to Cord Hart's family give insights to his remarkable life: I worked with Cord at FinCEN. My initial impression of him was that he was a consummate gentleman. I soon learned of his vast experience in intelligence and with the military. He became a supervisor in the Ops Support Division. Because of his wonderful intellect, humor and experience dealing with people he easily navigated the complexities of a multi-agency environment. He was a man for all seasons of which there are very few. I enjoyed speaking with him about his time in Vietnam with the 44th Med Brigade and his later career with the Agency. The memories we shared of our younger days in Arkansas, as well as our service to America in our adult days were, and always will be, priceless. I will forever miss you old friend. Thanks again for the quail eggs and sorry you never hit a home run in little league I'm really going to miss Cord -- his intellect, his unfailing good nature, his curiosity, his many abilities. He was so well liked at DHHS and he was definitely a gentleman, always. Gifted with great intellect and the ability to express himself, his greatest strength was in his love for his family ... that was always uppermost. The world needs more people like Cord. I have many memories of Cord, many of them humorous, all of them positive. He will be greatly missed. Remembering Cord well from high school with his wry smile and twinkle in his brown eyes. Cord was a colleague, a true friend, we will miss him very much. He will never be forgotten. He was a good writer, researcher, and delightful bon vivant who many of us enjoyed meeting for lunch to hear updates on his fascinating tales which included his visits to Aldrich Ames, of Cord's career in CIA and elsewhere, and his unique assessments of the profession, its people, and world events. Always entertaining, smart, original, and witty. Always enjoyable company. I'll drink a Martini (Cork Dry Gin of course!) in his honour. I hope you are now enjoying endless martinis untroubled by the ills of the world. Travel safely my friend.
He is survived by his wife, three sons, four grandchildren and three siblings. Funeral services and internment will be held at a later date in Arlington National Cemetery. Sign the family guestbook here.
Section V - Events
AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN
COMING TWO MONTHS....
Thursday,
21 July 2016, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO - The Rocky Mountain
AFIO Chapter presents two speakers on: "Dynamism in the US and China
Codependency Dance."
The world's largest two economies are dealing with significant, possibly
unsurmountable challenges. Internally, a widening income gap and questions
about political leadership have led many to wonder whether either the PRC
or the United States are on sustainable paths. Even as two-way trade
between the two is at all-time highs, domestic Chinese issues like capital
flight and slowing growth are changing the nature of bilateral economic
and political ties. The US government has leveraged cheap credit--largely
made possible by the PRC's appetite for treasuries--but Beijing has
started unloading its holdings.
And in the midst of all this, the PRC is asserting itself more on the
international scene, especially in the South China Sea. The discussion
will touch on the above issues as well the Chinese leadership's attempt to
guide an economic transition from export-based growth to one that centers
on internal consumption.
Our speakers:
Dan S. has worked in human intelligence in Vietnam
before working at the RAND Corporation on B-52 effectiveness. He joined
the Defense Intelligence Agency as a strategic analyst and contributed to
National Security Memoranda and the President's Daily Briefing.
Afterwards, he was a faculty member at the United States Air Force
Academy's Political Science Department. He has a BA in English from
Trinity College and an MA in Sino-Soviet Studies from George Washington
University. He currently works in Denver.
Hans B. first traveled to the PRC in 1999; his
professional and academic endeavors have focused on China's society,
economy, and politics ever since. An analyst, Hans has advised many
businesses and government agencies on strategy and political risk, market
entry, and local partner development. He has a BA in Chinese Language and
Literature and Asian Studies from CU-Boulder and an MA in International
Affairs from George Washington University. Currently, he is an
entrepreneur in Colorado Springs.
For more information, please contact Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net.
Tuesday, 9 August 2016, noon - 2 pm - MacDill AFB, FL - The Florida Suncoast AFIO Chapter hosts Capt Michael Silah, Commander NOAA, on "Hurricane Hunters."
The Florida Suncoast Chapter luncheon features a very topical program by CAPT Michael J. Silah, commander of the NOAA "Hurricane Hunters."
The program is scheduled to start at noon and will include a remembrance of the recently departed Dr. Ken Campbell, a longtime and treasured Chapter member.
Event location: MacDill AFB Surf's Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Blvd, MacDill AFB, FL 33621. Admission only allowed to those who have pre-registered with the chapter for this event.
If you will be attending, respond to chapter secretary Michael Shapiro no later than noon on Tuesday, 2 August, with your name and the names of any guests. Please do not respond for others, aside from designating any of your own guests, as this will also delay your reservation.
The Surf's Edge Club has tightened its reservation policy, so please do not respond late.
If you (or any of your guests) have not previously attended one of our meetings and need base access, Mr. Shapiro will provide instructions. Important---if you make a reservation, and by 2 August have failed to get a cancellation confirmation and then don't show up, you will be responsible for the cost of the luncheon since the chapter will have to pay for your meal whether you are present or not.
After you RSVP, you will received an acknowledgement from the chapter confirming your registration. Should you not receive a reply within a day or two of registering, get back in touch with Mr. Shapiro at sectysuncoastafio@att.net to verify that your registration was received and to get a confirmation email.
The chapter is looking forward to seeing you at the meeting.
Questions to: Michael Shapiro, Secretary, Florida Suncoast Chapter of AFIO, (813) 832-1164 or sectysuncoastafio@att.net
10 September
2016, 11:30am - Melbourne, FL - The AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter
hosts Lou Pernice on "The History of Homeland Security."
Guest Speaker at this kick-off event for the fall season is Louis
Pernice, speaking on "The History of Homeland Security: The
American Experience from our Independence to 911." It will be presented
from abroad perspective covering both constitutional, budgetary and social
issues. Lou will also be covering the topic starting from the early
colonial days of defending our borders through the Civil War, both World
Wars, the Cold War, evolution of transnational terrorist threat and up to
the 9/11 attacks.
Lou'sprofessional background includes: Career law enforcement professional
with a leadership record spanning over 40 years of demonstrated success in
five federal/state law enforcement/support agencies including: United
States Treasury Department ' Internal Revenue Service; US Department of
Agriculture ' Office of Inspector General; US Department of Justice -
Office of the Inspector General; US Immigration and Naturalization
Service - Office of Professional Responsibility; and the Brevard Police
Testing and Selection Center. Lou holds a Masters Degree in Public
Administration from John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York and
hold a BachelorsDegree in Psychology from Brooklyn College in New York.
Event will be held at Indian River Colony Club, 1936 Freedom Drive,
Melbourne, FL 32940.
For more information or to register, do so at this chapter website link.
Other Upcoming Events
Wednesday,
13 July 2016, noon to 1:15 pm - Washington, DC - Join the CI Centre
for their June Global Terrorism, Espionage, and Cyber Security FREE
monthly update at the Spy Museum
Global Terrorism, Espionage and Cybersecurity Monthly Update takes place
at noon at the International Spy Museum. There is no charge. Presentation
is made by David Major, a current and original member of
the Board of Directors for the Museum. He is a retired FBI Supervisory
Special Agent who was Director of Counterintelligence, Intelligence and
Security Programs on the National Security Council Staff. He provides a
one hour briefing on the most recent counterintelligence intelligence and
security issues, breaches, and penetrations that have occurred globally
during the past month. Presented in partnership with The Centre for
Counterintelligence and Security Studies (CI Centre), these updates will
cover worldwide events such as newly emerging espionage, economic
espionage, technology diversion cases and arrest, cyber espionage
incidents, and domestic and international terrorist activities. Major uses
his expertise to analyze trends and highlight emerging issues of interest
to both intelligence and national security professionals, private sector
professionals and the general public. To attend contact: Meaghan Smith meaghan.smith@cicentre.com
Wednesday,
13 July 2016, 6:30-8:30pm - Washington, DC - High Hand: The
Authors Behind the Thrills - at the International Spy Museum
Espionage, political machinations, oil, secretly funded high-tech weapons
of intelligence, ghosts of the Cold War, murder, and poker. Join the three
co-authors of High Hand, a new spy thriller, to explore how they
used their professional and personal experiences to create this novel
written using the pseudonym Curtis J. James on the CIA and SVR. The
authors: Pentagon journalist James Rosen, and cancer
scientist Curtis Harris, and James Ellenberger,
a former senior official of a national labor federation, will be joined by
Spy Museum board member and retired KGB Major General Oleg D.
Kalugin. Tickets: $12. Visit www.spymuseum.org
Thursday, 14
July 2016, 11:30 am - 1 pm - Washington, DC - Fran Moore, former CIA
DDI on "Leading Intelligence Analysis." - a program at the Daniel
Morgan Academy
The Daniel Morgan Academy hosts an exclusive, invitation-only national security lecture featuring Fran Moore, retired CIA officer and Deputy Director for Intelligence, who will discuss the challenges of leading analysis and producing insights in support of policymakers and the President of the United States as they formulate foreign policy and cope with national security threats. Ms. Moore will share lessons learned with respect to intelligence analysis as she looks forward to the issues facing the next Administration and the analysts that will support them.
Reception at 11:30; remarks by Fran Moore followed by Q&A from Noon to 1 pm.
LOCATION: Daniel Morgan Academy, 1620 L St NW, 7th Floor, Washington, DC 20036; Near Farragut North and West Metro Stations
For more information or to RSVP do so here or contact Frank Fletcher, Director of Lectures and Seminars, DMA at Fletcher@DanielMorgan.academy; call 202-759-4988.
Please note: DMA events are by invitation-only and not open to the public. Contact the Academy for more information.
Unable to attend? View the live stream link here or visit it in the days after the event to see the program. It becomes available live at noon (EDT) Thursday, 14 July.
Tuesday,
19 July 2016, 7- 8:15pm - Washington, DC - Spy School Workshop with
Eric O'Neill and SpyChasers presents: Welcome to Khandar - at the
International Spy Museum
You are invited to an evening at the Khandar Embassy with Eric
O'Neill - but all is not as it seems. The Embassy has just
become the center of an espionage investigation with global repercussions.
It's up to you to identify the spy from among four Embassy luminaries
before time runs out. Space is limited to 25 participants -- advance
registration is required. Tickets: $45. Visit www.spymuseum.org
Monday, 25
July 2016 10 am - 1 pm - Annapolis Junction, MD - The NCMF 2016 Summer
Cryptologic Program features Gen Michael V. Hayden on "American
Intelligence in the Age of Terror."
The NCMF's 2016 Summer program, featuring a presentation by former
DIRNSA and Director, CIA, General Michael Hayden, will
be held from 1000-1115, followed by a question and answer session from
1115-1145. Lunch will be served at 1145.
Gen Hayden will discuss the reasons behind his decisions to respond to the
world of terrorism and other challenges the United States faced as the
technological revolution proceeded with far reaching demands. He defends
these decisions strongly and provides counter-arguments to accusations of
wrongdoing which regularly appeared in the media in the wake of the
Snowden revelations. General Hayden also defends the CIA workforce in the
face of disclosures about the rendition program, the methods of
interrogation, and the results of such controversial measures. One of the
key players in the modern world of intelligence, his presentation will
shed new light on some of the most controversial issues of today's world.
Gen Hayden's book, Playing the to Edge: American Intelligence in the
Age of Terror, was recently published and he will cover information
presented in that memoir. A link to the NY Times review of his
book is here.
A book signing with Gen Hayden will take place after his presentation and
his book will be available to purchase. In addition, a selection of
interesting books from the Foundation's used book collection will be on
sale in the lobby area.
WHERE: L-3 Communications at 2720 Technology Drive, Annapolis Junction, MD
20701
REGISTRATION INFO: Don't miss this interesting, informative program. The
registration fee is $20 for members or $50 for guests (includes a one-year
NCMF membership). Register online via the REGISTER NOW link here. Or you may
mail-in your registration fee. Please mail checks to NCMF - P.O. Box 1682
Fort George G. Meade, Maryland 20755-9998. *Registration will close - COB
22 July 2016*
28
- 29 October 2016 - The Hague, Netherlands - "Witness to Change:
Intelligence Analysis in a Changing Environment" is topic of the NISA
25th Anniversary Conference
The Netherlands Intelligence Studies Association (NISA) celebrates its
25th anniversary with a two-days conference. Main theme is the strongly
changed environment of the intelligence analyst during these past 25
years.
In other words: the 25th anniversary as a symbol for the revolutionary
changes in the intelligence world with which analysts have to deal; both
external developments (the onset of a multipolar world, asymmetric
conflicts, the information revolution), and internal changes (in
collecting, processing, dissemination, legitimization and supervision).
These developments forced intelligence analysts and organisations to adapt
work processes and methods and techniques. Intelligence analysts still
mostly operate in secret, but the demands of intelligence consumers and
the public have changed over the last 25 years. Social and technological
developments have changed the playing field and the rules of the game for
the intelligence analyst, leading to an enormous growth in (publicly)
available information and means of communication, and demands for more
transparency and accountability. Aim of the conference is to touch on the
consequences of this changed environment, and to look ahead.
Participants are invited to listen to distinguished experts in the field,
and to enter into discussions on various topics relating to intelligence
analysis.
The Conference will be held at the Nationaal Archief (the National
Archive), Prins Willem Alexanderhof 20, The Hague, the Netherlands.
The conference program may be viewed here as a PDF.
Conference Fee: Standard Fee: Eur175; Student Fee: Eur80 (proof of status
required). Fee covers registration, lunch and drinks.
To join the Conference Diner on Friday 28 October 2016, an extra fee of
Eur30 is applicable.
To Register: For registration: fill this form. After registration you will receive
further information as regards payment of the conference fee and the
programme. There is a limited number of seats. Registration for the
conference will close on 15 October 2016.
For further information please send an e-mail to 25yearsnisa@gmail.com
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