Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS

Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE

CIA Director John Brennan on 60 Minutes.  In a rare interview, the head of the CIA outlines the threat to America posed by ISIS and discusses other security concerns such as cyber and biological terror.

Section III - COMMENTARY

Does Europe Need a European Intelligence Agency?  With the attacks in Paris last year some leaders in the European Parliament have called for a pan-European intelligence agency. The leader of ALDE, Verhofstadt, is a proponent of such an organization. He has called for more cooperation between intelligence agencies or the start of an independent European Intelligence Agency. With this call he has recognized the failure of national agencies, which only defend national interests and not the European interest. Furthermore, national agencies will fail again in the near future, Verhofstadt has said, if they do not cooperate.

A European Agency already exists but it has to be strengthened: the EU INTCEN was created in 1999 as part of the Common Defense and Security Policy. Since then more centralization efforts have been put to the center in order to combat terrorism. The attacks of 9/11 were an eye-opener for the agency and from that time European nations used INTCEN to exchange views or information about terrorism. In 2004, High Representative Javier Solana had placed the center under the external action service and developed a combat terrorism cell. Its main tasks were to contribute early warnings, conduct monitoring and assessments, provide facilities for crisis task force as well as reporting to the High Representative.

That agency is now under scrutiny and attack because of the failure of the Belgian as well as French anti-terrorism agencies to heed warnings, letting the aggressors get away. Turkey had warned France twice about Ismael Omar Mostefai, the 29-year old French national who opened fire on concert-goers at the Bataclan on November 13 in Paris. And French law-enforcement authorities only learned Hasna Ait Boulahcen was the cousin of the so-called ring-leader, Abdelhamid Abaaoud, days after the Paris attacks despite having bugged her phone on a separate drug related investigation.  [Read more:  VanVaerenbergh/EuropeanPublicAffairs/10February2016]

REORG: How Not to Fix American Intelligence.  With an unusual degree of public fanfare, the super-secret National Security Agency has just announced its first significant reorganization since the 1990s. While NSA's core missions, which include providing Washington, DC with the lion's share of the intelligence in our Federal government, are not changing, how the agency is structured is about to undergo profound change.

Termed NSA21, this two-year recasting will dramatically shift how the agency does business. In particular, the core missions of signals intelligence and information assurance will be blended in a new organization termed the Directorate of Operations. Since NSA's birth in 1952, SIGINT has been the main business out at Fort Meade, the agency headquarters nested in the Maryland suburbs between Baltimore and the nation's capital.

Cracking foreign codes has always taken up the majority of NSA's budget and resources while the information assurance mission, which tries to prevent foreign intelligence from cracking our codes, including our nuclear command and control, has been something of an also-ran, bureaucratically speaking, despite its enormous importance to our national security.

Combining these missions is sure to be controversial, however, and not just for internal agency reasons (SIGINT and information assurance are not even located at the same NSA facility, but actually live about ten miles apart).   [Read more:  Schlinder/Observer/9February2016]

Whistleblowers and Spies: Who Benefits From a NOIR?  Dr. David Charney's proposed National Office for Intelligence Reconciliation (NOIR) was designed to better manage the problem of insider threat and insider spying. One criticism of NOIR has been that it would not work for all insider spies. However, it must be pointed out that it was never claimed to be one hundred percent effective. NOIR cannot be an option for all insider spies, nor was it intended to be.  In and of itself, a NOIR cannot eradicate all instances of insider espionage (but what approach possibly could?).  Rather, it is one of several tools - along with technical approaches and the threat of legal punishment - that can work in combination to significantly reduce the likelihood of the behavior and to minimize damage when it does occur.

People tend to look for one-size-fits-all, universally applicable solutions, especially to their most worrisome problems.  Of course, we're smart enough to know we live in a complex world and one-size rarely ever fits all.  Still, we instinctually wish for that all-purpose fix, whether it's the Philosopher's Stone, the Holy Grail, or Dr. Seuss' Thneed.

That also seems to be the case in counterintelligence (CI).  Most recently we've searched for technical solutions that will perform their data extraction magic and point us to that employee or hacker who is stealing our data.  We seek one-size-fits-all software that will work in any office (government or private industry), under any circumstances, for any employee.

When we do look at solutions based on human behavior, we tend to take a black and white approach, not just to motivation, but to our intrinsic nature.  A particular individual is either "good" or "bad", trustworthy or untrustworthy, honest or hiding something.  From a legal standpoint, this makes perfect sense, since the ultimate goal is to determine guilt or innocence, something we also consider in absolute terms.  [Read more:  NOIR/8February2016]

Jobs and Education

Intelligence Training Instructor - Quantico, VA.  Dorrean, LLC is currently recruiting for an Intelligence Training Instructor for a contract in Quantico, VA. The Intelligence Training Instructor will train, instruct (including platform instruction), and participate in the development of course materials and course outlines for onboard employees for Intelligence Career Path training courses. Based on objectives and performance goals, tasks for Intelligence Training Instructors will include, but not be limited to, the following:

Task 1 - Under the supervision of personnel and in accordance with designated curricula, Intelligence Training Instructors will instruct the workforce to employ skills, tools, and techniques required to integrate analysis with operations and produce intelligence pursuant to the organization's highest standards. Specifically, Intelligence Training Instructors will be required to provide instruction in critical thinking, analytic writing, raw intelligence reporting, and intelligence briefing, as well as participate in and evaluate exercises designed to leverage the student's knowledge.
Task 2 - Intelligence Training Instructors will provide mentoring and coaching throughout a comprehensive program of instruction for the intelligence workforce.
Task 3 - Intelligence Training Instructors will also be asked to collaborate on curriculum life-cycle refresh and corresponding lesson plan documentation.

Required Qualifications
Minimum of five years demonstrated experience in an Intelligence Field. The five years of demonstrated experience shall include application of analytic tradecraft skills and techniques, USIC collaboration, or case-based analysis and reporting.
-  Minimum two years of experience providing instruction in any of the following intelligence topics: structured analytic techniques, critical thinking processes, collection/domain management, raw intelligence reporting, analytic writing in accordance with the ODNI Analytic Integrity Standards, and intelligence briefing for peers and/or executives.
-  Minimum of two years demonstrated work experience in facilitating practical exercises by mentoring and coaching students both one-on-one and as a group to help them achieve a developmental outcome as determined by the lesson plan.
-  Demonstrated proficiency in Microsoft Office Suite, including Excel, Word, PowerPoint, and SharePoint.
-  Demonstrated work experience in course material and curriculum development to include Blackboard LMS facilitation.

Dorrean, LLC is an Equal Opportunity Employer.
Qualified candidates can send their resumes to the Corporate Recruiter, Scott Ernest, at Scott.Ernest@Dorrean.com.

Register now, at a discount, for July and October Courses available from The Intelligence & Security Academy, Arlington, Virginia

This exceptional academy run by Mark Lowenthal has scheduled some individual enrollment courses for July and October, at a discount for AFIO members, as follows:

Upcoming Events

AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....

Thursday, 25 February 2016, 5:30 PM - Atlanta, GA - AFIO Atlanta Chapter event features Mark Riebling on Church of Spies: The Pope's Secret War Against Hitler.

The AFIO Atlanta Chapter, the Harvard Club of Georgia, the UC Berkeley Alumni Club of Georgia, and the Syracuse University Alumni Club of Atlanta invite you and a guest to an evening with AFIO member Mark Riebling. Mr. Riebling is a path-breaking writer on secret intelligence. His 1994 book Wedge: The Secret War Between the FBI and CIA all but predicted 9/11. Indeed, Riebling's analysis of security failures influenced post-9/11 intelligence reforms to a significant degree. Deputy US Attorney Andrew C. McCarthy―who prosecuted the 1993 World Trade Center bombing―wrote in The Wall Street Journal in 2006 that "Riebling's analysis has now become conventional wisdom, accepted on all sides.' Mr. Riebling will discuss his recent bestseller Church of Spies: The Pope's Secret War Against Hitler. The event will be moderated by Prof. Nathan A. Sales, a leading light among legal scholars focused on emerging national security issues. He teaches at Syracuse University College of Law.

Please see event details below, and use link to register. AFIO members and guests pay no fee to attend this special event. Questions? Contact Brian J. Hooper, President, AFIO Atlanta Chapter at brian@afioatlanta.com or call him at 404.879.2440

5:30 - 6:30 pm:  Cocktail Reception; 6:30 - 7:30 pm:  Presentation by Mark Riebling, followed by Q&A; 7:30 - 8:30 pm: Cocktail Reception.

WHERE: Womble Carlyle; Skyline Room (25th Floor); Atlantic Station, BB&T Building; 271 17th Street, NW, Suite 2500; Atlanta, GA 30363-1017.

RSVP by Feb. 18 by clicking on the registration button above.
*Event is limited to first 100 registrants. NOTE:  Attendees receive two (2) hours complimentary parking in the Atlantic Station parking deck. Nominal cost for additional hours. For updated information visit the chapter website.

25 February 2016, 12:30-2 PM - Los Angeles, CA - The Los Angeles AFIO Chapter holds special election meeting.

The Los Angeles AFIO Chapter will hold a special meeting on February 25, 2016 for the election of chapter officers.
Location: L.A.P.D.-ARTC, 5651 W Manchester Ave RM.1F, Los Angeles, CA 90045.
RSVP: afio_la@yahoo.com

Monday, 29 February 2016 - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO San Francisco Andre LeGallo Chapter hosts Barry Eisler, a former CIA DO Case Officer, and Gen. Michael Hayden, former Director of NSA and CIA, and PDDNI.

Barry Eisler, attorney, former CIA Case Officer in the Directorate of Operations and author and Gen. Michael Hayden, Former Director of NSA/CIA and Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence. Mr. Eisler will discuss his novel, The God's Eye View and privacy and surveillance in the 21st century. Gen. Michael Hayden will discuss "American Intelligence in the Age of Terror."

Join us for this unique behind-the-scenes look at America's anti-terror efforts. Venue: Peninsula location - address will be sent to registrants in two weeks: 11:30am buffet lunch; meeting at noon.

Member Registration until 2/1/16: open registration starting 2/1/16: Register here. Questions?: contact Mariko Kawaguchi, Board Secretary at afiosf@aol.com or Mariko Kawaguchi, c/o AFIO, PO Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011.

Friday, 18 March 2016, 10:30am - 2pm - Tysons, VA - AFIO National Spring Luncheon features Gen. Michael V. Hayden, former director, CIA and NSA, discussing "Playing to the Edge" and David Priess, author and former CIA analyst and briefer, on The President's Book of Secrets

Michael Hayden at this luncheon will provide a high-level master narrative of America's intelligence wars. He is the only person to helm both CIA and NSA, at a time of heinous new threats and major change. For General Michael Hayden, playing to the edge means playing so close to the line that you get chalk dust on your cleats. Otherwise, by playing back, you may protect yourself, but you will be less successful in protecting America. "Play to the edge" was Hayden's guiding principle when he ran the National Security Agency, and it remained so when he ran CIA.  In his view, many shortsighted and uninformed people are quick to criticize, and this book will give them much to chew on but little easy comfort; it is an unapologetic insider's look told from the perspective of the people who faced awesome responsibilities head on, in the moment.

David Priess, author and former CIA analyst, manager, and intelligence briefer, is the author of The President's Book of Secrets which will be released at this event.
Every day, the President receives a report revealing the most sensitive intelligence reporting and analysis of world events: the President's Daily Brief, or PDB. CIA spies, the NSA's listening posts, and the nation's reconnaissance satellites steal secrets for it, while America's enemies send undercover agents to try to unearth its classified content. No major foreign policy decisions are made without it. Yet the PDB's stories have gone untold―until now. The Priess book contains original input from more than 100 interviews with former intelligence leaders and policymakers--including all of the living former Presidents and Vice Presidents ​and the vast majority of living former CIA Directors, DDIs, National Security Advisors, and Secretaries of State and Defense. This new work also incorporates previously unpublished material from various Presidential libraries.

Register here while space remains.

Sheraton Tysons Hotel, 8661 Leesburg Pike, Tysons, VA 22182. Phone: (703) 448-1234. Driving directions at this link.

Monday, 21 March 2016, 5:30 - 8 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro Chapter Meeting features a presentation by Paddy Hayes, Irish author of newly released "Queen of Spies: Daphne Park, Britain's Cold War Spy Master."

Irish Author Paddy Hayes discusses Queen of Spies, his new book about Daphne Park (1921 - 2010) top British spy during the Cold War. Baroness Park of Monmouth (OBE) (CMG) spent her youth on the African plains and eventually became Chief of Western Hemisphere operations for the Secret Intelligence Service (SIS). A fascinating successful career and book, very well reviewed!
LOCATION: Society of Illustrators building 128 East 63rd Street Between Park and Lexington Avenues in Manhattan
TIME: Registration Starts 5:30 PM. Meeting Starts 6 PM.
COST: $50/person Cash or check only.
REGISTER: Strongly suggested, not required. Phone Jerry Goodwin 646-717-3776 or Email: afiometro@gmail.com.

Other Upcoming Events

Tuesday, 23 February 2016 4:30 - 5:30 pm - Washington, DC - Intelligence as a Career Path: Black History Month After School Program featuring Malcolm Nance at the Spy Museum

Meet counterterrorism expert & author Malcolm Nance. He's been undercover in terrorist hotspots, passed hostile border crossings in disguise, submitted to waterboarding, and now he's prepared to share his life experiences with students. Malcolm W. Nance is a counterterrorism and terrorism intelligence expert with wide-ranging field and combat experience.
A frequent guest commentator on breaking news, he's the author of The Terrorist Recognition Handbook among other books. Drawing on his experience as a 20-year veteran of the US intelligence community's Combating Terrorist program, he's been a consultant for the US government on special operations, homeland security, and intelligence. As a master Survival, Evasion, Resistance and Escape (SERE) instructor, he can handle any tricky situation including testifying before the US Congress and speaking to teenagers.
Middle and High School Students only. In partnership with the Greater Washington Urban League.
Tickets: Free! Advance registration required. Register at www.spymuseum.org

Thursday, 25 February 2016, 6:30pm - Washington, DC - "United States of Jihad" with Peter Bergen at the International Spy Museum

The tragic, ISIS-inspired attack in San Bernardino was a harsh reminder that 'homegrown' terrorism is a real and present danger. CNN national security analyst and New York Times bestselling author Peter Bergen has been chronicling Islamist terrorism through groundbreaking reporting on the Middle East, al-Qaeda, and homeland security for more than twenty years. His new book United States of Jihad: Investigating America's Homegrown Terrorists, gives an unprecedented look at the factors that lead to the radicalization of American citizens and offers expert insights into the shape of the threat confronting us. Join Bergen as he shares the forces that have led Americans like Anwar al-Awlaki, Samir Kahn, the Tsarnaev brothers, and so many others down the path to terrorism and investigates the effectiveness of counterterrorism strategies from the FBI's efforts to those of Imam Magid, who is spearheading an effort to reach fundamentalist youths before it is too late.
United States of Jihad will be available for sale and signing at the event.

Tickets: $10. Visit www.spymuseum.org Please RSVP to lzaris@spymuseum.org.

Friday, 26 February 2016, 3:30 - 5:30 p.m. - Washington, DC - True World Ops hosts book signing with investigative reporter Bryan Denson, author of The Spy's Son.

True World Ops hosts a book-signing with journalist Bryan Denson, author of The Spy's Son, the true story of the highest ranking CIA officer ever convicted of espionage and the son he trained to spy for Russia.

Event location: Martin's Tavern, Washington, DC. No fee. RSVP here.

1 March 2016, 6:30-8:00 pm - Arlington, VA - Augustyn, Kappes, Rolince, Cohen Presentations and Panel on "What is the current threat level in the United States?" at Marymount University

Presentations and Q&A Panel
Joseph W. Augustyn, Moderator; Executive Vice President, Security and Intelligence at Jefferson Waterman International; Former Deputy Associate Director of Central Intelligence for Homeland Security

Panelists: Stephen R. Kappes, Partner and the Chief Operating Officer at Torch Hill Investments; Former Deputy Director of the Central Intelligence Agency.
Michael Rolince, Independent consultant supporting the FBI’s countering Violent Extremism (CVE) Office; Former Special Agent in Charge of the FBI’s Washington Field Office Counterterrorism.
David Cohen, Senior Advisor to the Command Consulting Group; Former CIA Deputy Director of Operations of the National Clandestine Service; Appointed Deputy Commissioner of Intelligence for New York in the wake of 9/11.

Location: Marymount University's Reinsch Auditorium, 2807 N Glebe Rd, Arlington, VA 22207
No charge to attend, and no preregistration required. Attendees should show up at the Reinsch Auditorium, located in the Reinsch Library Building on the main campus of Marymount at the intersection of N Glebe Rd and Old Dominion Dr in Arlington. There is a parking lot that can be accessed from 26th St.

Event is Sponsored by The Department of Forensic & Legal Psychology, Marymount University.

Wednesday, 9 March 2016, 10 - noon - Annapolis Junction, MD - NCMF Spring Cryptologic Program features Dr. David Sherman, NSA Assoc Dir for Policy and Records

Members are invited to attend the NCMF [National Cryptologic Museum Foundation] Spring Cryptologic Program featuring Dr David J. Sherman, NSA's Associate Director for Policy and Records. Dr Sherman oversees the agency's information security policy and its responsibilities under FOIA. He will discuss NSA's redaction program and the challenges faced declassifying and protecting sensitive information in the volumes of documents released to the public. Authors, researchers, professors, and the curious wondering about the intricacies of the declassification and release program will not want to miss this program.

Location: L3 Conference Center, National Business Park, 2720 Technology Dr, Annapolis Junction, MD 20701. Sherman speaks from 10 to 11:15 a.m., followed by a Q&A to 11:45. Lunch follows. Also take time to browse a selection of unusual, used books for sale from the NCMF's collection.

To register: $20 for NCMF members; $50 for guests (includes 1 yr membership). Send payment to: NCMF, PO Box 1682, Fort George G Meade, MD 20755-3682. Or register online here. Registration closes on 4 March.

Tuesday, 15 March 2016, 11:30 am - Washington, DC - Amb Joseph DeTrani and William Brown discuss "Dealing with a Nuclear North Korea" - at the Daniel Morgan Academy

The Daniel Morgan Academy national security lecture features Ambassador Joseph R. DeTrani with Discussant William B. Brown
Ambassador DeTrani will discuss the strategic implications for US and international security of recent actions by North Korea related to their nuclear and missile programs. William Brown will discuss North Korean economic issues.

LOCATION: Daniel Morgan Academy, 1620 L St NW 7th Flr, Washington, DC 20036. Near Farragut North and West Metro Stations.

RSVP to Attend Event by contacting Frank Fletcher, Director of Lectures and Seminars, DMA, 202-759-4988 or events@danielmorgan.academy

Friday, 29 April 2016 - Austin, TX - Gala Dinner Honoring Admiral Bobby R. Inman

A Gala Dinner Honoring Admiral Bobby R. Inman has been announced by University of Texas/Austin President Gregory L. Fenves to take place at the Four Seasons Hotel in Austin, Texas.
Presented by the Clements Center for National Security and the Strauss Center for International Security and Law, a gala dinner for Admiral Bobby R. Inman will feature former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates as the keynote speaker. Mr. Red McCombs will serve as the Honorary Gala Chair. Admiral Inman is on AFIO's Honorary Board.

To attend or for more information, contact the Clements Center at 512-471-2601 or explore this link.

Wednesday, 11 May 2016 - Washington, DC - Night of Heroes Gala - The PenFed Foundation 2016 Gala

PUT THIS DATE ON YOUR CALENDAR and then Join the PenFed Foundation, our partners and friends, Wednesday, 11 May 2016, as we honor those who lead the way in supporting our military and veterans. All proceeds benefit the PenFed Foundation, helping members of the military secure the financial future they deserve.
DINNER ★ HERO AWARDS PRESENTATION ★ LIVE AUCTION
Consider having your corporation or foundation be a sponsor for this worthwhile event. SPONSORSHIP LEVELS are as follows:
$100,000 Circle of Honor; $50,000 Legendary Hero; $25,000 Distinguished Hero; $10,000 Inspirational Hero; $5,000 Patriotic Hero; $1,000 Individual Sponsor
More details coming soon. More info here.
Location: Ronald Reagan Building & International Trade Center, Washington, DC.

Disclaimers and Removal Instructions

Weekly Intelligence Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted, edited and produced for non-profit educational uses by members and WIN subscribers. 

REMOVAL INSTRUCTIONS: We do not wish to add clutter to inboxes. To discontinue receiving the WINs: 

a)  IF YOU ARE A MEMBER -- click here: UNSUBSCRIBE and supply your full name and email address where you receive the WINs. Click SEND, you will be removed from list.  If this link doesn't open a blank email, create one on your own and send to afio@afio.com with the words:  REMOVE FROM WINs as the subject, and provide your full name and email address where you are currently receiving them.

 b) IF YOU ARE NOT A MEMBER, and you received this message, someone forwarded this newsletter to you [contrary to AFIO policies]. Forward to afio@afio.com the entire WIN or message you received and we will remove the sender from our membership and distribution lists. The problem will be solved for both of us.

CONTENTS of this WIN [HTML version recipients - Click title to jump to story or section, Click Article Title to return to Contents. This feature does not work for Plaintext Edition or for some AOL recipients]. If you wish to change to HTML format, let us know at afio@afio.com. The HTML feature also does not work for those who access their e-mail using web mail...however NON-HTML recipients may view the latest edition each week in HTML at this link: https://www.afio.com/pages/currentwin.htm

WINs are protected by copyright laws and intellectual property laws, and may not be reproduced or re-sent without specific permission from the Producer. Opinions expressed in the WINs are solely those of the editor's) or author's) listed with each article. AFIO Members Support the AFIO Mission - sponsor new members! CHECK THE AFIO WEBSITE at www.afio.com for back issues of the WINs, information about AFIO, conference agenda and registrations materials, and membership applications and much more!

(c) 2000, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016. Please note AFIO's new address: AFIO, 7600 Leesburg Pike, Suite 470 East, Falls Church, VA 22043-2004. Voice: (703) 790-0320; Fax: (703) 991-1278; Email: afio@afio.com

Click here to return to top.