AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes

WIN CREDITS FOR THIS ISSUE: The WIN editors thank the following special contributors: pjk, jg, and fwr. They have contributed one or more stories used in this issue.

Are you familiar with
THE GUIDE TO THE STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE?

The Guide offers suggestions for instructors teaching various topics for which intelligence is an important component. These articles remove some of the veil that has made the secret history of intelligence opaque and obscured many of the complexities of the intelligence field. The target audience includes secondary school teachers of American History, Civics, or current events and undergraduate professors of History, Political Science, International Relations, and related topics, particularly those with no or limited professional experience in the field. The authors of the individual articles in The Guide try to identify the important learning points for students and the materials that an instructor can use to teach. AFIO solicited its members, academics, and experts to contribute to The Guide.

It is an encyclopedic presentation of articles on a large range of intelligence disciplines and areas of study, with each abbreviated article closing with a selection of the best readings to continue study in that field. Ideal for professors, students, and autodidacts.

The Guide to the Study
of Intelligence

A project of AFIO's Academic Exchange Program (AEP)

Project Director: Peter C. Oleson
Chair, AFIO Academic Exchange Program
Former Associate Professor, The University of Maryland University College (UMUC)

Here are just some of the newly added papers...many of which will eventually appear in final print form in Intelligencer journal.

Newly added draft articles since 3 April 2014 are the following:

Carl Ford, Secretary of State Colin Powell's intelligence officer, explains how the department's Bureau of Intelligence and Research focused its intelligence support on meeting the secretary's needs. He notes in his Perspective on Intelligence Support to Foreign Policy how the intelligence system is often not well geared to supporting policymakers.
Michael Sulick, former director of the National Clandestine Service, reviews various aspects of intelligence during the Cold War. He identifies the major spies on each side that had significant impact, the impact of advances in technical intelligence collection, especially satellite collection, and the use of covert action. He further addresses the relationship of politics and intelligence analysis and the shortcomings in analysis, especially by the KGB.
The British have a rich history in intelligence from the era of Elizabeth I to the present. Drs. Huw Dylan and Michael S. Goodman of King’s College, London, explain the "British way of intelligence" in their article that covers the history, organization, functioning and oversight of the British intelligence establishment.
The history, structure, and political environment for French intelligence differs markedly from that of the US or even other western countries' services. French intelligence has gone through a significant transformation in recent years. Philippe Hayez and Hedwige Regnault de Maulmin explain the evolution of French intelligence and the recent push for a national intelligence community.
Increasingly the private sector is employing intelligence techniques to support organizational goals and operations. John McGonagle recounts the growth of competitive intelligence, how it is employed, and some of the issues associated with it in the private sector.
Former CIA polygrapher John Sullivan writes about the use of the polygraph in the CIA. He surveys the evolution of its use and the reasons for its controversial reputation.
Cyber espionage has become a daily news topic. But how did this come about? Doug Price in his article on "The Evolution of Cyber Intelligence" traces how computers became intelligence targets and the methods used to access them evolved along with the spread of the Internet. He also discusses the subject of cyber counterintelligence.
What motivated people like Aldridge Ames, Robert Hanssen, or Edward Snowden to betray their country? As psychiatrist David Charney and co-author and CIA case officer John Irvin explain, the explanations are complex and individual. Their "Guide to the Psychology of Espionage" details attempts to understand such motivations.
Preventing the spread of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) is a central focus of the Intelligence Community. In her article on Counterproliferation, Rowena Rege Fischer details the international regime constructed to counter the proliferation of WMD which intelligence supports and the challenges faced.
Gene Poteat's article Counterintelligence, Homeland Security and Domestic Intelligence provides many insights into the history of counterintelligence in the US, some of its successes and many of its failures. It is sobering to consider some of the potential consequences he identifies. As such Poteat's article complements Michele Van Cleave's explanation of what counterintelligence is.
Professor Douglas Wheeler, who has read extensively about intelligence, traces the evolution of intelligence related literature over the past century. He shares his recommendations in The Literature of Intelligence: Another Kind of Need to Know.
In response initially to the Cold War CIA became a center for innovative scientific collection of intelligence unavailable by other means. Former senior scientific intelligence officer, Gene Poteat recollects some of CIA's efforts in his article Scientific and Technical Intelligence: A Memoir by a S&T Intelligence Officer.
While the 9/11 Commission of 2004 on the terrorist attacks on the US is well known, the 2005 WMD Commission is less well known. Yet the WMD Commission, officially the "Commission on the Intelligence Capabilities of the United States Regarding Weapons of Mass Destruction" and unofficially the "Silberman-Robb Commission," has had a significant impact on the Intelligence Community. More widely focused than on just the failure to understand the Iraqi WMD program, the WMD Commission made many recommendations to improve the collection, analysis, and dissemination of intelligence, putting meat on the bones of the 9/11 Commission recommendations. Elbridge Colby and Stewart Baker, both staff members of the WMD Commission, in their article provide considerable insight into this most significant commission.
Historian Mark Stout, PhD, explains how World War I witnessed the birth of modern intelligence. His recommended readings for instructors covers most of the major belligerents.

To explore the much larger list of published and draft pieces that comprise The Guide, visit this page.

'New Era' for Cypriot Intelligence Agency. The Cyprus Intelligence Service (KYP) is about to get a full overhaul for the first time in 44 years, putting it on a solid legal footing while giving it a more analytical role in an effort to face the rapidly changing global challenges.

The cabinet approved on Wednesday a bill making KYP an independent body.

According to a government statement, the goal is to turn KYP into a "fully independent and professional body able to perform its national security duties adequately."

It added: "KYP is to enter a new era. A fully independent body staffed with qualified personnel so it could play its part in dealing with a new, complicated and always evolving international and regional environment that presents our country with threats and challenges." [Read more: Evripidou/CyprusMail/14September2014]

New Sparks Fly Between CIA, Senate Intelligence Committee. Tensions between the CIA and its congressional overseers erupted anew this week when CIA Director John Brennan refused to tell lawmakers who authorized intrusions into computers used by the Senate Intelligence Committee to compile a damning report on the spy agency's interrogation program.

The confrontation, which took place during a closed-door meeting on Tuesday, came as the sides continue to spar over the report's public release, providing further proof of the unprecedented deterioration in relations between the CIA and Capitol Hill.

After the meeting, several senators were so incensed at Brennan that they confirmed the row and all but accused the nation's top spy of defying Congress.

"I'm concerned there's disrespect towards the Congress," Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., who also serves as chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, told McClatchy. "I think it's arrogant, I think it's unacceptable." [Read more: Watkins/McClatchy/12September2014]

House Intelligence Committee Hearing to Focus on Extremists. Retired Marine Gen. James Mattis, who ran US Central Command at MacDill Air Force Base from 2010 to 2013, will be one of three witnesses to appear before a House Intelligence Committee hearing on threats posed by the Islamic State, al-Qaida and other Islamic violent extremists.

The open hearing will take place 8 a.m. Sept. 18 in room HVC-210 of the Capitol Building.

In addition to Mattis, former Ambassador Ryan C. Crocker and Dafna H. Rand, from the Center for a New American Security will testify.

Crocker has been an ambassador to six different nations in the Middle East - Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Syria, Kuwait and Lebanon - in Democratic and Republican administrations. [Read more: Altman/TampaTribune/11September2014]

Former South Korean Spy Chief Convicted in Online Campaign Against Liberals. A former South Korean intelligence chief accused of directing agents who posted online criticisms of liberal candidates during the 2012 presidential election campaign was convicted Thursday of violating a law that banned the spy agency from involvement in domestic politics.

Won Sei-hoon, who served as director of the National Intelligence Service under President Park Geun-hye's predecessor, Lee Myung-bak, was sentenced to two and a half years in prison, but the Seoul Central District Court suspended the sentence. Mr. Won had just been released from prison Tuesday after completing a 14-month sentence stemming from a separate corruption trial.

Prosecutors indicted Mr. Won in June of last year, saying that a secret team of National Intelligence Service agents had posted more than 1.2 million messages on Twitter and other forums in a bid to sway public opinion in favor of the conservative governing party and its leader, Ms. Park, ahead of the presidential and parliamentary elections in 2012.

Many of the messages merely lauded government policies, but many others ridiculed liberal critics of the government and of Ms. Park, including Ms. Park's rivals in the presidential election. Some messages called the liberal politicians �servants� of North Korea for holding views on the North that conservatives considered too conciliatory, prosecutors said. [Read more: Hun/NYTimes/11September2014]

Israeli Intelligence Veterans Refuse to Spy on Palestinians. Dozens of veterans of an elite Israeli military signals intelligence unit have said they will no longer serve in operations against Palestinians.

Forty-three past and present reservists signed a letter about Unit 8200, which carries out electronic surveillance.

They said the intelligence it gathered - much of it concerning innocent people - was used to "deepen military rule" in the Occupied Territories.

Israel's military said it held the unit to ethical standards "without rival."

Israel has occupied the West Bank and East Jerusalem, since 1967. It pulled its troops and settlers out of Gaza in 2005, though the UN still regards Gaza as under Israeli occupation. [Read more: BBC/12September2014]

Maj-Gen Kameru Takes Oath as Kenya's Top Spy. President Uhuru Kenyatta on Thursday morning witnessed the swearing in of the newly appointed National Intelligence Service Director General, Major General Philip Wachira Kameru and new Air Force Commander Major General Samuel Ng'ang'a Thuita.

The swearing in ceremony conducted by the Head of Public Service and Chief of Staff Joseph Kinyua was also witnessed by the Deputy President William Ruto.

Kameru was sworn in first where he stated that he will do his best to be just and fair during his tenure.

"I, Major General Philip Wachira Kameru do swear that I will do well to serve the Republic of Kenya in the office of the Director General of the National Intelligence Service and that I will do justice in accordance to the Constitution of Kenya as by law established and in accordance with the laws and customs of the Republic without fear, affection favor or ill will so help me God," he vowed.

Thuita on the other hand said that he will work hard in his endeavor to serve Kenyans. [Read more: Ndonga/CapitalNews/11September2014]

Greece Intelligence on Alert for Traveling Islamist Militants. Greece's National Intelligence Service said Tuesday that it was at "a heightened state of vigilance" for suspected militants, keeping close tabs on radical Muslims, and had detected at least six foreign fighters with the terrorist group Islamic State transiting through the country in recent months.

The surveillance operation comes amid concern that the militant group, formerly known as Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, or ISIS, will retaliate for increased US airstrikes in Iraq and possible strikes in Syria.

"The threat level originating from Greece is very low because there are no verified indications of either dormant or active ISIS cells or splinter groups" within the country, a senior intelligence official said. "We are, however, at a heightened state of vigilance now, exchanging intelligence from the United States, Britain, France and others."

The official, who requested anonymity because of the sensitive nature of the topic, did not elaborate. Nor did he say whether Greece had issued international arrest warrants for Islamist militants in a bid to block the spillover of extremist violence from the Middle East. [Read more: Carassava/LATimes/9September2014]

Obama Overhauls Intelligence Panel. With little fanfare, President Barack Obama has replaced much of a key intelligence advisory panel that he largely cleared out early last year.

The six appointments to the President's Intelligence Advisory Board were buried deep in a routine personnel announcement issued before Labor Day weekend.

"It's a very sought after job...I don't think this president or other presidents have figured out what to do with it," said Lee Hamilton, a former House Intelligence and Armed Services Committee chairman who served on the panel until last year. "I imagine they've done some rethinking about the board. In any case, I hope they have because it needed to be done."

The White House did not respond to a query about the reasons for overhauling the panel, but several members confirmed to Politico last year that they were asked to step down. [Read more: Gerstein/Politico/11September2014]

Taiwan Intelligence Officer's Sentence Cut to 18 Years. The Taiwan High Court on Wednesday reduced the prison sentence of former intelligence officer Lo Chi-cheng from life to 18 years in an espionage case.

Colonel Lo, a former officer at the Defense Ministry's Military Intelligence Bureau, was convicted of spying for China and was sentenced in April 2011 by the Military High Court to life imprisonment, a penalty that was upheld when the case went to the Military Supreme Court later that year.

The High Court judge said however that Lo's life sentence was reduced to 18 years in consideration of the offender's cooperative attitude since his detention and the fact that he had confessed to the crime.

In its ruling, the Taiwan High Court stripped Lo of his civil rights for six years and ordered the confiscation of about US$260,000 that he obtained over a period of about three years when he was engaged in espionage activities. [Read more: CNA/11September2014]

Switzerland May Take Edward Snowden in Return for Testimony on Spying. Former intelligence contractor Edward Snowden could be granted safe passage in Switzerland if he helped a potential criminal inquiry into US spying there, the Swiss public prosecutor's office said on Monday.

He would probably not be extradited to the United States if Washington asked, but it was also unlikely that he would be granted political asylum, according to a document laying out Switzerland's legal options if Snowden were to visit.

The prosecutor's office, which provided the document to Reuters, stressed the issue was "purely hypothetical" because Snowden had not been invited to come from his current refuge in Russia. It had no further comment.

The document was leaked last week and prompted a lively debate in the Swiss media. [Read more: Reuters/15September2014]

Army Awards $7.2 Billion Deal for Integrated Intelligence Support. The Army Intelligence and Security Command has awarded a $7.2 billion contract to establish a comprehensive intelligence services support program, according to a Defense Department announcement.

Twenty-one companies in all won a spot on the contract, which is broken up into an unrestricted competition pool of 11 companies and a small business pool of 10 companies.

Looking to create a more responsive acquisitions process for Army intelligence, security and information operations requirements, the INSCOM Global Intelligence Support Services Acquisition will establish an integrated approach to providing support for Army intelligence missions, according to the original solicitation. Current support systems are derived from disparate intelligence community contracts, the Army said.

The hybrid, indefinite-delivery, indefinite-quantity contract will provide support services for Army intelligence missions such as: intelligence analysis, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance systems, security systems, electronic systems, quick reaction capability systems, prototype intelligence software/hardware suites, high-readiness facilities and business functions. [Read more: Cheng/DefenseSystems/15September2014]

Acting Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency: Who Is David Shedd? On August 7, 2014, David R. Shedd was named acting director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), which gathers information on military activities of other governments and non-state actors.

Shedd graduated in 1981 with a B.A. from Geneva College in Pennsylvania and later earned an M.A. in Latin American Studies from Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service.

He joined the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and in 1984 began serving tours in Mexico and in Costa Rica. In 1993, Shedd returned home and started assuming gradually more responsible management positions with the CIA. Beginning in 2001, Shedd worked on intelligence policy at the National Security Council. He helped craft the Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act of 2004 that was enacted in response to the publication of the 9/11 Commission report. That law, among other things, created the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), which would oversee all US intelligence efforts, including the CIA. Shedd moved to the ODNI shortly after its creation, first as chief of staff to the director, then as acting director of intelligence staff. When CIA Director Porter Goss abruptly resigned in 2006, Shedd was suggested in some quarters as a replacement, but President George W. Bush went with Michael Hayden instead.

In 2007, Shedd was named director of national intelligence deputy for policy, plans, and requirements, again working on intelligence policy issues. [Read more: AllGov/15September2014]

Estonia 'Spy' Dispute Could Be Russia Making Anti-NATO Mischief. Russia and its tiny neighbor, Estonia, are embroiled in a spy controversy worthy of a John le Carr� novel.

Estonia says Russian agents kidnapped one of its intelligence officials in a cross-border raid. Russia says the man was caught spying on its territory.

The affair could have wider implications for the NATO alliance, because it began just days after President Obama gave a speech in Estonia promising to protect the NATO member against foreign aggression.

Russia's state-run news media ran the story with video supplied by the FSB, Russia's federal security service. It showed an Estonian citizen, Eston Kohver, being hustled into a police station in handcuffs, and said that he had been arrested in Russia's western Pskov region as he tried to carry out an intelligence operation. [Read more: Flintoff/WHQR/14September2014]

CIA Reflects on the Anniversary of Sept. 11, 2001. To commemorate the 13th anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001 (9/11) terrorist attacks on the United States, CIA.gov asked Central Intelligence Agency officers to share their memories from that day. The stories featured here reflect how deeply the attacks affected these individuals as both CIA officers and private citizens.

You can read current CIA Director John Brennan's reflections below or click on the link to access stories shared by CIA employees about that day. To learn more about CIA's response in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks, read OPA's publications Devotion to Duty and Reflections on the 10th Anniversary of 9/11. [Read more: CIA.gov/11September2014]

US Intelligence Agencies Remain Uncertain About Danger Posed by Islamic State. Hours before President Obama announced a new US military offensive against the Islamic State, one of his top counter�terrorism officials testified to Congress that the al-Qaeda offshoot had an estimated 10,000 fighters.

The next day a new assessment arrived from the CIA: The terrorist organization's ranks had more than doubled in recent months, surging to somewhere between 20,000 and 31,500 fighters across Iraq and Syria.

The enormous discrepancy reflects, in part, significant uncertainty among US intelligence agencies over the dimensions of and danger posed by America's latest Islamist adversary.

But the trajectory of those numbers - and the anxiety that they have induced among US counter�terrorism and military officials - also helps to explain Obama's decision to go to war against an Islamist group that has yet to be linked to any plot against the United States. [Read more: Miller&Eilperin/WashingtonPost/13September2014]

Time for US to Ban Use of Torture. I worked as a CIA operations officer and station chief during the Cold War years. In the gray world of espionage, there was a clear distinction, at least in my mind, between the CIA and our opponents: They tortured their prisoners, we did not.

The CIA's main opponent was the Soviet Union's KGB, whose headquarters on Lubyanka Square in Moscow was notorious for torture. In those days, I believed that the greatest thing going for me as an intelligence officer was the fact that I was an American.

Now, as the Senate Intelligence Committee prepares to make public some of the findings of its investigation into CIA torture after 9/11, let's hope we can start a much needed public reckoning over a tragic mistake that has undermined the very principles I and many others felt we stood for.

Our resorting to torture after 9/11 has cost us dearly - we can no longer assert that we do not torture our enemies, leaving us in a much weaker position when urging our allies or our opponents to eschew such tactics. Now any American, civilian or military, who falls into the hands of our fundamentalist enemies is in even greater danger of being tortured or killed. [Read more: Gregg/CNN/16September2014]

CIA Analyst Mathew Burrows and Megatrends That Will Undo the World. Twenty-five years ago when Mathew Burrows went to work for the CIA as an intelligence analyst, the world seemed frozen. Then came the fall of the Berlin Wall and the implosion of the Soviet Union; suddenly, unpredictability became a universal theme and foresight was critical. For the past decade, Burrows has overseen the creation of the Global Trends report - the key futurist guide for the White House, Departments of State and Defense, and Homeland Security.

In The Future, Declassified: Megatrends That Will Undo the World Unless We Take Action, Burrows has expanded the most recent Global Trends report into a full-length narrative, forecasting the tectonic shifts that will drive us to 2030. [Read more: Donahue/WAMC/11September2014]

Yitzhak Hofi, the Former Head of Israel's Spy Agency, Has Died at the Age of 87. A former head of Israel's Mossad intelligence service, Yitzhak Hofi, who played a key role in a 1976 Entebbe operation to free the passengers of a hijacked plane, has died at age 87.

Hofi, who led Mossad between 1974 and 1982, played a prominent role in planning Operation Entebbe.

The mission carried out by Israeli troops in July 1976 to rescue the more than 250 passengers and crew of an Air France plane hijacked by leftist Palestinian and German militants and flown to Entebbe in Uganda.

The hostages were freed by Israeli commandos in a raid on the airport and the brother of now Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Jonathan, was killed in the operation.

Before commanding Mossad, Hofi was commander of Israel's northern military region and headed operations against Syria in the 1973 Yom Kippur war.

"Yitzhak Hofi dedicated his life to the security of the state of Israel, which salutes him for his contribution," Netanyahu said in a statement following Hofi's death on Monday. [AAP/16September2014]

In December of 2009 an 11 year old girl accused her grandfather of touching her inappropriately. This started a case that revealed an 800 page grooming document and took 4 years to resolve; to include a 2 1/2 year manhunt and a complicated trial. To be held at The Inn at Palmer Divide, 443 S. Highway 105 Palmer Lake, CO, Exit 161 westbound off I-25, West on Highway 105. Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net

FBI Deputy Director Mark F. Giuliano discusses terrorism, WMDs, and espionage. Giuliano was former Executive Assistant Director (EAD) of the National Security Branch (NSB), responsible for counterterrorism, espionage, and WMDs. He also served as the FBI�s lead intelligence official, responsible for coordination and liaison with the U.S. Director of National Intelligence and the rest of the Intelligence Community. Giuliano streamlined counterterrorism operations and better positioned the FBI to address current and emerging terrorist threats through operations designed to penetrate and disrupt key terrorist networks and threats.
Morning speaker: Richard Whittle, author of PREDATOR: The Secret Origins of the Drone Revolution which is being released at this event. Whittle is a Wilson Center Global Fellow on International Security Studies, and a Fellow at the National Air & Space Museum. He writes extensively on security and aviation matters.
Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Richard Whittle begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; FBI DD Mark Giuliano begins his presentation at 1 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf

Former CIA Director of Operations, Jack Devine, Founder & President "The Arkin Group" NYC-based Global Strategic Intelligence, speaks on his new book Good Hunting. A sophisticated account of real life in the CIA, an American spymasters spellbinding memoir of his career. Charlie Wilson's War, stinger missiles, acting chief of the clandestine service, South American drug cartels.
Location: Society of Illustrators, 128 E 63rd St.
Registration: 5:30 p.m., Presentation starts 6 p.m. Buffet dinner follows the talk & Q&A.
$50/person Payable at the door only, cash or check.
Reservations strongly suggested, not required. Reply to Jerry Goodwin 646-717-3776 or Email: afiometro@gmail.com

Guest Speaker: Connie Mariano, M.D., Physician to the President and Director of the White House Medical Unit; Founder and President of the Center for Executive Medicine, sharing interesting aspects of her personal journey at the White House, as well as vignettes and lessons from serving 3 sitting presidents, and what life has been after the White House.
Her work experiences include the Mayo Clinic, a private practice, and is currently businesswoman and author. She will be more than happy to share her current challenges both professional and personal.
Location: McCormick Ranch Golf Course, 7505 McCormick Pkwy, Scottsdale AZ 85258, Phone 480.948.0260
RSVP: simone@afioaz.org RSVP no later than 72 hours ahead of time; in the past, not reserving or cancelling without prior notice (72 hours prior to the meeting) created much grief for those of us organizing the meeting and dealing with the personnel!
WE ARE charged for the no-shows and please remember, we are a small organization with a humble coffer!
We would therefore APPRECIATE that you all respond to this email to confirm your presence (or not).
Our meeting fees will be as follows:
� $20.00 for AFIO members
� $22.00 for guests
For reservations or questions, please email Simone simone@4smartphone.net or simone@afioaz.org or call and leave a message on 602.570.6016

Lt. Col. BC Thomas, USAF(Ret) addresses the chapter on the subject of the SR-71. 11:30AM no host cocktails; meeting starts at noon.
Event location: United Irish Cultural Center, 2700 45th Ave, San Francisco (between Sloat/Wawona).
RSVP required by 9/7/14 to Mariko Kawaguchi: afiosf@aol.com with meal choice (fish or meat) and mail check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, P.O. Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-member guests $35 (must be accompanied by a member).

William Costanza, DLS, has more than two decades of experience at CIA. He retired in 2004 as a senior operations officer after 24 years of service. During his Agency career he designed and implemented operational targeting and intelligence collection strategies in the areas of counterterrorism, counter-narcotics, WMDs, telecommunications and strategic technologies. He also conducted operations in high-threat environments against high-priority terrorist targets in Africa and Central Asia.
Costanza received a doctoral degree in liberal studies from Georgetown University in 2012. His doctoral dissertation examined the psychology of radicalization and proposed an interdisciplinary framework to study the radicalization process across cultures.
What began as an initiative to introduce one or two intelligence-related courses into the forensic psychology curriculum at Marymount University in northern Virginia is now evolving into a process to create a series of skills-based intelligence courses geared to meet the analytic needs of the IC.
LOCATION: MacDill AFB Surf’s Edge Club, 7315 Bayshore Boulevard, MacDill AFB, FL 33621.
TO ATTEND: RSVP to Michael F. Shapiro at sectysuncoastafio@att.net no later than Wednesday, October 8, with your name and the names and email addresses of any guests. Not providing contact information for your guests will delay your reservation. If you (or any of your guests) have not previously attended one of our meetings and need base access, instructions will be sent to you upon your RSVP (or, if a chapter member, consult the newsletter which describes how to have your name added to the Gate Access List). If you make a reservation, and need to cancel but fail to get a cancellation confirmation by the response deadline and do not show up, you will be responsible for the cost of your luncheon.
QUESTIONS: Contact Michael Shapiro, Secretary, Florida Suncoast Chapter of AFIO at (813) 832-1164 or sectysuncoastafio@att.net

HPSCI Chairman Rogers discusses ISIS/ISIL, China�s continued emergence as a competitor to US interests, and to threats posed by Iran and North Korea, and other threats to the nation.
Morning speaker: TBA.
Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; TBA begins presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; HPSCI Chairman Rogers begins his presentation at 1 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
Register while space available. Registration Form is HERE

For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events

Paul A. Goble, Former Senior Advisor to the Director, Voice of America, Adjunct Professor, IWP, discusses "Natalie Grant and the Critical Importance of Understanding Disinformation."
No American contributed more to the understanding of disinformation than the late Natalie Grant. From her days as secretary to George Kennan at the Riga Legation in the 1920s to her years as an independent scholar in Washington, she explained the critical distinction between disinformation and propaganda and why those who work in international affairs must understand that, even though ferreting out disinformation is more challenging than identifying propaganda.
Paul Goble is a longtime specialist on ethnic and religious questions in Eurasia. Most recently, he was director of research and publications at the Azerbaijan Diplomatic Academy. Earlier, he served as vice dean for the social sciences and humanities at Audentes University in Tallinn and a senior research associate at the EuroCollege of the University of Tartu in Estonia. While there, he launched the "Window on Eurasia" series. Prior to joining the faculty there in 2004, he served in various capacities in the U.S. State Department, the Central Intelligence Agency and the International Broadcasting Bureau as well as at the Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty and at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He writes frequently on ethnic and religious issues and has edited five volumes on ethnicity and religion in the former Soviet space. Trained at Miami University in Ohio and the University of Chicago, he has been decorated by the governments of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania for his work in promoting Baltic independence and the withdrawal of Russian forces from those formerly occupied lands.
Mr. Goble's blog can be found at: www.windowoneurasia.blogspot.com

Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036
For Parking, consult this map.
To Register
Please contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

The events of the last thirteen years, especially the last three, have cast profound doubt about the utility of the global promotion of electoral democracy as a means of establishing a more peaceful and orderly world. This result would not surprise Alexis de Tocqueville, who wrote that "The Constitution of the United States resembles those fine creations of human industry which ensure wealth and renown to their inventors, but which are profitless in other hands." Defining the role of the American political principles and institutions in US foreign policy requires a profound understanding of the Constitution and the Founding.
Dr. Douglas E. Streusand is a Professor of International Relations at the Command and Staff College, Marine Corps University, Quantico, Virginia, and Adjunct Professor at the Institute of World Politics.
An Islamic historian by training, he has written and taught on a wide variety of historical and national security related topics. His major publications include The Formation of the Mughal Empire (New Delhi: Oxford University Press, 1989), The Islamic Gunpowder Empires in World History (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2010) and articles and chapters including "Managing the Iranian Threat to Sea Commerce Diplomatically," ); "Sir Hamilton Gibb, Abu Yusuf, and the Concept of Islamic Civilization," "Geopolitics versus Globalization," "European Islam or Islamic Europe"and "What Does Jihad Mean." He has developed curriculum and taught on the American founding at the Marine Corps Command & Staff College.
Dr. Streusand received his Ph.D. from the University of Chicago.

The Defense Intelligence Forum [DIAA] hosts Dr. Daniel L Burghart speaking on �What has changed in Russia, what has not, and how will future changes affect Russia.�
Dr. Burghart is a professor of National Security and Eurasian Studies at the National Intelligence University in Washington, DC. As a specialist in Russian, CIS and Central European Affairs, he entered the Army in 1973 as a distinguished military graduate of the University of Illinois, and served in a variety of Foreign Area Officer assignments before retiring as a Colonel with 30 years of service in June 2003. Prior to coming to NDIC, Dr. Burghart taught and was a research fellow at the National Defense University. He has also served as Senior National Security Policy Advisory at the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, U S. Defense and Army Attach� to Kazakhstan, and a Mission Commander at the On Site Inspection Agency, Where he led arms control inspections to the republics of the Former Soviet Union. Other assignments include: Senior Russian Military Analyst and Eurasian Branch Chief on the Army Staff, Professor of Russian and East European Studies at West Point and Director of Area Studies at the U.S. Army Russian Institute. He has a Ph.D. in Russian and International Studies from the University of Surrey. Along with articles in defense and civilian journals, He is the author of the book �Red Microchip: Technology Transfer, Export Control and Economic Restructuring in the Soviet Union.�
The forum will follow a modified Chatham House rule. You may use the information, but with the exception of speaker's name and subject, you may make no attribution. Everything will be off the record.
Location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA
Register: Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 payable to DIAA, Inc Registration starts at 11:30 AM, lunch at 12:00 PM. Make reservations by 16 September 2014 by email to diforum@diaalumni.org. Include names, telephone numbers, and email addresses. For each attendee, choose among chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna, sausage with peppers, or fettuccini with portabella for luncheon selection .
Pay at the door with a check for $29.00 per person, payable to DIAA, Inc.
Checks are preferred, but will accept cash; however, credit card payments are discouraged

The 26th Annual Marine Law Enforcement Conference is a program designed to support continuing education and training, information sharing and technology transfer. This program is a unique opportunity for marine law enforcement representatives across the State of Washington to meet, network, and train together using best practices that will enhance their duties on the water. Upon conclusion of the program, all participants will be given a certification of completion signifying that they have been trained in the latest and highest standards of law enforcement tactical ability provided by the State of Washington.
� Hotel rooming block ($83/night) expires September 6
� Updated Agenda released
Attendees will be given training and instruction in the following fields:
� Waterborne Pursuit & Stop Techniques
� NASBLA BOAT Certification
� Onboard Handcuffing Techniques
� Boat Handling
� Dry Fire Training
� Live Fire Training
� Boating Education
� Hull Identification Number Analysis
� Derelict Vessel Removal
REGISTRATION: Details can be found at www.mleconference.com. Participants are encouraged to bring their duty sidearms and long rifles to the conference for training purposes. Ammunition will be provided if your weapon models and ammunition types are disclosed during the registration process
NEWFor the first time, registration is open to all law enforcement and government agencies outside of the State of Washington. Law enforcement and government personnel from outside Washington State can register for $750 ($850 after September 1).

Sylvia Rafael was a young Mossad spy when she was chosen to be one of the lead intelligence agents tracking Ali Hassan Salameh, leader of the Palestine Liberation Organization’s Black September division. Her pursuit of Salameh, the infamous mastermind of the kidnapping and murder of eleven Israeli athletes at the 1972 Munich Olympic Games, led her team to Lillehammer, Norway. The mission went tragically wrong resulting in the death of an innocent named Ahmed Bouchiki. Join co-author Moti Kfir as he discusses Sylvia Rafael, a page-turning account of the dedicated Mossad spy he trained. Kfir held a number of senior positions in the Special Operations Unit of Mossad, including Director of the School for Special Operations. He and his co-author Ram Oren drew on extensive research and interviews to weave together the stories of Rafael and Ali Hassan Salameh, how the intelligence failed, and the impact of that day in Norway.

"Effects of Internet, Social Media, & Open Source Data on Intelligence Analysis" - Alex Borhani, FBI Cyber Division and Martin Petersen, former CIA
"The Aftermath of the Snowden Disclosures" - John "Chris" Inglis, Chair for Cyber Studies, US Naval Academy
Invited Guest Speaker: Richard Ledgett, NSA Deputy Director.

Registration/Check-In for the program begins at 0800. A continental breakfast and lunch will be served. Speaker presentations are from 0900-1500. A detailed tentative agenda is available here.

The fee for members is $25 and the guest fee is $50 (including a one-year guest membership). Please register online here or send a check made out to the NCMF to P.O. Box 1682, Fort George G. Meade, MD 20755-9998.

Please save the date for a demonstration of new analytic techniques to examine the controversial case of whether Britain's former MI5 Director General, Roger Hollis, was or was not a Soviet agent.
PRESENTER: Paul Monk, Ph.D., Former Senior Intelligence Officer, Australian Defence Intelligence Organization; Argument mapping/Bayesian expert; Co-founder of Austhink, a critical-thinking skills consulting firm.

PANELISTS: Raymond J. Batvinis, Ph.D., Retired FBI Supervisory Agent; IWP Professor of counterintelligence history; author of The Origins of FBI Counterintelligence.
David L. Charney, M.D., Consulting psychiatrist to the U. S. intelligence community; expert on the psychology of the "insider spy"; Medical Director, Roundhouse Square Counseling Center.
Harvey Klehr, Ph.D., Intelligence historian, Emory University; Co-author of Spies: The Rise and Fall of the KGB in America.

MODERATOR: John L. Wilhelm, Former U.S. Navy Intelligence Officer; TIME magazine correspondent; Independent PBS Writer/Producer/Director; author of a forthcoming history of Russian Military Intelligence (the GRU).

Location: The Institute of World Politics, 1521 16th St NW, Washington, DC 20036
For Parking, consult this map.
Registration link will be provided here when available.
Please contact sdwyer@iwp.edu with any questions.

The Nevada Aerospace Hall of Fame has selected four individuals this year for induction. These individuals all have contributed significantly to aviation history and, in one case, U.S. National Security. That individual is: John Parangosky (a.k.a. Thomas P. McIninch) inducted for having brought to fruition some of the world's most sophisticated aerial and space-based technical intelligence collection systems from the mid-1950s through the mid-1970s. In the mid-1950s, Parangosky joined the CIA's highly classified IDEALIST program management, where he participated in all aspects of the U-2's development, flight testing at Groom Lake and early deployments. Parangosky was the CIA’s OXCART program executive officer and program manager, overseeing the A-12's first test flight at Groom Lake on April 30, 1962, its operational certification in November 1965, and deployment overseas as part of operation BLACK SHIELD. In 1967, in recognition of his per-formance and contributions to the A-12 Program, Parangosky received the Distinguished Intelli-gence Medal, one of the CIA's highest awards.
The induction dinner is being held at The Landings Restaurant, Henderson Executive Airport, 3500 Executive Terminal Dr. A no-host social begins at 6 p.m. and dinner is at 6:45 p.m. The induction program begins at 7:30 p.m.
TO REGISTER: Advance reservations and payment must be received by Oct. 31. Cost is $75 per person; dress is business casual. The public is invited but seating is limited; corporate tables are available.

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The Guide to the Study of Intelligence

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The Guide to the Study
of Intelligence