AFIO Weekly Intelligence Notes #30-14 dated 12 August 2014 [Editors' Note: The WIN editors
attempt
to include a wide range of articles and commentary in the
Weekly Notes
to inform and educate our readers. However, the views
expressed in the
articles are purely those of the authors, and in no way
reflect support
or endorsement from the WIN editors or the AFIO officers and
staff. We
welcome comments from the WIN readers on any and all articles
and
commentary. IMPORTANT: AFIO does not "vet" or endorse research
inquiries, career announcements, or job offers. Reasonable-sounding
inquiries and career offerings are published as a service to our
members, and for researchers, educators, and subscribers. You are urged
to exercise your usual caution and good judgment when responding, and
should verify the source independently before supplying any resume,
career data, or personal information.]
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CONTENTS Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries and Upcoming Events
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Wednesday, 13 August 2014, noon Be the first to learn the latest intelligence news! Join David Major,
retired FBI agent and former director of Counterintelligence,
Intelligence and Security Programs, for a briefing on the hottest
intelligence and security issues, breaches, and penetrations. Presented
in partnership with The Centre for Counterintelligence and Security
Studies (CI Centre), these updates will cover worldwide events such as
breaking espionage cases and arrest reports, cyber espionage incidents,
and terrorist activity. Find out Snowden's current status and what could
happen next with this case. Major uses his expertise to analyze trends
and highlight emerging issues of interest to both intelligence and
national security professionals and the public. Cases are drawn from the
CI Centre's SPYPEDIA�, the most comprehensive source of espionage
information in the world, containing events and information that may not
be reported by mainstream media outlets. Major will also highlight and
review the latest books and reports to keep you current on what is
hitting think tank desks. Sunday, 17 August 2014, 11 a.m. - Washington, DC - The Battle of Long Tan Commemoration Ceremony by the League of Australia - All are invited Join The Returned & Services League of Australia, Washington DC Sub-Branch At the Battle of Long Tan Commemoration Ceremony at 11:00 A.M. Near the Vietnam Veterans Memorial* Why Long Tan? “In 1987 Prime Minister Bob Hawke designated 18 August as Australia’s official Vietnam Veterans’ Day. The date commemorates the [1966] Battle of Long Tan, during which Delta Company 6 RAR fought an ‘encounter’ battle against enemy forces in the Long Tan rubber plantation just a few thousand metres from the 1st Australian Task Force base at Nui Dat. Delta Company suffered 42 casualties, including 18 dead – more than one third of its strength – while some 245 enemy troops were killed. Delta Company’s 105 men, and three New Zealanders from 161 Battery, Royal New Zealand Artillery, fought for almost four hours against soldiers of the North Vietnamese Army who outnumbered them by ten to one.** Parking on the Mall is often difficult, but visitors may find spots on Constitution Ave. or Ohio Drive. Limited handicapped parking is available at the Korean War Memorial (Daniel French Drive), WWII Memorial, and Roosevelt Memorial. The Washington Post has the following information: By Metro: From Foggy Bottom (Blue/Orange Lines), walk south on 23rd Street to Lincoln Memorial [0.9 miles], turn left on near side of Reflecting Pool. By car: The memorial is adjacent to the Reflecting Pool near the Lincoln Memorial. Need further information – contact Dave Ward at 202-352-8550 or dmward1973@gmail.com |
Section I - INTELLIGENCE HIGHLIGHTS
Romanian Institutions Targeted in Large Scale Cyber-Attack. Some public institutions of Romania are the target of a large-scale cyber-attack, said the spokesperson of the Romanian Intelligence Service (SRI), Sorin Sava.
"We are speaking of a large-scale cyber-attack targeting some institutions in Romania. For us it is not a new thing, ever since the beginning of 2014 we have had these aggressor entities in our sights," said Sava on Thursday.
SRI, in its quality of national authority in the cyber intelligence domain, is conducting an investigation in this case.
[ActMedia/8August2014]
Identify Your Spy: Germany Asks Other Countries for Names of Secret Agents. Germany is asking foreign diplomatic missions to reveal the names of secret service agents working in the country, a report states. It comes amid the spy row between Berlin and Washington, following revelations from former NSA contractor Edward Snowden.
The German Foreign Ministry sent a note verbale to all the foreign embassies in Berlin on Wednesday, urging them to submit "lists of names of all active agents," Der Spiegel reported. The note was also addressed to consulates, cultural institutions, and intelligence apparatuses.
The Foreign Ministry reportedly expects its non-binding request to be answered by all the embassies. The ministry did not deny the information to AFP.
Media reports suggested that Germany's request was triggered by Berlin's disappointment with Washington's denials that US spies are operating in the country. Spiegel estimates that there are around 200 US intelligence officers operating in Germany under diplomatic passports. [Read more: Reuters/11August2014]
National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Director Receives Knowlton Award for Military Intelligence Excellence. National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency Director Letitia A. Long was presented the Knowlton Award for intelligence excellence Aug. 7 at the agency's Springfield, Virginia headquarters.
The award is given by the Military Intelligence Corps Association and honors individuals who have contributed significantly to the promotion of Army military intelligence.
Army Maj. Gen. Robert Ashley, commander of the US Army Intelligence Center of Excellence in Fort Huachuca, presented the award.
"During her tenure, Ms. Long demonstrated unequaled commitment to the United States Armed Forces, and to the Army in particular, as she propelled the National System for GEOINT and Allied System for GEOINT forward to achieve spectacular success," said Ashley, who read the award citation. Ashley also said Long's leadership helped achieve intelligence goals and objectives in the Army. [Read more:
Rapavi/NGA/7August2014]
Australian Labor MP Was KGB Informant. A federal Labor MP was a secret KGB informant, according to newly released intelligence archives.
The former Labor member for Hunter, Albert James, is listed as an informant of the Soviet intelligence service in the papers of former KGB archivist and defector Vasili Mitrokhin which were released by the Churchill College Archive in Britain last month.
James, a former NSW policeman and left-wing Labor MP who served in federal Parliament from 1960 to 1980, is one of a number of Australians recorded in Mitrokhin's list of KGB agents and informants active in Australia during the 1960s and 1970s.
Mitrokhin's notes do not reveal what information James may have passed to the Soviet Union, but they do confirm his status as an KGB informant, albeit with the insecure codename of "Albert". [Read more:
Dorling/SydneyMorningHerald/11August2014]
Teens Get Hands-On Training at FBI "Summer Camp." At the FBI Academy last week, four dozen teenagers, selected from hundreds of applicants across the country, got a very different kind of summer-camp experience - a week with real agents in the field and in the classroom, learning about what it's really like inside the FBI, reports CBS News' Chip Reid.
"We were working an undercover case. I had an offsite, covert, covert cars, undercover agents working to infiltrate violent drug organizations," said agent William Woodson, who has run the Future Agents in Training program since 2012.
The students learn about things like counterterrorism and interrogating a suspect.
"The best part is to come out here and to see what they learned in the classroom and to see them put it to work out here -- here in Hogan's Alley," he said. [Read more: CBSNews/11August2014]
Former Yugoslav Intelligence Chief Charged in Germany. The former head of Yugoslavia's secret service has been charged as an accomplice in the murder of a political dissident 31 years ago in Germany.
German federal prosecutors said that Zdravko Mustac was charged on July 22 following his extradition in April from Croatia.
The 72-year-old Mustac now holds Croatian citizenship.
Prosecutors said in a statement on August 12 that Mustac, as head of the Yugoslav secret service, most likely gave the order to murder Stjepan Durekovic, a leading Yugoslav dissident. [Read more: AP/12August2014]
Section II - CONTEXT & PRECEDENCE
Rogers Lauds Retiring Defense Intelligence Agency Chief. Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, is one of a select group of people who can say they made a positive change across an entire discipline, the director of the National Security Agency said during Flynn's retirement ceremony at Joint Base Bolling-Anacostia here today.
"There are very few of us who can say that we have made a difference that spans an entire organization," Navy Adm. Michael S. Rogers said. "There are even fewer who can say that we have made a difference that spans an entire profession or discipline. And for intelligence, Mike has done just that."
The general spent his career trying to effect change, Rogers said.
"Today, as we would say in the Navy, we watch pass over the side probably the most visible intelligence professional that we have generated within this department in the last 10 or 20 years, and it's not by chance," he said. "It's because Mike was always willing to be out in front, to take the hard jobs, to drive change and remind all of us that it's not about us, it's about [executing] the mission and it's about the men and women who make that execution possible."
Flynn served as DIA director since July 2012, and his previous positions included assistant director of national intelligence and director of intelligence for the Joint Chiefs of Staff, US Central Command and Joint Special Operations Command. [Read more:
Roulo/DODNews/7August2014]
US Military Plugs Into Social Media for Intelligence Gathering. Minutes after Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 went down on July 17 in eastern Ukraine, killing all 298 on board, a Defense Intelligence Agency analyst sifting social-media communications got "a hit."
The Russian-speaking analyst saw a posting from pro-Russia separatists in Ukraine, on Russia's VK social-media site, claiming to have shot down a Ukrainian military cargo plane.
"The first indication of who shot it, what shot it and when and where it was shot was all social media," said Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, the DIA chief, who described the work at the agency's Europe and Eurasia Center in an interview. "It was literally within minutes."
For the past 18 months, the US has invested heavily in ways to collect and examine social-media postings on Facebook, Twitter and overseas regional networks as a source of overseas intelligence, according to Gen. Flynn and other officials. They say it could revolutionize "open-source" intelligence gathering―the kind that focuses on finding key data from publicly available sources, as opposed to intercepting private communications or stealing secrets. [Read more:
Barnes/WallStreetJournal/6August2014]
Intelligence Agency Wants Brain Tools to
Tell: Who's the Smartest of Them All? Can a tool or technology be applied to the brain and accurately predict out of a given group of people who will be the smartest?
The research arm of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) is looking for exactly those kinds of tools.
"IARPA is looking to get a handle on the state of the art in brain-based predictors of future cognitive performance. In particular, IARPA is interested in non-invasive analyses of brain structure and/or function that can be used to predict who will best learn complex skills and accomplish tasks within real-world environments, and with outcome measures, that are relevant to national security.
While conventional measures such as academic achievement, pencil-and-paper exams, and previous experience can be informative for predicting future performance, some recent research suggests that it may be possible to supplement (or supplant) traditional evaluation tools with direct measurements of the brain to confer additional predictive power. However, the extent to which neural tools can improve prediction of performance and expertise over and above more conventional tests remains in question, and the extent to which neural tools and measures have been tested using meaningful real-world outcome measures is also unclear," IARPA stated. [Read more: NetworkWorld/5August2014]
Bond, Bourne and the CIA - the Legacy of Ian Fleming. Ian Fleming, the creator of James Bond, died 50 years ago this week. Here are eight reasons to raise a glass of vodka martini - shaken, not stirred - to the great man.
He's best remembered as the creator of James Bond, but before he became a successful author, Ian Fleming was a man of many parts. Something of a playboy in his younger years, he was a
traveler and a linguist before he worked as a journalist and a stockbroker in the 1930s.
At the outbreak of war, Ian Lancaster Fleming was commissioned as a Lieutenant Commander in the Naval Intelligence Division, and worked at the Admiralty directly under the Director of Naval Intelligence Admiral John Godfrey.
It was a role he found he had remarkable aptitude for, and he was to play a pivotal role in the British and Allied special intelligence efforts throughout hostilities, contributing to the work of the Political Warfare Executive, Joint Intelligence Committee, the Special Operations Executive and the US Secret Intelligence Service.
Many of his experiences would find their way into the books he began writing in the early 1950s, which featured the creation that would make him famous - James Bond. [Read more:
Early/BT/11August2014]
Security Secrets, Dated but Real: National Cryptologic Museum Is the NSA's Public Face. Was the National Cryptologic Museum designed using a code of some kind? Something perhaps meant, cryptically, to mask its character and significance? Something that can be deciphered only by those familiar with mysterious organizations like the Black Chamber?
This is, after all, a museum created and run by the National Security Agency, a peculiar governmental body: Its existence was once scarcely acknowledged; its 1952 founding documents were once completely classified; and its finances were once buried deep in a "black budget." But with Edward J. Snowden's release of stolen classified files, along with reportorial histories by James Bamford, the NSA is now partly revealed; it is popularly portrayed as an agency unhampered by oversight, secretly probing every aspect of our data-saturated lives.
Yet here, just down the road from that agency's black-box buildings with their thousands of workers and immense parking lots, we come upon this quaint, slightly old-fashioned, flat-topped structure that looks like a converted motel, which it is.
And when you enter, instead of facing evidence of untrammeled technological power, you are greeted with a rack of informative booklets and children's activity sheets, almost as if invoking tourist brochures from the building's previous incarnation. [Read more:
Rothstein/NYTimes/1August2014]
AVC Oral History: Elizabeth McIntosh. A veteran of the Office of Strategic Services (OSS) during World War II, Elizabeth McIntosh worked to undermine enemy morale around the world. At age 99, she sat down to share her own story of service as part of our "Greatest Generation."
Please follow this link to view the latest video from the Guarding Their Legacy - Honoring Their Sacrifice series. [AmericanVeteransCenter/August2014]
At Bletchley Park, a Reminder About the History of Cracking Codes. Hackers are regularly in the news these days for cracking secret codes, so it's sometimes easy to forget that breaking codes has a long history. The newly restored Bletchley Park heritage site in Britain offers a nice reminder.
Bletchley Park, once Britain's highly classified government center for code breaking during World War II, now invites curious guests who want to poke around and learn its secrets. A recent $13.5 million restoration project has resurrected the once-crumbling collection of buildings and returned the complex to its wartime state - except now it has plenty of informative exhibits that explain the code-breaking process and how math and science helped beat the Nazis. An easy day trip from London, Bletchley Park has even received an official visit from Kate Middleton, the Duchess of Cambridge, whose grandmother worked there during the war.
The areas open to visitors include the mansion that once contained the main offices, as well as many of the huts where thousands of mathematicians, cryptographers and code breakers (many of them women) worked around the clock to crack encrypted messages from Nazi Enigma machines, which helped encrypt and read messages, and other Axis sources. Alan Turing, a Cambridge mathematician who is perhaps the best known of the Bletchley boffins, is celebrated in an exhibit that details his life and work, and includes a rebuilt version of the electro-mechanical bombe he helped develop to crack the Nazi codes. [Read more:
Biersdorfer/NYTimes/9August2014]
'Politicized' South Korean Spy Agencies in 'Urgent Need of Reform':
ICG. The image of South Korea's intelligence services has been repeatedly tainted over the past years due to a series of scandals. But the situation worsened in the fall of 2012 when many in the main opposition party, the New Politics Alliance for Democracy - then named the Democratic Party, accused the country's National Intelligence Service (NIS) of swaying the outcome of the December presidential election through an Internet smear campaign against opposition candidate Moon Jae-in to ensure the victory of incumbent President Park Geun-hye. The public's trust and confidence in the intelligence community has been severely damaged ever since.
Daniel Pinkston, Deputy North East Asia Project Director at the International Crisis Group who co-authored the report, titled Risks of Intelligence Pathologies in South Korea, says in a DW interview that intelligence in South Korea is sometimes being manipulated with the aim of influencing the policy-making process. This is done so that the decision-makers' choices are more aligned with the policy preferences of the intelligence agencies, thus creating risks for both the country and beyond, he adds. [Read more:
Dominguez/DeutscheWelle/6August2014]
CIA's Draft History of the Bay of Pigs: The Inside Story. In late 1984, not long before he retired from the CIA, Jack Pfeiffer filed a Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request for the CIA to release the classified five-volume draft history of the 1961 Bay of Pigs operation that he had begun as a CIA History Staff monograph in 1973. In late 1987 and early 1988, after Pfeiffer had appealed the CIA's denial of this request, the CIA's Office of General Counsel asked me, as chief historian, to prepare a declaration and later a supplement concerning Pfeiffer's appeal for declassification and release of this top secret draft history. A few years later, I recall hearing that the US Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit had rejected Pfeiffer's FOIA appeal and his entire five-volume draft history remained classified.
I heard nothing more about the fate of Pfeiffer's draft history until May of this year, when I read a copy of the recent US Court of Appeals denial of the National Security Archive's FOIA appeal for the declassification and release of Volume V of this Bay of Pigs draft history. Although Judge Rogers's dissenting opinion in this case quotes excerpts from my 1980s declarations, I have nothing useful to say now about the continued denial of Volume V. I can, however, provide some explanation for how it was that Jack Pfeiffer produced this massive draft history in the years 1973-1981 and how I came to review that draft in December 1981. I must rely on memory for this account of matters that took place in the 1970s and 1980s, since I am now retired and no longer have access to CIA records concerning Jack Pfeiffer, his history, or my work at the CIA.
Jack Pfeiffer joined the CIA History Staff in the early 1970s on temporary detail from the Directorate of Intelligence. As a staff historian he began work in 1973 on a history of the CIA's failed Bay of Pigs Operation. In January 1975, however, Senator Frank Church's Senate Select Committee investigating the CIA's foreign activities co-opted the small CIA History Staff to find documents needed for its inquiry. While this investigation proceeded, the History Staff's chief and historians found positions elsewhere in the CIA. With some retrospective irony, Jack Pfeiffer was assigned to the office handling FOIA requests, where he was allowed to continue work without supervision on his Bay of Pigs history. Although the CIA History Staff no longer existed, Jack soon styled himself first as "acting chief historian" and later as "chief historian."
When Admiral Stansfield Turner, director of central intelligence, resurrected the CIA History Staff in November 1980, I applied and was selected for the job of chief historian, which had been advertised in The Chronicle of Higher Education and elsewhere. When I arrived at the CIA in August 1981, the History Staff included two research assistants, a Directorate of Intelligence analyst with a history PhD as deputy chief historian, and vacant positions for four more staff historians. Jack Pfeiffer, who temporarily occupied a History Staff office, had been given until the end of that year to complete his Bay of Pigs history, submit it to me for evaluation, and then leave for assignment elsewhere. [Read more:
McDonald/AmericanHistoricalAssociation/August2014]
New Revelations About Cuban Spy Ana Montes. For 16 years, Ana Belen Montes spied for Cuba from increasingly responsible positions at the Defense Intelligence Agency. If Havana has ever run a higher level or more valuable mole inside the American defense establishment, that has never been revealed.
When she was arrested in late September 2001, Montes was about the equivalent in rank of a colonel. She had access to sensitive compartmented intelligence. Strangely, for one so openly enamored of Fidel Castro, her superiors considered her one of the best Cuba analysts anywhere in government.
Despite the importance of her case, some of the most tantalizing questions about her spying have never been publicly answered. Could the calamity of her treason have been avoided? What was learned about Cuban intelligence tradecraft? How was she discovered? And, of enduring concern, did she work with other American spies thus far undetected or not prosecuted? [Read more:
Latell/MiamiHerald/2August2014]
Evidence of Another Snowden-Like Mole Is
Worrying Feds. Last year, Edward Snowden disappeared.
Eventually, he turned up in Russia.
Since then, the US government has been trying to answer a crucial question: is Snowden a lone wolf, or are other Edward Snowdens out there, leaking ever more classified documents?
The Feds now fear they have their answer, and it is in the affirmative: yes, it looks like there's at least one more mole in their midst.
The proof: an article posted Tuesday by The Intercept, a site run by Snowden leak publisher Glenn Greenwald.
The article references classified government documents obtained from somebody The Intercept describes as a "source in the intelligence community".
In the past, Greenwald hasn't shied away from naming Snowden as a source, leading many to the conclusion that this unnamed source is a new spiller of secrets. [Read more: Vaas/Sophos/7August2014]
Section IV - Research Requests, Obituaries and Upcoming Events
Request for Assistance in Biography of MI6 Officer Harold
"Shergy" Shergold. I am writing a biography of legendary MI6 officer Harold "Shergy" Shergold. Shergold had deep contacts with CIA. He worked with Joe Bulik and George Kisevalter on the Penkovsky case and even addressed CIA in the bubble at the trailblazer ceremony in 1997 on the 50th anniversary of CIA. I believe he was the only foreign officer invited to address the Agency at this event. Writing about Shergy is not easy task. His professionalism and discretion were legendary. However, I have been making some progress to this end and his personal papers and effects have enabled a promising beginning. I'd like to capitalize on this momentum and I'd like to ask for your assistance in this project. Specifically, could I ask if you knew him or had any interaction with him at all to write me an email about it? I can assure you that as a former CIA case officer I will do right by Shergy's legacy and his memory and contributions will be chronicled in proper historical context. Further, as a former CIA officer all of my manuscripts have to be vetted before publication so please rest assured that anything I publish will be reviewed by CIA to ensure classified material doesn't enter the public domain. I can be reached at dvgioe@gmail.com and I would be very grateful for any assistance you could provide in telling Shergy's story.
With best wishes,
Lt. Cdr. David Gioe, PhD, USN
------------
Boothbay Region Veterans' Project - Inquiry. I am currently working on a new book, documenting the stories of Boothbay Regions Korean and Vietnam War Veterans and wondered if AFIO can shed any light on what Edward Vartan Malcom did after the Second World War? I know he went to work for the CIA from 1951 -1961 as Chief of assessment and then as an instructor in their Office of Training for another five years, before leaving to work for the Veteran's Administration at Togus in Augusta.
When I interviewed Ed back in the mid-1990s, I remember him telling me, at the time that, he did some work overseas during the early part of the Vietnam War, but couldn't talk about it yet, because it was still classified. I wondered if your organization could shed some light on what Ed did or if you might know who I could contact that might be able to assist me?
I am sad to report that Ed passed away a few years ago, which is why I am reaching out to your organization after contacting the OSS Society. Thank you for your time, and I look forward to hearing from you.
Sincerely,
Sarah A. Sherman
Publisher, Cozy Harbor Press
Southport Island, Maine
shermanmcgrail@yahoo.com
207-633-7161
[More info: BoothbayRegister/13May2013]
Chapman Pincher. Chapman Pincher, who has died aged 100, was an outstanding journalist who specialised in mole-hunting in the dark tunnels of MI5 and MI6. Skilled in destroying reputations, he once fell under suspicion of being a murderer himself.
At a time when the police were hunting a Jack the Ripper-type killer of prostitutes in the West End of London, one of the many people who had no cause to like Pincher reported a suspicious car - his - parked in the area of the murders.
It was indeed suspicious, for the boot of the car was stained with the blood of pheasants which Pincher had recently shot. After checking the registration number the police contacted the much-respected crime correspondent of the Daily Express, Percy Hoskins, and told him that they suspected his colleague of committing the murders.
Hoskins was able to reassure them that Pincher was a slayer of pheasants but not of prostitutes, and chemical analysis of the blood proved him correct.
Pincher afterwards made capital out of the incident, claiming that the KGB had set him up in order to discredit him. [Read more: TheTelegraph/6August2014]
AFIO EDUCATIONAL EVENTS IN COMING TWO MONTHS....
16 August 2014, 11 a.m. - South Euclid, OH - Steven Oluic, USA, on "Aspects of Radical Islam in the Balkans and Ties to Diaspora in US" at the Northern OHIO AFIO Chapter
The AFIO Northern Ohio Chapter invites everyone to a speaking
engagement at 11:00 am at Notre Dame College, South Euclid, OH. Our
speaker will be Dr. Steven Oluic, USA (ret.), Dean of
Mathematics, Natural and Social Sciences at Lakeland C.C. He is a
published author and has presented at many professional conferences
including the Defense Intelligence Agency, the FBI, and the Department
of State. He has also had a 27-year military career including tours of
duty in Iraq, Korea, Germany, and Bosnia.
The topic for the meeting will be " Aspects of radical Islam in the Balkans and its ties to the Diaspora in the USA.
Members are encouraged to offer this meeting to interested associates, as we would like to grow our chapter.
I would also like to thank our fellow member Greg Moore, Ph.D., Chair
Department of History and Political Science, and Director, Center for
Intelligence Studies, Notre Dame College for his efforts in creating a
venue for our speakers to offer their presentations.
A catered brunch will be offered so a nominal fee will be collected at the meeting site. Please RSVP to hp34063@yahoo.com. by the 11th of August so we can plan for the number of people arriving and brunch. We look forward to seeing you.
14 August 2014, 11:30 a.m. - San Francisco, CA - The AFIO San Francisco "Andre LeGallo" Chapter hosts Capt. Welton Chang, DoD Analyst and Ph.D. student at the University of Pennsylvania.
Topic: Predicting War and Peace: Inside the Massive IARPA Political Forecasting Experiment - Exploring the Frontiers of Optimal Political Forecasting. In 2011, IARPA sponsored a tournament to test a big idea: can people predict political outcomes? If so, how? Come learn how the tournament has progressed over the last three years from a participant in the project. Capt. Welton Chang will discuss the experimental set up, findings, and implications for intelligence and policy making.
11:30AM no host cocktails; meeting starts at noon. Please note new meeting location: Basque Cultural Center, 599 Railroad Avenue, South San Francisco, CA 94080. RSVP required by 8/1/14 to Mariko Kawaguchi: e-mail afiosf@aol.com with meal choice (Salmon with Champagne Sauce or Veal Roast au Jus) and mail check made out to "AFIO" to: Mariko Kawaguchi, P.O. Box 117578, Burlingame, CA 94011. Members and students: $25; non-member guests $35.
21 August 2014, 12:30pm - Los Angeles, CA - AFIO � Los Angeles hosts LAPD Police Chief Bernard Parks on Aerial Surveillance Platforms
The chapter will host Bernard Parks, former Chief of
Police of the L.A.P.D. (Los Angeles Police Dept.) and current member of
the Los Angeles City Council, to discuss the current state of safety in
the city of Los Angeles and future limited use of aerial surveillance
platforms (UAV-Drones), and the impact it will have on the future of
local law enforcement in L.A.
Location for the meeting: LAPD-ARTC 5651 W Manchester Ave. Los Angeles, CA 90045, Start Time:12.30 PM, Room 1E.
Please RSVP for attendance: afio_LA@yahoo.com
13 September 2014, 1130 hrs - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - The Florida Satellite Chapter hosts Counterterrorism expert, Wallace Bruschweiler
Former AFIO Suncoast Chapter VP Wallace Bruschweiler will explore various approaches used by Israel, USA, Western Europe and
Russia in combating terrorist activities around the world. He is a
quadri-linguist and an expert on counter terrorism and national security
issues. Wallace is a results oriented security executive, strategist
and problem solver with extensive expertise and over 25 years in solving
complex domestic and international security and intelligence situations
in a large range of venues. Terrorism has evolved and Wallace has
stayed in front of the curve.
Event location: Eau Gallie Yacht Club, 100 Datura Drive, Indian Harbour Beach, FL 32937
For reservations and further details, contact Barbara Keith, 1024
Osprey Drive, Melbourne, Florida 32940. Telephone: 321.777.5561,
email: bobbie6769@juno.com
Thursday, 18 September 2014, 11:30 am - Colorado Springs, CO � The Rocky Mountain Chapter presents Deputy Sheriff Mark Pfoff who will speak about a complicated trial.
In December of 2009 an 11 year old girl accused her grandfather of touching her inappropriately. This started a case that revealed an 800 page grooming document and took 4 years to resolve; to include a 2 1/2 year manhunt and a complicated trial. To be held at The Inn at Palmer Divide, 443 S. Highway 105 Palmer Lake, CO, Exit 161 westbound off I-25, West on Highway 105. Please RSVP to Tom VanWormer at robsmom@pcisys.net
Friday, 19 September 2014, 11 am - 2 pm - Tysons Corner, VA - FBI Deputy Director Mark Giuliano discusses the latest efforts and concerns on Terrorism, WMDs, and espionage. Richard Whittle, aviation expert, on PREDATOR: The Secret Origins of the Drone Revolution.
FBI Deputy Director Mark F. Giuliano discusses
terrorism, WMDs, and espionage. Giuliano was former Executive Assistant
Director (EAD) of the National Security Branch (NSB), responsible for
counterterrorism, espionage, and WMDs. He also served as the FBI�s lead
intelligence official, responsible for coordination and liaison with the
U.S. Director of National Intelligence and the rest of the Intelligence
Community. Giuliano streamlined counterterrorism operations and better
positioned the FBI to address current and emerging terrorist threats
through operations designed to penetrate and disrupt key terrorist
networks and threats.
Morning speaker: Richard Whittle, author of PREDATOR: The Secret Origins of the Drone Revolution which is being released at this event. Whittle is a Wilson Center
Global Fellow on International Security Studies, and a Fellow at the
National Air & Space Museum. He writes extensively on security and
aviation matters.
Check-in for badge pickup at 10:30 a.m.; Richard Whittle begins
presentation at 11 a.m.; Lunch served at noon; FBI DD Mark Giuliano
begins his presentation at 1 pm. Event closes at 2 p.m.
Morning and Afternoon programs are On The Record
The latest intelligence books, and many others, on display and for sale throughout event.
EVENT LOCATION: The Crowne Plaza, 1960 Chain Bridge Rd, Tysons Corner, VA
Driving directions here or use this link: http://tinyurl.com/boey9vf
Monday, 22 September 2014, 6 pm - New York, NY - The AFIO NY Metro Chapter features Jack Devine
Former CIA Director of Operations, Jack Devine, Founder & President "The Arkin Group" NYC-based Global Strategic Intelligence, speaks on his new book Good Hunting. A sophisticated account of real life in the CIA, an American spymasters spellbinding memoir of his career. Charlie Wilson's War, stinger missiles, acting chief of the clandestine service, South American drug cartels.
Location: Society of Illustrators, 128 E 63rd St.
Registration: 5:30 p.m., Presentation starts 6 p.m.
Buffet dinner follows the talk & Q&A.
$50/person Payable at the door only, cash or check.
Reservations strongly suggested, not required. Reply to Jerry Goodwin 646-717-3776 or Email: afiometro@gmail.com
Wednesday, 30 September 2014, 11:30 a.m. - Scottsdale, AZ - Dr. Connie Mariano, Physician to the President/Dir of WH Medical Unit makes presentation to AFIO Arizona Chapter
Guest Speaker: Connie Mariano, M.D.,
Physician to the President and Director of the White House Medical
Unit; Founder and President of the Center for Executive Medicine,
sharing interesting aspects of her personal journey at the White House,
as well as vignettes and lessons from serving 3 sitting presidents, and
what life has been after the White House.
Her work experiences include the Mayo Clinic, a private practice, and
is currently businesswoman and author. She will be more than happy to
share her current challenges both professional and personal.
Location: McCormick Ranch Golf Course, 7505 McCormick Pkwy, Scottsdale AZ 85258, Phone 480.948.0260
RSVP: simone@afioaz.org RSVP no
later than 72 hours ahead of time; in the past, not reserving or
cancelling without prior notice (72 hours prior to the meeting) created
much grief for those of us organizing the meeting and dealing with the
personnel!
WE ARE charged for the no-shows and please remember, we are a small organization with a humble coffer!
We would therefore APPRECIATE that you all respond to this email to confirm your presence (or not).
Our meeting fees will be as follows:
� $20.00 for AFIO members
� $22.00 for guests
For reservations or questions, please email Simone simone@4smartphone.net or simone@afioaz.org or call and leave a message on 602.570.6016
Wednesday, October 8, 2014 (6:00-10:00 PM), Scottsdale, Arizona - Wanted: former or retired
DDP, DDO or NCS officers for a Black Tie Event in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Your Assignment: Should you choose to accept it. Table
Host for unwitting art patrons at Gala Opening of the Covert Affairs,
art Exhibit.
Sponsors: Arizona AFIO and Scottsdale Museum of Contemporary Art
Uniform required: Black tie
Details: Dinner and gallery admission provided in exchange for "war
stories"and anecdotes about life and times in the clandestine services.
One officer per each of fifteen tables will represent the CS to the
attendees.
Contact: Maurice Gralnek, Chapter President - info@afioaz.org or Simone S Lopes, Chapter Director - simone@afioaz.org
For Additional Events two+ months or greater....view our online Calendar of Events
MANY more International Spy Museum Events in 2014 with full details are listed on the AFIO Website at www.afio.com.
Friday, 15 August 2014, 1 - 4 pm - Washington, DC - Meet former FBI/CIA Counterintelligence Officer, Christopher Lynch
Christopher Lynch was a Counterintelligence Officer,
first in the FBI, and then in the CIA, for thirty years. As an
Operations Analyst, he specialized in the KGB in assessing tradecraft
and in detecting hostile control.
Free. No registration required. More info and directions at www.spymuseum.org
Tuesday, 19 August 2014, noon - Washington, DC - Good Hunting: An American Spymaster�s Story with Jack Devine
Jack Devine is one of the legendary spymasters of
our time. He was in Chile when Allende fell; he ran Charlie Wilson�s war
in Afghanistan; he had too much to do with Iran-Contra for his own
taste, though he tried to stop it; he caught Pablo Escobar in Colombia;
and he tried to warn George Tenet that there was a bullet coming from
Iraq with his name on it. His new book, Good Hunting, is
Devine�s guide to the art of spycraft and his belief in the CIA�s vital
importance as a tool of American statecraft. Although it has been
caricatured by Hollywood, lionized by the right, and pilloried by the
left, Devine believes the CIA remains one of the least understood
instruments of the United States government. Join him as he uses his
wit, candor, and common sense wisdom to set the record straight about an
organization whose history has not been given its due.
Tickets: Free! No registration required. Visit www.spymuseum.org.
19 August 2014, 1130 - McLean, VA - The DIAA Alumni Association's DIF hosts John Moore on "The Mess in the Middle East."
The Defense Intelligence Forum luncheon features Mr. John L. Moore speaking on �The Mess in the Middle East.�
From 1968 thru 2000, John Moore was an analyst, senior analyst,
manager and senior executive on the Middle East for DIA. From 1984 thru
1992, he was the chief of the Middle East and Africa Division and from
1992 thru December 2000 when he retired, John served as the Defense
Intelligence Officer for the Middle East, South Asia and Terrorism. Mr.
Moore worked as a Middle East consultant from 2000 thru 2002 where he
appeared as the first non-lawyer to brief the international Court of
Justice (World Court). From 2003 thru 2012, John was a consultant on the
Middle East for DIA; the last five years he served as the Senior Mentor
in the Middle East office. John was twice awarded the National
Distinguished Service Medal (1991 and 2000) and was twice awarded the
DIA Exceptional Civilian Service Medal (1984 and 1997). John was a 1965
graduate of LaSalle University and a 1978 graduate of the US Army Was
College.
Location: Pulcinella Restaurant, 6852 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA.
Pay at the door with a check for $ 29.00 payable to DIAA, Inc. Check is
preferred, but will accept cash; however, credit card payments are
discouraged.
Forum follows modified Chatham House rule: you may use the
information, but with the exception of speaker's name and subject, you
may make no attribution. Everything will be off the record.
Make reservations by 18 August 2014 by email to diforum@diaalumni.org.
Include names, telephone numbers, and email addresses. For each
attendee, choose among chicken cacciatore, tilapia puttanesca, lasagna,
sausage with peppers, or fettuccini with portabella for your luncheon
selection.
Friday, 22 August 2014, 1- 4 pm - - Washington, DC - Meet A Spy: Tony & Jonna Mendez, the real CIA Officers behind the movie ARGO
Meet the Mendezes, both are former CIA Chiefs of Disguise,
responsible for changing the identity and appearance of thousands of
clandestine operatives around the world. Tony is most famous for his
rescue of American diplomats from Tehran during the Iranian Hostage
Crisis as depicted in the film ARGO.
Free. No registration required. More info and directions at www.spymuseum.org
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