AFIO
Weekly Intelligence Notes #37-06 dated 18 September 2006
Weekly Intelligence
Notes (WINs) are commentaries on Intelligence and related national
security matters, based on open media sources, selected, interpreted,
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EDITOR'S
NOTES: Questions or suggested items can be directed to WINsEditor@afio.com -Ernie
Hampson.
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AFIO National
Symposium 2006
focuses on the Intelligence Duties and Office of the
Department of Homeland Security
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The AFIO National Symposium
for 2006 is looking closely at the Intelligence components
of the vast Department
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law enforcement duties and issues - particularly
port and border security. This important
event will be held Friday 3 November
to noon on Sunday, 5 November at the Hyatt Regency Hotel - Reston,
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SECTION
I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
- EX-CIA EUROPE CHIEF WAS
WRONG- HIGH-LEVEL IRAQI SOURCE DID CONFIRM SADDAM'S WMD PROGRAMS
- HIGH-PROFILE REPUBLICANS CHALLENGE BUSH ON CLARIFICATION OF GENEVA CONVENTION
AND INTERROGATION TECHNIQUES
- US OFFICIALS SEEK INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT TO TARGET TEHRAN'S BANKING
- NORTH KOREANS DETERMINED TO CONDUCT NUCLEAR TEST
- CIA ALLEGEDLY VIOLATING UN
RULES BY BACKING SOMALI GOVERNMENT AGAINST ISLAMISTS
SECTION II - CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
- JAPANESE PRIME MINISTER CANDIDATE CALLS FOR ESTABLISHMENT OF A 'CIA' FOR JAPAN
- COMBATING TERRORISM CENTER IN FLORIDA HELPS CENTCOM KNOW THE ENEMY
SECTION III - CYBER INTELLIGENCE
- A CYBER STORM REVEALS HOLES IN NATION'S INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SECURITY
SECTION IV - CAREERS, NOTES, LETTERS, QUERIES AND AUTHORS SEEKING ASSISTANCE,
CORRECTIONS, OBITUARIES, COMING EVENTS
- Careers
- TWO TENURE
TRACK INTELLIGENCE OR AMERICAN POLITICS FACULTY POSITIONS AT CSU SAN
BERNARDINO
- Notes
- SECRETARY CHERTOFF ANNOUNCES APPOINTMENT OF DHS WMD INTELLIGENCE
SENIOR ADVISOR
- Assistance Sought
- HO
CHI MINH TRAIL PROJECT - In Washington This Week, Can Meet With You
- Obituaries
- CIA VETERAN OF THE CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS,
CESAR DIOSADO, DEAD AT 85
- Coming Events
- 20
- 23 September 06 - Offutt AFB, NE - the Midwest Chapter of AFIO
holds group reunion at U.S. Strategic Command (SAC)
- 20 September [Wednesday] 06 -
Washington, DC - OPEN HOUSE AT Institute of World Politics
- 21
September 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter
Meeting holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
- 21
September 06 - Washington, DC - Spy Museum’s Scavenger Hunt -
Spy Behind the Scene
- 22
September 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds dinner
featuring noted intelligence historian David Kahn
- 23
September 06 - Washington, DC - The Cold War Museum hosts a special
Spy Tour of Washington.
- 4
- 5 October 06 - Bolling AFB, DC - Natl Military Intelligence Assoc
2-day conference on Joint Intel Ops Center with DIA
- 10
October 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter - at MacDill AFB
O'Club
- 11
October 06 - Washington, DC - From the Secret Files of the Spy
Museum - Back Brief Cuba: Covert Ops, Castro’s Brother, and
the Challenge of Tomorrow
- 12
October 06 - Washington, DC - Khrushchev’s Cold War: The
Inside Story of an American Adversary at Spy Museum
- 14
October 06 - Lorton, VA - The COLD WAR MUSEUM HOSTS PROGRAM ON 1956
POLISH AND HUNGARIAN UPRISINGS
- 19 October
06 - Washington, DC - National Portrait Gallery & Spy Museum
present Spies on Screen - THIRTEEN DAYS
- 20
- 21 October 06 - Lubbock, TX - Texas Tech and CIA's Center for
Study of Intelligence co-host "Intelligence in the Vietnam
War,"
- 21
October 06 - Kennebunk, ME - the Maine Chapter of AFIO will meet at
2:00 p.m. with author Colin Beavan at the Kennebunk Free Library,
Main St., Kennebunk.
- 21
October 06 - Washington, DC - The National Archives Presents The
Cold War: An Eyewitness Perspective A Public Symposium
- 22
- 24 October 06 - Savannah, GA - Convergence 2006 - talks, meeting,
and colloquia on Israel and its future in the Middle East in face of
terrorism.
- 24
October 06 - Washington, DC - Intrigue at the Willard - Spy School
Workshop: Spy Museum event at Willard Hotel
- 26 September 06
- Bolling Air Force Base, Washington, DC - the Joint Military
Intelligence College Annual Conference 2006
- 28 October 06 -
Seattle, WA - AFIO Pacific Northwest Chapter hosts Colin Beavan, author of
"Operation Jedburgh"
- 28
- 30 September 06 - Washington, DC - Call for Papers: The 3rd
Conference on Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
- 3
- 5 November 06 - McLean, VA - AFIO National Intelligence Symposium
with DHS on Homeland, Port and Border Security
- 3
- 4 November 06 - Hampton Beach, NH - AFIO New England hosts meeting
at beautiful Ashworth-by-the-Sea Hotel with two speakers.
- 4 November
06 - Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter hears Dr.
Jack Baghdassarian on "Origins of Islamic Terrorism"
- 9 November
06 - Washington, DC - Inside Stories - Capturing Jonathan Pollard:
The Real Story at the Spy Museum
- 10
November 06 - Ft. Myer and Arlington National Cemetery - Army
Counterintelligence Corps Veterans (ACICV) Annual "Day of
Remembrance"
- 14
November 06 - Arlington, VA - Defense Intelligence Alumni
Association (DIAA) Fall Luncheon
- 16
November 06 - Colorado Springs, CO - AFIO Rocky Mountain Chapter
holds meeting at USAF Academy O'Club
- 16
November 06 - Washington, DC - 6:30 pm - Domestic Spying:
Anti-Terrorism or Anti-American?
- 18 November 06 - Kennebunk, ME. The AFIO/ME Chapter
will hear Todd DiFede, Supervisory Senior FBI Resident Agent for Maine
- 29
November - 1 Dec 06 - Washington, DC - Institute for Defense and
Government Advancement host "Intelligence Analysis &
Processing"
- 1
December 06 - Tysons Corner, VA - AFIO National Luncheon - Put On
Calendar - Details to Follow
- 6
December 06 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
- 8
December 06 - New York, NY - AFIO NY Metro Chapter holds evening
meeting
- 12
December 06 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter meets at 11:30 a.m.
at the Officers' Club
- 12-14
December 06 - Chantilly, VA - MASINT V, The MASINT Association's
Annual Conference
- 20 January 07 - Kennebunk, ME. AFIO/ME will bring
Maine's 9/11 memorial to Kennebunk for the meeting. Michael Clarke, Bath,
Maine, firefighter
- 26
- 27 January 07 - Springfield, VA- Intelligence and Ethics 2007 and
Call for Proposals
- 13
February 07 - Tampa, FL- AFIO Suncoast Chapter luncheon with Carl W
Ford, Jr., former head of the State's Bureau of Intelligence and
Research (INR)
- 3
March 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
- 10 March 07 -
Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River
Colony Club
- 12 May 07 - Indian
Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau Gallie
Yacht Club
- 17-19
May 07 - Omaha, NE - SAC Intelligence/544th & Friends Reunion
- 2
June 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
- 4 August 07 - -
Melbourne, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Indian River
Colony Club
- 8
September 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
- 18-19
October 07 - Laurel, MD - Symposium on Cryptologic History sponsored
by the Center for Cryptologic History.
- 3 November 07 -
Indian Harbour Beach, FL - AFIO Florida Satellite Chapter meets at the Eau
Gallie Yacht Club
- 1
December 07 - Orange Park, FL - AFIO North Florida Chapter Meeting
SECTION
I - CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
EX-CIA EUROPE CHIEF WAS WRONG- HIGH-LEVEL
IRAQI SOURCE DID CONFIRM SADDAM'S WMD PROGRAMS As reported in the WINs on 1 May, Tyler Drumheller, a 26-year CIA veteran and former Chief of
the European Division, appeared on the CBS news magazine 60 Minutes [CBS/24Apr06]
to criticize the Bush administration's handling of pre-war intelligence. One
incident he explained to reporter Ed Bradley included a high-level source in
Saddam Hussein's government, considered credible by CIA, who purportedly told the Bush
administration in 2002 that Iraq had no WMD programs. Drumheller contended that
President Bush was excited when he heard they were receiving reliable
intelligence from Naji Sabri, Saddam's Foreign Minister, but chose to ignore the
intelligence once he found out that it did not support his war plan. According
to CBS, "Bradley
inquired, 'So in the fall of 2002, before going to war, we had it on good
authority from a source within Saddam's inner circle that he didn't have an
active program for weapons of mass destruction?' 'Yes,' Drumheller said,
proclaiming himself outraged."
Now, it appears, Drumheller was wrong. The recently published
Senate report on pre-war intelligence [U.S.
Senate/8Sep06] tells the opposite story about Sabri's intelligence. Starting
on page 141 in an addendum entitled "Additional Views by Senators Roberts, Hatch
and Chambliss," Sabri confirmed the following:
- Saddam Hussein was actively and covertly developing a nuclear weapon, and
was irate that Iraq did not have one already as money was not a concern.
- Saddam's Nuclear Weapons Committee told him that they could have a weapon within 18-24 months of acquiring fissile material.
The return of UN inspectors would not pose a threat to the program as Iraq had
become expert in denial and deception.
- Iraq was producing and stockpiling chemical weapons.
- Iraqi scientists were experimenting with biological weapons but had no real program and no real success.
- Iraq's "weapons of last resort" were chemical warheads mounted on missiles with mobile launchers that would be fired at
enemy forces and Israel.
Of course, Sabri's contentions were mostly proved false in the aftermath of
the US invasion.
The Senate report acknowledged Drumheller's appearance on 60 Minutes as well as subsequent interviews in which he maintained that Sabri
said Iraq had no WMD programs.