AFIO Intelligence Notes Issue 46
1 December 1998
Sign up now for the AFIO QUARTERLY LUNCHEON Monday 11 January 1999
at Fort Myer, Virginia, with Two Outstanding Speakers:
(1) GUS RUSSO, author of Live By The Sword: The Secret War Against
Castro and the Death of JFK. Russo is an investigative reporter who
has sought to compile a credible account of President Kennedy's
assassination for over twenty years.
The linkage between the assassination attempts on the Cuban and
American presidents promises to make for a lively and entertaining
session.
(2) MILT BEARDEN, former Chief of Station in Pakistan and a
central figure in clandestine support of the Afghan rebel war against
the Soviets, a struggle reflected in his superb novel The Black
Tulip, will speak on "Afghanistan: Consequences, Myths and Reality."
Think Soviet invasion, Taleban, Iran, Oil pipelines, Bin laden
etc. This promises to be a barn-burner.
It is likely that the authors will be willing to autograph their
books.
Members and guests are invited. Luncheon fee is $26 for members
and $29 for non-members. Reserve your place now - - send name,
address and check to: AFIO, 6723 Whittier Ave, Ste 303A, McLean, Va.
22101-4533.
SECTION I CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
NATO STRATEGIC CONCEPT CHANGE - Along with the UN, NATO
has provided legitimacy for US foreign policy and military actions
outside the Western Hemisphere. The US is now pushing to update and
rejuvenate the NATO legitimacy umbrella. In a nutshell, the US
proposes that NATO should be seen as an alliance of national security
interests - - instead of the old focus on defense of territory - -
entailing far-flung worldwide alliance actions on such matters as
chemical and biological weapons, terrorism, and nuclear
proliferation.
The US is also pushing a radical defense military transformation,
shifting from a focus on fixed positional defense to flexible mobile
defense forces. The US wants to assure that NATO can project power,
as necessary, far afield, sustainable over long periods.
The new concepts are arousing some controversy within the NATO
ranks. The Europeans worry that America is creating a 'new threat
perception' that " will scare our populations with visions of anthrax
and gangrene," while transforming NATO into a global power-projection
organization - - authorized to act without UN approval if and when
necessary. France is always suspicions of 'American hegemony,' and
Germany's new Government has a broadly anti-militarist bent. Most
members still see the nuclear territorial threat, not the
chemical/biological specter, as central to their security.
The Europeans are also concerned about the costs of this new
mission, and suspect that it may involve buying equipment from the
US. They are approaching a painful process of rationalizing their own
defense industries within the context of the European Union, are
looking toward containing their defense budgets, and are expecting a
period of 'consolidation' after the current operations in Bosnia,
Macedonia and Kossovo, and the formal admission of three new NATO
members set to take place next April in Washington.
Reservations aside, the need for a new NATO strategic perspective
and mission is understood by the European partners, and there is
likely to be acceptance of US initiatives in some form. (Cohen in
NYT 28 Nov 98, p.1) (RoyJ)
U.S. ANTI-SADDAM MEASURES - The recent U.S. congress
authorization of $97 million for surplus military equipment and
training for the "Iraqi opposition" has been greeted with less than
enthusiastic support by those more knowledgeable than the general
American public about the situation on the the ground in Iraq. The
"experts" agree with the Congressional sentiment, but otherwise
concur with General Zenni, the Marine at the head of CENTCOM,, who
disagreed with the Congressional action. His grounds were that the
Iraqi opposition factions are so fragmented and disorganized that to
install one might even be more inimical to U.S. interests than having
Saddam in place.
Presently the most concrete effort by U.S. officials to create an
opposition is the operation of RADIO FREE IRAQ - - staffed by a
handful of exiles and funded by the U.S. for $5 million. The radio
station began beaming Arabic language news to Iraq on 30 October from
the Prague headquarters of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty.
Staffers say the news is presented as objectively as possible,
without any hostile propaganda - - the most potent weapon against
totalitarian rule are the plain facts. Iraq has called the station
"poisonous" and warned of "huge losses" for the Czechs - ostensibly
in trade. In light of Saddam's success against previous U.S. attempts
to foster internal opposition to his murderous rule, the radio
station would appear to be something that can be effective. (DonH)
TERRORISM INTELLIGENCE - The US cruise-missile attacks on
Osama bin Laden's alleged training camps in Afghanistan apparently
killed several Pakistani intelligence officers at the sites.
Pakistan's military was reportedly outraged and released two suspects
in the Nairobi bombing attacks, a Saudi and a Sudanese, who they had
been holding at US request, thus dealing a setback to the
investigative efforts. In politics as in medicine, side effects of
treatments are often imponderable. A palliative is undoubtedly being
worked through political and intelligence channels. (Nwswk 7Dec98,
p6) (RoyJ)
INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY NOTES -
- - - An IG study of the rate of attrition in the CIA Clandestine
Service concluded that while the rates of attrition were not
historically high by US government standards, they were higher than
for the Foreign Service, and involved high-quality officers the
agency could not afford to lose. Many departees pointed to
dissatisfaction with agency management and their own supervisors, and
the perceived lack of a clear mission for the agency. NOTE: Several
papers have noted the enhanced recruiting efforts of the CIA in
recent weeks). (DonH)
- - - The Director of the FBI recently addressed a class of more
than 40 Russian, Polish and Estonian police officers selected to take
part in an eight-week course with American law enforcement
instructors at the International law Enforcement Academy (opened in
Budapest, with FBI financing, in 1995). Nearly 700 police officers
from central and eastern Europe have attended the courses, which
cover crimes like money-laundering and weapons- or people-smuggling
as well as terrorism. (DonH)
- - - DIA's CENTRAL MASINT OFFICE (Measurement and Signature
intelligence) is seeking to create a 'system of systems' architecture
for Masint. The Masint discipline includes collecting and analyzing
radar, infrared, chemical, seismic, acoustic and other radiating
emissions as well as the sampling of gases, liquids and solid
materials, and disseminating the results. The effort is aimed at
creating common standards, will seek to eliminate duplication, and
intends to improve reporting timeliness and accuracy of the Masint
data.(DonH)
- - - NSA has certified the first U.S.-made encryption device
built under a new set of multi-national standards (agreed to in
early October), opening the way for sales to NATO allies. The
encoding device is called Dragonfly. The standards, agreed to by
Canada, Britain, France and the U.S., also free the potential
transfer of approved technology to participating nations. Three more
nations, the Netherlands, Australia and New Zealand, also are
expected to sign up. The device uses two encryption cards for
encoding data or video sent via computer. It was built specifically
to allow data-sharing between classified and unclassified military
networks, costs about $5,000 per system, and provides one megabit
encryption. It relies on a key that is one megabit in size to unlock
the data file sent, in contrast to the standard commercial level of
32-bit and 64-bit encryption. (DonH)
SECTION II CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
GULF WAR ANTI-TERRORIST SUCCESSES - One national
publication recently fleshed out the frequent, but never really
explained, claims of the intelligence community to have neutralized
Saddam Hussein's attempts at terrorism during the Gulf War - - his
planned campaign of hitting back at the U.S. by producing worldwide
terrorist incidents. The paper's account, which one would hope is
factual, was based on discussions with retired and serving senior FBI
and CIA officials. NSA is credited with intercepts alerting Saddam's
agents to deploy - as many as 200 by some accounts - and instructing
them to fan out in teams of two across the globe. Some intended to
enter the U.S. with the goal of killing Americans. Some agents were
already in place at overseas locations, but most set off from Iraq by
way of Greece, Italy or France. Weapons of choice were plastic
explosives, ferried from Iraq to their embassies worldwide in
diplomatic pouches.
Two terrorists blew themselves up in Manila near a U.S.
citizen-frequented center, and one bomb was defused outside the US
ambassador's residence in Indonesia. All other agents were arrested,
detained, or deported from country to country. The latter group spent
days being shifted to and from airplanes until they arrived at a port
of call so distant they could not find their way back until the war
was over. Reportedly the fake passports used by the would-be
terrorists were vulnerable to ready identification, which facilitated
tracking them. President Bush presented special, still classified,
commendations to personnel of the agencies after the war. (DonH)
SECTION III BOOK REVIEWS
TRACKING THE AXIS ENEMY: The Triumph of Anglo-American Naval
Intelligence - - by Alan Harris Bath, University Press of
Kansas, 1998 ISBN 0-7006-0917-2, $34.95. This is primarily the
intelligence story behind the Battle of the Atlantic, the campaign
against the German U-boats, although the Pacific intelligence
relationships are also covered. The author provides insights into the
interplay between politics and intelligence as it related to this
area of warfare. A book for historians and researchers, with 40 pages
of footnotes, plus index and bibliography. (RoyJ)
COMMUNISM, THE COLD WAR AND THE FBI CONNECTION: A Time to
Set the Record Straight - - by special Agent (and AFIO member)
Herman O. Bly, Huntington House Publishers, 1998, ISBN
1-56834-149-5. This is a personal "I was there" book written by a
23-year FBI veteran who retired in 1963, presenting personal views on
the long battle against communism from his law-enforcement and
counterintelligence perspective, ranging from general to specific
observations concerning the Communist Party of the USA, and spanning
the period from the Roosevelt Administration to that of President
Bush. Included is a chapter on the pro's and cons of the
Counterintelligence Program COINTELPRO 1956-1961.
Paperback.(RoyJ)
SECTION IV BULLETIN BOARD
The AFIO Speakers' Program is an integral part of the
Association's mission to inform the American public on the role and
importance of intelligence. The Association maintains a data base of
members who have volunteered to speak to groups around the country.
In the past speakers have been provided to universities, high
schools, Chapter meetings and civic associations. This AFIO program
is managed by Chuck Slack. He may be contacted at
<chuckslack@aol.com>
The Florida SUNCOAST Chapter will host a Holiday luncheon meeting
on Tuesday, December 8th, at MacDill AFB Officers Club. Complimentary
beverages start at 11:15. The speaker will be a veteran of D-Day
(Omaha Beach), the Battle of the Bulge, Laos special forces ( CIA)
and Cuban special operations (CIA), Grayston "Gray" Lynch, who will
speak on Cuban frogmen operations during the Bay of Pigs. It should
be fascinating. Admission for Chapter members is $8.50, payable to
SUNCOAST CHAPTER, AFIO. All AFIO members and guests are invited and
may enroll as Chapter members. Contact Nat Alderman, Jr., PO Box
55221, St Petersburg FL 33732-5221.
PEOPLE SEARCH - Anyone know Lawrence (Larry) P. McIntosh, who was
a 1st Lt in 1961 and who served in Worms, Germany as an Intelligence
Officer, wife's name Barbara?? Nicholas Danos is looking for him.
Contact <lostsheep@resurrection.com>
COMPUTER HUMOR - Two groups of computer experts pondered the
question of whether computers are addressed as "she" or "he" -- in
the manner nautical, where a ship is referred to as "she." One
group consisted of men, the other of women.
Each group was asked to give four reasons for their
recommendation. The women reported that computers should be masculine
because:
1. In order to get their attention, you have to turn them on.
2. They have a lot of data, but are still clueless.
3. They are supposed to help you solve problems, but half the time
they are the problem.
4. As soon as you commit to one, your realize that, if you had
waited a little longer, you could have had a better model.
The men concluded that computers should be referred to in the
feminine gender because:
1. No one but the Creator understands their internal logic
2. The native language they use to communicate with other
computers is incomprehensible to anyone else
3. Even your smallest mistakes are stored in long-term memory for
later retrieval
4. As soon as you make a commitment to one, you find yourself
spending half your paycheck on accessories for it. (Carl Griffith)
EMPLOYMENT SOUGHT
Interested Employers contact <afio@afio.com> and include file
number reference.
Ref File J-116. Analyst, investigator and author. Foreign area
specialty: Russia. Investigator of computer network intrusion for
National Agency. Author of books and articles. Over ten years
investigative and counterintelligence background. Russian fluency and
extensive political / economic situational experience in- country.
Expertise in computer security, encryption and Internet investigative
techniques as both user and instructor/trainer. Current TS clearance.
M.A. Russian Studies. Seeking challenging position.
Ref File J-117 National Security Analyst, GS-12 in US Government.
M.A., National Security Studies. Attended University of Bonn, fluent
German. Served as political aide to representative in West German
Parliament. Senior Russia/Eurasia Political Military analyst, former
Chief, Arms Control Branch USAF Europe. Looking for GS-13 in US
Government agency.
Ref. File J118 Marketing-- B.A., Communication/Public Relations.
Marketing and sales representative seeks position for growth and
advancement. Several years sales and business development experience
serving a client base of Physicians and Pharmacists. One of seven
students selected nationally, by Department of State, to the United
Nations intern program, represented the World Trade Organization. PC
and Macintosh Pagemaker, MS Office, and Internet knowledge.
Ref: File J-119 Junior Analyst -- M.A., National Security
Studies, B. A., International Studies. Researcher, collection and
analysis of media and congressional testimony, Capitol Hill and
National Republican Senatorial Committee. Basic Russian, Spanish, and
German language ability. MS Office, Excel and Internet search
engines. Looking for interesting opportunities.
IN MEMORIAM
- - - Charles L. Venable, a 30-year CIA veteran and long-time AFIO
member, passed away on November 14th, 199, two years after the
passing of his wife of over 40 years, Patricia Jean, also an AFIO
member. Chuck was the second president of the AFIO New Mexico
Chapter and gave generously of his time and talents to contribute to
AFIO's objectives over the years. He lectured frequently on past and
current intelligence issues. He was active in community life and his
church. We salute an old and valued colleague.
- - - Ralph Talmadge Briggs, former US Navy officer and longtime
AFIO member, passed away on 1 September 1998 in Henderson, NY. Ralph
was born in 1914, joined the Navy in 1934, and became part of a group
of skilled radio operators trained on the roof of the old Navy
Department building on Constitution Avenue in Washington DC, a group
that became known as the "On-The-Roof" gang - - who laid the
cornerstone of Naval cryptology.
On 4 December 1941 Ralph intercepted a message from the
Japanese Foreign Office advising the Japanese Embassy in Washington
to destroy all classified materials, including codes and ciphers - a
warning of imminent war. Ralph immediately teletyped the decoded
message to Navy Intelligence headquarters in Washington, made two
carbon copies and an entry into his log sheet. The message was
ignored and all signs of its existence vanished - - for reasons of
state. Ralph retired in 1963. He was a valued and active AFIO member
who regularly attended our luncheons at Fort Myers and also the
conventions. We render a final salute to a longtime valued
comrade-in-arms.
- - - We regret to pass on news of the passing of the following
AFIO Charter Members during the course of the past year, including:
Charter Member Albert Benjamin, Captain USN (ret) 20 December
1997;
Charter Member Alexander Lennox, Commander, USN(ret), on 10
January 98;
Charter Member Melville E. Keiser, USAR/DIA (ret) 10 March 98;
Charter Member Richard A. Sampson, CIA (ret), 30 July 98.
Honorable colleagues, united with us in a common cause. We mourn
their passing.
WIN's are researched, edited and produced by Editor and AFIO
Executive Director Roy Jonkers.
Contributions are made by RADM (ret) Don Harvey and by Dr. John
Macartney. All items are identified by source and researcher.
WINs are protected by copyright laws and may not be reproduced
without permission of the Editor, except for single instances for
purposes of recruiting a new member (EVERY MEMBER GET A MEMBER!).
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