AFIO Intelligence Notes Issue 43
10 November 1998
WIN's are researched and produced by Editor and AFIO Executive
Director Roy Jonkers. Contributions are made by RADM (ret) Don Harvey
and by Dr. John Macartney. All items are identified by source and
researcher.
This WIN is late because of the Sympoium/Convention work overload.
The WIN was an initiative to enhance AFIO's educational mission,
starting in January 1998. It now goes weekly to 750 AFIO members, and
readership is growing steadily.
WINs may not be reproduced without permission of the Editor,
except for single instances for purposes of recruiting a new member
(EVERY MEMBER GET A MEMBER!)
SECTION I CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CIA INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OFFICE - The Agency has
established an Office within the Science and Technology Directorate
to focus on state-of-the-art information technologies. The Office
supports intelligence analysis in the areas of data security,
information extraction, data mining, visualization and machine
translation.
The analytical tools office was established by Dr Ruth David, the
former director of S&T. It is currently headed by Ms. Susan M.
Gordon, who states that " the mission of the office is to bring the
power of information technology to bear on the business of
intelligence." An initiative to include a laboratory-type environment
where analysts can interface with industry experts and new ways of
using cutting-edge information tools is underway.( Clarence Robinson
in Signal Mag. Oct 98, p. 17) (Roy J)
COUNTER-TERRORISM - Richard Clarke has assumed the position
of National Coordinator for Security, Infrastructure Protection and
Counter-terrorism, a newly created federal position. A $2 billion
plan for domestic defense against terrorism, including state and
local officials prepping 120 cities to fight terrorism, is ready for
implementation. Clarke sees the front lines of defense as "the FBI
on the streets, the CIA meeting sources in godforsaken countries, and
the Delta Force guys training for raids. "
Clarke's charter is broad, ranging from developing vaccines for
germ-warfare to computer war in cyber space. Some of the brightest
minds are being mobilized against terrorism and the threat of the
potential use of chemical, biological or cyberwar operations against
Americans or against the national interests, by parties ranging from
the random homegrown variety of lunatics, criminals or terrorists to
international political or criminal states, groups or individuals.
(Newsday 12 Oct 98) (RoyJ)
RUSSIAN CHEMICAL / BIOLOGICAL PROGRAMS - In recently
released responses to early 1998 Senate Intelligence Committee
questions, DIA and CIA separately reported their concerns on the
possibilities of Russian chemical and biological weapons programs.
DIA reported that: "Key components of the former Soviet biological
warfare programs remain largely intact and may support a possible
future mobilization capability for the production of biological
agents and delivery systems. Moreover, work outside the scope of
legitimate biological defense activity may be occurring now at
selected facilities within Russia."
After noting that some Russian R&D bio-warfare facilities had
been deactivated, CIA said: "Other facilities, however, may retain
the ability to produce BW agents. We cannot establish that Russia
has given up this capability and remain concerned that some of the
individuals involved in the old Soviet program may be trying to
protect elements of it."
With regard to Chemical Warfare, CIA stated: " Russian scientists
formerly involved in the research and development of CW have alleged
that Moscow is hiding a program designed to ensure a continuing
offensive CW capability despite arms control commitments. The
'whistleblowers' have also described an offensive program that is
much more extensive than that described in official declarations.. .
. These allegations, combined with other information, give rise to
concerns that at least some factions within the Russian government
desire to circumvent the Chemical Weapons convention." (Def. Week, 14
Sep 98, p 1) (Don H)
SECTION II CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE
AFIO SYMPOSIUM- The recent AFIO symposium 5/6 November 98
was a sell-out success. The agenda covered counter-intelligence,
intelligence policy, and leading-edge technology for intelligence.
The Policy section included the following speakers, each making a
great formal presentation followed by candid and lively
question-and-answer sessions.
- House Intelligence Committee Chairman Porter Goss addressed the
need for constituency-building - a central tenet of our original and
current AFIO program - and congressional oversight principles. He
enumerated the needs for a coherent Community architecture, a greater
emphasis on processing and analysis of intelligence, increasing
attention to strategic intelligence, adaptation of technical
intelligence in the Information Age, and a strong clandestine
service. He also spoke of the trans-national nature of the threat -
drugs, nuclear proliferation, racketeering, terrorism - and successes
in counterintelligence activities.
- DCI George Tenet outlined his effort to build a strategic plan
for the intelligence community and making it much stronger than it is
today - effective and relevant, providing value-added to policymakers
and decisionmakers. The focus will be on readiness, analysis and
modernization.
- INR Director Phyllis Oakley covered "support to diplomatic
operations," and the issues facing intelligence support to diplomacy
at the present time, including inadequate connectivity, insufficient
expertise, and information overload.
AFIO expects to publish these addresses in the next edition of
Intelligencer, when cleared for release.
RUSSIAN NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION RESTRAINTS - Elizabeth
Rindskopf, formerly the General Counsel for CIA and also for NSA,
recently addressed the HUMAN dimension of Russian nuclear
non-proliferation. She wrote that although a number of US-sponsored
programs are now in place, ultimately the real reason why Russian
weapons-grade nuclear material has not fallen into the hands of
terrorists, criminals or rogue nations, is because of the dedication
of Russian nuclear scientists and engineers.
Visiting the Kurchatov Institute, she was impressed by the
dilapidated buildings with their stockpiles of nuclear weapons-grade
highly enriched uranium - -and the lack of guards - the Institute
cannot afford to pay them. She wrote that with all the money the US
is spending of programs to prevent proliferation of Russian fissile
materials, more thought needs to be given to the human dimension of
non-proliferation.
Many of the employees in Russian nuclear labs and storage
facilities have been paid only a fraction of their normal salaries,
or not paid at all for months at a time. In early October employees
from various Russian nuclear facilities marched to the Ministry of
Atomic Energy in Moscow to demand unpaid wages. A hunger strike
recently took place at a nuclear power plant in Primorsky. With the
current wave of inflation the problem is becoming acute. Ms.
Rindskopf's message is that we need to pay attention. (Chicago Trib.
12 Oct 98, p 17) (Roy J)
SECTION III BOOK REVIEWS
REINVENTING DIPLOMACY FOR THE INFORMATION AGE, a report
issued by the Center for Strategic and International Studies
(CSIS) 26 October 1998, contains the findings by a team headed by
co-chairmen Richard Burt, former US Ambassador to West Germany, and
Olin Robison, former President of Middlebury College, and including
former secretary of State Lawrence Eagleburger and former national
security advisor Anthony Lake.
It should be read in conjunction with another report, EQUIPPED
FOR THE FUTURE: Managing US Foreign Affairs in the 21st Century,
issued by the Henry L. Stimson Center 27 October 98, prepared by a
team chaired by former Secretary of Defense Frank Carlucci and
including former secretaries of State Warren Christopher, George
Shultz, and Cyrus Vance.
The bottomline of these reports is that American diplomacy is
hampered by stuffy attitudes, obsolete technology and inefficient
organization, and therefore ill-equipped to advance US interests or
provide global leadership. ' In addition, the State Department has
failed to convey the importance of foreign policy to the US public.
The Cold War habit of shielding the public from information is
counterproductive and simply announcing policies after they have been
formulated is insufficient.' Both reports recommend technology
modernization and a substantial overhaul of State Department hiring,
assignment and promotion policies. Wpost 28 Oct 98, p. A17, from
review by Thomas Lippman) (RoyJ)
SECTION IV BULLETIN BOARD
WORLD WAR II FILM COVERAGE - Many American cameramen who made WW
II films were assigned to the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), the
forerunner of the CIA. They went on covert assignments carrying small
movie cameras, sometimes behind enemy lines. Some of this fifty-year
old film footage is now surfacing, and being collected by Melvyn
Paisley and Lars Andersen, who plan to donate copies of the films to
the National D-Day Museum, which will open in New Orleans this autumn
according to its founder, Stephen Ambrose. Anyone who owns or knows
the whereabouts of old World War II film is invited to contact the
collectors or the Museum founder. ( Clendenning, AP; USA Today 13 Oct
98 p. A 20) (Roy J)
EMPLOYMENT SOUGHT - Inquiries: Contact <afio@afio.com>. Cite
ref. file.
West Point graduate - - MS in Strategic Intelligence, twenty
years of experience in Intelligence analysis, planning and operations
as well as command and staff leadership and management assignments in
Germany, the Middle East and the US, including two combat and four
crisis situations; publisher of two monographs in Low Intensity
Conflict and Law Enforcement; current TS/SCI security clearances;
is looking for an interesting second career. Available May 1999.
Reference file J-110.
Intelligence security analyst - - MA International Relations, 28
years experience in Air Force Intelligence operations and corporate
program management, including technology threat assessment and
program protection planning; excellent Microsoft Windows/Office and
Internet search skills, experience with encryption software (Secret
Agent); current TS/SCI/SAR; seeking a new position challenging
analytical, instructional, organizational and training skills. Ref
file J-111.
USAF Academy graduate - - MS Public Administration, over ten years
experience in counterintelligence, counter-terrorist,
counter-espionage, criminal, fraud and special investigative services
in the UK, Germany, Yugoslavia and the Far East; Experience with
multi-discipline information warfare support for worldwide operations
including computer intrusions and force protection. Looking for
opportunities for professional growth. Inquiries Ref file J-112.
Intelligence Analyst and Linguist - - former Attaché in
Bulgaria, 23 years experience in tactical and strategic intelligence
analysis, fluent in Spanish and Bulgarian, working knowledge of
French and Italian. Computer literate on JDISS and LOCE systems as
operator. Experience with simulations and scenario development. MA
International Relations. TS/SCI. Ref File J-113/
JOBS AVAILABLE - contact <afio@afio.com> and cite file
number.
Principal Information Engineer for Year 2000 (Y2K) program wanted.
Analyses major command's C4I systems. Requires ten years experience
in information systems development, functional and data requirements
analysis, systems analysis, programming, program design and
documentation. TS/SCI. MS in computer science, engineering or
related scientific discipline desired. Experience may be substituted
for formal degree.
( Ref file# E-8 )
Senior Functional Analyst for Y2K program needed to support major
command C4I analysis. Evaluates complex information and data
processing systems. TS/SCI. BS in computer science, engineering
business or related functional discipline desired. Experience may
substitute for formal academic degree. (File# E-8)
Research Assistant needed for work in Washington DC area. Some
travel. TS/SCI security clearance needed. Intelligence background
and/or research experience in intelligence are desirable. (File #
E-9)
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