AFIO Intelligence Notes Issue 43
10 November 1998


WIN's are researched and produced by Editor and AFIO Executive Director Roy Jonkers. Contributions are made by RADM (ret) Don Harvey and by Dr. John Macartney. All items are identified by source and researcher.

This WIN is late because of the Sympoium/Convention work overload. The WIN was an initiative to enhance AFIO's educational mission, starting in January 1998. It now goes weekly to 750 AFIO members, and readership is growing steadily.

WINs may not be reproduced without permission of the Editor, except for single instances for purposes of recruiting a new member (EVERY MEMBER GET A MEMBER!)


SECTION I CURRENT INTELLIGENCE

CIA INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY OFFICE - The Agency has established an Office within the Science and Technology Directorate to focus on state-of-the-art information technologies. The Office supports intelligence analysis in the areas of data security, information extraction, data mining, visualization and machine translation.

The analytical tools office was established by Dr Ruth David, the former director of S&T. It is currently headed by Ms. Susan M. Gordon, who states that " the mission of the office is to bring the power of information technology to bear on the business of intelligence." An initiative to include a laboratory-type environment where analysts can interface with industry experts and new ways of using cutting-edge information tools is underway.( Clarence Robinson in Signal Mag. Oct 98, p. 17) (Roy J)

COUNTER-TERRORISM - Richard Clarke has assumed the position of National Coordinator for Security, Infrastructure Protection and Counter-terrorism, a newly created federal position. A $2 billion plan for domestic defense against terrorism, including state and local officials prepping 120 cities to fight terrorism, is ready for implementation. Clarke sees the front lines of defense as "the FBI on the streets, the CIA meeting sources in godforsaken countries, and the Delta Force guys training for raids. "

Clarke's charter is broad, ranging from developing vaccines for germ-warfare to computer war in cyber space. Some of the brightest minds are being mobilized against terrorism and the threat of the potential use of chemical, biological or cyberwar operations against Americans or against the national interests, by parties ranging from the random homegrown variety of lunatics, criminals or terrorists to international political or criminal states, groups or individuals. (Newsday 12 Oct 98) (RoyJ)

RUSSIAN CHEMICAL / BIOLOGICAL PROGRAMS - In recently released responses to early 1998 Senate Intelligence Committee questions, DIA and CIA separately reported their concerns on the possibilities of Russian chemical and biological weapons programs.

DIA reported that: "Key components of the former Soviet biological warfare programs remain largely intact and may support a possible future mobilization capability for the production of biological agents and delivery systems. Moreover, work outside the scope of legitimate biological defense activity may be occurring now at selected facilities within Russia."

After noting that some Russian R&D bio-warfare facilities had been deactivated, CIA said: "Other facilities, however, may retain the ability to produce BW agents. We cannot establish that Russia has given up this capability and remain concerned that some of the individuals involved in the old Soviet program may be trying to protect elements of it."

With regard to Chemical Warfare, CIA stated: " Russian scientists formerly involved in the research and development of CW have alleged that Moscow is hiding a program designed to ensure a continuing offensive CW capability despite arms control commitments. The 'whistleblowers' have also described an offensive program that is much more extensive than that described in official declarations.. . . These allegations, combined with other information, give rise to concerns that at least some factions within the Russian government desire to circumvent the Chemical Weapons convention." (Def. Week, 14 Sep 98, p 1) (Don H)


SECTION II CONTEXT AND PRECEDENCE

AFIO SYMPOSIUM- The recent AFIO symposium 5/6 November 98 was a sell-out success. The agenda covered counter-intelligence, intelligence policy, and leading-edge technology for intelligence. The Policy section included the following speakers, each making a great formal presentation followed by candid and lively question-and-answer sessions.

- House Intelligence Committee Chairman Porter Goss addressed the need for constituency-building - a central tenet of our original and current AFIO program - and congressional oversight principles. He enumerated the needs for a coherent Community architecture, a greater emphasis on processing and analysis of intelligence, increasing attention to strategic intelligence, adaptation of technical intelligence in the Information Age, and a strong clandestine service. He also spoke of the trans-national nature of the threat - drugs, nuclear proliferation, racketeering, terrorism - and successes in counterintelligence activities.

- DCI George Tenet outlined his effort to build a strategic plan for the intelligence community and making it much stronger than it is today - effective and relevant, providing value-added to policymakers and decisionmakers. The focus will be on readiness, analysis and modernization.

- INR Director Phyllis Oakley covered "support to diplomatic operations," and the issues facing intelligence support to diplomacy at the present time, including inadequate connectivity, insufficient expertise, and information overload.

AFIO expects to publish these addresses in the next edition of Intelligencer, when cleared for release.

RUSSIAN NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION RESTRAINTS - Elizabeth Rindskopf, formerly the General Counsel for CIA and also for NSA, recently addressed the HUMAN dimension of Russian nuclear non-proliferation. She wrote that although a number of US-sponsored programs are now in place, ultimately the real reason why Russian weapons-grade nuclear material has not fallen into the hands of terrorists, criminals or rogue nations, is because of the dedication of Russian nuclear scientists and engineers.

Visiting the Kurchatov Institute, she was impressed by the dilapidated buildings with their stockpiles of nuclear weapons-grade highly enriched uranium - -and the lack of guards - the Institute cannot afford to pay them. She wrote that with all the money the US is spending of programs to prevent proliferation of Russian fissile materials, more thought needs to be given to the human dimension of non-proliferation.

Many of the employees in Russian nuclear labs and storage facilities have been paid only a fraction of their normal salaries, or not paid at all for months at a time. In early October employees from various Russian nuclear facilities marched to the Ministry of Atomic Energy in Moscow to demand unpaid wages. A hunger strike recently took place at a nuclear power plant in Primorsky. With the current wave of inflation the problem is becoming acute. Ms. Rindskopf's message is that we need to pay attention. (Chicago Trib. 12 Oct 98, p 17) (Roy J)


SECTION III BOOK REVIEWS

REINVENTING DIPLOMACY FOR THE INFORMATION AGE, a report issued by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) 26 October 1998, contains the findings by a team headed by co-chairmen Richard Burt, former US Ambassador to West Germany, and Olin Robison, former President of Middlebury College, and including former secretary of State Lawrence Eagleburger and former national security advisor Anthony Lake.

It should be read in conjunction with another report, EQUIPPED FOR THE FUTURE: Managing US Foreign Affairs in the 21st Century, issued by the Henry L. Stimson Center 27 October 98, prepared by a team chaired by former Secretary of Defense Frank Carlucci and including former secretaries of State Warren Christopher, George Shultz, and Cyrus Vance.

The bottomline of these reports is that American diplomacy is hampered by stuffy attitudes, obsolete technology and inefficient organization, and therefore ill-equipped to advance US interests or provide global leadership. ' In addition, the State Department has failed to convey the importance of foreign policy to the US public. The Cold War habit of shielding the public from information is counterproductive and simply announcing policies after they have been formulated is insufficient.' Both reports recommend technology modernization and a substantial overhaul of State Department hiring, assignment and promotion policies. Wpost 28 Oct 98, p. A17, from review by Thomas Lippman) (RoyJ)


SECTION IV BULLETIN BOARD

WORLD WAR II FILM COVERAGE - Many American cameramen who made WW II films were assigned to the Office of Strategic Services (OSS), the forerunner of the CIA. They went on covert assignments carrying small movie cameras, sometimes behind enemy lines. Some of this fifty-year old film footage is now surfacing, and being collected by Melvyn Paisley and Lars Andersen, who plan to donate copies of the films to the National D-Day Museum, which will open in New Orleans this autumn according to its founder, Stephen Ambrose. Anyone who owns or knows the whereabouts of old World War II film is invited to contact the collectors or the Museum founder. ( Clendenning, AP; USA Today 13 Oct 98 p. A 20) (Roy J)

EMPLOYMENT SOUGHT - Inquiries: Contact <afio@afio.com>. Cite ref. file.

West Point graduate - - MS in Strategic Intelligence, twenty years of experience in Intelligence analysis, planning and operations as well as command and staff leadership and management assignments in Germany, the Middle East and the US, including two combat and four crisis situations; publisher of two monographs in Low Intensity Conflict and Law Enforcement; current TS/SCI security clearances; is looking for an interesting second career. Available May 1999. Reference file J-110.

Intelligence security analyst - - MA International Relations, 28 years experience in Air Force Intelligence operations and corporate program management, including technology threat assessment and program protection planning; excellent Microsoft Windows/Office and Internet search skills, experience with encryption software (Secret Agent); current TS/SCI/SAR; seeking a new position challenging analytical, instructional, organizational and training skills. Ref file J-111.

USAF Academy graduate - - MS Public Administration, over ten years experience in counterintelligence, counter-terrorist, counter-espionage, criminal, fraud and special investigative services in the UK, Germany, Yugoslavia and the Far East; Experience with multi-discipline information warfare support for worldwide operations including computer intrusions and force protection. Looking for opportunities for professional growth. Inquiries Ref file J-112.

Intelligence Analyst and Linguist - - former Attaché in Bulgaria, 23 years experience in tactical and strategic intelligence analysis, fluent in Spanish and Bulgarian, working knowledge of French and Italian. Computer literate on JDISS and LOCE systems as operator. Experience with simulations and scenario development. MA International Relations. TS/SCI. Ref File J-113/

JOBS AVAILABLE - contact <afio@afio.com> and cite file number.

Principal Information Engineer for Year 2000 (Y2K) program wanted. Analyses major command's C4I systems. Requires ten years experience in information systems development, functional and data requirements analysis, systems analysis, programming, program design and documentation. TS/SCI. MS in computer science, engineering or related scientific discipline desired. Experience may be substituted for formal degree.

( Ref file# E-8 )

Senior Functional Analyst for Y2K program needed to support major command C4I analysis. Evaluates complex information and data processing systems. TS/SCI. BS in computer science, engineering business or related functional discipline desired. Experience may substitute for formal academic degree. (File# E-8)

Research Assistant needed for work in Washington DC area. Some travel. TS/SCI security clearance needed. Intelligence background and/or research experience in intelligence are desirable. (File # E-9)


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